Abulsme.com: Election 2016

Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-24 (UTC)

22:53:01 Poll Added: Gravis in IA from 2014-10-20 to 2014-10-21 – Clinton 42.6% to Bush 43.5% http://t.co/WxgfLcRX0O
22:58:01 Poll Added: Gravis in IA from 2014-10-20 to 2014-10-21 – Clinton 45% to Ryan 44% http://t.co/9KyBs5mqDs
23:05:08 Poll Added: Gravis in KS from 2014-10-20 to 2014-10-21 – Clinton 37% to Paul 50% http://t.co/IHQyp4wU2m
23:06:51 Poll Added: Gravis in KS from 2014-10-20 to 2014-10-21 – Clinton 38% to Bush 49% http://t.co/zMYtPjmsHJ
23:06:57 Clinton vs Bush state category change: KS has moved from Solid Bush to Strong Bush http://t.co/zMYtPjmsHJ
23:22:08 Poll Added: Gravis in NC from 2014-10-16 to 2014-10-18 – Clinton 42% to Paul 48% http://t.co/9DRdHz3SAD
23:24:30 Poll Added: Gravis in NC from 2014-10-16 to 2014-10-18 – Warren 32% to Paul 48% http://t.co/L4OrxwhT6a
23:41:10 Today’s new polls change our вЂњbest polledвЂќ order. Now Clinton vs Paul, Bush, Christie, Huckabee, Cruz. http://t.co/uLzt8FLwoL
23:41:37 Clinton vs Paul now once again the default view. http://t.co/uLzt8FLwoL

Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-19 (UTC)

21:23:54 Retweeted @bonncaruso 09:04:49 @ElecCollPolls Good work. And thanks for you help with my record-keeping!
21:24:13 .@bonncaruso And thanks for your help as well! in reply to bonncaruso

Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-18 (UTC)

06:54:10 After some consideration, I have removed some UArk poll results that were Clinton vs Generic Republican in AR. http://t.co/3gg65DGb3U
06:57:38 I include prev elec results in my avg’s when there are not enough polls on a candidate pair in a state, other generics didn’t seem to fit.
06:59:02 Since this affected the average in AR for Clinton vs every Republican, there were many status changes.
06:59:18 I will report here on just those affecting the вЂњtop fiveвЂќ best polled combos.
06:59:43 That would be Clinton vs Christie, Paul, Bush, Huckabee and Cruz.
07:02:48 In AR, Clinton vs Christie moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Christie. http://t.co/YkNUil42aA
07:03:34 In AR, Clinton vs Paul moved from Weak Paul to Strong Paul. http://t.co/8w1Gi68gQ1
07:04:09 In AR, Clinton vs Bush moved from Weak Bush to Strong Bush. http://t.co/gKdL47KhH8
07:04:44 In AR, Clinton vs Huckabee moved from Strong Huckabee to Solid Huckabee. http://t.co/9xvpZlhUsI
07:05:30 In AR, Clinton vs Cruz moved from Strong Cruz to Solid Cruz. http://t.co/vDPwxpmexr
07:06:48 Nationally, Clinton best case vs Christie moved from Clinton by 204 to Clinton by 192.
07:07:43 Nationally, Clinton best case vs Paul moved from Clinton by 236 to Clinton by 224. http://t.co/27ifbbaJLC
07:08:29 Nationally, Clinton best case vs Bush moved from Clinton by 188 to Clinton by 176. http://t.co/ok7J0g9NXb
07:09:18 Nationally, expected Clinton vs Christie moved from Clinton by 168 to Clinton by 156. http://t.co/O12etrci9U
07:10:19 None of the Republican best cases, nor the tipping point states or margins changed after eliminating the UArk results.
07:13:15 The order of the вЂњbest polledвЂќ pairs did change fr Clinton vs Christie, Paul, Bush, Huckabee, Cruz to Christie, Bush, Paul. Huckabee, Cruz.
07:16:30 That’s it for the changes caused by removing the UArk Clinton vs Generic Republican results in AR. Sorry for all the changes.

Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-17 (UTC)

21:35:53 I added 1980 Gen Elec results to poll data. Select вЂњAllвЂќ in History drop down on a state page to see 34 yrs of hist. http://t.co/HFam7vFJp6

Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-15 (UTC)

23:30:35 Yesterday’s batch of polls ( http://t.co/VV7PdzJDzJ ) made Clinton vs Christie the вЂњbest polledвЂќ candidate combo. http://t.co/uLzt8FLwoL
23:32:44 A bug kept this from being identified yesterday. Fixed now. So Clinton vs Christie is once again my default view. http://t.co/uLzt8FLwoL
23:35:46 After Clinton vs Christie, Clinton vs Paul, Bush, Huckabee and Cruz round out the top 5 вЂњbest polledвЂќ cand combos. http://t.co/uLzt8FLwoL
23:45:24 I determine вЂњbest polledвЂќ by looking at weighted avg of the age of the oldest poll incl in each state’s poll avg. (Close states count more.)

Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-14 (UTC)

18:20:15 Poll Added: PPP in KS from 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 37% to Bush 48% http://t.co/y7kKdSAGqY
18:22:26 Poll Added: PPP in KS from 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 38% to Christie 42% http://t.co/dLMelNzytR
18:24:53 Poll Added: PPP in KS from 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 41% to Cruz 44% http://t.co/lkSAN8KC9H
18:24:57 Clinton vs Cruz state category change: KS has moved from Solid Cruz to Strong Cruz http://t.co/lkSAN8KC9H
18:27:33 Poll Added: PPP in KS from 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 41% to Huckabee 47% http://t.co/B8sx3w7NBq
18:27:37 Clinton vs Huckabee state category change: KS has moved from Solid Huckabee to Strong Huckabee http://t.co/B8sx3w7NBq
18:29:10 Poll Added: PPP in KS from 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 40% to Paul 45% http://t.co/NGES2Us76U
18:44:24 Poll Added: Gravis in KY from 2014-10-11 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 45% to Paul 48% http://t.co/avAqyWschg
18:46:35 Poll Added: Gravis in KY from 2014-10-11 to 2014-10-12 – Warren 36% to Paul 49% http://t.co/mzENgiuvGQ
18:53:38 Poll Added: PPP in ID from 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 33% to Bush 50% http://t.co/08dXwtyuQt
18:55:15 Poll Added: PPP in ID from 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 33% to Christie 44% http://t.co/dpbHu3GXw9
18:57:09 Poll Added: PPP in ID from 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 34% to Cruz 50% http://t.co/jnTq2E6JYV
18:58:43 Poll Added: PPP in ID from 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 34% to Huckabee 52% http://t.co/cUCId8DXq0
19:00:19 Poll Added: PPP in ID from 2014-10-09 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 33% to Paul 52% http://t.co/HOsbKfTVhK
19:04:30 Poll Added: Gravis in MD from 2014-10-06 to 2014-10-09 – Clinton 51% to Ryan 36% http://t.co/5wOMEE6hcM
19:06:17 Poll Added: Gravis in MD from 2014-10-06 to 2014-10-09 – Clinton 51% to Paul 34% http://t.co/CWQjbAUID9
19:07:51 Poll Added: Gravis in MD from 2014-10-06 to 2014-10-09 – Clinton 52% to Bush 35% http://t.co/dgvwbQtybB
19:12:40 Poll Added: Gravis in MT from 2014-09-29 to 2014-09-30 – Clinton 36% to Bush 45% http://t.co/9FlCXCP5LM
19:15:43 Poll Added: Gravis in MT from 2014-09-29 to 2014-09-30 – Clinton 38% to Paul 46% http://t.co/zEVSqwH3i5
19:17:18 Poll Added: Gravis in MT from 2014-09-29 to 2014-09-30 – Clinton 37% to Ryan 51% http://t.co/V3LHXzCmgo
19:33:43 Poll Added: Gravis in NC from 2014-09-22 to 2014-09-23 – Clinton 44% to Paul 45% http://t.co/aUDD1dC9OE
19:36:31 Poll Added: Gravis in NC from 2014-02-22 to 2014-09-23 – Warren 33% to Paul 46% http://t.co/pKwfRfQ4oG
19:40:45 Poll Added: Gravis in KY from 2014-09-13 to 2014-09-16 – Clinton 44% to Paul 46% http://t.co/CzTLv8m6vn
19:42:55 Poll Added: Gravis in KY from 2014-09-13 to 2014-09-16 – Warren 30% to Paul 52% http://t.co/aqaBaYBuYN
19:47:52 Poll Added: Gravis in AR from 2014-09-08 to 2014-09-11 – Clinton 42% to Paul 48% http://t.co/wnvth1tOp0
20:07:48 I just added logic to include more than 5 polls in the 5 poll avg if there is tie for the 5th oldest poll by middate. http://t.co/rCJXTpkQW4
20:08:50 I will probably be removing those 2013 UArk polls soon though, as they are Clinton vs Generic Republican rather than an actual matchup.
20:10:58 I add actual general election results to fill in where there is no polling yet on a matchup, but think I don’t need to add other generics.
20:13:47 Poll Added: Gravis in AR from 2014-09-08 to 2014-09-11 – Clinton 42% to Bush 49% http://t.co/acyF8sHsPQ
20:19:10 Poll Added: Gravis in FL from 2014-08-14 to 2014-08-24 – Clinton 44% to Rubio 35% http://t.co/7dQaHdL5lT
20:19:13 Clinton vs Rubio state category change: FL has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton http://t.co/7dQaHdL5lT
20:21:34 Poll Added: Gravis in FL from 2014-08-14 to 2014-08-24 – Clinton 39% to Bush 37% http://t.co/1n8WPC70nM
20:26:05 Poll Added: Gravis in CT from 2014-08-04 to 2014-08-07 – Clinton 45% to Carson 36% http://t.co/vn1yPRF5iU
20:28:06 Poll Added: Gravis in CT from 2014-08-04 to 2014-08-07 – Clinton 48% to Paul 33% http://t.co/R4snOqjZDb
20:32:17 Poll Added: Gravis in WI from 2014-07-31 to 2014-08-02 – Clinton 47% to Ryan 48% http://t.co/DETwTCGMtd
20:32:21 Clinton vs Ryan state category change: WI has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton http://t.co/DETwTCGMtd
20:36:54 Poll Added: Gravis in NC from 2014-07-22 to 2014-07-27 – Clinton 45% to Paul 43% http://t.co/tD3hDmJUQY
20:39:39 Poll Added: Gravis in NC from 2014-07-22 to 2014-07-27 – Warren 35% to Paul 44% http://t.co/haMlRftv2A
20:48:10 Poll Added: Gravis in CA from 2014-07-22 to 2014-07-24 – Clinton 49% to Paul 40% http://t.co/dMvmkYI51u
20:50:51 Poll Added: Gravis in CA from 2014-07-22 to 2014-07-24 – Warren 33% to Paul 44% http://t.co/kXeu9Cm1bX
20:57:42 Poll Added: Gravis in MT from 2014-07-20 to 2014-07-22 – Clinton 39% to Bush 49% http://t.co/08Fjfyix7e
21:02:17 Poll Added: Gravis in KY from 2014-07-17 to 2014-07-20 – Clinton 44% to Paul 50% http://t.co/8zxpASlarr
21:05:03 Poll Added: Gravis in KY from 2014-07-17 to 2014-07-20 – Warren 34% to Paul 52% http://t.co/1q4Hem71ZV
21:20:28 Poll Added: Gravis in FL from 2014-01-15 to 2014-01-15 – Clinton 49% to Rubio 45% http://t.co/rhNZCP0AUb
21:44:24 Poll Added: Gravis in FL from 2014-10-11 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 37% to Bush 36% http://t.co/e7Uk9QGGmJ
21:47:49 Poll Added: Gravis in FL from 2014-10-11 to 2014-10-12 – Clinton 43% to Rubio 35% http://t.co/hENS26Bv23
21:47:52 Clinton vs Rubio state category change: FL has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton http://t.co/hENS26Bv23

Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-12 (UTC)

06:12:15 Poll Added: DMR in IA from 2014-10-03 to 2014-10-08 – Clinton 43% to Romney 44% http://t.co/md341ZKrUI
06:21:42 Poll Added: DMR in IA from 2014-10-03 to 2014-10-08 – Clinton 44% to Ryan 43% http://t.co/fGg5COsZ2G
06:21:48 Clinton vs Ryan state category change: IA has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton http://t.co/fGg5COsZ2G
06:24:18 Poll Added: DMR in IA from 2014-10-03 to 2014-10-08 – Clinton 44% to Paul 41% http://t.co/7rJ4XxI8EL
06:26:59 Poll Added: DMR in IA from 2014-10-03 to 2014-10-08 – Clinton 43% to Christie 38% http://t.co/SWhO3EJZzz
06:35:41 Romney best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 257 to Romney 281 -> Clinton 251 to Romney 287 http://t.co/dimXsBvdBV
06:36:53 Ryan best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 313 to Ryan 225 -> Clinton 307 to Ryan 231 http://t.co/fUuS4YS5Jh
06:47:37 Poll Added: DMR in IA from 2014-10-03 to 2014-10-08 – Clinton 46% to Bush 39% http://t.co/WbqEwDXMAE
06:47:40 Clinton vs Bush state category change: IA has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton http://t.co/WbqEwDXMAE
06:50:32 Poll Added: DMR in IA from 2014-10-03 to 2014-10-08 – Clinton 45% to Rubio 37% http://t.co/MuNEHPMe27
06:52:37 Poll Added: DMR in IA from 2014-10-03 to 2014-10-08 – Clinton 45% to Cruz 35% http://t.co/GGFUuv90dd
06:52:41 Clinton vs Cruz state category change: IA has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton http://t.co/GGFUuv90dd
07:33:05 Bush best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 288 to Bush 250 -> Clinton 282 to Bush 256 http://t.co/0h3kZlriIg
08:24:12 Clinton vs Romney state category change: IA has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton http://t.co/1L7gmsbuQZ (Delayed post, sorry.)

Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-07 (UTC)

16:56:57 Poll Added: PPP in GA from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 44% to Bush 45% http://t.co/zmOVL95BSv
16:58:45 Poll Added: PPP in GA from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 48% to Cain 45% http://t.co/a1Zi7QcFWC
17:01:09 Poll Added: PPP in GA from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 46% to Christie 41% http://t.co/DjMoBRU0uo
17:02:47 Poll Added: PPP in GA from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 47% to Cruz 41% http://t.co/t9XnhfO3u3
17:04:35 Poll Added: PPP in GA from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 49% to Gingrich 43% http://t.co/GmO6jYrdvB
17:04:40 Clinton vs Gingrich state category change: GA has moved from Weak Gingrich to Weak Clinton http://t.co/GmO6jYrdvB
17:06:32 Poll Added: PPP in GA from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 48% to Huckabee 45% http://t.co/VTs0zl4DjU
17:08:09 Poll Added: PPP in GA from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 47% to Paul 44% http://t.co/P0dK9HzW0V
17:08:13 Clinton vs Paul state category change: GA has moved from Strong Paul to Weak Paul http://t.co/P0dK9HzW0V
17:12:34 Poll Added: PPP in CT from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 50% to Bush 37% http://t.co/ingsxM6SAD
17:14:01 Poll Added: PPP in CT from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 49% to Christie 39% http://t.co/yw6NOw3XIK
17:15:26 Poll Added: PPP in CT from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 54% to Cruz 32% http://t.co/YKFuyHYoDD
17:16:51 Poll Added: PPP in CT from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 53% to Huckabee 34% http://t.co/smqsjNsnAy
17:18:25 Poll Added: PPP in CT from 2014-10-02 to 2014-10-05 – Clinton 54% to Paul 35% http://t.co/lQ89pxaASV
17:36:53 Clinton vs Gingrich expected case changed: Clinton 310 to Gingrich 228 -> Clinton 326 to Gingrich 212 http://t.co/fqN6sXy2eH
17:39:58 Clinton best case vs Paul has changed: Clinton 371 to Paul 167 -> Clinton 387 to Paul 151 http://t.co/QO9QsWwo6P

Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-05 (UTC)

16:28:17 Poll Added: Gravis in IA from 2014-09-29 to 2014-09-30 – Clinton 41% to Bush 41% http://t.co/1pfD9IZKlm
16:31:20 Poll Added: Gravis in IA from 2014-09-29 to 2014-09-30 – Clinton 44% to Ryan 44% http://t.co/PiOWpB3bAi

Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-03 (UTC)

17:56:50 [Blog Post] "Curmudgeon’s Corner: Because I have a Superbrain!" http://t.co/n2uTP9VAng

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Electoral College poll updates from 2014-10-24 (UTC)

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