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@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-11-13 (UTC)

00:09:29 Still waiting for Michigan. In the meantime, listen to my podcast for a preview of the post-mortem. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
00:10:45 Retweeted @librab103 00:05:36 @ElecCollPolls everybody but AP has called it. in reply to ElecCollPolls
00:10:47 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 00:10:36 .@librab103 I’m going by CNN. They don’t seem to have called it yet. If others have in the last few hours though, they probably will soon. in reply to librab103
00:20:14 .@librab103 Do you have a link? I just checked a handful of sites and none had called Michigan yet.
00:32:20 Retweeted @librab103 00:31:51 @ElectionGraphs more of unofficially calling MI. State EB looks like it will not be until the end of the month. in reply to ElectionGraphs
00:33:45 .@librab103 Right. Everybody has Trump ahead, but as far as I know nobody has officially "called it". That is what I am waiting for. in reply to librab103

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-11-12 (UTC)

00:55:13 Still waiting on Michigan. :-) https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
23:51:59 Contains discussion of things that will be in my wrap up once MI is called -> Curmudgeon's Corner: Under the Thumb https://t.co/zdabsz1CzT

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-11-11 (UTC)

01:29:20 Still waiting on a call for Michigan from CNN. In 2012 it took 90 hours for the last state. We’re at 49 and a bit. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
16:10:32 Retweeted @Cat_in_Florida 04:53:04 @ElectionGraphs will that result change anything? If not, than why bother even posting about it? Just sayin'. in reply to ElectionGraphs
16:11:32 .@Cat_in_Florida It will change if Trump wins by 42 EV or 74 EV. We know the winner at this point, but not the actual final result. in reply to Cat_in_Florida
16:12:13 .@Cat_in_Florida We’ll also update in December if there are any faithless electors to make sure the total properly reflects them. in reply to ElectionGraphs
16:13:18 64 hours in & still waiting for Wisconsin. In 2012 it took 90 hours for the last state. In 2008 it took 477 hours. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
16:26:00 A note on tracking until the very lastвЂ¦ https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-11-10 (UTC)

00:01:24 It has been 24 hours since the first states closed. Still waiting on New Hampshire and Michigan. It may be awhile. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
02:07:41 New Hampshire called for Clinton, which was expected. Only Michigan outstanding. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
13:15:36 Still waiting on CNN to call Michigan. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
20:36:21 My draft of my post mortem is ready except for knowing the final call on Michigan. Come on CNN! :-) https://t.co/gmUwTGIkPE

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-11-09 (UTC)

00:04:03 KY/IN/VT called. All as expected. No surprises.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+210

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
00:30:08 NC/OH/WV closed. (Although some precincts still voting in NC.) WV should be a quick call. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
00:32:18 WV called for Trump as expected.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+210

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
00:59:59 Lots and lots of states just closed. The only ones to pay attention to are MI/ME-CD2/PA/FL. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
01:07:00 DC/MA/MD/RI/IL/NJ/DE/TN/MS/OK called instantly. No surprises.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+210

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
01:14:31 Added a couple of notes on some states we are waiting on: https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
01:25:45 Watching Florida go back and forth is causing flashbacks of 2000. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
01:30:39 AR just closed. Expect it to get called for Trump immediately. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
01:33:35 SC/AL both called for Trump. No surprises.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+210

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
01:34:31 CNN mentioned Clinton leading TX with more than 50% counted. Now THAT would be a surprise. Won’t last though. Right? https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
01:34:41 Retweeted @jennsteele 01:33:48 @ElectionGraphs I know; and it's not making me drink wine any more slowly! in reply to ElectionGraphs
01:44:32 Some notes on which states we are waiting for: https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
01:45:20 Retweeted @rebeccagberg 01:21:04 Just gonna leave this here: the threshold for an automatic recount in Florida is a margin <0.5 percent https://t.co/vuBbONGsyz
01:57:02 Retweeted @shelleyaw123 01:56:48 @ElectionGraphs it might (fingers crossed)!! in reply to ElectionGraphs
01:57:16 .@shelleyaw123 Trump’s already taken the lead there, as expected. in reply to shelleyaw123
02:00:08 Bunch of states just closed. The only one to really watch is Arizona. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
02:05:45 Called: NY 4 C, KS/NE-All/SD/ND/WY/NE-CD3 4 T. No surprises.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+210

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
02:16:02 TX/AR both called for Trump as expected. Still no surprises.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+210

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
02:29:09 VA still being close may be bad news for Clinton. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
02:30:43 Maybe those last minute poll shifts I was dubious about were real. Certainly looking that way in Florida and North Carolina at the moment.
02:47:32 CT/LA called as expected. Still no surprises, but the way uncalled states are going is making Clinton very nervous. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
02:48:26 Retweeted @benchmarkpol 02:48:15 Clinton is now ahead on the Virginia secretary of state site. https://t.co/QKjjOpbRTc https://t.co/ft18TdoV2D
03:00:52 Nevada, Iowa, Montana, and Utah now closed. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
03:04:27 MT as expected. Still no close states called, so summary hasn’t changed. Range from T+66 to C+210. C+8 expected. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
03:04:58 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 02:28:28 Clinton, in my view, is in serious danger in Wisconsin and Michigan. Not very clear what's going on in PA.
03:08:41 Retweeted @williamjordann 03:06:28 Live NYT forecast shows a electoral college/popular vote split https://t.co/SpX5Z4DUh4
03:11:23 Networks called the Republicans keeping the House awhile ago BTW. Expected. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
03:17:04 MO called for Trump, NM for Clinton, both as expected. Still no surprises or close states called. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
03:18:41 Retweeted @Timcast 03:18:02 NOW: NYT Has #Trump chance to win at 79% https://t.co/gsfo193kFw
03:21:33 Looks like the possibility that Trump will pull off the biggest comeback in US presidential history is very real. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
03:29:01 First close state called. OH goes Trump as expected. New stats:
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+174

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
03:41:39 Retweeted @jackmooring 03:40:40 RCP average had #Trump at +3.5 in Ohio. He won it by 11.
#Election2016
03:52:08 CO to Clinton as expected. Still no states going other than expected. But Trump leading lots of uncalled states. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
03:58:22 Retweeted @CarlBialik 03:57:52 Clinton has a 6% chance of winning election, per @nytimesвЂ”a higher chance than Democrats have of controlling Senate https://t.co/mhh1jPwDce
03:59:58 CA/WA/OR/ID now closed. None expected to be close. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
04:04:34 CA & HI called for Clinton. Expected. Still no surprise states.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+174

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
04:11:08 NC goes to Trump. Expected but reduces Clinton’s best case.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+144

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
04:21:14 OR/NE-CD1 both as expected. Everything still as expected. But Clinton can’t afford to lose a single state she led. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
04:22:27 And she is currently behind in several. in reply to ElectionGraphs
04:32:59 Clinton can afford to lose Maine CD2. She has to sweep everything else or she is done. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
04:33:11 Retweeted @BYUfan 04:31:51 @ElectionGraphs @realDonaldTrump just won WI. Now he just needs to win the states you have him ahead in.
04:33:40 .@BYUfan @realDonaldTrump Who called WI? I think that is game over unless she wins one of his, which is unlikely. in reply to BYUfan
04:37:53 Retweeted @BYUfan 04:35:08 @ElectionGraphs @realDonaldTrump Fox News just called WI for Trump. in reply to ElectionGraphs
04:38:59 FL for Trump. Expected.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+86

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
04:40:11 Fox is calling WI for Trump. If so, we’re done. Trump wins, we’re only talking about margin. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4 in reply to ElectionGraphs
04:42:57 Washington for Clinton. Expected.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+86

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
04:51:06 GA to Trump. Expected. But reduces Clinton’s best case further.
Trump best: T+66
Expected: C+8
Clinton best: C+54

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
04:53:59 McMullin very close to 2nd place in Utah. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
04:54:12 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 04:50:01 We believe Clinton is very likely to win the national popular vote. https://t.co/qnVxlxqA8r
05:00:04 269 to 269 is not out of the question. Which shows it to the house, and probably to Trump. But maybe shenanigans. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
05:07:48 Retweeted @jaxparrothead 05:07:27 @ElectionGraphs 2 Hillary electors have said they won't vote for her, she loses in a tie in reply to ElectionGraphs
05:08:04 .@jaxparrothead There may end up being faithless Republican electors too. in reply to jaxparrothead
05:10:03 Retweeted @jaxparrothead 05:09:53 @ElectionGraphs one said he's a Hillary elector from WA in reply to ElectionGraphs
05:10:43 .@jaxparrothead I know the two WA electors. I mean there may be R elector defectors from other states too. We could have many. Who knows? in reply to jaxparrothead
05:11:41 IA to Trump. Expected. Still all expected. But Clinton losing uncalled states. Her best case shrinking fast. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
05:29:17 Retweeted @jaxparrothead 05:14:33 @ElectionGraphs oh I see, good point in reply to ElectionGraphs
05:31:20 Retweeted @MEPFuller 05:30:43 Here's Clinton's only hope. And there's no reason to believe she wins ME-02 or NE-02. Trump has won, folks. https://t.co/3kyEKwSpHK
05:40:09 First surprise. NV to Clinton. Probably not enough.
Trump best: T+54
Expected: C+20
Clinton best: C+42

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
05:42:57 Retweeted @NumbersMuncher 05:42:08 Trump currently up 52-41 in ME-02 with 70% reporting, which would give Trump 270 electoral votes and make him president.
05:43:05 Retweeted @benchmarkpol 05:42:18 It does not appear Jill Stein or Gary Johnson will reach the 5% threshold.
05:46:11 Retweeted @ericgeller 05:45:36 Clinton's must-win states right now.
PA: Trump 48.5 Clinton 47.9 (97%)
MI: Trump 47.9 Clinton 47.0 (79%)
WI: Trump 49.1 Clinton 45.7 (90%)
05:46:19 Retweeted @MargieOmero 05:45:31 Trump did better with Latinos (29%) than Romney did (27%). #ElectionNight
05:48:58 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 05:47:01 .@SeanTrende had Clinton +3.2% nationally, the second for major aggregators. My 10-day average had Clinton +3.1%
Massive poll error.
06:07:52 CNN still not calling states that others have, but Trump clearly won. I’ll track until all states called of course. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
06:11:42 Utah called for Trump. Expected. No change to summary.
Trump best: T+54
Expected: C+20
Clinton best: C+42

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
06:44:30 AK called for Trump. Expected.
Trump best: T+54
Expected: C+20
Clinton best: C+42

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
07:22:11 Status on the states we are still waiting for (using CNN calls): https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
07:36:47 Wisconsin called for Trump. The 2nd вЂњsurpriseвЂќ of the night. And a big one. Details: https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
07:40:14 AP called the race. Still waiting on CNN. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
07:41:23 Clinton called Trump to concede. We’ll keep tracking until all states are called. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
08:05:22 PA was called for Trump by CNN to push him over the top: https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
08:18:40 Looks like McMullin is coming in 3rd in Utah. No longer in danger of 2nd place. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
09:22:45 Retweeted @entpnerd 09:22:15 @ElectionGraphs Would love a podcast on what went wrong with polls in so many states. But, kudos on being closer than @FiveThirtyEight.
09:23:48 .@entpnerd @FiveThirtyEight I’m sure we will discuss this some on our next Curmudgeon’s Corner. And thanks! https://t.co/G1rc9wIo0a in reply to entpnerd
11:32:50 Not that it matters in our system, but Clinton just overtook Trump in the national popular vote. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
11:34:13 Also, I’ve been updating for well over 12 hours straight, so time for a break. Updates on the last states later. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
19:20:34 A morning update. No more states called by CNN since last night: https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
20:14:10 CNN called Minnesota for Clinton and Nebraska CD2 for Trump. Both as expected. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-11-08 (UTC)

01:09:48 Retweeted @iiPracticalJoke 01:09:15 @ElectionGraphs ,will there be a 51 statewide poll before the first polls close tomorrow?
01:11:07 .@iiPracticalJoke I don’t get advance notice, so I’ll find out when it happens. :-) in reply to iiPracticalJoke
01:39:17 Retweeted @iiPracticalJoke 01:11:36 @ElectionGraphs okay :-) in reply to ElectionGraphs
01:41:14 .@iiPracticalJoke I will add that although I only include them weekly & already added my last, Ipsos/YouGov/SurveyMonkey all updating daily. in reply to iiPracticalJoke
13:24:12 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 13:23:48 Another round of polls done. About 15 hours this time. All 50 states and DC. Notable changes. @ElectionGraphs blog post soon.
15:31:07 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Trump makes it tight again https://t.co/D0emDTchGq
19:12:20 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 19:11:09 Finished scan for new polls, only had the Insight West ones that did not change anything. Will watch for straggler polls about another hour.
20:40:21 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Final Forecast and Election Night Updates https://t.co/tNaX2anuyq
20:42:33 The Election Night post will be updated as states are called tonight. I’ll tweet here when those updates happen. https://t.co/tNaX2anuyq
20:58:48 Election Graphs final map and summary. Caveats in the update post. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4 https://t.co/dkdZdt9hIm
23:06:27 An hour until the 1st states close. As we start:
Trump best T+66
Expected C+8
Clinton best C+210

https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4
23:59:57 VT/VA/GA/SC/IN/KY now closed. Only GA expected to be close. Others should be called relatively quickly. https://t.co/gmUwTGqJr4

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-11-06 (UTC)

11:31:42 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 11:31:21 Another round of poll updates complete. All 50 states and DC. Blog post on @ElectionGraphs soon.
11:32:32 Retweeted @jcax1247 2016-11-05 02:48:10 Unreal…members of electral college may do….?? https://t.co/NWWjqyc8hY
11:34:25 .@jcax1247 Yup, they can do whatever they want. In some states there are fines. But those apply after they vote. The vote still counts. in reply to jcax1247
13:33:23 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Trump Surge Sputtering Out? https://t.co/XdimVPgOEb

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-11-05 (UTC)

23:09:52 Almost all election related this time -> [Blog Post] Curmudgeon's Corner: Covered in Butter https://t.co/6L89amGiTs

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-11-04 (UTC)

04:41:06 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 04:40:12 Finished a round of poll entry. New polls in all 50 states, DC, ME CDs, and NE-CD2. Lots of changes. @ElectionGraphs blog post soon.
17:29:19 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Trump Surge https://t.co/EeFTryIk2O
21:24:38 For blow by blow updates as polls are added to Election Graphs, follow @ElecCollPolls. Rolled up summaries posted here less often.
23:38:05 BTW, Election Graphs will continue to reflect the polls, even with fun reports of electors promising 2 be faithless: https://t.co/RGIUx4xVyT

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-11-03 (UTC)

02:50:55 Retweeted @hacker4u2k15 2016-11-02 11:19:05 @ElectionGraphs I see the update map so trump has a chance to wins is possible ?
02:59:12 .@hacker4u2k15 I am in the middle of updates, but yes, right now if Trump wins all close states he wins by 68 EV. https://t.co/5x7d7Y6jLS in reply to hacker4u2k15

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