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That was quite gracious, although the crowd wasn’t always. You could see the sadness and disappointment. And Palin was crying. It makes you wonder if they had actually been deluding themselves over the last month into thinking they actually did have a chance. It has been clear for awhile that they were done absent a major event… that never happened. My Graphs will take a bit to catch up, probably another 15 or 20 minutes. But CNN just called the race for Obama as the West Coast states get called. Here comes… It will take me a few minutes to catch up on the graphs, but CNN just called Ohio for Obama. That will take away McCain’s last desperate chance for victory. From now on it is just about how big a win Obama has. Yet another wave coming soon… A ton of states closing shortly. Several of them are “Strong” states that it should be possible to call almost immediately. And of course, the numbers ACTUALLY don’t predict the everybody gets their leans numbers from the last post. They say that anything between Obama 406, McCain 132 and Obama 291, McCain 247 is very very possible. My final “everybody gets their leans” prediction before CNN starts calling states is Obama 349, McCain 189. My gut tells me that Obama will actually over-perform that. But I don’t trust my gut, I’ll stick with what the numbers tell me. If you want to see my updates as soon as I make them, refresh the Electoral College Prediction page occasionally. I will be making the changes there first, then post on the blog about them. Of course, it also takes me a few minutes to update that page fully. The chart at the top will change first. Then the table summary. Then the possible totals. Then the map. The process takes a few minutes, so during that time the various bits are out of sync with each other. Normally that doesn’t matter too much, but right now with lots of people looking, it could produce odd results. (At the moment for instance, 11 people are looking at that page.) Is staring to dribble in on CNN. So far McCain 60%, Obama 38%. Of course, that is with 0% reporting, and this is a state McCain is expected to win by a 13%+ margin according to the last polls. But hey, actual votes!!! After two years, actual votes!!! Finally! |
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