This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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Electoral College: Obama loses strength in Michigan

Another change from a new poll, this time from me reviewing each of pollster.com’s state charts one by one, which I usually do daily, but I’m doing every 6 hours today. I’m not sure about this one though, as I’ve found no other reference to this poll yet, and it looks like an extreme outlier, but would fit in EXACTLY with the trend if you reversed Obama and McCain’s numbers. So I suspect this may actually be a typo on Pollster which will be corrected later. If so, I will undo this change if/when I see evidence of the other result. But in case this is real, it causes Obama’s lead in Michigan to dip under 10%, moving the state from Strong Obama to Weak Obama.

New Summary:

McCain SuperBest: McCain 317, Obama 221
McCain Best Case: Obama 278, McCain 260

Current “everybody gets their leans”: Obama 349, McCain 189

Obama Best Case: Obama 406, McCain 132
Obama SuperBest: Obama 411, McCain 127

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