- 00:01:09 Poll Added: Ipsos in LA from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 35.829% to Trump 53.203% https://t.co/YOroDiEHrE
- 00:03:22 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 1.4% in FL -> Clinton by 1.2% in FL https://t.co/zhsU4kjKUX
- 00:04:11 Poll Added: Ipsos in ME-All from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 45.459% to Trump 37.220% https://t.co/wGl71wyBkV
- 00:06:05 Poll Added: Ipsos in MD from 2016-10-21 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 53.264% to Trump 35.118% https://t.co/RAEPzGxXBY
- 00:09:08 Poll Added: Ipsos in MA from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 52.572% to Trump 36.762% https://t.co/yv0NvbTzJW
- 00:11:31 Poll Added: Ipsos in MI from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 43.325% to Trump 43.129% https://t.co/mP1nVOJyih
- 00:13:13 Poll Added: Ipsos in MN from 2016-10-21 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 42.411% to Trump 36.962% https://t.co/XNoxsV5tmL
- 00:16:30 Poll Added: Ipsos in MS from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 34.243% to Trump 53.552% https://t.co/z1zzbcMmwH
- 00:19:47 Poll Added: Ipsos in MO from 2016-10-21 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 40.056% to Trump 48.672% https://t.co/5bKFFe8bO0
- 00:23:28 Poll Added: Ipsos in MT from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 33.499% to Trump 51.551% https://t.co/xB66p2izvx
- 00:32:18 Poll Added: Ipsos in NE-All from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 31.375% to Trump 53.125% https://t.co/mXsCHl3dtf
- 00:34:57 Poll Added: Ipsos in NV from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 47.222% to Trump 41.658% https://t.co/UvrHgwp25r
- 00:37:07 Poll Added: Ipsos in NH from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 46.367% to Trump 39.883% https://t.co/DflRavX96D
- 00:39:35 Poll Added: Ipsos in NJ from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 49.718% to Trump 36.129% https://t.co/rIM0aklxFY
- 00:42:29 Poll Added: Ipsos in NM from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 44.684% to Trump 41.919% https://t.co/nqWXmOq13r
- 00:48:38 Poll Added: Ipsos in NY from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 56.421% to Trump 34.223% https://t.co/DSWYetHERf
- 00:52:08 Poll Added: Ipsos in NC from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 46.826% to Trump 47.702% https://t.co/vY1dCzaMyG
- 00:55:09 Poll Added: Ipsos in OH from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 46.968% to Trump 45.493% https://t.co/MlMC854VpI
- 01:00:15 Poll Added: Ipsos in OK from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 29.682% to Trump 60.283% https://t.co/8jvEdAFRpj
- 01:06:46 Poll Added: Ipsos in OR from 2016-10-21 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 46.757% to Trump 38.133% https://t.co/YWJfouzQO3
- 01:07:07 Clinton vs Trump state category change: OR has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/YWJfouzQO3
- 01:14:15 Poll Added: Ipsos in PA from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 48.150% to Trump 44.035% https://t.co/WIqVhgmJNe
- 01:22:50 Poll Added: Ipsos in SC from 2016-10-21 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 44.270% to Trump 49.186% https://t.co/qkAWReOA7T
- 01:24:46 Poll Added: Ipsos in SD from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 29.553% to Trump 51.877% https://t.co/6UIxajMn5F
- 01:29:14 Poll Added: Ipsos in TN from 2016-10-21 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 35.176% to Trump 49.818% https://t.co/RcG7jrfNwU
- 01:32:49 Poll Added: Ipsos in TX from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 39.554% to Trump 49.402% https://t.co/nzcHhwhd9h
- 01:35:17 Poll Added: Ipsos in UT from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 33.300% to Trump 40.336% https://t.co/dNHtjOO8dn
- 01:37:44 Poll Added: Ipsos in VA from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 48.825% to Trump 41.921% https://t.co/o2wGGTcSqT
- 01:40:15 Poll Added: Ipsos in WA from 2016-10-21 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 46.444% to Trump 39.431% https://t.co/XmVKJf4MDy
- 01:43:49 Poll Added: Ipsos in WV from 2016-10-14 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 34.530% to Trump 58.256% https://t.co/SpBTKhv7T7
- 01:46:34 Poll Added: Ipsos in WI from 2016-10-21 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 47.180% to Trump 39.992% https://t.co/iZoOo08Jku
- 01:50:53 Poll Added: Gravis w/4P in CO from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 40% to Trump 40% https://t.co/5n5CUXTvwr
- 01:50:58 Full 4P results: Gravis w/4P in CO from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 40% to Trump 40% to Johnson 7% to Stein 4%
- 01:56:45 Poll Added: Gravis w/4P in PA from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 47% to Trump 45% https://t.co/uzWannKUlL
- 01:56:50 Full 4P results: Gravis w/4P in PA from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 47% to Trump 45% to Johnson 2% to Stein 2%
- 02:04:54 Poll Added: GQR RV w/4P [6] in CA from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 54% to Trump 28% https://t.co/0dHoNtV9ZJ
- 02:04:59 Full 4P results: GQR RV w/4P [6] in CA from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 54% to Trump 28% to Johnson 4% to Stein 3%
- 02:07:00 Poll Added: GQR LV w/4P [6] in CA from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 54% to Trump 30% https://t.co/NjCzwXmquj
- 02:07:05 Full 4P results: GQR LV w/4P [6] in CA from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 54% to Trump 30% to Johnson 4% to Stein 3%
- 02:09:19 Poll Added: GQR RV [6] in CA from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 59% to Trump 31% https://t.co/7swy74EEhC
- 02:10:27 Poll Added: GQR LV [6] in CA from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 58% to Trump 32% https://t.co/G0F2pB62kd
- 02:11:42 Poll Added: GQR RV w/Lean [6] in CA from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 59% to Trump 31% https://t.co/PcvJ0zERnz
- 02:13:57 Poll Added: GQR LV w/Lean [6] in CA from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 58% to Trump 33% https://t.co/PH9ZBDokur
- 02:20:58 Poll Added: Roanoke w/3P in VA from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 50% to Trump 32% https://t.co/tMxbHQq7Nq
- 02:21:03 Full 3P results: Roanoke w/3P in VA from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 50% to Trump 32% to Johnson 8%
- 02:34:51 Poll Added: Keating w/3P in CO from 2016-11-02 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 43% to Trump 38% https://t.co/wtUstPvlcs
- 02:34:56 Full 3P results: Keating w/3P in CO from 2016-11-02 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 43% to Trump 38% to Johnson 7%
- 02:38:51 Poll Added: Alliance w/3P in FL from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 45% to Trump 46% https://t.co/6OSgk2MtoY
- 02:38:56 Full 3P results: Alliance w/3P in FL from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 45% to Trump 46% to Johnson 3%
- 02:42:08 Poll Added: Alliance w/3P in OH from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 44% to Trump 43% https://t.co/f3xnfDUsXy
- 02:42:13 Full 3P results: Alliance w/3P in OH from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 44% to Trump 43% to Johnson 6%
- 02:46:39 Poll Added: Alliance w/3P in NV from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 43% to Trump 43% https://t.co/gd7gRqzRTn
- 02:46:44 Full 3P results: Alliance w/3P in NV from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 43% to Trump 43% to Johnson 5%
- 02:47:04 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NV has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/gd7gRqzRTn
- 02:52:51 Poll Added: Alliance w/3P in NH from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 43% to Trump 42% https://t.co/ujNYnW7IaW
- 02:52:56 Full 3P results: Alliance w/3P in NH from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 43% to Trump 42% to Johnson 7%
- 02:55:27 Poll Added: Alliance w/3P in NC from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% https://t.co/y51mMIorYl
- 02:55:32 Full 3P results: Alliance w/3P in NC from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% to Johnson 3%
- 02:58:44 Poll Added: Alliance w/3P in PA from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 48% to Trump 42% https://t.co/Z5JEtkgpSd
- 02:58:49 Full 3P results: Alliance w/3P in PA from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 48% to Trump 42% to Johnson 3%
- 03:03:07 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 1.2% in FL -> Clinton by 1.8% in FL https://t.co/WJlCHhZBW1
- 03:09:01 Poll Added: Strategic National w/4P in MI from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 44% to Trump 44% https://t.co/dra8GUT3KC
- 03:09:06 Full 4P results: Strategic National w/4P in MI from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 44% to Trump 44% to Johnson 4% to Stein 3%
- 03:12:58 Poll Added: Data Orbital w/4P in AZ from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 39% to Trump 47% https://t.co/vu7yHjYuJL
- 03:13:03 Full 4P results: Data Orbital w/4P in AZ from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 39% to Trump 47% to Johnson 4% to Stein 3%
- 03:22:26 Poll Added: PPP in MO from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 41% to Trump 52% https://t.co/lNB9GHEcmY
- 03:22:40 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 302 to Trump 236 -> Clinton 308 to Trump 230 https://t.co/PlWXxAw8L3
- 03:24:17 Poll Added: PPP in NV from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% https://t.co/XyVz1TcrVG
- 03:26:55 Poll Added: PPP in NH from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% https://t.co/fX5RZcaGlr
- 03:28:38 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 49% to Trump 47% https://t.co/Gh1BowVeXV
- 03:28:56 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NC has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/Gh1BowVeXV
- 03:32:39 Poll Added: PPP in PA from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 44% https://t.co/QcbvmTIoV4
- 03:34:52 Poll Added: PPP in WI from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 41% https://t.co/wUlqYxuCmx
- 03:35:11 Clinton vs Trump state category change: WI has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/wUlqYxuCmx
- 03:49:06 Poll Added: Cofounder w/4P in KY from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 24.8% to Trump 38.2% https://t.co/w9Ldm4ykHi
- 03:49:11 Full 4P results: Cofounder w/4P in KY from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 24.8% to Trump 38.2% to Johnson 7.0% to Stein 4.0%
- 03:57:22 Made a small correction to a Remington poll in Missouri based on a better source. The MO average moved from Trump+11.6% to Trump+11.8%.
- 04:01:49 Poll Added: Saguaro w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 45% to Trump 44% https://t.co/gEDcjYHjk0
- 04:01:54 Full 4P results: Saguaro w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 45% to Trump 44% to Johnson 7% to Stein 1%
- 04:02:51 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 1.8% in FL -> Clinton by 1.8% in NC https://t.co/199GsefoTm
- 04:02:51 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 308 to Trump 230 -> Clinton 323 to Trump 215 https://t.co/199GsefoTm
- 04:02:52 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 223 to Trump 315 -> Clinton 213 to Trump 325 https://t.co/199GsefoTm
- 04:10:13 Note my rule to avoid overweighting for polls releasing results daily is to only include if 7 days since or no overlap with last I included.
- 04:39:33 Corrected the date range on the latest MPRC polls in ME-All, ME-CD1, and ME-CD2. No change to current averages.
- 10:03:57 Poll Added: R&P w/4P in NM from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 45% to Trump 40% https://t.co/kMa2U1c3H9
- 10:04:02 Full 4P results: R&P w/4P in NM from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 45% to Trump 40% to Johnson 11% to Stein 3%
- 10:19:37 Poll Added: Trafalgar w/4P in NV from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 45.01% to Trump 49.61% https://t.co/qvwsT88u0W
- 10:19:42 Full 4P results: Trafalgar w/4P in NV from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 45.01% to Trump 49.61% to Johnson 2.58% to Stein 0.60%
- 10:27:16 Poll Added: Selzer w/4P [2] in IA from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 39% to Trump 45% https://t.co/j8NkJH6IAL
- 10:27:21 Full 4P results: Selzer w/4P [2] in IA from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 39% to Trump 45% to Johnson 6% to Stein 1%
- 10:29:02 Poll Added: Selzer w/Lean w/4P [2] in IA from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 39% to Trump 46% https://t.co/FJmvJ8bHC1
- 10:29:08 Full 4P results: Selzer w/Lean w/4P [2] in IA from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 39% to Trump 46% to Johnson 6% to Stein 1%
- 10:45:20 Poll Added: Muhlenberg [3] in PA from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 47% to Trump 41% https://t.co/aAr67os4vc
- 10:47:20 Poll Added: Muhlenberg w/Leans [3] in PA from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 48% to Trump 42% https://t.co/Uzy54Ix3dk
- 10:48:45 Poll Added: Muhlenberg w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% https://t.co/0Bb5CBoBOX
- 10:48:50 Full 4P results: Muhlenberg w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
- 10:54:59 Made minor adjustment to Landmark GA poll based on better source. GA avg moved from Trump+2.6% to Trump+2.7%.
- 11:31:21 Another round of poll updates complete. All 50 states and DC. Blog post on @ElectionGraphs soon.
- 13:33:33 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 13:33:23 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Trump Surge Sputtering Out? https://t.co/XdimVPgOEb
- 18:16:01 Starting another round of poll entry. Maybe I can complete this one in less than 24 hours. Not as many new Sunday polls as I expected. :-)
- 18:19:26 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in FL from 2016-11-02 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 45% to Trump 45% https://t.co/kXLFIWEIWO
- 18:19:31 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in FL from 2016-11-02 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 45% to Trump 45% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
- 18:24:40 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in OH from 2016-11-02 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 45% to Trump 46% https://t.co/iP44GQpmhq
- 18:24:45 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in OH from 2016-11-02 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 45% to Trump 46% to Johnson 3% to Stein 2%
- 18:28:58 Poll Added: Columbus Dispatch in OH from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-05 – Clinton 48% to Trump 47% https://t.co/Km7XBnmeeM
- 18:36:21 Poll Added: Siena w/4P in NY from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 51% to Trump 34% https://t.co/nQNzd4Up5B
- 18:36:26 Full 4P results: Siena w/4P in NY from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 51% to Trump 34% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
- 22:39:14 Retweeted @V3CK3R 21:41:22 @ElecCollPolls If Trump needed a perfect Tuesday to to win, does the FBI's announcement make that even more unlikely or is it negligible?
- 22:40:04 .@V3CK3R I think fundamentally opinions on Clinton email have been baked for many months. My guess: this will make little to no difference. in reply to V3CK3R
- 22:41:46 .@V3CK3R Also, new events at this point will be very difficult to impossible to pick up in polling averages. Too late 2 reliably see a move. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 23:06:56 Retweeted @V3CK3R 23:04:13 @ElecCollPolls Even if the polls don't show it though, if she brings back roughly 10% of voters she lost from this,… https://t.co/L1zA4744bj in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 23:18:54 .@V3CK3R The recent Trump surge started before the letter. It probably let it continue longer. But letter didn't cause 10% swing. in reply to V3CK3R
- 23:20:43 .@V3CK3R In fact, if you look at the national poll view, it is hard to even tell there is any non-random movement: https://t.co/X8g0UstFD8 in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 23:23:06 .@V3CK3R PV margin Oct 28 was 5.8%. Today 5.1%. Small change in the end. Any damage already mostly gone prior to 2nd letter. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 23:23:15 Retweeted @V3CK3R 23:20:24 @ElecCollPolls I'm not suggesting it swung the totals 10%, I'm curious if she turns 10% of the voters she lost in t… https://t.co/aR7InFUNie in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 23:23:56 .@V3CK3R Ah. I think most already came back before 2nd letter. Some of remaining may after this. But ends up lost in the noise. in reply to V3CK3R
- 23:25:10 Retweeted @V3CK3R 23:24:30 @ElecCollPolls I didn't realize it was that small. Either way, Tuesday should be very interesting in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 23:25:25 .@V3CK3R Yes, it should be. :-) in reply to V3CK3R
- 23:57:09 Poll Added: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/wUgFgSkdmb
- 23:57:14 Full 4P results: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% to Johnson 7% to Stein 3%
- 23:59:20 Poll Added: Mitchell [2] in MI from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-03 – Clinton 50% to Trump 45% https://t.co/4IH3ZwvCGa
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