- 00:02:34 Poll Added: CVoter in MN from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.8% to Trump 47.0% https://t.co/1AmxYUIdLW
- 00:04:41 Poll Added: CVoter in MS from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 41.7% to Trump 54.6% https://t.co/xcPaDISdgh
- 00:07:27 Poll Added: CVoter in MO from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 43.6% to Trump 52.7% https://t.co/qvvZja1mh5
- 00:09:50 Poll Added: CVoter in MT from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 40.5% to Trump 54.9% https://t.co/EhydE6H7jH
- 00:12:33 Poll Added: CVoter in NE-All from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 37.9% to Trump 58.4% https://t.co/ZBDCAarVsP
- 00:44:11 Poll Added: CVoter in NV from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.8% to Trump 46.1% https://t.co/aGcRtKEW0y
- 00:46:38 Poll Added: CVoter in NH from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.5% to Trump 46.6% https://t.co/r67kINTeEx
- 01:06:52 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.6% in PA -> Clinton by 2.2% in NH https://t.co/ope6YPtXpL
- 01:09:24 Poll Added: CVoter in NJ from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 56.5% to Trump 40.3% https://t.co/R1S6CePZnC
- 01:11:51 Poll Added: CVoter in NM from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 50.3% to Trump 44.3% https://t.co/J52jlSdSKS
- 01:12:12 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NM has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/J52jlSdSKS
- 01:14:15 Poll Added: CVoter in NY from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 58.4% to Trump 38.0% https://t.co/HJ1pusmNoJ
- 01:17:01 Poll Added: CVoter in NC from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 48.2% to Trump 47.8% https://t.co/Oporp7Mdt4
- 01:18:42 Poll Added: CVoter in ND from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 36.5% to Trump 56.5% https://t.co/Am34nUws0w
- 01:21:04 Poll Added: CVoter in OH from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.5% to Trump 47.1% https://t.co/mrMlDB6tZZ
- 01:21:22 Clinton vs Trump state category change: OH has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/mrMlDAOT8r
- 01:48:07 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 285 to Trump 253 -> Clinton 303 to Trump 235 https://t.co/9KDfj8jlo4
- 02:25:26 Poll Added: CVoter in OK from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 33.3% to Trump 63.2% https://t.co/0aY447TNm4
- 02:27:08 Poll Added: CVoter in OR from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 50.4% to Trump 43.3% https://t.co/0XsdTba7Fh
- 02:27:28 Clinton vs Trump state category change: OR has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/0XsdTba7Fh
- 02:29:19 Poll Added: CVoter in PA from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 50.3% to Trump 45.6% https://t.co/oDR4pEeB0P
- 02:30:51 Poll Added: CVoter in RI from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 57.2% to Trump 39.7% https://t.co/QHLOJXY7CA
- 02:33:11 Poll Added: CVoter in SC from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 41.6% to Trump 54.0% https://t.co/S9AK4p8jDK
- 02:36:31 Poll Added: CVoter in SD from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 40.4% to Trump 55.9% https://t.co/GypCyOQi9Z
- 03:07:44 Poll Added: CVoter in TN from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 38.4% to Trump 56.8% https://t.co/RhsiujB8VW
- 03:09:25 Poll Added: CVoter in TX from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 40.7% to Trump 54.7% https://t.co/Avtz7lRbq3
- 03:11:56 Poll Added: CVoter in UT from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 28.7% to Trump 65.7% https://t.co/5LMhfXB1zG
- 03:12:14 Clinton vs Trump state category change: UT has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/5LMhfXB1zG
- 03:14:39 Poll Added: CVoter in VT from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 62.7% to Trump 33.8% https://t.co/xt6d1DCyQj
- 03:17:43 Poll Added: CVoter in VA from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.5% to Trump 46.2% https://t.co/i3PcTSiKmS
- 03:18:01 Clinton vs Trump state category change: VA has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/i3PcTSiKmS
- 03:47:25 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 248 to Trump 290 -> Clinton 235 to Trump 303 https://t.co/ktzmpXdNHh
- 03:49:10 Poll Added: CVoter in WA from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 52.5% to Trump 43.2% https://t.co/u9ElpWwMeo
- 03:53:24 Poll Added: CVoter in DC from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 80.7% to Trump 13.0% https://t.co/nuCRwup13T
- 03:55:23 Poll Added: CVoter in WV from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 35.8% to Trump 59.3% https://t.co/Fv9C0x1AY1
- 03:58:01 Poll Added: CVoter in WI from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 50.5% to Trump 46.3% https://t.co/8dnKoWyTA7
- 04:01:48 Poll Added: CVoter in WY from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 29.8% to Trump 65.4% https://t.co/eBJ0Y4nCyl
- 04:20:54 Poll Added: R&G w/4P in NE-CD2 from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 40% to Trump 44% https://t.co/2za7Ba4Z2J
- 04:20:59 Full 4P results: R&G w/4P in NE-CD2 from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 40% to Trump 44% to Johnson 8% to Stein 2%
- 04:21:25 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NE-CD2 has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/2za7Ba4Z2J
- 04:34:54 Poll Added: Docking w/4P in KS from 2016-09-01 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 39% to Trump 47% https://t.co/KOqbS4ac2L
- 04:34:59 Full 4P results: Docking w/4P in KS from 2016-09-01 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 39% to Trump 47% to Johnson 9% to Stein 1%
- 05:09:26 Poll Added: Monmouth w/4P in PA from 2016-10-29 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 44% https://t.co/4dDDz3DA9f
- 05:09:31 Full 4P results: Monmouth w/4P in PA from 2016-10-29 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 44% to Johnson 3% to Stein 1%
- 05:20:25 Poll Added: Crossley [2] in CO from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 42% to Trump 41% https://t.co/AamsErDa51
- 05:21:39 Poll Added: Crossley w/4P [2] in CO from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 39% to Trump 39% https://t.co/j3LQwbfHNN
- 05:21:44 Full 4P results: Crossley w/4P [2] in CO from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 39% to Trump 39% to Johnson 5% to Stein 4%
- 05:22:04 Clinton vs Trump state category change: CO has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/j3LQwbfHNN
- 06:32:39 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 235 to Trump 303 -> Clinton 226 to Trump 312 https://t.co/hpn9YOfli6
- 06:38:34 Poll Added: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% https://t.co/x5hMt6dmHX
- 06:38:39 Full 4P results: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% to Johnson 4% to Stein 3%
- 06:39:43 Poll Added: Mitchell [2] in MI from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 49% to Trump 44% https://t.co/QM7ggLpfLU
- 06:44:35 Poll Added: JMC w/3P in NV from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 45% to Trump 45% https://t.co/ipJViZRpcM
- 06:44:40 Full 3P results: JMC w/3P in NV from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 45% to Trump 45% to Johnson 4%
- 06:48:10 Poll Added: DFM w/4P in MO from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 38% to Trump 47% https://t.co/8yWeppnCK6
- 06:48:15 Full 4P results: DFM w/4P in MO from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 38% to Trump 47% to Johnson 3% to Stein 1%
- 06:51:25 Poll Added: Hampton in VA from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 41% to Trump 44% https://t.co/59ocssvu6m
- 06:55:25 Poll Added: Trafalgar w/4P in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 44.82% to Trump 48.68% https://t.co/9XP3JMu6lF
- 06:55:30 Full 4P results: Trafalgar w/4P in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 44.82% to Trump 48.68% to Johnson 2.17% to Stein 1.11%
- 06:58:29 Poll Added: Trafalgar w/4P in NC from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 44.16% to Trump 49.13% https://t.co/wKeNRkEh9z
- 06:58:34 Full 4P results: Trafalgar w/4P in NC from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 44.16% to Trump 49.13% to Johnson 3.59% to Stein 0.49%
- 17:17:27 Retweeted @V3CK3R 16:51:59 @ElecCollPolls Do you think this trend towards Trump will actually break through Clinton's firewall or could the polls top-out here?
- 17:23:48 .@V3CK3R My gut is we saw Trump’s ceiling in September. But we shall see. Right now he is behind… but with a possible path to a win. in reply to V3CK3R
- 17:31:16 Retweeted @kyle_sommer 17:27:54 @ElecCollPolls @V3CK3R the only hope trump has is if the polls are wrong. Like completely wrong (ex Regan) in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 17:32:30 .@kyle_sommer @V3CK3R Polling error is indeed one of Trump’s main hopes…. But polling wasn’t wrong in 1980: https://t.co/0cDNisglR0 in reply to kyle_sommer
- 17:34:11 Retweeted @V3CK3R 17:33:51 @ElecCollPolls @kyle_sommer How extreme could polling error really be, given the sheer volume of polls from multiple sources? in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 17:35:11 .@V3CK3R @kyle_sommer The odds of a systemic polling problem across enough pollsters to make a difference seems like it has to be very low. in reply to V3CK3R
- 17:37:38 .@V3CK3R @kyle_sommer But my tipping point is down to Clinton +2.2%. That's in zone things are uncertain. Thus my "bubble" includes T win. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 17:37:56 Retweeted @kyle_sommer 17:36:31 @ElecCollPolls @V3CK3R I would agree with this. It just seems incredibly unlikely. Maybe if the dems get too confident and don't turn out. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 17:38:00 Retweeted @V3CK3R 17:36:59 @ElecCollPolls @kyle_sommer If Trump had a ceiling before, how is threatening to break it now? Where is the new sup… https://t.co/5JZubeIJtR in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 17:38:49 .@V3CK3R @kyle_sommer It seems likely we have seen both the floor and ceiling over the past two months and we will end up somewhere between. in reply to V3CK3R
- 17:42:59 Retweeted @V3CK3R 17:42:39 @ElecCollPolls @kyle_sommer So what's his odds of actually pulling off this upset? Are you as generous to him as 538? in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 17:44:51 .@V3CK3R @kyle_sommer My model doesn't give odds, but my non-mathematical feeling as a poll watcher would put his odds at 5%-10% right now. in reply to V3CK3R
- 17:47:21 Retweeted @V3CK3R 17:47:00 @ElecCollPolls That's lower than I expected. I'm hoping you have a much better eye for this than I do<symbol> in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 17:50:39 .@V3CK3R Just 5 days left. I'm constantly updating now. New polls are coming out very quickly at this point. My view may change. :-) in reply to V3CK3R
- 19:12:13 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in MO from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 37% to Trump 50% https://t.co/B1nMIH3sza
- 19:12:18 Full 4P results: PPP w/4P in MO from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 37% to Trump 50% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
- 19:12:39 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/B1nMIH3sza
- 19:20:59 Poll Added: UArk in AR from 2016-10-18 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 36% to Trump 59% https://t.co/pXxrU1w9on
- 19:25:05 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 41% to Trump 42% https://t.co/GshIcdHiLD
- 19:25:10 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 41% to Trump 42% to Johnson 8% to Stein 3%
- 19:28:37 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in NM from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 39% to Trump 31% https://t.co/TxMHRyX4Bd
- 19:28:42 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in NM from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 39% to Trump 31% to Johnson 22% to Stein 2%
- 19:31:20 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in CO from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 44% to Trump 37% https://t.co/pgVWVfEZxo
- 19:31:25 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in CO from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 44% to Trump 37% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
- 19:31:47 Clinton vs Trump state category change: CO has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/pgVWVfEZxo
- 20:07:59 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 226 to Trump 312 -> Clinton 235 to Trump 303 https://t.co/YWifcnq0p8
- 20:36:54 Poll Added: Lucis w/4P in NV from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 45% to Trump 38% https://t.co/qaPKYVIH3S
- 20:36:59 Full 4P results: Lucis w/4P in NV from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 45% to Trump 38% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
- 20:57:50 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.2% in NH -> Clinton by 2.8% in PA https://t.co/e4YWdAO9Qm
- 21:00:42 Poll Added: UC Boulder w/4P in CO from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 44% to Trump 34% https://t.co/uUAtJUp6Qx
- 21:00:47 Full 4P results: UC Boulder w/4P in CO from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 44% to Trump 34% to Johnson 9% to Stein 4%
- 21:04:52 Poll Added: Remington w/4P in MO from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 39% to Trump 51% https://t.co/5Wuh3UzSZH
- 21:04:57 Full 4P results: Remington w/4P in MO from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 39% to Trump 51% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
- 21:05:17 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/5Wuh3UzSZH
- 21:12:01 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 46% to Trump 45% https://t.co/JWkdiNfDZ8
- 21:12:06 Full 4P results: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 46% to Trump 45% to Johnson 2% to Stein 2%
- 21:13:57 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 47% to Trump 45% https://t.co/lv7U53kmCc
- 21:17:31 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% https://t.co/r2hXfvcYGi
- 21:17:36 Full 3P results: Quinnipiac w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% to Johnson 3%
- 21:19:11 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in NC from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 46% https://t.co/HQJbnE7bHB
- 21:22:25 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 41% to Trump 46% https://t.co/YxoG1FyMnX
- 21:22:30 Full 4P results: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 41% to Trump 46% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
- 21:22:49 Clinton vs Trump state category change: OH has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/YxoG1FQnMx
- 21:24:07 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in OH from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 44% to Trump 47% https://t.co/HfMbVAbGPn
- 21:58:40 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 303 to Trump 235 -> Clinton 285 to Trump 253 https://t.co/ZIXN4tkMyE
- 22:01:34 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% https://t.co/ie29ucay5h
- 22:01:39 Full 4P results: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% to Johnson 3% to Stein 3%
- 22:02:40 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in PA from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 50% to Trump 44% https://t.co/L6lTWEHvWz
- 22:22:30 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.8% in PA -> Clinton by 2.8% in NV https://t.co/ktWcCBD3wF
- 22:26:30 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in LA from 2016-10-15 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 40% to Trump 43% https://t.co/gdvqxVDuzG
- 22:26:35 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in LA from 2016-10-15 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 40% to Trump 43% to Johnson 6% to Stein 4%
- 22:32:34 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 43.4% to Trump 47.0% https://t.co/fgVb8L4bM4
- 22:32:39 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 43.4% to Trump 47.0% to Johnson 2.3% to Stein 2.4%
- 22:35:50 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in CO from 2016-10-28 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 43.5% to Trump 41.2% https://t.co/cUAsK3jWph
- 22:35:55 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in CO from 2016-10-28 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 43.5% to Trump 41.2% to Johnson 7.8% to Stein 4.2%
- 22:38:39 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in MO from 2016-10-28 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 36.8% to Trump 52.2% https://t.co/UZ97zfFQil
- 22:38:44 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in MO from 2016-10-28 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 36.8% to Trump 52.2% to Johnson 4.8% to Stein 2.3%
- 22:39:03 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/UZ97zfFQil
- 22:41:27 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in GA from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 42.4% to Trump 50.9% https://t.co/E7Ftu4TFe7
- 22:41:32 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in GA from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 42.4% to Trump 50.9% to Johnson 1.5% to Stein 3.1%
- 22:41:51 Clinton vs Trump state category change: GA has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/E7Ftu4TFe7
- 23:02:39 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 374 to Trump 164 -> Clinton 358 to Trump 180 https://t.co/Z6d080qMid
- 23:08:01 Retweeted @democrat2theend 23:07:46 @ElecCollPolls Does this include the new Marist/NBC/WSJ poll that came out today? in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 23:11:07 .@democrat2theend Not yet. I'm adding data as fast as I can. :-) You can always see what is incl. on the state page: https://t.co/9GpqaZhqKF in reply to democrat2theend
- 23:59:56 Poll Added: CNN RV w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 43% to Trump 47% https://t.co/3UGdZSNhVq
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