This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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October 2016
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@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-01 (UTC)

  • 00:14:26 Poll Added: Rutgers w/4P [2] in NJ from 2016-09-06 to 2016-09-10 – Clinton 50% to Trump 29% https://t.co/5trXEoguHN
  • 00:14:31 Full 4P results: Rutgers w/4P [2] in NJ from 2016-09-06 to 2016-09-10 – Clinton 50% to Trump 29% to Johnson 6% to Stein 4%
  • 00:16:00 Poll Added: Rutgers [2] in NJ from 2016-09-06 to 2016-09-10 – Clinton 59% to Trump 35% https://t.co/ADmJfRKVpy
  • 00:20:01 Poll Added: Mason-Dixon w/4P in FL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% https://t.co/PRtRpXMgUL
  • 00:20:06 Full 4P results: Mason-Dixon w/4P in FL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% to Johnson 7% to Stein 1%
  • 00:20:17 Clinton vs Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/PRtRpXuFwb
  • 00:40:26 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 272 to Trump 266 -> Clinton 301 to Trump 237 https://t.co/MfgMiisweZ
  • 00:43:31 Poll Added: Opinion Savvy w/4P in FL from 2016-09-28 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 46.6% to Trump 46.3% https://t.co/ezwDUIo3KA
  • 00:43:36 Full 4P results: Opinion Savvy w/4P in FL from 2016-09-28 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 46.6% to Trump 46.3% to Johnson 3.9% to Stein 1.7%
  • 00:43:47 Clinton vs Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/ezwDUIo3KA
  • 00:55:23 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 301 to Trump 237 -> Clinton 272 to Trump 266 https://t.co/0LhEXqUucq
  • 01:02:44 Poll Added: Suffolk w/3P [2] in NV from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 44.20% to Trump 38.20% https://t.co/WEfOi6JhMX
  • 01:02:49 Full 3P results: Suffolk w/3P [2] in NV from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 44.20% to Trump 38.20% to Johnson 6.60%
  • 01:04:51 In that last Suffolk NV poll Castle also got 1.00% and DeLaFuente got 0.60%.
  • 01:06:56 Poll Added: Suffolk [2] in NV from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 36.59% to Trump 31.71% https://t.co/3q8Dn6Y6vo
  • 01:22:19 Poll Added: Detroit News w/4P in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-28 – Clinton 42% to Trump 35% https://t.co/zdc4zbzRUx
  • 01:22:24 Full 4P results: Detroit News w/4P in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-28 – Clinton 42% to Trump 35% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
  • 01:27:45 Poll Added: WBUR w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 41% to Trump 32% https://t.co/SmKbmazhJ9
  • 01:27:50 Full 4P results: WBUR w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 41% to Trump 32% to Johnson 12% to Stein 3%
  • 01:29:16 Poll Added: WBUR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 42% to Trump 35% https://t.co/pHMPFbAwPp
  • 01:29:21 Full 4P results: WBUR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 42% to Trump 35% to Johnson 13% to Stein 4%
  • 01:31:45 Poll Added: WBUR [3] in NH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 47% to Trump 38% https://t.co/RNTDc5yGW0
  • 01:40:26 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 1.3% in NH -> Clinton by 2.1% in NH https://t.co/7gBoAJLLLy
  • 01:47:56 Poll Added: SurveyUSA w/4P in CA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-28 – Clinton 59% to Trump 33% https://t.co/W5DnLRUxQa
  • 01:48:01 Full 4P results: SurveyUSA w/4P in CA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-28 – Clinton 59% to Trump 33% to Johnson 3% to Stein 2%
  • 01:55:22 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.1% in NH -> Clinton by 2.1% in CO https://t.co/FqkxdUioVx
  • 02:00:25 Poll Added: MIRS-GCSI w/4P in MI from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-24 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/oVVYIUaxnO
  • 02:00:30 Full 4P results: MIRS-GCSI w/4P in MI from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-24 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% to Johnson 8% to Stein 1%
  • 02:00:41 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MI has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/oVVYIUaxnO
  • 02:25:26 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 223 to Trump 315 -> Clinton 239 to Trump 299 https://t.co/iCc2vXbhDk
  • 16:51:48 Poll Added: GBA w/4P [2] in NH from 2016-09-25 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 43% to Trump 37% https://t.co/vVnRE0Xmo2
  • 16:51:54 Full 4P results: GBA w/4P [2] in NH from 2016-09-25 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 43% to Trump 37% to Johnson 11% to Stein 4%
  • 16:53:22 Poll Added: GBA [2] in NH from 2016-09-25 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 46% to Trump 40% https://t.co/vMGrFF7fNX
  • 17:04:19 The next set of results are additional information from a better source on a UMass MA poll I originally added on the 27th.
  • 17:09:35 Poll Added: UMass LV w/Lean w/4P [4] in MA from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 47% to Trump 34% https://t.co/jadgyvCMRk
  • 17:09:40 Full 4P results: UMass LV w/Lean w/4P [4] in MA from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 47% to Trump 34% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
  • 17:12:30 Poll Added: UMass RV w/4P [4] in MA from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 42% to Trump 31% https://t.co/x1FjcaWVXH
  • 17:12:36 Full 4P results: UMass RV w/4P [4] in MA from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 42% to Trump 31% to Johnson 9% to Stein 2%
  • 17:14:32 Poll Added: UMass Rv w/Lean w/4P [4] in MA from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 44% to Trump 33% https://t.co/DONV1yNWMt
  • 17:14:37 Full 4P results: UMass Rv w/Lean w/4P [4] in MA from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 44% to Trump 33% to Johnson 10% to Stein 3%
  • 17:52:38 Next item is adding 2 way result to 4 way Detroit News MI poll I added last night.
  • 17:53:38 Poll Added: Detroit News [2] in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-28 – Clinton 46% to Trump 39% https://t.co/RttvCqO2bD
  • 18:47:45 Another round of data entry done. Polls added in NJ/FL/NV/MI/NH/CA/MA. Notable change in MI and Tipping Point. @ElectionGraphs post later.

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