This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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September 2016
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@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-09-25 (UTC)

  • 02:34:39 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 35.60% to Trump 36.19% https://t.co/QqP3qDpgOw
  • 02:34:45 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 35.60% to Trump 36.19% to Johnson 5.48%
  • 02:39:43 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.14% to Trump 29.76% https://t.co/KdHmQkyQ2Q
  • 02:39:48 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.14% to Trump 29.76% to Johnson 17.90%
  • 02:40:02 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NM has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/KdHmQkyQ2Q
  • 02:54:12 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 0.8 in NM -> Clinton by 0.1 in KS https://t.co/lyZIv8GQxx
  • 02:54:13 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 278 to Trump 260 -> Clinton 273 to Trump 265 https://t.co/lyZIv8GQxx
  • 03:04:44 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 32.23% to Trump 33.54% https://t.co/9TiErrtNaj
  • 03:04:49 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 32.23% to Trump 33.54% to Johnson 15.06%
  • 03:17:06 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 41.56% to Trump 28.23% https://t.co/noeC7NWY3h
  • 03:17:11 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 41.56% to Trump 28.23% to Johnson 6.76%
  • 05:19:46 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.76% to Trump 32.71% https://t.co/jX5kqhinzT
  • 05:19:51 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.76% to Trump 32.71% to Johnson 7.79%
  • 05:25:30 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 27.82% to Trump 44.20% https://t.co/UVY7QUWdfp
  • 05:25:35 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 27.82% to Trump 44.20% to Johnson 8.45%
  • 05:55:48 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40.19% to Trump 28.11% https://t.co/C4mGGTMTCX
  • 05:55:53 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40.19% to Trump 28.11% to Johnson 7.93%
  • 06:01:38 Poll Added: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 34.81% to Trump 36.05% https://t.co/lRQ6ICvBZS
  • 06:01:43 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 34.81% to Trump 36.05% to Johnson 7.56%
  • 18:09:06 Poll Added: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 46.40% to Trump 30.90% https://t.co/DVPdKlLx8y
  • 18:09:11 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 46.40% to Trump 30.90% to Johnson 8.84%
  • 18:16:19 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.23% to Trump 40.95% https://t.co/8A8ZHLs8Ov
  • 18:16:24 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.23% to Trump 40.95% to Johnson 7.28%
  • 18:24:19 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 31.03% to Trump 30.11% https://t.co/jWJggE2w5l
  • 18:24:24 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 31.03% to Trump 30.11% to Johnson 13.38%
  • 18:32:33 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 28.63% to Trump 41.49% https://t.co/MdleB52MeU
  • 18:32:38 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 28.63% to Trump 41.49% to Johnson 9.14%
  • 18:40:11 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 28.94% to Trump 42.35% https://t.co/obkqHjbWX6
  • 18:40:16 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 28.94% to Trump 42.35% to Johnson 7.62%
  • 18:46:23 Poll Added: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 27.93% to Trump 24.07% https://t.co/vcUI7G27bE
  • 18:46:28 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 27.93% to Trump 24.07% to Johnson 8.38%
  • 18:46:41 Clinton vs Trump state category change: UT has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/vcUI7G27bE
  • 18:55:03 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 36.26% to Trump 36.84% https://t.co/laE3AtODZg
  • 18:55:08 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 36.26% to Trump 36.84% to Johnson 7.64%
  • 19:01:07 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 43.99% to Trump 18.62% https://t.co/wMilBaw6pK
  • 19:01:12 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 43.99% to Trump 18.62% to Johnson 10.38%
  • 19:09:36 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 36.97% to Trump 28.20% https://t.co/LcbPUSYIY3
  • 19:09:41 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 36.97% to Trump 28.20% to Johnson 10.83%
  • 19:15:33 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 42.22% to Trump 24.49% https://t.co/D2RCcF0rWj
  • 19:15:38 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 42.22% to Trump 24.49% to Johnson 8.14%
  • 19:22:13 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 19.42% to Trump 35.52% https://t.co/4PV8AG3iZn
  • 19:22:18 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 19.42% to Trump 35.52% to Johnson 10.50%
  • 19:28:46 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.13% to Trump 45.26% https://t.co/KDFGK1cYpf
  • 19:28:51 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.13% to Trump 45.26% to Johnson 3.58%
  • 20:54:18 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in CO from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 40% to Trump 39% https://t.co/ltx8c058ml
  • 20:54:23 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in CO from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 40% to Trump 39% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
  • 20:57:49 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in VA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 45% to Trump 37% https://t.co/3Etyah3iLi
  • 20:57:54 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in VA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 45% to Trump 37% to Johnson 7% to Stein 1%
  • 21:00:15 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in MO from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 37% to Trump 46% https://t.co/oOXFmNsZWD
  • 21:00:20 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in MO from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 37% to Trump 46% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
  • 21:00:33 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/oOXFmNboy3
  • 21:08:21 Poll Added: UNH in ME-CD2 from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 34% to Trump 48% https://t.co/YJyY0Nd14q
  • 21:08:37 Clinton vs Trump state category change: ME-CD2 has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/YJyY0Nd14q
  • 21:19:51 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 374 to Trump 164 -> Clinton 363 to Trump 175 https://t.co/0AnjoTLmu9
  • 21:29:47 BTW, that should have been 2 separate changes. 374-164 to 364-174 for MO, then to 363-175 for ME-CD2. I went too fast and they combined. :-) in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 21:32:33 Poll Added: UNH in ME-CD1 from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 50% to Trump 28% https://t.co/VyfKbN2TfC
  • 21:37:56 Poll Added: UNH w/4P [2] in ME-All from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 36% https://t.co/JMEEqBsdPA
  • 21:38:01 Full 4P results: UNH w/4P [2] in ME-All from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 36% to Johnson 12% to Stein 3%
  • 21:39:53 Poll Added: UNH [2] in ME-All from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 42% to Trump 37% https://t.co/RiEBtjomaM
  • 21:46:16 Poll Added: Hinckley w/4P in UT from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 25% to Trump 34% https://t.co/ZkqANiNRpE
  • 21:46:21 Full 4P results: Hinckley w/4P in UT from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 25% to Trump 34% to Johnson 13% to Stein 1%
  • 21:46:49 Note the Hinckley Utah poll also included McMullin, who came in at 12%. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 21:52:40 Poll Added: Just Win w/3P in WV from 2016-09-08 to 2016-09-10 – Clinton 30% to Trump 57% https://t.co/vBfPJJBbQS
  • 21:52:45 Full 3P results: Just Win w/3P in WV from 2016-09-08 to 2016-09-10 – Clinton 30% to Trump 57% to Johnson 4%
  • 22:09:27 Poll Added: Muhlenberg [3] in PA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 44% to Trump 41% https://t.co/zBVhdErZDv
  • 22:10:48 Poll Added: Muhlenberg w/Lean [3] in PA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 44% to Trump 41% https://t.co/rYqBuiIuDN
  • 22:13:08 Poll Added: Muhlenberg w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 40% to Trump 38% https://t.co/lAoyE8GVKJ
  • 22:13:13 Full 4P results: Muhlenberg w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 40% to Trump 38% to Johnson 8% to Stein 3%
  • 22:17:56 Poll Added: JMC w/4P in GA from 2016-09-20 to 2016-09-22 – Clinton 38% to Trump 44% https://t.co/ecTnW76XLl
  • 22:18:01 Full 4P results: JMC w/4P in GA from 2016-09-20 to 2016-09-22 – Clinton 38% to Trump 44% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
  • 22:20:59 Poll Added: Landmark w/3P in GA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-22 – Clinton 42.9% to Trump 46.5% https://t.co/kgSAyZEXP6
  • 22:21:04 Full 3P results: Landmark w/3P in GA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-22 – Clinton 42.9% to Trump 46.5% to Johnson 5.7%
  • 23:11:30 Poll Added: GQR w/4P [3] in NC from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 41% to Trump 39% https://t.co/8rF2MkEnU4
  • 23:11:35 Full 4P results: GQR w/4P [3] in NC from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 41% to Trump 39% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
  • 23:12:10 Poll Added: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NC from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% https://t.co/i2bdrhzSPC
  • 23:12:15 Full 4P results: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NC from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
  • 23:14:25 Poll Added: GQR [3] in NC from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% https://t.co/vfYDl8wtQp
  • 23:18:17 Poll Added: GQR w/4P [3] in NV from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 42% to Trump 41% https://t.co/FN532GTnl5
  • 23:18:22 Full 4P results: GQR w/4P [3] in NV from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 42% to Trump 41% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 23:20:18 Poll Added: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NV from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 42% to Trump 42% https://t.co/5tLOL4I2fZ
  • 23:20:23 Full 4P results: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NV from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 42% to Trump 42% to Johnson 7% to Stein 3%
  • 23:21:58 Poll Added: GQR [3] in NV from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 49% to Trump 46% https://t.co/0OO3UU2JN1
  • 23:25:06 Poll Added: GQR w/4P [3] in OH from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 38% to Trump 39% https://t.co/IZ1MIshHjh
  • 23:25:11 Full 4P results: GQR w/4P [3] in OH from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 38% to Trump 39% to Johnson 10% to Stein 4%
  • 23:26:46 Poll Added: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in OH from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 39% to Trump 41% https://t.co/wnRn1FcOJx
  • 23:26:51 Full 4P results: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in OH from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 39% to Trump 41% to Johnson 11% to Stein 4%
  • 23:29:03 Poll Added: GQR [3] in OH from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 46% to Trump 46% https://t.co/DtAUiUp3w1
  • 23:32:12 Poll Added: GQR w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 45% to Trump 37% https://t.co/ecABISZgNt
  • 23:32:17 Full 4P results: GQR w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 45% to Trump 37% to Johnson 8% to Stein 3%
  • 23:33:53 Poll Added: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 46% to Trump 38% https://t.co/oZzUyHwfi6
  • 23:33:58 Full 4P results: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 46% to Trump 38% to Johnson 8% to Stein 3%
  • 23:35:48 Poll Added: GQR [3] in PA from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 51% to Trump 42% https://t.co/noOKL4yZ7o

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