- 22:28:37 Now that Johnson is officially the Libertarian nominee I will include polls listing him in my main 2 party analysis. https://t.co/3G9ubzNyRJ
- 22:30:01 For the moment, I still won’t include 4 way polls including Stein, as the Green party nomination won’t be official until early August. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:31:28 The analysis will remain a two party analysis though unless or until there are state level polls showing a 3rd party within 5% of the lead. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:32:41 Only at that point would my method of modeling give the possibility of the 3rd party getting electoral votes. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:34:15 If that became a real possibility, I’d have to restructure https://t.co/jhA43MycAP to allow for that. Until then, it assumes only D/R wins. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:35:32 The poll listings on https://t.co/jhA43MycAP will only show the D/R results. I’ll note in the poll name that 3Ps are included. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:37:14 I will continue to log full results for polls inc 3 & 4 candidates separately in case they ever end up being needed for a full 3P analysis. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:43:45 There were two 3-way polls with Johnson I already logged. I will fold them into my main 2-way listings shortly with “w/3P” in poll names. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:45:24 As mentioned, although there are six 4-way polls with Johnson & Stein so far, I won’t be folding them in unless/until Stein is official. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:48:06 Poll Added: PPP w/3P in NM from 2016-05-13 to 2016-05-14 – Clinton 41% to Trump 33% https://t.co/e12I1h2xCM
- 22:51:41 Poll Added: Gravis w/3P in VA from 2016-05-24 to 2016-05-24 – Clinton 44% to Trump 38% https://t.co/AgWOrrjs5P
- 22:54:56 That’s it for the polls with Johnson as 3rd party that didn’t also have Stein as a 4th party that I had already logged. No status changes.
- 23:12:54 Poll Added: Civitas w/3P in NC from 2016-05-21 to 2016-05-23 – Clinton 36% to Trump 39% https://t.co/eKT2rlNRoK
- 23:37:22 Poll Added: Clout in OR from 2016-05-10 to 2016-05-13 – Clinton 42.3% to Trump 44.4% https://t.co/0PZ1S4J1xA
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