- 00:02:24 Curnudgeon’s? That’s what I get for rushing to get that tweet in before 0 UTC. :-) Curmudgeon’s Corner of course. https://t.co/QTMTD0RAhc
- 00:04:23 Now that power is back at Election Graphs HQ and the podcast is out, next up are the billion or so polls that came out the last few days.
- 00:04:36 Thanks for your patience.
- 07:30:36 Poll Added: Morning Consult in NV from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 44% to Carson 41% https://t.co/N8eeEMMdi7
- 07:35:37 Poll Added: Morning Consult in NV from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 41% to Trump 44% https://t.co/G369o6eWPd
- 07:48:01 Poll Added: Morning Consult in NV from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 42% to Rubio 42% https://t.co/7XndCNKIuo
- 07:53:57 Poll Added: Morning Consult in NV from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 44% to Bush 38% https://t.co/ohybdAclrb
- 07:54:14 Clinton vs Bush state category change: NV has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/ohybdAclrb
- 08:07:19 Poll Added: Morning Consult in IA from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 40% to Carson 46% https://t.co/fcHDMfDkL5
- 08:07:32 Clinton vs Carson state category change: IA has moved from Weak Carson to Strong Carson https://t.co/fcHDMfDkL5
- 08:14:22 Poll Added: Morning Consult in IA from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 41% to Trump 40% https://t.co/Tet9HRFZsb
- 08:18:06 Clinton best case vs Carson has changed: Clinton 332 to Carson 206 -> Clinton 326 to Carson 212 https://t.co/iXqcIeHsom
- 08:26:36 Poll Added: Morning Consult in IA from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 40% to Rubio 43% https://t.co/4BAZAPNkZU
- 08:33:55 Poll Added: Morning Consult in IA from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 40% to Bush 41% https://t.co/xXKACMjYFt
- 08:46:40 Poll Added: Morning Consult in NH from 2015-11-06 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 43% to Carson 41% https://t.co/cvTLoFfpbq
- 08:51:39 Poll Added: Morning Consult in NH from 2015-11-06 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 45% to Trump 38% https://t.co/R1mX2qSxwV
- 08:56:33 Poll Added: Morning Consult in NH from 2015-11-06 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 42% to Rubio 40% https://t.co/95IR822tPn
- 09:02:16 Poll Added: Morning Consult in NH from 2015-11-06 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 42% to Bush 40% https://t.co/T67o5wsIFk
- 09:02:31 Clinton vs Bush state category change: NH has moved from Weak Bush to Weak Clinton https://t.co/T67o5wsIFk
- 09:15:59 Clinton vs Bush expected case changed: Clinton 293 to Bush 245 -> Clinton 297 to Bush 241 https://t.co/GXtmvGo5hH
- 09:24:09 Poll Added: Morning Consult in SC from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 37% to Carson 48% https://t.co/WsHtbJ8PjB
- 09:33:55 Poll Added: Morning Consult in SC from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 41% to Trump 44% https://t.co/NT1G1HpSTV
- 09:39:13 Poll Added: Morning Consult in SC from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 38% to Rubio 46% https://t.co/fJNm58wJSP
- 09:46:37 Poll Added: Morning Consult in SC from 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 39% to Bush 44% https://t.co/PiQMpJ6qiv
- 10:10:59 Poll Added: Fox News in NH from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-17 – Clinton 47% to Trump 40% https://t.co/WKuHeIdT1u
- 10:11:13 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NH has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/WKuHeIdT1u
- 10:12:50 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 214 to Trump 324 -> Clinton 218 to Trump 320 https://t.co/j0a2PC7sYK
- 10:29:37 Poll Added: Fox in NH from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-17 – Clinton 44% to Cruz 41% https://t.co/3XotUEBHkZ
- 10:35:27 Poll Added: Fox in NH from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-17 – Clinton 44% to Christie 43% https://t.co/JJnHIzQXnW
- 10:35:40 Clinton vs Christie state category change: NH has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/JJnHIzQXnW
- 10:41:50 Poll Added: Fox in NH from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-17 – Clinton 43% to Fiorina 43% https://t.co/IgrWbZNRms
- 10:48:09 Christie best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 284 to Christie 254 -> Clinton 280 to Christie 258 https://t.co/ytzkQhcMcU
- 10:50:15 Poll Added: Fox in NH from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-17 – Clinton 43% to Carson 45% https://t.co/IFdoPRdtGi
- 10:56:38 Poll Added: Fox in NH from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-17 – Clinton 42% to Bush 45% https://t.co/BsF4oVCEll
- 10:56:48 Clinton vs Bush state category change: NH has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Bush https://t.co/BsF4oVCEll
- 11:09:48 Clinton vs Bush expected case changed: Clinton 297 to Bush 241 -> Clinton 293 to Bush 245 https://t.co/fcKAG1cOvL
- 11:11:16 Poll Added: Fox in NH from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-17 – Clinton 40% to Kasich 43% https://t.co/UpCVdUKs06
- 11:15:27 Poll Added: Fox in NH from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-17 – Clinton 40% to Rubio 47% https://t.co/gA0cVPyeqY
- 11:59:47 Poll Added: FAU in FL from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 39.8% to Bush 44.4% https://t.co/vh6nPsRwMJ
- 13:27:47 Poll Added: FAU in FL from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 40.5% to Carson 50.2% https://t.co/sUxYFC4Uzt
- 13:28:05 Clinton vs Carson state category change: FL has moved from Weak Carson to Strong Carson https://t.co/sUxYFC4Uzt
- 13:32:03 Poll Added: FAU in FL from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 40.5% to Trump 49.2% https://t.co/2FiIj5TVIs
- 13:33:19 Clinton best case vs Carson has changed: Clinton 326 to Carson 212 -> Clinton 297 to Carson 241 https://t.co/hUGz0yMgdI
- 13:36:41 Poll Added: FAU in FL from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 43.0% to Rubio 50.2% https://t.co/4LbDlwaBnL
- 13:36:52 Clinton vs Rubio state category change: FL has moved from Strong Rubio to Weak Rubio https://t.co/4LbDlwaBnL
- 13:40:55 Poll Added: FAU in FL from 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-16 – Clinton 44.9% to Cruz 47.9% https://t.co/Cjhmv0rrcd
- 13:41:06 Clinton vs Cruz state category change: FL has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/Cjhmv0rrcd
- 13:46:26 Clinton best case vs Rubio has changed: Clinton 303 to Rubio 235 -> Clinton 332 to Rubio 206 https://t.co/q2G24ogGOc
- 13:49:31 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in CO from 2015-11-11 to 2015-11-15 – Clinton 38% to Carson 52% https://t.co/0gAC6KWhCU
- 13:54:02 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in CO from 2015-11-11 to 2015-11-15 – Clinton 37% to Trump 48% https://t.co/EW5TBrZD5L
- 13:59:18 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in CO from 2015-11-11 to 2015-11-15 – Clinton 36% to Rubio 52% https://t.co/dOOqrVAbPo
- 13:59:49 Clinton vs Cruz tipping point change: Clinton by 9.8 in PA -> Clinton by 8 in VA https://t.co/74lvB8hLFp
- 14:07:26 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in CO from 2015-11-11 to 2015-11-15 – Clinton 38% to Cruz 51% https://t.co/0zQ2ckOVZG
- 14:07:38 Clinton vs Cruz state category change: CO has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Cruz https://t.co/0zQ2ckxkB6
- 14:12:38 Clinton vs Rubio tipping point change: Rubio by 0.1 in CO -> Rubio by 2.6 in PA https://t.co/HQcitbbIL5
- 14:14:15 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in CO from 2015-11-11 to 2015-11-15 – Sanders 40% to Carson 52% https://t.co/AafgDZW0G4
- 14:22:25 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in CO from 2015-11-11 to 2015-11-15 – Sanders 44% to Trump 46% https://t.co/xbwqwVgppp
- 14:26:27 Clinton vs Cruz expected case changed: Clinton 332 to Cruz 206 -> Clinton 323 to Cruz 215 https://t.co/Yg3EHi8B3E
- 14:27:42 Sanders vs Carson tipping point change: Carson by 1.9 in IA -> Carson by 2 in OH https://t.co/GxKEX1GUjj
- 14:30:48 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in CO from 2015-11-11 to 2015-11-15 – Sanders 39% to Rubio 52% https://t.co/8gZj9UWZGv
- 14:40:01 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in CO from 2015-11-11 to 2015-11-15 – Sanders 42% to Cruz 49% https://t.co/2ZmDbpHD4d
- 14:53:03 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Clinton 41% to Bush 47% https://t.co/1ZqxXAU6Xi
- 15:02:53 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Sanders 35% to Bush 48% https://t.co/l7XmBRDp7o
- 15:10:19 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Clinton 39% to Carson 51% https://t.co/7VLujqt3N2
- 15:21:07 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Sanders 33% to Carson 51% https://t.co/HaUK3pE6zS
- 15:27:37 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Clinton 43% to Cruz 46% https://t.co/KaZkjjWq9w
- 15:31:49 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Sanders 35% to Cruz 45% https://t.co/aLkySTliKX
- 15:36:51 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Clinton 41% to Fiorina 45% https://t.co/9Hw0MUIRHy
- 15:40:47 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Clinton 43% to Huckabee 47% https://t.co/P7Nz0eyJEj
- 15:41:09 Clinton vs Huckabee state category change: SC has moved from Solid Huckabee to Strong Huckabee https://t.co/P7Nz0eyJEj
- 15:45:44 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Clinton 41% to Kasich 43% https://t.co/O3dufCTsw5
- 15:46:00 Clinton vs Kasich state category change: SC has moved from Solid Kasich to Strong Kasich https://t.co/O3dufDb3UF
- 15:50:34 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Clinton 42% to Rubio 47% https://t.co/ApO4DS02pT
- 15:50:52 Clinton vs Rubio state category change: SC has moved from Solid Rubio to Strong Rubio https://t.co/ApO4DS02pT
- 15:55:12 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Sanders 33% to Rubio 46% https://t.co/BcYTTFbLdz
- 15:59:54 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Clinton 42% to Trump 47% https://t.co/TtU6RjcvSH
- 16:00:27 Clinton vs Trump state category change: SC has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/TtU6RjcvSH
- 16:08:04 Poll Added: PPP in SC from 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-08 – Sanders 38% to Trump 48% https://t.co/1RXZtLKHXj
- 16:30:41 Poll Added: Roanoke in VA from 2015-11-09 to 2015-11-13 – Clinton 50% to Trump 36% https://t.co/sFUggMZTi9
- 16:35:08 Poll Added: Roanoke in VA from 2015-11-09 to 2015-11-13 – Clinton 46% to Bush 39% https://t.co/eMHh5RM34N
- 16:40:22 Poll Added: Roanoke in VA from 2015-11-09 to 2015-11-13 – Clinton 46% to Fiorina 39% https://t.co/1Pi0wG9a2p
- 16:45:28 Poll Added: Roanoke in VA from 2015-11-09 to 2015-11-13 – Clinton 45% to Rubio 41% https://t.co/NE6eDukUGk
- 16:49:37 Clinton vs Bush tipping point change: Clinton by 1.4 in MI -> Clinton by 2 in VA https://t.co/bq4pWZ86Hc
- 16:49:41 Poll Added: Roanoke in VA from 2015-11-09 to 2015-11-13 – Clinton 44% to Carson 44% https://t.co/gSo55gzZUW
- 16:49:56 Clinton vs Carson state category change: VA has moved from Weak Carson to Weak Clinton https://t.co/gSo55gzZUW
- 16:54:05 Poll Added: Roanoke in VA from 2015-11-09 to 2015-11-13 – Clinton 47% to Cruz 39% https://t.co/C85s1uUkkY
- 16:58:59 Clinton vs Carson tipping point change: Carson by 0 in VA -> Clinton by 1.6 in VA https://t.co/2RNa3L2Uq0
- 16:59:01 Clinton vs Carson expected case changed: Clinton 257 to Carson 281 -> Clinton 270 to Carson 268 https://t.co/2RNa3L2Uq0
- 17:05:23 Clinton vs Cruz tipping point change: Clinton by 8 in VA -> Clinton by 7.6 in VA https://t.co/wJ4sdU8ASJ
- 18:16:41 Poll Added: Marquette in WI from 2015-11-12 to 2015-11-15 – Clinton 44.2% to Carson 45.3% https://t.co/zoW0Eenmlh
- 18:22:05 Poll Added: Marquette in WI from 2015-11-12 to 2015-11-15 – Clinton 47.5% to Trump 38.3% https://t.co/yIM9MFGcYb
- 18:28:15 Poll Added: Marquette in WI from 2015-11-12 to 2015-11-15 – Clinton 43.7% to Rubio 45.2% https://t.co/LYG6wVbocW
- 18:28:29 Clinton vs Rubio state category change: WI has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/LYG6wVbocW
- 18:33:26 Poll Added: Marquette in WI from 2015-11-12 to 2015-11-15 – Sanders 47.1% to Carson 41.1% https://t.co/WiHQe7emle
- 18:40:10 Poll Added: Marquette in WI from 2015-11-12 to 2015-11-15 – Sanders 51.9% to Trump 35.3% https://t.co/C34IN16N0W
- 18:46:16 Poll Added: Marquette in WI from 2015-11-12 to 2015-11-15 – Sanders 46.0% to Rubio 41.9% https://t.co/mlEtCRmAMD
- 19:42:20 Finished catching up on polls. 62 new results added. NV, IA, NH, SC, FL, CO, VA and WI represented. Some changes of note. Blog post later.
- 19:45:31 Retweeted @TommyFunebo 13:34:12 More on the Trump landslide. https://t.co/31qqahlI16
- 19:48:06 .@TommyFunebo He is polling well in Florida against Clinton, but nationwide no landslide in polls right now. https://t.co/FfatJxjqj1 in reply to TommyFunebo
- 19:48:54 Retweeted @jstaggs362 14:03:08 @ElecCollPolls @Lying2yourselfe we the people de clare Trump the WINNER in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 19:52:27 .@jstaggs362 @Lying2yourselfe That was actually the very 1st Clinton vs Trump poll in CO, so take w/grain of salt until confirmed by others. in reply to jstaggs362
- 20:00:26 Retweeted @TommyFunebo 19:58:31 @ElecCollPolls Takes more pieces to the puzzle than ECP to assume landslide. But keep in mind that Romney gained 5 pct.point once GOP united in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 20:05:36 .@TommyFunebo Curr polls show Trump behind but within reach of win. Too soon 2b predictive of Nov tho. Big moves in either dir very possble. in reply to TommyFunebo
- 20:08:18 Retweeted @TommyFunebo 20:07:27 @ElecCollPolls Nothing is quite certain at this point, just remember how Herman Cain dropped out last time. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 20:11:23 .@TommyFunebo Yes, a year out polls ONLY tell you how things are right NOW. They only start to get reasonably predictive a few months out. in reply to TommyFunebo
- 22:07:40 Retweeted @TommyFunebo 20:22:15 @ElecCollPolls Last time Obama was ahead of Romney already a year in advance. Mittster only caught up a month before general, to no avail. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:11:03 .@TommyFunebo My 2012 analysis NEVER showed Romney ahead. Polls this far out CAN be right, they just often are not. https://t.co/msEwFl8puf in reply to TommyFunebo
- 22:25:20 .@TommyFunebo By “right” I mean predictive of the outcome. Horse race numbers still valuable as “where things stand now” even very far out. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:36:56 Retweeted @TommyFunebo 22:35:54 @ElecCollPolls RCP had Romney tied in October, 2012. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:40:09 .@TommyFunebo Several folks did. My own analysis showed him usually within reach & close in October but never ahead. https://t.co/msEwFl8puf in reply to TommyFunebo
- 22:45:10 Retweeted @TommyFunebo 22:43:01 @ElecCollPolls That said of a man with the charisma of a damp rag and appearance of a low grade bank clerk. This time: Trump. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 22:46:01 .@TommyFunebo Heh. Well, on this channel at least I will stick to just the numbers. We will see how things play out. in reply to TommyFunebo
- 23:27:47 Retweeted @TommyFunebo 23:05:25 @ElecCollPolls Keep up the good work! in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 23:28:11 .@TommyFunebo Thanks! I will try! in reply to TommyFunebo
- 23:29:08 Various things conspiring to keep me from making my self imposed deadline of 0 UTC for blog post about today’s poll updates. Soon though.
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