Abulsme.com: July 2019

@abulsme tweets from 2019-07-01 (UTC)

19:47:28 Retweeted @dylanotes 19:45:14 A reminder that whatever else they are, this administration is first and foremost utterly incompetent https://t.co/YQsKhuK7tb
21:31:34 RCP average now has 2/7 polls that are post-debate. You can already see some impact. It will be a bit until the average is 100% post-debate. Definitely seeing some movement thoughвЂ¦ Mainly Biden down, Harris up. https://t.co/EmejLi61t6 https://t.co/cpUmQJLZTN
22:35:30 Retweeted @RepDean 19:37:47 Just left the first CBP facility. The conditions are far worse than we ever could have imagined.15 women in their 50s- 60s sleeping in a small concrete cell, no running water. Weeks without showers. All of them separated from their families.
This is a human rights crisis.
22:38:28 Retweeted @AOC 18:32:50 Just left the 1st CBP facility.I see why CBP officers were being so physically &sexually threatening towards me.
Officers were keeping women in cells w/ no water & had told them to drink out of the toilets.

This was them on their GOOD behavior in front of members of Congress.
23:44:31 RCP now has 3/7 polls in the average from after the debate. Of the top five: Warren and Harris up, Biden and Buttigieg down, and Sanders basically flat. https://t.co/R0ZRVjVmOz https://t.co/40tslSBThy

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-07-01 (UTC)

22:52:32 Poll Added: Change Research in SC from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-14 – Biden 38.0% to Trump 54.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/hY0rtgqLRo
23:07:00 Poll Added: Change Research in SC from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-14 – Booker 32.0% to Trump 54.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/kW4ps74CgW
23:09:17 Poll Added: Change Research in SC from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-14 – Sanders 34.0% to Trump 54.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/kNLWvaJqEf
23:12:54 Poll Added: Change Research in SC from 2019-06-11 to 2019-06-14 – Harris 33.0% to Trump 54.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/qebOscneAc

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-30 (UTC)

00:26:16 Curmudgeon’s Corner: That Torch https://t.co/m5shhlLy9H https://t.co/oinNdPLahb
01:37:18 Retweeted @selectedwisdom 2019-06-29 20:42:13 As noted, don’t worry about Russia in 2020, worry about Americans. What could Russia do to Americans, that Americans aren’t already doing to Americans? https://t.co/bDphpah64v
02:56:38 Retweeted @KSoltisAnderson 02:44:45 tfw XKCD really gets you https://t.co/Q6fRZdUuQh https://t.co/zbSOKbhpPG
05:14:36 Liked on YouTube: The Portal Paradox https://t.co/63qfVqNejt
05:50:00 Joe, Joe, JoeвЂ¦ Sigh. <symbol> https://t.co/EwusBtIJb3
06:15:37 Retweeted @KevinMKruse 2019-06-29 15:14:20 If you’re shocked that Trump thinks “western-style liberalism” is a reference to California Democrats and “busing” is just about school buses in general, remember that he has repeatedly stated that stealth planes are literally invisible to the human eye. https://t.co/RjptGBnHDZ
07:00:27 So, Trump visited North Korea for a few seconds. He sure does have the flair for the dramatic moment. I’ll give him that. https://t.co/6GqxatnWnP
07:48:50 Retweeted @peterbakernyt 07:47:26 The meeting at the DMZ was cast as just a handshake greeting but the two leaders have now spent an hour together, mostly behind closed doors.
20:02:26 Retweeted @daveweigel 15:24:59 Your occasional reminder that, in theory, Democrats could win in 2020 by taking the Clinton 2016 voter and 2/3 of people who voted third party in 2016 — and not a single Trump voter. Trump’s base won’t be as static, but they don’t *need* Trump voters. https://t.co/qKayQzfDn0
20:03:13 Retweeted @mattyglesias 17:26:35 Back in 2007 or so, Obama once told a group of us bloggers that he sometimes reflected on the idea that if JFK had taken a bold stand against anti-miscegenation laws in 1960 there might have been no Civil Rights Act.

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-29 (UTC)

02:29:09 Guess who spiked her Wikipedia views on the second debate night? https://t.co/xW7avl3toh
02:29:35 Retweeted @adamslily 2019-06-28 02:28:54 Leading Google searches in America tonight https://t.co/sqf99I0pKk
02:34:18 Retweeted @mattyglesias 2019-06-28 11:50:42 Earlier this month a women came forward with a credible, corroborated account of Donald Trump raping her (not the first woman to level an assault charge against him) and across four hours of twenty Democratic candidates talking, it never came up.
05:55:50 Retweeted @AJentleson 02:24:09 The Biden campaign is a cynical bet that Dems will win in 2020 by being Trump-lite. It is the media’s obsession with вЂњeconomic anxietyвЂќ in campaign form. But on election day, the voters they’re targeting will choose Trump. We win by energizing our people, not by copying Trump. https://t.co/24CQoR5NJV
06:11:55 Retweeted @davidgura 2019-06-28 23:55:29 On @hardball, @HardballChris asks E. Jean Carroll about President Trump’s claim, that he “could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody and wouldn’t lose any voters.””I was basically shot in that dressing room,” Carroll says. “He did kill something in me.”
06:27:52 Retweeted @techreview 05:00:38 Code-breaking quantum computers are closer to reality than anyone suspected. https://t.co/lfpnYjO04Q
06:28:13 Retweeted @Unknwnstuntman 2019-06-28 10:01:25 Dear white liberals:Kamala Harris wasn’t mean to Joe Biden. She wasn’t aggressive with Joe Biden. She wasn’t hostile to Joe Biden. You’re just unfamiliar with black people calling you on your bullshit particularly in matters of race. Get used to it.
Signed
A Black Man
13:23:52 Retweeted @seanhecht 03:43:05 Bret Stephens, truly saying the quiet part out loud this time. While conservatives of his specific type loudly protest that they’re as far as imaginable from white nationalism and the вЂњalt-right,вЂќ pieces like this one show why that’s not really true at all. /1 https://t.co/Wr0DKsR2K9
17:09:20 Retweeted @emptywheel 16:28:34 Reminder: The Never Trumpers lecturing about who is electable invested their hopes in Marco Rubio and Jeb! Bush.
17:54:41 Retweeted @SethCotlar 16:35:51 Never Trumpers: We realized in 2016 that we completely misunderstood the rank-and-file voters of the party we’d supported for decades. Mea Culpa.
Also Never Trumpers: You progressives who saw the Trumpist GOP coming for years don’t get how American politics works.
18:09:37 Retweeted @textfiles 18:06:03 https://t.co/IDjko8pqm0
21:19:44 @imbou That was the first night. in reply to imbou
21:21:39 I’m OK with this trade. https://t.co/jwKylNGeQg
22:30:14 Retweeted @CoryBooker 21:24:09 .@KamalaHarris doesn’t have shit to prove. https://t.co/OQm8wVub7W

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-28 (UTC)

00:55:42 Almost timeвЂ¦ #DemDebate
01:02:21 And here we goвЂ¦ #DemDebate
01:03:56 I’ll just say ditto on all my complaints from last night on the format. It sucks. Too many candidates. Too little time for each. #DemDebate
01:08:11 Three questions in, things already seem stronger than last night. #DemDebate
01:10:01 The crowd is more outspoken tonight than it was last night. #DemDebate
01:10:56 Gillibrand manages to jump in. #DemDebate
01:11:59 Bennet comes out of the gate being a goofball. #DemDebate
01:13:15 Much more bickering early on than last night. These folks are feisty. #DemDebate
01:15:42 Yang starts out being surprised by the question of how he would pay for UBI. Nice. #DemDebate
01:17:24 Yang actually did have a decent answer after he got the question. #DemDebate
01:18:21 Nice ding on Biden with his own words. #PassTheTorch #DemDebate
01:19:53 Kamala laughing at the other candidates bickering. Love it. #DemDebate
01:20:38 Kamala food fight line was excellent. #DemDebate
01:21:39 Kamala hits it out of the park with her answer following the food fight quip too. #DemDebate
01:22:33 Warren was ill served by being with all the lower tier candidates last night. This is the real debate. #DemDebate
01:24:52 The level of debate today is significantly higher than yesterday so far. #DemDebate
01:25:52 Yesterday’s debate spiked Wikipedia views for Gabbard. https://t.co/Cy5X5lIfuy
01:26:47 I keep being struck by the difference between yesterday and today. Today feels like a real debate. #DemDebate
01:28:53 This is my first time hearing Williamson speak about anything. She’s actually holding her own so far. #DemDebate
01:31:35 Kamala wins a talk-off with one of the sub 1% people. #DemDebate
01:33:12 10/10 say their government healthcare plans would cover undocumented immigrants. #DemDebate
01:39:51 Kamala kicking ass so far. I liked her anyway, so I’m biased. But I think she is having the strongest showing so far tonight. #DemDebate
01:42:10 Retweeted @Helflower 01:41:07 @abulsme @djrothkopf Her timing is perfect, and she wins while benefiting the whole team. in reply to abulsme
01:42:15 Retweeted @rob96006763 01:41:18 @abulsme @djrothkopf No doubt about. Rooting for a strong Bernie show but Kamala has been the star for sure in reply to abulsme
01:46:28 Biden and Sanders both seemingly mostly fading in the background to the others. Almost everybody else is making a stronger impression. This is notable. #DemDebate
01:48:46 вЂњShould not be the focusвЂќ, but Biden can’t just say вЂњNoвЂќ on if someone without documents but no other crimes should be deported. Weak. #DemDebate
01:50:08 Retweeted @basketballmygod 01:43:02 Can you imagine her debating Trump? I would pay to watch that https://t.co/u7NZ4quypo
01:52:44 Most memorable so far: #1) Harris, #2) Buttigieg, #3) Gillibrand. The rest are not making a big impact here and seem rather generic. #DemDebate
01:54:20 Yang gets to talk again. #DemDebate
01:55:04 Retweeted @cbcatch 01:53:40 @abulsme She’s awesome. Biden also did well. Mayor Pete was a big surprise and I had pretty high expectations. But Kamala is killing it. in reply to abulsme
01:57:26 Retweeted @jhale300 01:55:43 @abulsme @MalcolmNance A Kamala/Pete ticket would be awesome. in reply to abulsme
01:59:07 Retweeted @shelleyaw123 01:58:05 @abulsme @RepSwalwell may not come out of this debate on top but his call to #PasstheTorch deserves a meme. in reply to abulsme
02:00:41 Oh no. Chuck Todd again. Sigh. #DemDebate
02:01:23 Please more Maddow, less Todd. Last night Todd talked way too much. #DemDebate
02:04:23 My connection keeps buffering. Frustrated. #DemDebate
02:05:26 Harris directs a comment straight to Biden about the segregationist Senators. #DemDebate
02:05:58 Biden looks like he took a heavy punch from Harris bringing up bussing. #DemDebate
02:07:28 Biden’s response is muddled. #DemDebate
02:08:22 Biden loses by even getting into this bussing debate at all, let alone trying to defend his old position. Kamala is stopping Biden. #DemDebate
02:08:52 Retweeted @politicsluo 02:08:46 Damn Harris took Biden to town
02:09:20 Biden in super defensive mode is not a good look. Kamala crushed him. #DemDebate
02:10:07 Retweeted @JessicaValenti 02:08:45 Biden is unable to apologize. For anything. She is *murdering* him. #DemDebate
02:10:16 Retweeted @mattgaetz 02:08:44 Did Biden just call the clock on himself cause he lost his train of thought? #DemDebate
02:10:24 Retweeted @ezraklein 02:08:42 Biden arguing he was for states rights on busing is not the best look.
02:10:32 Retweeted @FrankLuntz 02:08:42 Hell of an exchange on race between Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.If Kamala Harris becomes president, it will be because of this moment. #DemDebate in reply to FrankLuntz
02:10:45 Retweeted @jaclynf 02:08:28 Biden still yelling вЂњIt’s just a flesh wound!вЂќ after being torn limb from racist limb by Kamala Harris. #DemDebate
02:10:52 Retweeted @dbernstein 02:08:38 Joe Biden up here basically insisting that the federal government should have stayed out of school integration.
02:11:00 Retweeted @ClaraJeffery 02:08:11 Harris did not come to play.
02:11:17 Retweeted @lynnv378 02:08:36 She took it to Biden there. And cross examined him. She did that. She did that.
02:11:43 Retweeted @MikeDrucker 02:07:51 Kamala is going to have to prosecute herself for murdering Biden
02:11:52 Retweeted @RalstonReports 02:08:33 This is something.Not good for Biden.
And Harris going after him will be played over and over again in the next few days.
02:11:55 Retweeted @EricMGarcia 02:08:33 Did Biden just stop himself from talking? that’s got to be unprecedented. #DemDebate
02:12:53 Sorry, missed the last couple of questions, still replaying Harris crushing Biden in my head. #DemDebate
02:14:04 Biden 100% in defensive angry mode now. He is in a tailspin. Needs to get it together. #DemDebate
02:14:25 Biden is now a seething mass of rage. #DemDebate
02:16:41 OK, now that Biden has been knocked down a few pegs, time for someone to go for Sanders. #DemDebate
02:17:52 Sanders not answering the question at all. #DemDebate
02:20:33 Biden staring into the distance. He knows he got schooled. #DemDebate
02:25:47 Biden flubs 2020 vs 2030. Easy mistake, but he is clearly a little flustered still. #DemDebate
02:26:35 Biden keeps showing up in background shots looking defeated. Like he wants to cry. #DemDebate
02:26:46 Pass the Torch! #DemDebate
02:27:23 I heard the Moon was part of Mars. #DemDebate
02:29:25 Sanders rejects the premise. Boo! #DemDebate
02:38:17 Stupid MSNBC live stream kept repeating the ad and didn’t come back from break on its own. When it seemed like it had gone on way too long I had to stop and start the stream to get back to the debate. Not sure how much I missed. Boo! And still more buffering. Unhappy. #DemDebate
02:42:44 They are still letting Chuck Todd talk way too much and not giving enough to Maddow. Bad MSNBC. Bad. #DemDebate
02:50:44 Closing statements already. This debate seemed to go by much faster than yesterday’s. #DemDebate
02:53:05 Retweeted @CillizzaCNN 02:52:29 This about sums up his night https://t.co/9I304tHwTT
02:53:42 Retweeted @joshtpm 02:20:30 Harris’s refusal to stop talking until she’s done talking sends at least as powerful a message as her actual words.
02:53:52 Retweeted @ComfortablySmug 02:53:34 No one up there is making eye contact with Kamala lmaoooooIt was a fucking prison yard beat down. She has them all fucking shook. Biden is going to have to hold her pocket when she walks around lmaooooo
02:54:18 Retweeted @Olivianuzzi 02:35:54 According to Biden’s staff, he isn’t listening to his debate prep and he’s вЂњset in his ways,вЂќ the source close to the campaign tells me. in reply to Olivianuzzi
02:54:40 Yang is still here? #DemDebate
02:59:08 Winners: Kamala, Kamala, and Kamala. She won hands down. OK, and maybe runner up awards for Buttigieg and Gillibrand.Losers: Biden, Biden, Biden, and Sanders too. They were both sidelined, but Biden was stomped badly by Harris.
Entirely forgettable: All the rest.

#DemDebate
03:13:29 Retweeted @ClistonBrown 03:12:40 When Kamala broke out that food fight line, I had two thoughts:1) She came to play tonight.
2) Everybody else on stage shut up and let her talk. She commanded respect.
03:20:19 I don’t think this scenario is likely. But it is not impossible. And yes, heads would explode. https://t.co/vGC9YrbEPm
03:21:38 Retweeted @dbernstein 03:11:54 Re-watching The Exchange, it’s especially harsh how, after Harris spoke emotionally about her experience, Biden didn’t give any empathetic acknowledgment, but started by calling her wrong, and then took that вЂI didn’t become a prosecutor’ shot at her.
03:22:33 Retweeted @Naseeoh 03:09:51 Most crucial moment of the night: Biden’s utter inability to respond to a vulnerability *everyone* knew was coming. https://t.co/f87RQHGfZr
03:23:55 Boom https://t.co/qMnCTd7rrO
03:25:34 Retweeted @kasie 01:31:00 Just saying that every woman watching this debate knows what it’s like to have a bunch of dudes try to talk over her
03:26:27 Retweeted @DavMicRot 03:11:04 @NateSilver538 It is not just about whether or not the polls react to Biden’s performance, results of debates will trickle slowly to voters, but Biden proved himself unprepared, over-matched, and unable to defend either his record or policies which will serve him poorly for the next X months. in reply to NateSilver538
03:51:50 Retweeted @WajahatAli 03:23:11 America should be proud that two women, in my opinion at least, have emerged as the winners of the first #DemDebates. Warren and Harris are both smart, experienced candidates who have more Presidential talent and ability in their pinkie than Trump’s entire vulgar body.
03:51:56 Retweeted @UweBollocks 02:17:35 @StuPolitics Biden should smile more in reply to StuPolitics
03:55:02 Retweeted @NateSilver538 03:07:19 I pretty much agree with the conventional wisdom (Harris great, Buttigieg good, Bernie meh, Biden bad) but Biden’s one of those candidates that the CW keeps guessing wrong about so let’s see the polling.
03:56:22 Retweeted @HaleighHoffman 02:27:39 This is the best moment of the night. Biden avoiding Bernie’s hand. #DemDebate2 https://t.co/owQV70Jxdy
03:56:34 Retweeted @aseitzwald 03:46:26 NEW: Kamala Harris crushed @IndivisibleTeam‘s flash poll of its members. n=4,500Harris – 65%
Buttigieg – 15%
Biden – 7%
Sanders – 7%
Gillibrand – 2%
Bennet – 1%
Swalwell – 1%
Williamson -1%
Yang – 1%
Hickenlooper – 0%

https://t.co/hrXUzOmMU8
04:00:13 Retweeted @JoyAnnReid 02:45:24 Oof. Thread. https://t.co/DjuJFcsHod
04:02:09 Retweeted @intelligencer 03:46:02 Debates don’t always have clear effects, but Thursday’s #DemDebate did: Kamala Harris is going to be propelled into the first tier of candidates. @jonathanchait writes https://t.co/h6jJqox6YN
04:10:32 Retweeted @WesleyLowery 03:45:59 kamala harris’ face just now when Chris Matthews declared вЂњethnicities. I don’t like the word race…ethnicities!вЂќ
04:23:09 Retweeted @MikeGravel 02:28:39 “What’s the one issue you’ll focus on as president?””Defeating Donald Trump.”
Joe Biden is an idiot.
04:57:10 Thread https://t.co/TA460IAMhP
05:01:52 Yes, debates on busing in the 70s were actually somewhat complex. But the only thing that survives through to 2019 is вЂњwait, you were against integration?вЂќ That’s why even having this issue mentioned is a blow to Biden, let alone trying to explain and defend his old position. https://t.co/1QgNIwdZrv
05:04:05 Retweeted @lynnv378 04:52:44 The true loser of tonight.His name is missing from all substantive discussions tonight.
Bernie Sanders.
05:05:32 <symbol> https://t.co/fd4uYz2zmK
07:06:10 Retweeted @WorldAffairsPro 06:34:09 Laughing and smiling, Trump gives Putin light-hearted warning: ‘Don’t meddle in the election please’ – smirking and wagging his finger at the Russian president https://t.co/zh4xKMhGJa via @cnn #g20
14:51:06 Retweeted @ClintSmithIII 13:01:44 Still sitting here thinking about that Biden response to Harris last night. It’s not hyperbole that the entire bedrock upon which Jim Crow stood, the entire premise upon which even slavery was grounded, was the idea that the rights of black people should be up to “local control.”
14:59:36 Retweeted @JFKucinich 01:23:58 The last two minutes in summary:
Swalwell: Biden, you are old. Gimmie the torch.
Biden: You try to take this torch from my cold dead hands.
Bernie: YELLING
[Everyone starts yelling]

Kamala Harris: I will take the torch, now. Thanks.

[silence]
15:13:16 Retweeted @DavidRutz 13:14:11 .@Timodc pointing out sharp contrast between Harris and Biden teams on display last night … Harris has photo on Twitter ready to go, coordinated with Biden attack. Biden’s team … leaks to reporters they’re all freaking out about how bad he did.
15:14:45 Retweeted @nataliesurely 15:03:13 A Facebook friend just asked why Medicare for All advocates want to abolish private insurance, instead of keeping it for people who want it. Here’s my basic answer: https://t.co/rDWbrHgHwo
15:15:24 Retweeted @chrislhayes 14:20:10 I’ve heard a bunch of people mention things like “so and so would lose 48 states” and I think that fundamentally misunderstands how deep structural polarization is. I’m pretty sure Andrew Yang and Marianne Williamson would both win at least 20 states.
15:16:34 Done. Recurring. https://t.co/MAycYjwUhV
15:31:41 вЂњRight now we’ve got two parties trying to make moderates homeless.вЂќ True. So pick a side. There is no longer a viable middle. -> Dems, Please Don’t Drive Me Away (David Brooks) https://t.co/ImINhE7DOQ
15:33:37 Retweeted @gtconway3d 12:20:54 Harris would annihilate Trump.
15:33:49 Retweeted @SusanPage 14:36:44 NEW: Former president Jimmy Carter says a full investigation вЂњwould show that Trump didn’t actually win the election in 2016вЂ¦.He was put into office because the Russians interfered.вЂќ Does that mean he’s an illegitimate president? вЂњBased on what I said, which I can’t retract.вЂќ https://t.co/Y3UFUBIIDy
15:35:25 Retweeted @RVAwonk 04:22:39 A lot of suspect accounts are pushing the вЂњKamala Harris is not BlackвЂќ narrative tonight. It’s everywhere and it has all the signs of being a coordinated/artificial operation. #DemDebate2 https://t.co/DTeB2qWJnm
18:48:59 Retweeted @DavidWright_CNN 18:25:17 Joe Biden offers fulsome defense of record on race (remarks in Chicago today): “I heard and I listened to and I respect Senator Harris. But, you know, we all know that 30 seconds to 60 seconds on a campaign debate exchange can’t do justice to a lifetime committed to Civil Rights” https://t.co/f5uMYUzry5
19:12:34 Retweeted @KoriWasinger 17:51:18 @msleen1970 Kamala Harris isn’t the reason Joe Biden lost the other three times he ran for president, either. Joe Biden is. in reply to msleen1970
19:14:11 Retweeted @dandrezner 16:31:24 I’m breaking my Twitter siesta again because of @ewarren‘s new State Department plan. I’ve been critical of her foreign policy writings and super-critical of her foreign economic policy program. Her ideas to rebuild State, however, are goddamn spectacular. https://t.co/a1oMvC2O69
19:42:19 I’ll wait a bit for poll averages to settle in a bit, but this is quite interesting anyway. -> https://t.co/80DiveZTIa
21:38:35 Retweeted @AoDespair 17:01:35 A year ago today, two of my friends вЂ” and three of their colleagues, all ethical and committed journalists вЂ” were all murdered in their newsroom for doing a job essential to the life of a republic. The President of the United States is a vicious, ignorant, fascistic cretin. https://t.co/R9mwwdWGzv
21:43:33 Retweeted @AustinJ 17:16:22 TIL that if you go North of the Arctic Circle in the summer and bring a MacBook with Night Shift set to be triggered by sunrise/sunset, the process will go into an infinite loop because the sun never sets… https://t.co/AmyrGmTvbx
21:51:23 Retweeted @TalbertSwan 00:47:34 If ONE white woman accused me of rape my career would be OVER.A white man accused of rape by TWENTY TWO women being able to run for a 2nd term as POTUS, with half the country still supporting him, is all you need to know about racism, white male patriarchy and white supremacy.
21:56:36 Retweeted @chrislhayes 14:50:18 We should just ditch this whole primary thing and just have a small panel of Never Trump Republicans solomonically decide which Democrat would make them most comfortable.
22:10:14 Retweeted @cmclymer 22:03:50 I could not disagree more with this. She made Biden look unprepared and unserious, and she did it while exuding competence, compassion, and righteous anger. She looked like a leader. https://t.co/X54WxYtgYM
22:13:55 Retweeted @AngryBlackLady 22:02:51 What is wrong with this guy. Honestly. He’s running for President in the 1980s. https://t.co/RWBMhOtTDH
22:54:40 Snort. https://t.co/t9upl3Uagl
23:01:00 Ha! https://t.co/j1Q6xlX7QL
23:17:30 Retweeted @jkarsh 23:17:02 The smartest thing for Biden’s camp to do would be to keep him away from all microphones until each debate. He’ll still lose the nomination, but his lead will last longer. https://t.co/TLcHbIDmaj
23:18:14 Retweeted @Anime_Now90 23:11:35 I like how @JoeBiden is proving @KamalaHarris point. https://t.co/nksYIS0rdF
23:41:28 Long way to go there. https://t.co/ZTdq1SmXVb

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-06-28 (UTC)

18:17:13 Just added a @GravisMarketing poll of Maine over at @ElecCollPolls. No notable change to the big picture, so no blog post this time. The general election polls I’d like most right now would be Iowa, Colorado, Ohio, Maine (but specifically CD2), and Arizona. <symbol>

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-28 (UTC)

17:53:02 Poll Added: Gravis in ME-All from 2019-06-24 to 2019-06-24 – Biden 54.0% to Trump 46.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/26Vmf3wwbj
17:55:26 Poll Added: Gravis in ME-All from 2019-06-24 to 2019-06-24 – Sanders 53.0% to Trump 47.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/8InnFssfPt
17:55:26 Sanders vs. Trump state category change: ME-All has moved from Strong Sanders to Solid Sanders #Election2020 https://t.co/8InnFssfPt
17:57:43 Poll Added: Gravis in ME-All from 2019-06-24 to 2019-06-24 – Warren 52.0% to Trump 48.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/M0AnlXpAXU
17:59:34 Poll Added: Gravis in ME-All from 2019-06-24 to 2019-06-24 – Harris 52.0% to Trump 48.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/6DDB1dqzvi
18:01:53 Poll Added: Gravis in ME-All from 2019-06-24 to 2019-06-24 – Buttigieg 51.0% to Trump 49.0% #Election2020 https://t.co/QMFEGkaas3

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-27 (UTC)

00:58:55 Ok. All settled in a debate watch party. All ready for the show. Let’s go!
01:03:10 As I mentioned on Curmudgeon’s Corner this last week, this debate format is nuts. Too many people. They should have made the cut a lot tighter. Most of these people should not even be on the stage. Sorry.
01:03:39 No intro statements. That is interesting, but makes sense given they have 10 people up there. Get right into it.
01:05:09 Beto looks like Lurch.
01:06:23 These lightning round style questions suck. Again, bad format. Too many questions. Not enough time for these people to talk.
01:06:50 Beto pulls out the Spanish!
01:07:42 Beto completely doesn’t answer the question though. :-/
01:10:49 Warren gets her second question because she was mentioned, before all the others get to talk. I presume this will happen a lot. #DemDebate
01:13:05 I’ve always wanted to do a debate transcript where I go and black out anything that isn’t a direct response to the question. In every single debate, it would be mostly black. #DemDebate
01:13:08 Retweeted @Carrasquillo 01:11:15 They’ve gone to Warren for a second time but others haven’t spoken once.The ghost of Ben Carson stirs.
01:15:11 Who is this Delaney guy again? #DemDebate
01:17:29 I don’t even know who this guy is. Oh. Ryan. OK. Still don’t know who he is. #DemDebate
01:20:18 2/10 for government run healthcare replacing employer-linked health insurance. Interesting.
01:22:51 So far Warren showing more passion than any of the others. Some of them have tried and looked fake. Warren looks real. #DemDebate
01:24:16 Ooo! First candidate going out of order to fight with another one! Fight! #DemDebate
01:28:09 I know the moderators are probably keeping track to keep it somewhat even, but Warren is definitely getting more time. #DemDebate
01:29:40 Klobuchar gets in a one liner to much applause! #DemDebate
01:30:30 Retweeted @SamWangPhD 01:02:58 The coming boomlet:Step 1: Start with obscure candidate X.
Step 2: X says something catchy.
Step 3: The press goes wild!
Step 4: X inches up in polls.
Step 5: More coverage & digging…and surprise! Something bad happens.
Step 6: X drops in the polls.

Time elapsed: 1-2 months. in reply to SamWangPhD
01:31:23 1/4 of the way through the first night now. #DemDebate
01:31:53 Booker always has a really funny look on his face when they first come to him. #DemDebate
01:33:06 I’ve never understood why people were excited about O’Rourke. This debate is not helping me with that. #DemDebate
01:36:15 Moderator using his super dramatic voice. #DemDebate
01:37:03 Castro: вЂњIt should piss us all off.вЂќ #DemDebate
01:38:03 Now Booker breaks out the Spanish. #DemDebate
01:39:56 Booker always looks so severe. #DemDebate
01:42:09 Castro and O’Rourke talking over each other. It is OK to take turns. #DemDebate
01:45:26 Missed a couple minutes, but sounds like they were talking all over each other again. #DemDebate
01:46:39 For any Spanish speakers watching this, does the candidate flipping to Spanish for part of an answer actually change how you think about them in any way? If so, it is positive or negative? Or does it depend on how well they can speak Spanish? #DemDebate
01:48:44 Retweeted @authorlmendez 01:47:33 I just end up testing how well they speak https://t.co/nkQ6pObLLy
01:52:16 Retweeted @jessicashortall 01:50:53 Yeah, it’s kind of pander-y. Partly because it’s very high level. Specific policy stuff is done in English. https://t.co/FcCsrYxqbl
01:52:58 Klobuchar gets in another one liner. On that metric at least, she is ahead. #DemDebate
01:55:31 A thought on the format again. I don’t feel like any of these candidates are really breaking through and leaving a memorable impression. Everyone gets lost in the noise of too many people on the stage to keep track of them all. #DemDebate
01:57:58 Retweeted @maxwelltani 01:38:05 admittedly none of the candidates have referenced the size of their penis during this debate yet https://t.co/jV0Rm9UadJ
01:58:32 Retweeted @PoliticalEmilia 01:58:18 Slowly losing more and more respect for candidates who refuse to answer the question.
I’m tired of this. If you’re running to be the President of the United States, you should know how to answer questions about policy. #DemocraticDebate
02:00:12 Moderator switch. Maddow is a good replacement. Todd is not. #DemDebate
02:00:57 Audio issues. Exciting. #DemDebate
02:02:08 Bad enough audio problems they take a break. Ouch. Some audio engineer is having a bad evening. #DemDebate
02:04:28 Retweeted @MileHighBrendan 02:03:19 THANKS OBAMA https://t.co/7U2HDdlLJY
02:09:14 Warren’s answer about needing research on effective approaches to gun violence and treating it as a public health issue sounds like a dodge initially, but it is actually a very reasonable answer. #DemDebate
02:14:47 I’m not sure Todd asking basically the same question to a bunch of these candidates, worded slightly different each time, actually adds much here. #DemDebate
02:17:03 People, people. Maddow was moving on from guns. Stop going back there. #DemDebate
02:18:22 The answer to if any SCOTUS justices nominated by a Democrat would be confirmed if the Republicans still control the Senate is no. Doesn’t matter who the Democrat is. #DemDebate
02:20:55 I’m ready for tomorrow’s debate already. Are we done yet? #DemDebate
02:22:23 This McConnell question is stupid in all its forms. The straightforward answer is вЂњMcConnell would block everything, we will figure out ways to work around him without new legislation and without SCOTUS.вЂќ #DemDebate
02:26:31 So far the only things I’ll remember from this: Warren was passionate and sounds like she knows what she is talking about. Klobuchar had some good one liners. Booker looks really serious. O’Rourke has always been overrated. Everybody else was completely forgettable. #DemDebate
02:27:10 This debate needs more Maddow and less Todd. #DemDebate
02:30:56 30 minutes to go. #DemDebate
02:37:36 Yup. Saw this too. Less than a second each time though. #DemDebate https://t.co/YH9G46jD2D
02:39:20 Tulsi breaks out. Hadn’t noticed her before really. She is passionate about this. #DemDebate
02:40:38 Gabbard wins this exchange hands down. #DemDebate
02:42:00 5 second lightning round answers are stupid. Future moderators, don’t do this in debates. #DemDebate
02:47:11 Chuck Todd just seems like a huge ass.
02:48:57 Retweeted @Blatherscribe 02:47:28 @abulsme I’m not sure Chuck Todd actually adds much anywhere. in reply to abulsme
02:49:02 Retweeted @imbou 02:01:20 @abulsme Chuck Todd is waste of natural resources in reply to abulsme
02:49:35 Retweeted @GoldyHA 02:49:11 John Delaney, amirite @Atrios? https://t.co/yvrMVjYbLE
02:50:00 Closing statements! Yay! #DemDebate
02:51:36 Retweeted @b_schaffner 02:47:26 Is there a threshold that moderators have to meet in order to make it into the next debate? If so, can we make sure Chuck Todd doesn’t get there?
02:53:08 I feel like not only did Todd not do a good job, but he kept Maddow from doing as good a job as she could have if he didn’t hog the time. #DemDebate
02:56:40 Was Biden even mentioned once? If so, I missed it. #DemDebate
02:56:54 A couple more short video cuts in the last few minutes. #DemDebate
02:58:54 Warren gets the final final statement. #DemDebate
03:02:18 Well, it is done. My summary is basically what I posted half an hour ago. Only notable thing in the last half hour is Gabbard jumping out with her strong вЂњout of AfghanistanвЂќ stand. That was also memorable. #DemDebate https://t.co/EGbW0pGo3j in reply to abulsme
03:06:01 @shelleyaw123 @JayInslee @TimRyan Yeah, he had a couple moments, but none that I still remember now that it is over. Lots of people said Warren would be helped by being with these people instead of tomorrow. i think my initial take was right, and she loses out by not being with the other big names. #DemDebate in reply to shelleyaw123
03:06:58 @shelleyaw123 @BetoORourke He has never impressed me at all, and tonight didn’t change that. I just don’t get the appeal. Maybe you can explain it to me. Do you think he helped himself tonight? #DemDebate in reply to shelleyaw123
03:18:33 Retweeted @shelleyaw123 03:14:41 @abulsme @BetoORourke As a Ind/Dem in Texas you can feel completely overwhelmed by the evangelical right. Like nothing you will ever do can break through that wall. His run against Cruz that came so close to breaking it down makes him a hero to many of us. But tonight he was off his game some. in reply to abulsme
03:28:17 Retweeted @FiveThirtyEight 03:23:38 Cory Booker spoke the most words tonight.
Beto O’Rourke was second.
Elizabeth Warren was third.
Chuck Todd, one of the debate’s moderators, spoke just 4 words less than Warren and more words than 7 of the candidates on stage.
https://t.co/01rAtNoxua https://t.co/JKixEyiHAb
04:12:28 Retweeted @jackmjenkins 03:38:10 Huh. Not sure if this is new or not: Booker just pledged not to take a VP slot if the Democratic nominee is a male.In that instance, he said it should be a woman.
04:24:24 Hmmm https://t.co/8RDiK6XktP
04:44:52 Retweeted @maximlott 02:39:36 Betting odds changes during #DemDebate:
@EWarren up .8%
@TulsiGabbard up .3%
@JulianCastro up .2%

@CoryBooker down .3%
Klobuchar down .2%

https://t.co/iGtLJjNHJN

#DemocraticDebate
05:42:27 Retweeted @marwilliamson 01:48:36 I need to learn Spanish by tomorrow night at 9.
05:51:30 @LauraInMadtown @amyklobuchar Interesting. I guess I missed it. What was the mention in reference to? in reply to LauraInMadtown
14:47:24 Retweeted @DavidCornDC 14:13:22 This means if you care about democracy, you will have to care about state legislative races and fight to elect state lawmakers who will create fair and reasonable districts to ensure truly proportional representation. Life just got harder. https://t.co/J0XXlQAqto
14:52:12 This one is getting less attention, butвЂ¦. this seems bad. https://t.co/eBKAhrNETf
14:55:19 Retweeted @MaxKennerly 14:32:33 Exactly. The gerrymandering will be inherently and intentionally racial, but lawsuits challenging it will get dismissed when the states argue plaintiffs can’t show racial intent вЂњpredominates” over partisan intent. See majority opinion, p. 23. https://t.co/NGWbA0WJef https://t.co/7s304mlag8
14:59:40 Retweeted @nycsouthpaw 14:37:38 This seems to be the nub of itвЂ”Roberts says it would be fine as a constitutional matter for, say, California to send only Democrats to Congress, shutting out the state’s millions of Republican voters entirely. https://t.co/Op5HtpJJuW https://t.co/9Eepl3C8UA
15:13:54 Sigh. https://t.co/a6zDZiQnOV
15:16:13 Retweeted @mcclure111 14:57:51 In other words, the citizenship-question ruling is because of the naked partisan intent. Not because it systematically disadvantages one party and systematically disempowers immigrant populations.If they come back with a slightly better prepared cover story it might be allowed https://t.co/poeC0pmBX9
15:20:54 Thread https://t.co/qPu883Kc8P
15:21:46 Retweeted @rudepundit 15:07:00 Mostly, today, let’s congratulate Mitch McConnell. The success of his completely dickish, unethical, but tragically legal blocking of Merrick Garlan’s nomination has paid off. Democrats should learn from this and figure out how to be even more dickish.
15:22:45 Retweeted @jasoncherkis 14:28:17 As these horrible Supreme Court rulings are announced вЂ” think about what Biden has been saying since he launched his campaign. Republicans will come to their senses once Trump is gone and Biden is in the White House. And see how utterly naive that is.
15:26:12 Retweeted @KevinMKruse 13:34:07 Just the chairman of the the president’s 2016 campaign making a perp walk, nothing to see here, carry on. https://t.co/4LVXWlhFxi
15:45:12 Thread https://t.co/wfczDOpXlJ
15:59:28 Retweeted @jdesmondharris 01:15:31 I find myself surprised that after all we’ve been through over the past few years, politicians still talk like politicians. I didn’t think there were still rules or standards. You’d think people would be starting their responses with “First of all, f*ck this”
16:00:44 Retweeted @zachdcarter 15:36:39 The Thomas/Gorsuch/Kavanaugh dissent is a declaration of madness. Who are we, Supreme Court Justices, to conclude that the administration has lied? All we have are these facts that conflict directly with what the administration told us! https://t.co/QShmAfKGsa
16:22:12 Retweeted @maximlott 16:15:06 As dust settles on last night night’s debate, the betting odds show no huge changes.But @EWarren gained a percent, and Castro doubled his odds from 0.3% to 0.7% (but he’s still below 1%.) Gabbard and Booker also rose.
O’Rourke and Klobuchar fell.

https://t.co/iGtLJjNHJN
16:27:14 Retweeted @fivefifths 14:44:39 Kagan’s dissent spells everything out https://t.co/koWYLcmTrz
17:51:17 Retweeted @ariehkovler 17:47:08 Today’s clause of the US Constitution Trump wants to ignore: Article I, Section 2, part 3 https://t.co/dptSU8LFGP
20:30:32 One way or another, basic information on evaluating sources of information, perhaps including things like this, needs to be a part of the standard elementary school curriculum. https://t.co/6CRaQzqozo
21:03:16 Retweeted @willsommer 17:38:32 White House official predicts Trump won’t be happy about the new Twitter rule that adds a disclaimer when his tweets break the rules: вЂњHe’s not going to like this.вЂќ https://t.co/xnx8OlD61t
21:30:54 Retweeted @bitchitshan 14:42:04 one of our team members handed in their notice like this <symbol><symbol><symbol> https://t.co/tqc9Hn6ODE

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-26 (UTC)

00:07:54 Retweeted @AJentleson 2019-06-25 23:37:27 What the hell, guys. This is what happens when you lose sight of right and wrong and starting conducting yourselves like the pundits and consultants you take your cues from. You are United States senators, for crying out loud. https://t.co/YTtnNDG5ww
00:12:13 Retweeted @AJentleson 00:01:20 E. Jean Carroll came forward and accused the President of rape and *Democratic* senators are saying it doesn’t matter. These people have to power to reach out and help her. Instead they dismiss her. Is there anyone on the Hill with an ounce of courage? https://t.co/WeAHM1IAbY in reply to AJentleson
00:23:46 Retweeted @AlysiaAbbott 2019-06-25 23:55:18 “There is a door in my head behind which I am screaming all the time.” Oh, @petridishes, you always come through.
https://t.co/cjE1NVJuMK
00:31:57 Retweeted @shelleyaw123 00:27:56 This doesn’t look like winning to me. https://t.co/jxW6M1Wfv8
02:01:30 Q for Mueller: вЂњGiven your experience as Special Counsel, what changes would you recommend Congress consider making to the Special Counsel Law to improve the process for future Special Counsels?вЂќ Would be very revealing if answered fully. @BarbMcQuade @MaddowBlog
02:15:16 I honestly expect Mueller to stick to his word and essentially not say anything other than things like вЂњthe answer to that is on page 136вЂќ, and therefore for the testimony to be rather underwhelming.
06:05:27 Retweeted @KamalaHarris 01:13:28 These families seeking asylum are often fleeing extreme violence. And what happens when they arrive? Trump says, ‘Go back to where you came from.’ That is inhumane. Children are dying. This is a stain on our moral conscience. https://t.co/NHly7QTiAq
12:58:38 Thread https://t.co/EtgE7aEKXO
15:36:12 Required reading on Biden. https://t.co/g82VdnpNrz
15:37:20 Retweeted @leedrutman 15:28:37 But what if one party’s electoral success is tied to making it harder to vote, and one party’s electoral success is tied to making it easier to vote? Quite a tricky puzzle to make reform totally nonpartisan. https://t.co/H3dZaGd3bC
15:38:36 Retweeted @scalzi 15:28:32 We live in a world where a children’s magazine has more and better moral standing than the President of the United States. Now, maybe this has always been the case and maybe not. But it’s certainly the case that now is a time that distinction is visible, and matters. https://t.co/5U8bICCnSA
17:17:54 Retweeted @JbKnockout 00:05:19 I can’t stop watching this https://t.co/Veb5IO0cGc
17:22:46 Retweeted @arishapiro 16:27:22 This is a tragicomic thread from a correspondent for The Economist covering Jared Kushner’s Bahrain summit. h/t @tanisNPR: https://t.co/TPqx6hqz3x
17:42:20 Retweeted @igorvolsky 16:55:37 NRA’s woes:- #2 resigned
– NRATV shut down
– NRA spox Loesch fired
– Longtime ad agency out
– Oliver North ousted
– Tax status under review
– Board member resign
– Calls for LaPierre’s to resign
– Senate investigating Russian ties
– Deep financial crisis

#ThoughtsAndPrayers
18:05:44 Retweeted @scottdetrow 17:11:14 Security person outside debate site just now : вЂњare you here to pick up press credentials?вЂќ
John Hickenlooper: вЂњ…I’m a candidateвЂќ
18:09:29 Retweeted @ThePlumLineGS 16:48:27 @DKarol @ezraklein Biden’s aides have explicitly told me that the Biden campaign is convinced that voters, including *Democratic primary* voters, actually *want* to hear this talk, which has a lot in common with Obama:https://t.co/hkfYRKY0ak https://t.co/sg92nOeWO9 in reply to DKarol
18:13:30 Retweeted @sahilchinoy 17:50:31 what if you could place political parties from around the world on the same scale? where would the democrats and republicans fall? turns out it’s a hard question! here’s my answer: https://t.co/DCysZNTymL https://t.co/AHUtc3HSVQ
21:28:51 Retweeted @countcarbon 2019-05-14 13:15:00 150 years ago we lived in a world of high fertility and high child mortality. The world has made a lot of progress since then https://t.co/LJUe5Pxz63

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-25 (UTC)

01:26:54 Ok. Watched about two or three minutes of it. That was about all I could take. Sorry folks, this won’t do the trick. https://t.co/5WDnLiqtsn
05:27:15 Retweeted @Noahpinion 04:48:01 Wow, this is some great polling data about people’s second and third choices for Democratic nominee, with some beautiful diagrams:
https://t.co/kJMVjEnwoI https://t.co/8Nj0Q2vneX
05:38:22 Retweeted @Mikel_Jollett 02:59:12 A cot in a tent city with a metal blanket, no toothpaste, no soap:$775 per day.
A SUITE at the Trump International Hotel, DC:

$757 per day.

Someone is making a KILLING torturing children. https://t.co/Gt8MYMjeJJ
05:40:11 Retweeted @normative 05:02:01 Yeah, I think the sentiment is (a) Accurate, probably on multiple grounds, and (b) Nevertheless not a view people in positions of political power should toss around cavalierly. https://t.co/AsWySNv3tU
06:00:08 Retweeted @qikipedia 02:00:00 An AI neural network that was programmed to generate kitten names gave suggestions including Buttwig, Romeo of Darkness and M. Tinklesby Linklater Soap. https://t.co/Q1SG9RmqiZ https://t.co/i1ZpHQadA4
18:35:59 Retweeted @davidfrum 17:36:04 You could close a lot of criminal investigations very fast that way. https://t.co/58SMuLgRb1
20:25:50 Retweeted @PollsAndVotes 20:21:52 Trump’s approval remains below previous presidents at this point, with the exception of Jimmy Carter. About 4 points below Obama and Clinton, less than a point below Reagan.Variation for Trump is much smaller than others.
Most rise in months before reelection year. Watch that. https://t.co/WPASZwJNU2
21:08:25 Retweeted @NickBaumann 17:32:05 SCOOP: @ewarren tells @RoqPlanas she’s joining @JulianCastro in calling for the decriminalization of migration. Lots more here: https://t.co/EeQ6GkRzdS
21:16:30 Heard this one before, but still a good oneвЂ¦ https://t.co/LsJLXAtsiF
21:26:04 The picture on this article is devastating. Unfortunately, many people don’t seem to care unless they see something directly. So pictures like this need to be seen widely. This is what these assholes are causing. And anybody who enables them. https://t.co/iCD5hAjB1c
22:32:07 Retweeted @ZerlinaMaxwell 21:18:13 This is a VERY VERY bad response by Democrats and they should reflect and try again https://t.co/H0NOHvnOj3
22:34:57 UmвЂ¦ https://t.co/vt5PToJ62E

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