Abulsme.com: June 2019

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-04 (UTC)

18:11:39 Poll Added: Emerson in NC from 2019-05-31 to 2019-06-03 – Biden 55.7% to Trump 44.3% #Election2020 https://t.co/T62pg0urRh
18:12:45 Biden vs Trump state category change: NC has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Biden #Election2020 https://t.co/mzC3y5zzS2
18:15:56 Biden vs Trump tipping point change: Biden by 0.3% in OH -> Biden by 1.9% in NC #Election2020 https://t.co/tLEnzWUQWJ
18:16:17 Biden vs Trump expected case changed: Biden 284 to Trump 254 -> Biden 299 to Trump 239 #Election2020 https://t.co/tLEnzWUQWJ
18:18:16 Poll Added: Emerson in NC from 2019-05-31 to 2019-06-03 – Sanders 53.8% to Trump 46.2% #Election2020 https://t.co/duUnuIX3jy
18:19:42 Poll Added: Emerson in NC from 2019-05-31 to 2019-06-03 – Buttigieg 52.1% to Trump 47.9% #Election2020 https://t.co/Me6JE5uFQn
18:20:43 Buttigieg vs Trump state category change: NC has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump #Election2020 https://t.co/mNK33DVoO9
18:21:06 Buttigieg best case vs Trump has changed: Buttigieg 332 to Trump 206 -> Buttigieg 347 to Trump 191 #Election2020 https://t.co/2NlQZwVrSs
18:22:28 Poll Added: Emerson in NC from 2019-05-31 to 2019-06-03 – Warren 50.3% to Trump 49.7% #Election2020 https://t.co/XNqCiiJlRw
18:25:07 Poll Added: Emerson in NC from 2019-05-31 to 2019-06-03 – Harris 48.8% to Trump 51.2% #Election2020 https://t.co/mEQnhz6Gzm

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-03 (UTC)

02:51:00 Retweeted @mattmfm 2019-06-01 14:48:00 How seriously does the rest of the world take Trump? Well, here’s how Sky News is advertising his UK state visit. Watch. https://t.co/wEa0EedoxJ
03:10:28 Retweeted @neeratanden 03:06:54 I hope Barack Obama just shows up places in the public eye every couple of weeks through the next election just to remind people what it was like to have a decent, intelligent, compassionate president. So they know we can have that again. https://t.co/bEeap5F0rG
06:51:14 Retweeted @JuddLegum 03:04:00 It’s funny that there are still people who insist America is a meritocracy even though Jared Kushner exists
11:36:47 Conflict of interest? What’s that? Never heard of it. https://t.co/5cbvR596eQ
15:55:00 Retweeted @databyler 15:34:37 I get that everyone rolls their eyes about electabilitybut it’s too important not to talk about! And if we’re going to talk about it, it’s better to try to have some discipline/rules than to just sort of go full ad hoc gut feeling about it in reply to databyler
20:44:48 Retweeted @RonaldKlain 19:09:09 I finally identified a competent person at the Trump WH. That’s whichever person it was who managed — until this point — to keep Jared from doing interviews. https://t.co/ROuDIMg24a
20:55:47 Retweeted @emptywheel 20:42:14 So to clarify on Nader:1) They stopped him January 17 for a Mueller related search
2) He did at least 3 interviews w/Mueller w/in a week
3) They searched his phones for Mueller & found the porn in February 2018
4) Charges filed April 2018

https://t.co/JGxMy2zSOv
21:03:11 So is this one of the 14 spin-off cases? I would presume yes, right? https://t.co/T12mJbJjuW
21:17:38 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 18:22:28 With the exception of Buttigieg moving up and the announcement bumps/slides, this 2020 prez race has been incredibly stable in terms of polling.
21:20:00 Retweeted @PollsAndVotes 03:02:39 Data from 100M traffic stops. After dark, blacks are smaller share of stops. Large racial disparities in drug search after stop by race. In CO & WA searches dropped after marijuana legalization though disparities remained.https://t.co/ep1yUQWclw
https://t.co/GWpbr4aTHD https://t.co/OxxtMctbUL
22:18:46 Retweeted @ZoeTillman 21:55:32 NOW: A federal judge in DC has rejected House Dems’ effort to block Trump from carrying out his plan to reprogram billions of dollars to fund border construction, agreeing with the administration that the court can’t be involved in this fight https://t.co/4MGUIlKAmG https://t.co/eGJT180YYg
22:22:47 Retweeted @aedwardslevy 22:01:30 The real news bubble is “whether or not you watch the news” https://t.co/51kDfQZRu7

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-02 (UTC)

00:11:03 Retweeted @GarrettHaake 2019-06-01 22:48:27 I really don’t want to be alarmist, but it took waaaaaaay too long for anyone who even looked like security personnel to get up on that stage. Its 2019. Let’s be careful out there. https://t.co/P226S0eo8d
13:41:37 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 13:18:30 it has (understandably) garnered less attention lately, but the Democrats are currently hovering around a 9-pt margin on the generic congressional voteвЂ”exactly where the party was in November 2018. Here’s the latest figure from The Economist/YouGov: https://t.co/Bk7eFQdNFI https://t.co/Rgw4OrDpx3
13:51:22 Retweeted @jodiecongirl 01:19:01 the Laffer curve has to be correct, qualitatively speaking, since I fully believe that tax revenue is zero when tax rates are either zero or 100 percent…he and his disciples made it mockable when they conveniently decided we’re always on the “bad” part https://t.co/nNbMmwQ55M
17:09:04 Retweeted @NilesGApol 17:07:33 I think I can speak for everyone in America when I say вЂ” “We’re good.” https://t.co/3jX9xTll2H
18:33:07 Retweeted @hodgesmr 2019-01-05 23:01:58 Here’s the current age breakdown of the House of Representatives, colored by generation. https://t.co/5ess6AsXb2
18:33:10 Retweeted @hodgesmr 17:51:07 And the current age breakdown of the Senate, colored by generation: https://t.co/ub0D90SwjX in reply to hodgesmr
18:33:16 Retweeted @hodgesmr 18:27:57 And the current age breakdown of Governors: https://t.co/7xWscHUszs in reply to hodgesmr
18:48:00 Read this. Everything failed here. We have to do better than this. https://t.co/3klBT9BkMB
19:32:30 Curmudgeon’s Corner: Slosh Back https://t.co/DJyESruUHG https://t.co/dj95tnqcW8
20:02:08 Retweeted @WotDpod 2019-06-01 00:22:05 Today’s episode of featured Wiki of the Day is on the article Cleopatra.Listen to the new episode here: https://t.co/v4D7ZqeYpM
See our archives or subscribe here: https://t.co/UAkEBr5nFx
20:47:52 @Nicole_Cliffe I’m sorry, there is no such thing as too much trains. in reply to Nicole_Cliffe
21:56:46 Retweeted @Nicole_Cliffe 21:47:12 Had this not happened, WW1 and WW2 might not have happened!! https://t.co/kMjkubFYOb
23:07:03 Sounds like it is going about as well as expected. https://t.co/RdKAar0UHC

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-01 (UTC)

00:23:40 A bunch of people have put вЂњdirectly defying court ordersвЂќ as a red line. Have we passed that line yet? https://t.co/Gr1vm5ZQ9A
00:50:56 Retweeted @Millennial_Dems 00:44:56 Well deserved. https://t.co/y7ffKUVj9m
01:48:00 Thread https://t.co/haByYDgMZt
05:42:57 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 02:23:39 Barr might be the very worst of the Trump Cabinet, pumping conspiracy nuttery in a measured, lawyerly voice. The President isn’t shredding the Constitution, you see, it’s those coup plotters – men and women he’s known his whole professional life. Such malignant sycophancy.
05:58:41 Retweeted @qjurecic 2019-05-31 00:46:30 Pelosi has argued that the House should wait for public support to shift toward impeachment before beginning an inquiry. But this ignores that beginning an inquiry would signal to the public that Trump’s actions were impeachable to begin with. https://t.co/ed1dv8wRVh https://t.co/NGG9noOdk3
06:45:55 Retweeted @GeertHub 2019-05-31 18:31:16 Does the news reflect what we die from? Nope!
Another brilliant infographic from @OurWorldInData. <symbol> https://t.co/bHn3Xy56iW
06:54:44 Retweeted @ManlnTheHoody 2019-05-31 19:55:25 why does everyone act like if dems opened an impeachment inquiry that trump would just stay totally chill and be able to win in 2020 instead of whats more likely that he would act completely insane and start fighting with everyone and blow up the whole republican party by 2020?
07:54:57 Last show for Jeff Douglas -> Listening to As It Happens from CBC Radio May 31: Who stood on guard for them? https://t.co/YidKRGTCYZ
15:06:26 Retweeted @ForTheRuleOfLaw 2019-05-30 16:52:33 In our latest video created with @protctdemocracy, former Republican federal prosecutors Donald Ayer, @RosenzweigP, and Jeffrey Harris discuss the findings of the #MuellerReport and the episodes of obstruction it uncovered. #CaseOpen https://t.co/DCuGloA7aa
15:31:25 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 14:13:10 And here they are: My rules for flying.
So let it be written, so let it be done. |
The Six Rules Everyone Should Follow When Flying
https://t.co/zieUQtZYTJ via @BulwarkOnline
17:52:40 Listening to History Extra podcast Rachel Reeves on women who changed politics https://t.co/rwRaG8qTOa
18:34:20 Retweeted @jacknicas 17:00:30 Remember the two Boeing jets that crashed?A team of us at the New York Times have been working for months to uncover how the planes ended up with a fatal flaw. Today, we publish that story.
This is the tale of the 737 Max: https://t.co/hJDPemlfxT

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Slosh Back

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about politics in the US, UK, and Israel. They also riff on Julian Assange, Mexican tariffs, and Social Media disinformation. Plus some feedback and an Election Graphs update!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-05-31
Length this week – 1:50:22

(0:00:25-0:27:22) Round 1
- Ivan: New Israeli Elections
- Sam: New Assange Indictments
(0:27:58-0:59:48) Round 2
- Ivan: Mueller Statement
- Sam: Teresa May Resignation
(1:00:27-1:40:46) Round 3
- Ivan: Mexico Tariffs
- Sam: Social Media Disinformation
(1:44:29-1:50:01) Round 4
- Ivan: Feedback
- Sam: Election Graphs Update

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

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Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

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@abulsme tweets from 2019-05-31 (UTC)

00:11:21 Retweeted @vin_jc 00:06:17 Ah yes, suppressing domestic Mexican economic activity will surely stop Mexican jobseekers from pursuing employment in neighboring economies. https://t.co/vzka7jzdaM
03:23:25 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 03:21:46 New Charts for State Odds
https://t.co/we0elAGf6P
#Election2020 https://t.co/xmz5V6F4yn
05:50:38 Retweeted @OhNoSheTwitnt 05:49:06 https://t.co/1LZOkya5B0
13:16:28 Retweeted @ewarren 13:00:19 The Mueller report details crimes by the president that would lead to the indictment of any other citizen. But Mueller couldn’t bring charges because a Justice Department policy says you can’t charge a sitting president. That policy is wrong and needs to go. Here’s how and why.
18:15:45 Retweeted @realDonaldTrump 18:08:33 Saddened to hear about the loss of John Pinto, a Navajo Code Talker in World War II, over the Memorial Day Weekend. The Code Talkers are true American HEROES and John never stopped serving his fellow citizens as a longtime New Mexico State Senator. John, Rest In Peace!
19:15:00 Retweeted @CommodoreBTC 18:57:35 no idea how the incentives would play out, but this is a fascinating idea https://t.co/0YSDsK709e
21:14:10 Retweeted @johnastoehr 21:07:29 Amazing how the GOP is now the party of tax increases. Never thought I’d see the day. https://t.co/L9kCIzDUMR
21:34:52 Retweeted @qjurecic 20:00:16 The Democrats genuinely do not seem to have grasped this concept https://t.co/iSe5TOr7uF
23:04:27 Retweeted @LeahLitman 18:50:59 obsessed with this @NewYorker cartoon https://t.co/dmRICM3CMP
23:13:27 Retweeted @pithywidow 20:56:29 I’m sure this will play well with Judge Emmet Sullivan, who, upon reading the unredacted documents, was moved to ask prosecutors why they didn’t charge Flynn with treason https://t.co/bXsk80MUTN
23:46:13 Retweeted @smotus 21:59:59 Me: It’s an embarrassing time to be a political scientist.Lawyers: https://t.co/oR3jxhyaSO

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-05-31 (UTC)

03:21:46 New Charts for State Odds
https://t.co/we0elAGf6P
#Election2020 https://t.co/xmz5V6F4yn

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-05-31 (UTC)

03:23:45 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 03:21:46 New Charts for State Odds
https://t.co/we0elAGf6P
#Election2020 https://t.co/xmz5V6F4yn

@abulsme tweets from 2019-05-30 (UTC)

00:21:42 Mueller didn’t say anything today that wasn’t already in black and white in his report. The fact that people are responding strongly to it and some Dems are changing positions today is a testament to the power of someone with authority speaking as opposed to 400+ pages of text.
04:29:51 I wish I could. I wish I could. https://t.co/9nq7vBAQph
18:58:30 Retweeted @DLind 18:53:46 The Supreme Court was already in a weird evidentiary position before this, with this case, given how much of the smokingest-gunniest evidence was in internal emails which wouldn’t’ve been revealed under less scrutiny. The procedural stuff in Rick’s thread is essential. https://t.co/qYdY4xXIrh
18:59:19 Retweeted @jwcglaser 14:03:45 This is basically everything. https://t.co/39ma74yDaK https://t.co/02Sa8IsXcW
19:26:18 There are 41 members on the Committee. Assuming no Republicans defect, that means you need 21 of the 24 Democrats to push forward. So 9 more to go. (And presumably Nadler needs to be one of them. ) https://t.co/yDGbO72Nyp
20:02:49 Retweeted @PollsAndVotes 2019-05-19 15:10:02 The path of Nixon approval during Watergate keeps coming up. I posted this last August on partisan differences and the events during 1973 when virtually all changes in approval took place.https://t.co/0vFipTgkZ3 https://t.co/sySasf6B74
20:13:38 Retweeted @GeeDee215 17:30:02 This thread tho. <symbol> https://t.co/MJCb44SYRs
20:21:42 Thread https://t.co/uvuTijbb72

@abulsme tweets from 2019-05-29 (UTC)

03:51:48 Reading: GOP impeachment champion gets a hero’s welcome back home – POLITICO https://t.co/kovyYBdsj6
06:24:08 Retweeted @NicholsUprising 06:02:15 Democrats who are reluctant to impeach might want to take note of the reaction from voters in Republican @justinamash‘s district to the congressman’s embrace of the constitutional remedy: a boisterous and sustained standing ovation. https://t.co/VHRSGFCFRn
06:29:15 Retweeted @BillKristol 01:12:21 Probably the most important political news of the day. https://t.co/22w5oMeDgk
06:49:22 Retweeted @JesseCharlesLee 2019-05-28 17:36:31 Brutal CRS Report on Trump’s only major accomplishment:1) GOP tax bill did almost nothing for growth
2) Rather than вЂњpay for itself,вЂќ it paid for ~5% of itself
3) Almost all the corporate tax cuts went to buybacks etc, virtually nothing to wages, especially for middle class https://t.co/MhQ5EO3z0F
14:52:58 Listening to Poll Hub Evolution https://t.co/2zckm8xvAK
17:23:08 Retweeted @ryanjreilly 16:41:25 вЂњWhat Mueller did Wednesday was essentially hold up the report and point at it, telling America what it contained.вЂќ https://t.co/rqF0d9onRr
19:41:29 Retweeted @markos 19:40:03 Oh my fucking god. https://t.co/DkVOBRMR9t
19:41:41 Retweeted @Mikel_Jollett 15:08:28 Mueller (shorter): Trump obstructed justice but the law won’t let us charge him with a federal crime because he is president so if you want to deal with this prick, impeach him.
20:04:51 Retweeted @chrislhayes 18:10:11 Nadler straining *extremely hard* not to undercut Pelosi or get out ahead of her, but the exertion is palpable.
20:07:40 Retweeted @tuckerhiggins 20:04:12 Cory Booker and Kamala Harris in sync https://t.co/q2FRsLodSC
20:44:14 Retweeted @petridishes 20:39:25 Someone spoke to me at length about how they loved the report and the green things that were cut out and the red things and the yellow things, and it slowly dawned on me that they had mixed up my report and вЂњThe Very Hungry Caterpillar.вЂќ https://t.co/QJjf7P25wW
20:47:49 They should take him up on this, but not one impeachment with multiple counts. Do an impeachment with one count, wait for the Senate to acquit, then do it again on another count. Start with non-Mueller-related things. Repeat over & over again straight through until the election. https://t.co/V4vw0Ral84
22:07:54 Retweeted @clairenjax 17:48:22 Trump claiming “no collusion” is akin to OJ looking for the “real killer”
23:50:29 Retweeted @daringfireball 23:15:02 iOS Apps Grossly Abusing Background App Refresh for Tracking Purposes: https://t.co/L9ZYnn9gsn

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@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-04 (UTC)

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@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-01 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2019-05-31 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-05-31 (UTC)

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@abulsme tweets from 2019-05-30 (UTC)

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