Abulsme.com: January 2019

Curmudgeon’s Corner: You Deserve It

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan discuss the Shutdown/Wall and Trump/Russia. Again. Then they squeeze in some international topics. Before that though, Ivan complains about the severe bone chilling 49 degree Fahrenheit cold spell in Southern Florida.

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-01-25
Length this week – 1:56:18

(0:01:54-0:13:58) But First
- Agenda
- Predictions show correction
- Slack invites
- Ivan and Cold
(0:14:38-0:52:57) Shutdown
- Trump’s first deal offer
- Negotiating positions
- Trump caves on the SOTU
- The blame game
- Trump on the ropes
- A moral issue?
- Ways out
- Let them eat cake!
- Escalating consequences
(0:54:40-1:29:09) Trump/Russia
- Buzzfeed on Trump suborning perjury
- Giuliani still an idiot
- Russian asset?
- Master plan vs stupidity
- Clearances
- Cohen testifying?
- Open crimes vs hidden crimes
(1:29:46-1:55:57) International
- NATO
- Venezuela
- Syria
- Russia
- Davos
- Brexit

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-26 (UTC)

00:30:18 The 1st most important thing in the 2020 race is to defeat Trump in the General. The 2nd most important thing in thвЂ¦ https://t.co/2DNpKx6hKo
01:37:01 Retweeted @MerriamWebster 2019-01-25 22:54:12 <symbol>We’re seeing a 1500% spike on ‘cave’ this evening.
https://t.co/JViVy90Lmy
02:12:27 Retweeted @WotDpod 02:01:29 Today’s episode of popular Wiki of the Day is on the article Roger Stone.Listen to the new episode here:вЂ¦ https://t.co/b8NSeVoI7t
02:30:51 Woo Hoo!!! https://t.co/UArboA302V
02:34:06 Retweeted @notcapnamerica 02:20:24 Hillary goes OFF on Bernie supporters attacking Kamala Harris. https://t.co/Zbh70PJWjj
02:34:51 Retweeted @RussVought45 02:19:27 The Government is now open.в†’ https://t.co/fd6yjM5MjO https://t.co/LfwiZQR3Xw
02:35:50 Retweeted @KamalaHarris 2019-01-25 22:17:48 Roger Stone is out on $250,000 bail just hours after his arrest while people across our country sit in jail for dayвЂ¦ https://t.co/hg37hodeaU
02:55:27 Retweeted @DresdenBlack 02:53:30 Apparently, there was no #SigningCeremony this time, so I made y’all a thing… https://t.co/R66yyAeipC
03:16:08 Retweeted @Green_Footballs 02:52:48 Nancy ain’t stoppin’ tonight. https://t.co/mawUHIR5Lk
03:36:26 OMG this thread… https://t.co/PfkGnSa2yk
03:57:52 This is a new world. Go Nancy! https://t.co/p4dksAbtS4
04:18:05 Retweeted @neal_katyal 03:55:14 Not after the courts get involved.Bring it on. https://t.co/lf1UnL7T6c
04:18:47 Retweeted @DebraMessing 03:54:30 BOSS. https://t.co/g98MUpGsCk
04:19:25 Retweeted @RBReich 2019-01-25 23:30:28 Kudos to air traffic controllers at LaGuardia who essentially closed the airport by refusing to show up for work thвЂ¦ https://t.co/AGXaqzg6Is
04:20:57 Retweeted @jonfavs 2019-01-25 22:20:36 Turns out electing a Democratic House really mattered.
04:23:29 Retweeted @IsaacDovere 03:52:23 Pelosi to me in November, right after the midterms win: вЂњRecognize one point: What Mueller might not think is indicвЂ¦ https://t.co/fVflJd7kgH
04:29:36 Retweeted @smotus 2019-01-25 20:21:45 By my count, 8 Democratic presidential candidates have already withdrawn. #InvisiblePrimary
https://t.co/7CWWWKzgfu
12:00:06 Retweeted @edokeefe 11:55:50 The New York tabloids deliver again! вЂњStall for the WallвЂќ from @nypost. вЂњCave ManвЂќ from @NYDailyNews. https://t.co/2oyu4zmfx6
14:17:58 Retweeted @joshtpm 14:13:24 If it goes quickly Nancy will just paddle you and send you to detention again. It’ll be fine. https://t.co/ECplXzJ1Sf
16:10:32 Thread on the weakness of Trump https://t.co/H53705dSAo
22:11:47 Retweeted @emilynussbaum 21:13:21 I’m enjoying this new thing where Gen X doesn’t exist in any generational analysis. It’s like we’re a bunch of glooвЂ¦ https://t.co/wa1a1EqWXC
22:24:37 Thread https://t.co/Cpu6JojUHQ

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-25 (UTC)

00:08:55 Retweeted @tribelaw 2019-01-24 13:15:10 Why did Buzzfeed story about Trump’s subornation of perjury cause a Tsunami while his witness tampering in plain viвЂ¦ https://t.co/BPujdxj5ss
00:17:49 <symbol> https://t.co/wweUKXYM9x
00:59:16 It will be interesting to see if this plays out. https://t.co/tCgcrvEyFd
01:30:44 вЂњOne of at least 30вЂќ. Oops! https://t.co/Ub1RxuygJ8
01:44:32 Retweeted @LuluLemew 01:34:43 WAPO reported last February that officials in at least four countries had privately discussed ways they could manipвЂ¦ https://t.co/BvHAOqmKPJ in reply to LuluLemew
06:54:10 Retweeted @Alex_Parker 2019-01-24 21:14:35 We got our first high-resolution MVIC panchromatic image of 2014 MU69 down. With a little deconvolution magic, it iвЂ¦ https://t.co/MpFHNHC8p4
12:20:43 Boom https://t.co/zVXghGBt6d
12:25:51 Ah… so it was STONE who told Cohen to lie…. Right? https://t.co/584pRgQvoc
12:27:59 Obviously no collusion here. https://t.co/qL7XP6AhOb
12:32:28 I was going to sleep a couple more hours, but guess not… https://t.co/b5NHgt7L8s
12:52:48 (To be clear, person 2 is not Cohen here…) https://t.co/CIQJZx3Dry in reply to abulsme
12:56:54 Ok. Read the whole thing. This is consistent with Stone being a huge bullshitter and getting in deep with obstructiвЂ¦ https://t.co/bVqK32ty4N in reply to abulsme
12:58:32 Retweeted @MrDanZak 12:56:22 And then there were none. https://t.co/0L6L6PvDxw
12:59:10 Retweeted @krassenstein 12:56:00 In case anyone needs to know. From the Roger Stone Indictment:Person 1 = Jerome Corsi
Person 2 = Roger Credico
OвЂ¦ https://t.co/O5MtberHwX
13:04:18 To be clear, the conversations with the campaign are interesting too. But it could easily be that Stone had nothingвЂ¦ https://t.co/UdjxPgn4np in reply to abulsme
13:05:57 Retweeted @rgoodlaw 12:49:22 Just how stupid is Roger Stone:”September 26, 2017вЂ”the day that Stone testified before HPSCI and denied having evвЂ¦ https://t.co/4vqaCLQWzG
13:11:06 Retweeted @neeratanden 12:52:39 Yes. This has always been the issue. The Trump campaign wanted Wikileaks out precisely because Access Hollywood hadвЂ¦ https://t.co/LFK47kWMuj
13:11:32 Retweeted @MollyMcKew 12:52:32 This morning on Fox so far, following Roger Stone arrest:-Kushner meeting Hispanic groups
-illegals
-Democrats faвЂ¦ https://t.co/KnwZkMge7W
13:19:34 Retweeted @Redpainter1 12:30:15 Quick, someone go knock on Donald Trump Junior’s door with a flashlight really loud right now.
13:21:20 Retweeted @daveweigel 12:45:09 One of the underrated worst takes of this era was вЂњDems obsess over Russia bc they refuse to confront why they lostвЂ¦ https://t.co/u7VfpKmQAW
13:23:49 Retweeted @Ali_H_Soufan 12:17:39 Paul Manafort’s longtime client, the former Ukrainian president Viktor F. Yanukovych, was found guilty of treason fвЂ¦ https://t.co/04YjLLTQDr
13:26:03 Retweeted @mkraju 13:21:08 37 people and entities have been charged by Mueller. Most are Russians charged w/ interfering in 2016. But list incвЂ¦ https://t.co/lZeYZoKhnL
14:43:20 Retweeted @renato_mariotti 13:07:37 THREAD: What does the indictment of Roger Stone tell us?
15:00:52 Oops https://t.co/4Zsh8PuWsx
15:03:30 One airport down… https://t.co/4Zsh8PuWsx
16:12:15 Or just slowed down. For a bit. No catastrophic closures yet… https://t.co/90z8RykP4Z in reply to abulsme
16:22:50 Retweeted @Phil_Mattingly 16:01:34 the bottom line from Capitol Hill on the shutdown is basically this: everyone, Republicans and Democrats, is waitinвЂ¦ https://t.co/cct2VFO4EP
17:12:25 Hmmm https://t.co/0vAzyu3k8N
17:38:38 Retweeted @FullFrontalSamB 17:38:11 Probably not the look you want to go for if you want to prove you’re not a crook. https://t.co/zZ2eYBSWLA
17:48:33 Capitulation? https://t.co/3V0BdsSg7j
20:10:28 I’ve been in meetings for the last couple hours. I see the President completely folded. Awesome. Thank you Nancy.
20:27:23 Retweeted @JohnJHarwood 18:52:42 Pelosi, asked how Trump will handle backdown on reopening government without wall money, gestures toward her officeвЂ¦ https://t.co/a0znncFM37

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-24 (UTC)

01:59:34 Retweeted @seungminkim 2019-01-23 20:49:44 Out of curiosity, I called the Senate historian to check whether a president has ever delivered an address on the *вЂ¦ https://t.co/aJ0Iv641mH
03:53:19 How could they possibly be caught off guard? It was absolutely clear this is what she would do. They are such moronвЂ¦ https://t.co/iHLUEnfUcy
03:58:58 Retweeted @CrimeADay 2019-01-23 21:06:48 40 USC В§В§5109 & 5104(e)(2)(A) make it a federal crime to enter or remain on the floor of either House of Congress wвЂ¦ https://t.co/A6x3fiG0q7
04:04:17 Retweeted @damianpaletta 2019-01-23 21:48:48 NEWS:
1) Mulvaney has asked agencies for list of high-impact programs that will be jeopardized if shutdown goes inвЂ¦ https://t.co/Je0A3Um99r
04:31:52 Folded LIKE A DOG! https://t.co/VCTnfKs4Vs
04:42:22 Retweeted @owillis 04:40:04 Trump: Shut down the govt
Dems: Reopen it
Trump: I’m giving SOTU
Pelosi: Reopen govt first
Trump: No
Pelosi: No SOTвЂ¦ https://t.co/UmVlTuasvB
05:19:14 Retweeted @notcapnamerica 04:51:02 That’s absolutely going to be Kamala Harris’ angle.People saw her EVISCERATE Jeff Sessions and Brett Kavanaugh anвЂ¦ https://t.co/eNvbNGUSPg
08:13:24 Retweeted @susanthesquark 2019-01-23 21:33:48 One of the highlights of my job as an editor was working with @skdh on this op ed about the state of particle physiвЂ¦ https://t.co/ch6SxVr4Vz
17:45:29 Retweeted @Blatherscribe 17:40:46 Strange that I’m not seeing more people point out that this is sociopathic behavior.(Note that I don’t mean killiвЂ¦ https://t.co/Ya7FW5hYR7
18:28:53 InterestingвЂ¦ https://t.co/JlNwgheshY
18:46:42 Retweeted @JayThurberShow 18:44:39 In retrospect, having a presidential cabinet comprised entirely of literal “Batman” villains might have been a mistake. #WilburRoss
21:09:02 Retweeted @igorbobic 21:03:27 So after 6 Republicans defected and voted with Democrats to reopen government till Feb. 8 with no wall funding, SchвЂ¦ https://t.co/JtfIztCTam
21:44:31 Retweeted @themaxburns 18:53:20 It would be easier to argue against tax proposals like @AOC‘s and @EWarren‘s if their opponents weren’t 200-year-olвЂ¦ https://t.co/rtTYOteK9y in reply to themaxburns
21:46:21 What part of вЂњnot one penny for a wallвЂќ doesn’t he understand? https://t.co/A80Antos2g
21:50:44 This quote means they have no intention of doing anything since no deadline was specified. -> Skripal poisoning: TrвЂ¦ https://t.co/alpliFJ2oH
22:04:02 Retweeted @rcohen 2019-01-23 17:39:31 A little girl in Prince William didn’t tell her parents about her broken wrist because the shutdown means her dad iвЂ¦ https://t.co/m1CAw6kC0E

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-23 (UTC)

02:18:26 Retweeted @WotDpod 02:07:35 Today’s episode of popular Wiki of the Day is on the article Kamala Harris.Listen to the new episode here:вЂ¦ https://t.co/TQvAWEHMfz
03:05:08 Oops https://t.co/ncXqocnmYw
04:31:46 This will be fun. https://t.co/jGxjuabMtd
04:34:41 Retweeted @WALeXMXeLAW 04:33:54 ALeXMXeLA on youtube !!! 9: https://t.co/CTXfEEr6pM via @YouTube
18:45:33 <symbol> https://t.co/Z7NokdmNWh
19:48:05 Retweeted @edokeefe 19:42:55 JUST IN: Speaker Pelosi tells President Trump: Stay away next Tuesday вЂ” unless the government is open by then. HereвЂ¦ https://t.co/tusMYnPybA
23:25:22 Listening to Amicus With Dahlia Lithwick | Law, Justice, and the Courts We’re Back to Where Mueller Began: CounteriвЂ¦ https://t.co/sTg3V2lDmQ
23:46:48 Retweeted @Mikel_Jollett 20:15:31 REPORTER: What happens if Trump still shows up for the State of the Union on January 29th?PELOSI: Well he’d haveвЂ¦ https://t.co/NIq1qIoecM
23:52:56 Retweeted @jeremymbarr 23:50:26 Here is Jonah Peretti’s memo about the cuts, which went out about 15 minutes ago https://t.co/Bw8IZ1CENy in reply to jeremymbarr
23:56:58 Retweeted @jeremyherb 19:51:11 Cummings and Schiff joint statement on Cohen — they slam Trump and Giuliani for intimidation, but say that “not apвЂ¦ https://t.co/b7PbrMF7Pd
23:59:47 Retweeted @HotlineJosh 23:50:22 John Kelly on the list. https://t.co/1cODkr1E4R
23:59:57 Retweeted @RalstonReports 23:50:18 This is why the nonprofit model is the future….. https://t.co/5fUYIkZcoT

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-22 (UTC)

00:20:22 Planet Nine threadвЂ¦ https://t.co/4V7nPakDSk
04:12:40 <symbol> https://t.co/IpR4TMlyj5
05:32:19 Retweeted @JeremyKonyndyk 03:33:28 READ this whole thread. Trump is not just demanding wall funding in his new proposal to reopen the government – he’вЂ¦ https://t.co/MecLvCict8
05:43:34 Reading – Don’t Doubt What You Saw With Your Own Eyes (Laura Wagner) https://t.co/lyCWEhhw0Q
06:17:58 Retweeted @mgsiegler 06:03:12 God bless @BetoORourke just straight up OG blogging his road trips. This one to Ulysses, Kansas.вЂ¦ https://t.co/WsBGujNV9g
07:29:28 Retweeted @YesYoureRacist 07:25:42 If you wear a MAGA hat in the Year of Our Lord Two Thousand Nineteen then at the very least you’re telling the worlвЂ¦ https://t.co/bsMKfYGBqr
15:22:59 Retweeted @chrisgeidner 14:34:44 BREAKING: #SCOTUS issues a stay of injunctions against Trump’s transgender service ban, allowing the Trump administвЂ¦ https://t.co/ua4W9JLtqG in reply to chrisgeidner
15:24:13 Retweeted @chrisgeidner 14:40:00 #SCOTUS also allows the secret grand jury matter to proceed under seal, with a redacted version of the cert petitioвЂ¦ https://t.co/ebvovLsTtY in reply to chrisgeidner
15:29:08 Retweeted @renato_mariotti 05:26:12 Which quote from today’s @NewYorker interview with @RudyGiuliani is your favorite?1) “I am afraid it will be on mвЂ¦ https://t.co/0IiX9e1MO8
16:03:28 Retweeted @steve_vladeck 15:05:03 One of the major implications of all of today’s #SCOTUS news is that the Justices, intentionally or not, are pushinвЂ¦ https://t.co/c5Uo3uWMr4
19:09:31 <symbol> https://t.co/7pOBq0ei4J

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-21 (UTC)

04:37:45 Retweeted @ninatypewriter 04:19:32 @tweetsoutloud Here’s a great lunar eclipse livestream from @NewsHour on @YouTube.
WATCH LIVE: https://t.co/ioR92qG67G in reply to tweetsoutloud
05:01:15 Thread https://t.co/Qx1KkfBGKt
05:28:03 Moon peeked out just for a bit when I went out. But because of the clouds I hadn’t bothered to pull out my вЂњrealвЂќ cвЂ¦ https://t.co/55R7FPZAmi
05:32:15 Retweeted @beyond90seconds 05:27:59 Lunar Eclipse in Snohomish, WA a moment ago. #SuperBloodWolfMoon #SuperBloodMoon #LunaEclipse #PNW https://t.co/Fk5UURQUes
18:46:43 Retweeted @witliftin 18:08:33 This country refuses to give Hillary Clinton credit for anything but there are already four women running for the pвЂ¦ https://t.co/amzedYX68X
22:22:49 Retweeted @beyond90seconds 21:27:54 Composite of photos taken of last night’s lunar eclipse in Snohomish, WA. #SuperBloodWolfMoon #SuperBloodMoonвЂ¦ https://t.co/GPn55u11OM

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-20 (UTC)

02:23:40 Retweeted @gabrielsherman 02:19:38 1/ This is in the journalism weeds but it’s totally insane that Buzzfeed didn’t tell Mueller’s office explicitly BuвЂ¦ https://t.co/xdnDtnlysM
03:58:04 Retweeted @emptywheel 02:35:02 DAG Rod Rosenstein Involves Himself in Mueller’s Press Response to Buzzfeed Storyhttps://t.co/upXbe8no3q
08:41:16 I liked a @YouTube video https://t.co/ZbzxTUOMAz What If We Built a Road Around the World?
17:24:16 Curmudgeon’s Corner: Meandering Around the Fields https://t.co/N8kpeGulRC https://t.co/T6yedixBL2
18:05:21 Retweeted @georgiaEtennant 2019-01-19 18:02:42 #Brexit https://t.co/MMvjb61qdE

Stuff over at Election Graphs

This week I’ll finally be doing some election geek posts over at ElectionGraphs.com with some analysis of the difference between the final state poll averages I had in 2008-2016 and the actual election results.

I just posted the first one a few minutes ago.

That kind of stuff is now over there, not here, so if you want it, you either need to be checking ElectionGraphs.com itself, subscribe to it with an RSS reader (RSS link), follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or follow Election Graphs on Facebook.

This is still analysis of old stuff. New stuff for 2020 will be coming soon, but not quite yet. I will probably post again here once that actually starts. But if you want my “election stuff” follow one of the above…

One preview graph from the first of this series of posts…

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Meandering Around the Fields

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan once again discuss the Shutdown/Wall and Trump/Russia. Before that though, a bit on the fast food feast at the White House, another movie Sam watched, and a story of a broken iPad.

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-01-17
Length this week – 2:02:28

(0:04:12-0:25:06) But First
- Preparation
- Agenda
- White House Fast Food
- Sam Movie: Sense and Sensibility (1995)
- Manu’s iPad
(0:25:42-1:07:02) Shutdown continues and repercussions:
- Pelosi cancels SOTU
- Negotiations
- No emergency declaration?
- Polls are hammering Trump on shutdown
- McConnell strategy
- Impacts of the shutdown
- No deal in sight, how does this end?
(1:08:11-2:02:08 ) Trump Russia Corruption
- Giuliani admits campaign colluded
- Giuliani strategy
- Putin meeting interpreter notes
- Trump non-denial on Russia
- FBI Counter-Intel investigation
- Collusion with middle east
- Trump vs Pence
- Emoluments clause
- Congressional prerogatives

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

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Curmudgeon’s Corner: You Deserve It

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-26 (UTC)

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@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-23 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-22 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-21 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-20 (UTC)

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Curmudgeon’s Corner: Meandering Around the Fields

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