Abulsme.com: October 2018

@abulsme tweets from 2018-10-12 (UTC)

00:13:27 Retweeted @edbott 00:04:13 So, the implication is that the Turks have live audio and video feeds in the Saudi embassy and are not afraid to buвЂ¦ https://t.co/m2eZaiNYi7
04:38:10 Retweeted @mattmfm 02:24:25 Trump officials repeatedly commit perjury but congressional Republicans refuse to hold them accountable. https://t.co/nN21fvyEKy
04:39:32 Retweeted @HillaryClinton 2018-10-11 11:24:28 Eleven weeks ago, the administration was supposed to finish reunifying families it separated at the border. ElevenвЂ¦ https://t.co/AxsgLYA2jo
04:42:52 Retweeted @steve_watt1 2018-10-11 23:19:58 There you go little (big) fellow. Hurricane’s over. #HurricaneMichael #hurricanemichael2018 https://t.co/VcN3VNKHC8
04:54:06 Thread https://t.co/T3z5i1n2lS
13:36:49 @pkcapitol Serious question, people are talking about diminishing returns from things like buying ads. With this kiвЂ¦ https://t.co/Aht8MhBdvT in reply to pkcapitol
13:51:08 Retweeted @fawfulfan 13:36:10 Hell, with this kind of money @BetoORourke should be able to rent fleets of buses to go into poor, minority neighboвЂ¦ https://t.co/v7iXsT3yXw in reply to fawfulfan
15:01:37 Retweeted @natsecHeather 13:54:49 One could argue that the diversity theory AMS lays out below is one of the key axes along which Americans are polarвЂ¦ https://t.co/ndKZAaqu54
18:38:47 Retweeted @drvox 18:09:28 The most disturbing revelation of the Trump years is that an American slide to fascism does not need to be kept hidвЂ¦ https://t.co/002gkP9n0r
18:45:02 Retweeted @EricHolthaus 17:38:30 Yep, there’s a hurricane headed toward Portugal. In centuries of record keeping, there’s never been a hurricane lanвЂ¦ https://t.co/yyDwFuvyAO
21:49:39 Thread https://t.co/7DVPtoj3wI

@abulsme tweets from 2018-10-11 (UTC)

00:08:15 Retweeted @kylegriffin1 2018-10-10 14:50:17 This whole 4-minute clip is worth watching. Kamala Harris grills FBI Director Chris Wray on the Kavanaugh supplemenвЂ¦ https://t.co/vQtcU45yPP
00:13:29 I liked a @YouTube video https://t.co/T2zysM4KSp Potatoes In Video Games Offend Me
00:21:10 Retweeted @ThePlumLineGS 2018-10-10 20:07:01 I just watched McConnell’s AP interview.McConnell is directly asked whether Trump’s tax returns & biz dealings arвЂ¦ https://t.co/h2OXzzcu5v
01:13:30 Retweeted @dandrezner 2018-10-10 22:08:05 What in the ever-loving f**k… https://t.co/R64KcnjbEF
01:14:44 Retweeted @Olivianuzzi 01:13:22 Here are the papers Donald Trump gave me yesterday, by the way: https://t.co/k57cX5G2LF in reply to Olivianuzzi
01:16:22 Retweeted @peterbakernyt 00:03:22 At his rally in Erie, Trump claims again that he won 52 percent of women in 2016. That’s true only of white women.вЂ¦ https://t.co/C8TAJM0TBl
01:17:17 Retweeted @Susan_Hennessey 2018-10-10 23:02:03 As we weigh the complex and consequential question of how the US should respond to the alleged murder of Jamal KhasвЂ¦ https://t.co/B675aYkhza
01:28:54 Retweeted @Taniel 2018-10-10 17:49:55 Georgia’s Secretary of State Brian Kemp (now running for Gov) has purged voter rolls & is now freezing tens thousanвЂ¦ https://t.co/YSsPstGEOq
01:31:35 Sometimes, every once in awhile, Rand Paul is right about something. https://t.co/WxohIFt3cs
01:32:44 Retweeted @MaggieJordanACN 01:09:41 For your use when you get вЂњthatвЂќ person https://t.co/F70vhBQ3Mn
01:38:42 Retweeted @Scout_Finch 00:20:51 What would you do if you won the $548 million you’ll never win it lottery?I’d prolly buy a few Republicans, tbh.
01:45:26 Retweeted @ReaganMatt 2018-10-10 17:52:43 LISTEN: A sink in a hotel on Panama City Beach seems to be whistling from the wind. Extremely creepy. I don’t thinkвЂ¦ https://t.co/La0xUBeDcF
04:06:15 The leaks from a couple weeks ago didn’t succeed in getting Rosenstein fired, so looks like it is time to try again. https://t.co/0a3W3X5z3S
04:09:23 Reading – Rosenstein-McCabe feud dates back to angry standoff in front of Mueller – The Washington Post https://t.co/bZGCQJak1b
04:10:42 Retweeted @chrislhayes 03:01:17 Would be nice to definitively rule out that the Saudis are paying the president massive bribes in exchange for taciвЂ¦ https://t.co/7UICLHB967
04:19:37 Retweeted @BuzzFeedNews 04:04:54 The viral story about a competitive barefoot runner demanding people sweep up acorns is a hoax ❌вЂ¦ https://t.co/ZWSWPBqiP8
04:23:19 Retweeted @sahilkapur 04:00:47 O’Rourke allies have been fretting about his Latino # for months. As one Dem put it, landing in the 50s is вЂњnot gonвЂ¦ https://t.co/h3hDi7hQ0K
04:26:45 Retweeted @nhannahjones 00:03:01 I found this passage in book of slave codes in the section on prohibitions against black people being taught to reaвЂ¦ https://t.co/358gOHTcgn
04:58:54 Retweeted @HoarseWisperer 2018-10-10 21:51:19 I believe something happened to him. I just think he’s confused about who did it. It could have been anyone. https://t.co/gQ2S6pI1I0
05:13:16 Retweeted @tomgara 03:37:29 I love that American spooks see the pattern of the flights by the Saudis and are like “ahhh yes, the classic renditвЂ¦ https://t.co/ZNleRvxobz
05:16:28 Retweeted @ZonePhysics 2018-10-10 03:00:35 A tribute to his grandmother turning 100 years old, Chinese artist builds ‘sky ladder’ firework. https://t.co/cmvlcr5zgX
15:02:10 Retweeted @prchovanec 14:53:49 This is not the argument you make when you didn’t do it. https://t.co/efTIOjv3Yo
15:07:22 Thread https://t.co/Z6sSUD6x6r
15:31:03 PIVOT!! https://t.co/rTeCEBm7pS
16:07:21 Retweeted @alexburnsNYT 13:15:18 Short of Michelle herself running, it’s really hard to see the Dems of 2019 embracing вЂњwhen they go low, we go highвЂќ https://t.co/5Iq2VETtJJ
17:57:54 Retweeted @BadAstronomer 17:42:18 A Soyuz rocket failed after launch today with two crew on board; both men are safe but there are lots of questions.вЂ¦ https://t.co/FVu6EcOeFo
19:50:54 Retweeted @ianbremmer 18:54:07 If Khashoggi murdered, Trump notes:
вЂў In Turkey, not in US.
вЂў US resident, not US citizen.
вЂў Saudis spend $110B onвЂ¦ https://t.co/E52onBKMjf
20:24:47 Retweeted @MaxBoot 2018-10-10 19:53:01 Trump said he is in вЂњloveвЂќ with Kim Jong Un, and had little to say when Saudi Arabia was accused of murdering PostвЂ¦ https://t.co/OOjuXueOMq
20:38:48 Retweeted @HillaryClinton 20:13:30 Seriously, you asked Russia to hack me on national television. https://t.co/YPktJyQ7Gx
20:41:02 Retweeted @GarettJones 2018-10-03 22:16:35 How did election betting markets do in 2016?Very well according to @maximlott
and @JohnStossel.

Among candidatesвЂ¦ https://t.co/mO4DW2d6Xe
21:59:50 Retweeted @jbendery 21:39:05 Translated: Democrats caved on giving Trump piles of lifetime federal judges so they could go home. Again. https://t.co/ScXdcUWlJV
22:25:29 The fact that judges at this level don’t get almost as much attention and scrutiny as SCOTUS appointments is maddenвЂ¦ https://t.co/14t6zjlEMd
23:06:55 As it turns out, 3 days into this experiment I have only muted 5 people. 4 on the right, 1 on the left. And even wiвЂ¦ https://t.co/mefVeupGFX in reply to abulsme
23:55:18 She was reunited, but the fact this ever happened in the first place is inexcusable. This is STILL going on. https://t.co/hRkjpsX3MH

@abulsme tweets from 2018-10-10 (UTC)

03:45:00 Retweeted @nedprice 02:02:10 The Intelligence Community has a вЂњduty to warnвЂќ potential victims of impending threats, per Directive 191. If thisвЂ¦ https://t.co/q06tDoIFYn
03:52:49 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 03:09:48 This is not what “Never Trump” means, at least to me. To me it means: rejecting the basis of how Trump governs, eveвЂ¦ https://t.co/Epykm8lk6p
04:23:38 Retweeted @KarenAttiah 01:35:40 Waiting to see how the Saudi apologists in D.C. and New York will continue to spin thisвЂ” that U.S. intelligence ofвЂ¦ https://t.co/pajxDccA30
04:42:22 Retweeted @JustinRWalton 04:27:54 Thread https://t.co/MrA8DpPTFq
04:44:53 Retweeted @profmusgrave 2018-10-09 20:23:41 Students. You don’t have to be well-informed to vote. Approximately nobody is. You just have to be well-informed *eвЂ¦ https://t.co/cTSvnUk02f
04:57:07 Retweeted @MichelleBarish 04:28:55 That time tonight at the Polo Bar when a table full of finance bros sit next to you-fist bump and shout “Our Man KaвЂ¦ https://t.co/UgTOe6UdlQ
04:57:25 Retweeted @andmichaelgreen 2018-10-09 17:16:06 EXPERIMENTStep 1) Drastically cut education funding
Step 2) Wait 35 years

Step 3) Observe voting population wilвЂ¦ https://t.co/70znAXWL1J
05:16:15 Retweeted @nytimes 2018-10-09 14:16:05 The Turkish authorities were looking into the possibility that the Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi had been abductвЂ¦ https://t.co/NVHwWahrbW
16:22:55 Retweeted @DanielLarison 04:07:37 This dog is innocent https://t.co/jzLRXbTWfu

@abulsme tweets from 2018-10-09 (UTC)

02:17:38 Retweeted @Robeno 02:00:30 This chart from RCP on House races changed from toss up to GOP post Ford/Kav testimony is shocking. https://t.co/R2cxY6ryNo
04:10:54 Retweeted @MaxBoot 00:08:34 As I look back with the clarity of hindsight, I am convinced that coded racial appeals had at least as much, if notвЂ¦ https://t.co/IbCk9EzIzN
14:18:53 Retweeted @SJGrunewald 05:13:20 Sometimes Twitter is amazing.#MeToo #HimToo #IBelieveSurvivors https://t.co/KnrCkIJqlO
14:22:01 Hmmm https://t.co/Bvr32bGZyh
14:23:28 Was Nikki Anonymous?
15:49:30 Hmmm https://t.co/FNsMjXhPwx
16:06:08 Retweeted @Zathras3 03:24:02 I’m out, too. After more than 40 years, I’m leaving the Republican Party. <thread — I’m afraid it’s a long one. Sorry.>
16:07:27 Retweeted @Fahrenthold 16:02:39 Thanks to everyone who wrote w/suggestions about what this “Chicago Unit Acquisition LLC” loan is, and whyвЂ¦ https://t.co/zdBPzG4tEI
16:37:57 Retweeted @MoElleithee 16:33:35 Predictions are worthless these days, but what the hell…- Graham to DOJ after midterms.
– Haley fills Graham UвЂ¦ https://t.co/SI6QwRY2pS
16:38:57 Retweeted @EmmyA2 16:33:23 Thirty. Point. Gender gap.Send this link to every woman you know and make sure she’s going to vote for DemocratsвЂ¦ https://t.co/7hUcHp1OZk
16:39:11 Retweeted @guypbenson 15:33:14 I’m still a bit puzzled on the timing & exact reasons, BUT…it would appear Nikki Haley just managed to depart theвЂ¦ https://t.co/EEJkOCslm5
17:40:42 Retweeted @michaelianblack 15:13:27 He’s going to make Ivanka UN Ambassador. Then he’ll run her as VP in 2020. Then she’ll be president, life will finaвЂ¦ https://t.co/eHk177FWNY
18:02:39 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 17:29:17 The gender gap in the generic ballot grew from 35 to 45 pts (!!) among college-educated voters in our polling fromвЂ¦ https://t.co/vh7fpmpaZA
21:08:53 <symbol> https://t.co/tE8IwrN1wU

@abulsme tweets from 2018-10-08 (UTC)

02:04:20 Retweeted @DavidNeiwert 2018-10-07 21:25:14 1) There’s been a lot of handwringing in the media pundit corps and centrist politicians these days about the lossвЂ¦ https://t.co/XaB3sEp3IB
02:06:25 Retweeted @drvox 01:57:37 We are slouching toward somewhere around 3 or 3.5C. That’s probably not extinction-level, but it will cause enormouвЂ¦ https://t.co/LriZ8zPajF in reply to drvox
02:47:16 Thread https://t.co/Z10J8OQHkv
04:09:55 Retweeted @dcwoodruff 02:28:12 The IPCC report is the only thing anyone in the media should talk about for a week. It should be the defining issueвЂ¦ https://t.co/diqqlkX1uk
04:53:46 In the wake of the latest climate report, seeing the usual wave of idiots posting examples of it being cold somewheвЂ¦ https://t.co/ogv6hlzY5t
04:58:24 Retweeted @KatzOnEarth 04:03:01 Right-wingers have been taught for 40 years that tax money just goes to black people and immigrants. So when they hвЂ¦ https://t.co/uwVdIPz7aH
04:58:37 Retweeted @KatzOnEarth 04:07:02 Or better said, they think tax money is money stolen from good white people and given to undeserving minorities. SoвЂ¦ https://t.co/MytgZxZgIr in reply to KatzOnEarth
05:10:03 Retweeted @NateSilver538 02:47:44 Definitely a lot of folks who can’t shake the instinct to round 70% or 80% probabilities up to 100%. Thought thereвЂ¦ https://t.co/jhABe0WjGc
05:30:08 Retweeted @profmusgrave 02:25:20 Nobody is talking about the climate change report for the same reason that nobody’s talking about the NYT tax-cheatвЂ¦ https://t.co/eFQXHhuPXW
05:34:44 Retweeted @fred_guttenberg 01:43:00 Certain to vote in ’18, based on late-Sept. Gallup poll:65+ 82%
50-64 69%
30-49 55%
18-29 26% ‼️‼️

ThвЂ¦ https://t.co/3djIB8GCu1
12:33:34 Retweeted @NewDay 12:27:21 “People around the President … described what happened with Kavanaugh … as almost a dress rehearsal for an impeвЂ¦ https://t.co/gJCeWW4Y4E
14:47:20 I follow lots of people who I disagree with on Twitter just to make sure I understand вЂњwhere the other side is comiвЂ¦ https://t.co/Qs49Sf4x3E
14:51:52 Retweeted @ThePlumLineGS 14:10:49 Depressing.A senior Dem strategist tells me Trump’s attacks on Blasey Ford *helped* Republicans in red state SenaвЂ¦ https://t.co/BqZxlRrpyU
15:04:14 Thread and article. Remember not to round 70/30 odds to 100/0. There is LOTS of uncertainty here. https://t.co/OHS3awWCuG
15:05:33 Retweeted @dylanmatt 14:27:35 Here’s some guy named, uh, James Madison arguing that equal representation of states in the Senate, regardless of pвЂ¦ https://t.co/3aioQ9HFkx
15:07:09 Retweeted @AdamWeinstein 15:05:08 Hey remember when conservatives argued that a 2016 presidential candidate facing DOJ investigation and the DOJ’s prвЂ¦ https://t.co/PweaXVDc2w
15:47:26 Retweeted @sdkstl 01:53:47 ⚠️ This #RegisterToVote deadline chart making the rounds via @MarkRuffalo and others has a lot of errors. Don’t relвЂ¦ https://t.co/MkcI6G9KcT
18:05:28 Reading – New justice on the bench: Kavanaugh’s first Supreme Court cases (Pete Williams – NBC) https://t.co/e1UvNed3WE
18:14:30 Oops -> Google+ to shut down after coverup of data breach (Josh Constine – TechCrunch) https://t.co/Riu67o0coI
18:17:40 Reading – Hubble Space Telescope is in trouble after gyroscope failure (Swapna Krishna, Engadget) https://t.co/H8FdqY21M0
19:09:10 Retweeted @snocounty 16:52:35 We broke our single day voter registration record on National Voter Registration Day! If you have not registered toвЂ¦ https://t.co/xGjiI2rLFv
21:15:50 Retweeted @TimOBrien 20:19:58 In which вЃ¦@FahrentholdвЃ© and вЃ¦@OConnellPostbizвЃ© revisit a central question about the president’s finances: Where diвЂ¦ https://t.co/TMQNqpkHNS
22:30:14 WTF on leaving her outside. But also WTF on gender separation during an active shooter situation at all. FFS вЂњcloseвЂ¦ https://t.co/7pTlY1663r

@abulsme tweets from 2018-10-07 (UTC)

00:23:10 Retweeted @natsecHeather 00:19:21 This is the only post-vote piece you want to read. https://t.co/8nxIZT1n0z
00:38:04 Retweeted @notcapnamerica 00:36:08 He’s voting in the midterms. Are you? https://t.co/OnxEC1piPX in reply to notcapnamerica
00:56:59 Retweeted @dandrezner 2018-10-06 21:14:44 In the past few days, China has disappeared two prominent citizens, Russia has killed a prosecutor, and Saudi ArabiвЂ¦ https://t.co/n9qmWfhvU1
06:15:33 Curmudgeon’s Corner: Itself a Problem https://t.co/P1MmS42i62 https://t.co/yUHVGjufC8
07:16:02 Retweeted @omgShutUpDon 2018-10-03 12:39:45 Okay this is a quality meme https://t.co/AaXXa67GRl
15:33:29 Retweeted @peterbakernyt 12:49:16 For anyone who missed it last week, the вЃ¦@nytimesвЃ© reprints the extraordinary journalistic investigation of Trump’sвЂ¦ https://t.co/FQAJPainr5
15:45:38 Retweeted @kyledcheney 2018-10-06 23:22:32 Don McGahn blew off the president to try to save the Kavanaugh nomination, according to the Times:вЂ¦ https://t.co/OMZfzZ3oC0
15:52:57 Retweeted @davidfrum 15:24:21 The NYT story on Trump finances stops in 2004. Does anybody imagine that Trump’s tax practices improved thereafter?вЂ¦ https://t.co/rD7BAmDjcM
15:53:03 Retweeted @ssrac 10:52:58 @IAmSophiaNelson @NBCNewsTHINK That part <symbol><symbol><symbol> https://t.co/1fgylhH3JQ in reply to IAmSophiaNelson
20:41:56 Retweeted @AniketVijayShi5 15:43:21 Increadible close up view of planet size tornadoes on the sun….The TRACE ( Transition Region and Coronal ExplorerвЂ¦ https://t.co/ycvwto8igE
20:43:18 Retweeted @pashulman 17:38:39 Props to the guy who answered вЂњPangaea.вЂќ https://t.co/siwppS41lI
20:51:36 Retweeted @Statistikhengst 20:27:16 A project I have been working on for 3 months now: the prep work for comparing the 2018 HOR results (when they areвЂ¦ https://t.co/sydpyEhcU0
21:08:15 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 18:12:42 You’re not surprised, I know, but here it is. | “The Republican Party…is now the party of situational ethics andвЂ¦ https://t.co/m4WUejG6Rb
23:27:54 Thread https://t.co/k2q5eM0GJJ
23:49:07 Retweeted @Rainmaker1973 15:54:19 This machine is called HappyCow and it actually makes cows happy. Any cow can boot this device by making a slight pвЂ¦ https://t.co/HvPEp6XC0L
23:51:57 Retweeted @peterjukes 23:21:58 Er… @thehill. That’s not Susan Rice. That’s Condoleezza. https://t.co/I1yNjlLx8n

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Itself a Problem

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about the run up to the Kavanaugh confirmation, they game out the 2018 midterms, and discuss the New York Times story on Fred Trump’s empire and the questionable ways it was used to help Donald and his siblings. But first, they discuss a few movies.

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2018-10-05
Length this week – 1:39:54

(0:00:12-0:16:34) But First
- Get well soon Ed
- Agenda
- Sam Movie: Neverending Story II (1991)
- Sam Movie: Maleficent (2014)
- Ivan Movies: The Twilight Saga (2008-2012)
(0:17:14-0:49:36) Kavanaugh
- Timing Disclaimer
- FBI report
- Things not in the report
- Do lies matter?
- Does being an asshole matter?
- Why didn’t Trump dump him?
- Undecided Senators
(0:52:17-1:15:53) Election 2018
- Election Graphs update
- House and Senate mirror images
- Misinterpreting odds
- Enthusiasm
- Gaming out the Senate
- Kavanaugh Impact
- House generic ballot
- Changes in the next month?
- 2016 odds revisited
(1:16:29-1:39:33) Fred Trump’s Empire
- Tax fraud schemes
- Bailing out Donald
- Are the Trumps in trouble now?
- Are they still doing it?
- Where is his money coming from now?
- Investigations?
- Other people doing this

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

@abulsme tweets from 2018-10-06 (UTC)

03:35:05 Retweeted @yashar 01:12:09 Oh Dear…. https://t.co/3cAwyvqSuW
03:35:48 Retweeted @asymmetricinfo 2018-10-05 13:53:14 And people ask me why I’m a libertarian. If any American cannot legally own a kangaroo, can any of us be truly free? https://t.co/NELpavPXS8
03:36:08 Retweeted @brianbeutler 01:36:45 The White House now has proof of concept that it can control the scope of an investigation to assure a specific outвЂ¦ https://t.co/67CS2q6NY9
03:41:49 <symbol> https://t.co/4JMABmm2Jv
03:59:23 What an ass. https://t.co/Rqz6X2YJW4
04:15:23 Retweeted @JCTheResistance 02:54:54 Hey @MoveOn @benwiklerWe lose the Senate, this is on you and your ridiculous purity test.
This is no time forвЂ¦ https://t.co/A1rhOZSNdH
04:16:48 Retweeted @JordanUhl 03:36:16 HOLY SHIT this is incrediblehttps://t.co/ObGFl4mKeR
04:20:17 Retweeted @Ange_Amene 03:09:10 In many ways Bernie Sanders is the biggest loser ever to come out of the 2016 election.He truly ruined his own cвЂ¦ https://t.co/ycAtU1ZUTW
04:52:43 Retweeted @SteveSchmidtSES 2018-10-05 20:10:03 The price of Brett Kavanaugh’s ascension to the the SC is incalculably high. It will shatter the institutional inteвЂ¦ https://t.co/cEEuNx5ugX
09:07:34 I’m not quite where Brendan is, but… https://t.co/TBplOeNsx1
13:49:25 Retweeted @ChadPergram 13:01:39 Senate vote on Kavanaugh today expected to be 50 yeas, 48 nays & GOP AK Sen (who opposes) voting “present.”). One absence, GOP MT Sen Daines
15:37:48 Listening to Crimetown S2 E01: Stop the Robberies, Enjoy Safe Streets https://t.co/UwpwWaxGas
19:03:28 Retweeted @sdkstl 19:02:11 pls read today’s statement from Debbie Ramirez (via @CarolLeonnig) https://t.co/Juh7fM394d
20:04:00 I hope Collins against all odds ends up being right about Kavanaugh ending up as a moderate. Or perhaps that RobertвЂ¦ https://t.co/P68Zdg4PwJ
20:04:28 Retweeted @BBCBreaking 20:01:45 US Senate confirms Donald Trump’s Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, as protesters removed from the gallery https://t.co/HUt7eoBbNG
23:55:43 Retweeted @MollyMcKew 23:53:12 Dear tweeps: If you want to understand what you’re up against, you should read this thread, and understand that theвЂ¦ https://t.co/danTtEcK8p
23:56:26 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 23:49:37 2018 House forecast update 10/6… Median: Democrats 225 – Republicans 210… Error bar from Dems getting 204 to DeвЂ¦ https://t.co/feeXhEwgAM

@abulsme tweets from 2018-10-05 (UTC)

05:34:18 Not suspicious at all. https://t.co/eT3uGEVf7m
05:41:02 Retweeted @stefschwartz 2018-10-04 15:46:26 last night at the bar a man tried to grab me by the shoulder to ask if he could buy me a drink and his friend was lвЂ¦ https://t.co/ZBxXar6x9g
06:12:25 Retweeted @ThatEricAlper 2018-10-03 00:46:46 When you’re overqualified for the job https://t.co/saGvom7OOS
06:16:30 Retweeted @Reuters 06:00:00 Molten iron-splashing show amazes spectators as China celebrates National Day https://t.co/1EJzQDiONs
06:37:30 Retweeted @newscientist 2018-10-04 14:30:10 What if your phone had a robotic finger? https://t.co/7KZgTCrmkc https://t.co/typcF8zhGm
14:20:34 Retweeted @FoxReports 14:15:51 State of play this morning
-Murkowski still undecided
-Manchin: вЂњProbably undecided till I walk in the doorвЂќ to votвЂ¦ https://t.co/IcKEYAAknZ
14:50:40 On cloture: Flake yes, Collins yes, Murkowski no, Manchin Yes. Colin’s, Murkowski, Manchin still all say they are undecided on final.
15:04:35 Retweeted @fordm 14:57:12 The most painful outcome for Dems would be Murkowski and Collins voting against Kavanaugh on the final vote, but aвЂ¦ https://t.co/MpXcPYJRcP in reply to fordm
15:07:34 Retweeted @brianklaas 14:54:08 There is now a plausible scenario in which Collins and Murkowski vote “No” and a Democrat, Joe Manchin of West VirgвЂ¦ https://t.co/BZ2nbDXORp
15:27:47 Retweeted @chrisgeidner 15:18:31 So, we can stop the Daines-missing-the-vote possibility. https://t.co/9T4S16klAf
16:03:16 Retweeted @KevinDaleyDC 16:01:18 JUST IN: @JeffFlake tells reporters on Capitol Hill that he will vote YES on Judge Kavanaugh’s confirmation.
16:04:55 Retweeted @kazweida 15:59:47 Somebody corner Jeff Flake in an elevator ASAP. https://t.co/YMcD80IsXX
16:05:47 Retweeted @jeffzeleny 16:01:41 Sen. Murkowski explained her vote to reporters leaving the floor, calling it вЂњthe most difficult evaluationвЂќ she’sвЂ¦ https://t.co/7aLrU5PPk4
16:16:14 Retweeted @MarkHarrisNYC 16:14:45 It seems clear that Collins and Manchin are holding hands and preparing to jump into their legacy. One way or the other.
16:17:27 Retweeted @AliABCNews 16:05:57 Here’s her full comments to reporters just now. She went back into the Senate lobby and said she’ll be making a floвЂ¦ https://t.co/9AO80tlcYA in reply to AliABCNews
17:14:50 @imbou At the time the drinking age was 18 in Maryland, Kavanaugh was 17. It got raised to 21 before his 18th birthday. in reply to imbou
17:18:07 @imbou Only the later ones. But my point was not that. The point was so many people dismissing underage drinking asвЂ¦ https://t.co/SaMPtZcJ88 in reply to imbou
18:00:55 Retweeted @chrisgeidner 18:00:27 If confirmed, the best Kavanaugh could do, given what we know, would be a 51-49 vote вЂ” the closest Supreme Court coвЂ¦ https://t.co/WaXombJpcp in reply to chrisgeidner
19:01:00 Retweeted @StevenTDennis 18:57:40 !! Susan Collins is at her desk. She has what appears to be a THICK speech in front of her.
19:03:29 Retweeted @pkcapitol 19:00:12 So Collins is at her desk on Senate floor reviewing her statement. Waiting her turn to speak. In about 5 mins.
IfвЂ¦ https://t.co/glBkQgrso6
19:09:34 Here we go. Collins talking.
19:11:48 Sure sounds like a yes so far.
19:13:52 Retweeted @AaronBlake 19:12:42 This isn’t sounding like Collins is a “no.” Hitting just about every GOP talking point about Dem opposition.
19:16:24 Retweeted @jonallendc 19:15:55 Sounds like “hell yes, and I was here all the time.” https://t.co/zO3TMLOTfg
19:17:05 Retweeted @KristiCCoulter 19:10:30 Just a note that if Collins is a yes, she deserves the same contempt and ruination (eg TOTAL) as her male colleagueвЂ¦ https://t.co/1lkGsbmAQV
19:17:32 Retweeted @joshchafetz 19:16:21 If there’s a turn coming here, it would be one of the most epic acts of public misdirection since … well, since JвЂ¦ https://t.co/trUxyF1i66
19:17:48 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 19:16:25 Just what the country needed right now: a stirring lecture on the doctrine of separability
19:19:59 Retweeted @mkraju 19:17:00 So far, Susan Collins’ speech is all pro-Kavanaugh, going through his judicial record and has yet to discuss sexualвЂ¦ https://t.co/S1nGCjoBjb
19:23:53 Retweeted @jkarsh 19:21:50 My God, Susan Collins sounds gullible. How can I get in touch with her about and incredibly valuable opportunity involving some swampland?
19:24:27 Retweeted @evanchill 19:21:39 Susan Collins is going to have an incredibly well-funded opponent.
19:29:10 Retweeted @kathrynw5 19:27:25 Collins, speaking for nearly 20 minutes now, has not specifically mentioned the sexual misconduct allegations levelвЂ¦ https://t.co/uomnVthRHn
19:31:17 Retweeted @alexwagner 19:14:34 Collins, far from being swayed by the voices of survivors, appears frustrated and angered by the chaos they have caвЂ¦ https://t.co/rzMWz5hsOE
19:31:43 Retweeted @MrFelt_ 19:28:34 So, kegger at Squi’s tonight?
19:34:38 Retweeted @MelissaRyan 19:31:27 Wow. She’s now praising Brett Kavanaugh for being pro-woman. Collins is just trolling us now.
19:36:23 Retweeted @TopherSpiro 19:35:52 Doesn’t even sound like it was a close call for Susan Collins. She was going to vote yes from the beginning. She prвЂ¦ https://t.co/t0WiC4Wo3N
19:36:37 Retweeted @JamesSurowiecki 19:35:59 Very clear, not just from Collins’ comments but from others, that Swetnick’s story actually hurt Ford’s case, rather than helping it.
19:39:44 Retweeted @jeffzeleny 19:39:07 COLLINS: This is not a criminal trial But fairness would dictate that the claims at least should meet a threshold oвЂ¦ https://t.co/OEmUVKjnsC
19:40:44 Retweeted @AuthorLMendez 19:39:27 I honestly would be stunned if Collins isn’t seriously considering retirement. This is a very YOLO hard right partiвЂ¦ https://t.co/6jGGg3stPg
19:41:01 Retweeted @burgessev 19:39:31 Collins on Ford accusations: вЂњI do not believe that these charges can fairly prevent Judge Kavanaugh from serving on the courtвЂќ
19:42:43 Retweeted @NiallStanage 19:36:30 Sen. Collins doesn’t sound like someone who was really agonizing over her vote, to be honest.
Pretty emphatic in asвЂ¦ https://t.co/zLLKr084JG
19:43:39 Retweeted @erinscafe 19:40:58 I mean, I’m no law expert, but I’m pretty sure you could vote no just because he’s kind of a dick in reply to erinscafe
19:46:40 Retweeted @jimgeraghty 19:34:01 Order now and we’ll send you the complete 5 DVD set of Susan Collins’ remarks on the Kavanaugh nomination…
19:47:27 Retweeted @lpolgreen 19:32:39 I think this is correct. Roberts will become the swing vote on the court because he cares deeply about the institutвЂ¦ https://t.co/HlXUpsE2rh
19:50:28 Retweeted @LACaldwellDC 19:27:37 These are not Sens. capitoвЂs and Hyde-Smiths regular senate seats. (Both are GOP women supporting Kavanaugh) https://t.co/HnG4vwaIIj
19:51:25 Retweeted @Hegemommy 19:15:06 Susan Collins voting for Kavanaugh is the perfect snapshot of white women bringing Trump and his administration over the finish line.
19:52:13 Collins done finally. Yes. We are done here.
19:53:43 Retweeted @normative 19:52:45 LoL. https://t.co/92JNUVPmbl
19:54:17 Retweeted @yashar 19:52:53 Collins ends her 42 minute speech with: “Mr. President, I will vote to confirm Judge Kavanaugh.”Barring some majвЂ¦ https://t.co/mf6n5DRrb2
20:01:35 So almost certainly 51-49 in favor of Kavanaugh tomorrow. One Senator on each side flipping sides.
20:30:44 !! https://t.co/VDu5mKWAMl
20:38:26 Retweeted @KimberlyEAtkins 19:43:22 The narrative accepted by GOP Republicans, including Collins now, that Dr. Ford suffered an assault by someone butвЂ¦ https://t.co/eIYiEYtS1b
20:53:29 Retweeted @chrislhayes 20:26:14 The logic of popular democracy, and the structural fact of minority rule are going to make for an increasingly combustible mix.
20:53:46 Retweeted @peteschroeder 20:51:37 Collins speech backing Kavanaugh clocks in at 4,192 words. https://t.co/M8VJilhZCe
20:55:06 Retweeted @DavidWright_CNN 20:23:21 Susan Collins finished her speech less than an hour ago and already, former Obama official Susan Rice and the SpeakвЂ¦ https://t.co/9I6ThVigjP
20:55:34 Retweeted @AmbassadorRice 20:40:17 Many thanks for the encourgement. I’m not making any announcements. Like so many Americans, I am deeply disappointeвЂ¦ https://t.co/f7FYxJXNse
22:07:40 Retweeted @notcapnamerica 20:07:01 You all should’ve voted on November 8th, 2016.This is the “revolution” Susan Sarandon said would come.
If you BeвЂ¦ https://t.co/qVKxnYgm8k
23:50:01 Retweeted @mpdillon 22:24:58 I’d like to see Collins retired as much as anyone, but Dean Heller made the same vote, is up in 31 days, and even hвЂ¦ https://t.co/NKDpYiMonx

@abulsme tweets from 2018-10-04 (UTC)

02:22:57 Retweeted @MaxBoot 2018-10-03 18:34:36 In place of his soul Trump has a black hole. The only way he can make himself feel better вЂ“ to fill the emptiness iвЂ¦ https://t.co/05SeYmMUp6
03:03:53 Trusting it will leak to the public by Noon Eastern? https://t.co/FEyMJl3IF8
03:18:20 Retweeted @ChadPergram 01:54:56 McConnell files cloture to end debate on Kavanaugh nomination. Sets up Friday procedural vote & prospective Saturday confirmation vote
14:03:03 Surprise! https://t.co/C24UODmPKt
14:41:06 I liked a @YouTube video https://t.co/TUN9QlzBGE How To Use An Inhaler | How To Use A Ventolin Inhaler Properly Correctly | Asthma
15:15:28 Oops https://t.co/KimZd01yO2
18:24:24 Retweeted @DomenicoNPR 14:57:30 Biggest story of the year that has had the least impact because of all the other stuff and the lack of apparent carвЂ¦ https://t.co/hY9EFRXeDb
19:46:49 Retweeted @SenatorHeitkamp 18:29:22 My statement on U.S. Supreme Court nominee Judge Brett Kavanaugh: https://t.co/exZcK78JtF
19:57:27 OK then. https://t.co/q5Iog1oCxY
20:14:08 Retweeted @kevinroose 2018-10-03 14:23:13 Facebook’s new “group history” tool is amazing. You can see, for example, that one of the largest pro-Kavanaugh groвЂ¦ https://t.co/YvwRsodm9W
20:16:30 Retweeted @EsotericCD 19:52:22 Okay, I’ve not said shit about this publicly, but here: I grew up in Potomac, MD. My brother went to Prep. I nearlyвЂ¦ https://t.co/7NUiGGuAYB
20:19:11 Retweeted @kaitlancollins 19:13:43 Wow. Heitkamp on her decision to vote no on Kavanaugh: “This isn’t a political decision. If this were a political dвЂ¦ https://t.co/MtRhIxKnsq
21:15:02 Retweeted @sapinker 20:26:32 How to use Bayesian reasoning to think through whether Kavanaugh did It (and to be aware of the role of prior biaseвЂ¦ https://t.co/IKIaLzDBMu
21:30:03 Retweeted @seungminkim 20:29:56 .@ChuckGrassley‘s whip count, as relayed to me, @eschor and @LACaldwellDC on a noisy Senate train:”I know that wвЂ¦ https://t.co/tM064VO1qz
22:08:45 Retweeted @paulwaldman1 12:48:44 By the way, 36 hours ago we learned that the president engaged in a years-long conspiracy to commit tax fraud on aвЂ¦ https://t.co/GWf9squ5Md
22:10:40 Retweeted @CahnEmily 15:41:12 Predictions:
Kavanaugh will be confirmed
Republicans sugar high over battle will fade, won’t impact their turnout oвЂ¦ https://t.co/bATZg1RBmM
22:10:57 Retweeted @MikeDelMoro 22:06:46 MSNBC’s @GarrettHaake reports a group of 18 women just left Senator Murkowski’s officeвЂ”some of them sexual assaultвЂ¦ https://t.co/0IfV4P3nQY
22:22:10 Retweeted @davidenrich 22:00:48 All I can say is that we talked to a bunch of Georgetown Prep ’83 alumni. They said they’d never heard of Devil’s TвЂ¦ https://t.co/7BO6S5crkY
22:29:27 In a lot of the coverage, people on all sides are saying things like вЂњHS kids drinking is not an issue or wrong, itвЂ¦ https://t.co/qjOXATpKBz
23:46:11 Retweeted @willwilkinson 23:43:49 That strong partisan identity is 100% compatible with “ideological innocence” (a nice way of saying “all over the mвЂ¦ https://t.co/4YaOgRIVUX

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