Abulsme.com: Saturday, March 17th, 2018

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Soap Opera of the Royal Court

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan get some feedback. It seems last week’s show was their worst show ever. Too much Russia conspiracy theory stuff and Trump palace intrigue stuff. Not enough on “real” policy stuff. So they talk about that feedback and defend themselves a bit. Then they move on to talk about, well, uh, Trump palace intrigue stuff. They wrap it up with reaction to PA-18 and what it may mean for Election 2018, which is at least a little different, right?

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Show Details:

Recorded 2018-03-16
Length this week – 1:50:18

(0:01:00-0:10:36) Daylight Saving Time
(0:11:15-0:46:01) Feedback
(0:47:43-1:25:11) White House Staff
(1:26:31-1:49:59) Election 2018

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@abulsme tweets from 2018-03-16 (UTC)

00:10:22 The underlying stuff here seems like we have heard it before. The letter is new I guess. https://t.co/ghqz60tZRN
02:27:02 It seems this is really just a truth in advertising sort of thing. If they were just called salespeople, there woulвЂ¦ https://t.co/0jpHmIqDDF
03:02:38 Sigh. https://t.co/CgBSt6SIXA
07:22:50 This is great. https://t.co/nxNLoXcz5l
07:35:32 That is a lot of gold. https://t.co/axvTxUXBvw
07:53:26 Retweeted @nowthisnews 01:03:00 Everything wrong with Fox News in one video https://t.co/MhnApiQ3pG
07:58:15 This is fine. https://t.co/r6Nhq5xOFC
11:38:46 Is anyone surprised? https://t.co/Tf8GUpeO6t
11:40:24 Retweeted @katerstots 2018-03-14 11:54:21 Fun PA-18 voting anecdote for y’all: I had the privilege of witnessing an 18 year old ride his bike 2+ miles whileвЂ¦ https://t.co/jBapxsZRe2
14:44:45 That is a kind of big correction. https://t.co/YPPIsscv2B
14:55:14 It will be interesting to watch this play out. https://t.co/gJ6NN3ufQ5
16:52:07 Retweeted @hiattf 16:30:36 A second-grader once pointed a gun at me. I’m glad I wasn’t armed. A tender, terrifying story about what teaching iвЂ¦ https://t.co/wXk2ixpzeU
17:45:48 So sad. -> вЂHis little heart gave out’: Boy dies five years after being crushed by tree limb as a toddler https://t.co/PdtVSFWFT4
20:07:31 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 18:56:05 NK: Let’s have a summit
POTUS: Okay!
WH STAFF: WTF
NK: We weren’t serious
WH STAFF: Neither was he
POTUS: I totallyвЂ¦ https://t.co/y1LATLbUlB
20:31:04 Retweeted @royarafei 20:16:40 Statement from Wylie Greer, 17, who chose to receive corporal punishment as consequence of the #walkout on WednesdaвЂ¦ https://t.co/Grlb04mnUA
22:38:02 What a wonderful eye raising tidbitвЂ¦ https://t.co/IZEUsIJeSG

@abulsme tweets from 2018-03-15 (UTC)

01:44:21 Retweeted @WotDpod 01:17:45 Today’s episode of popular Wiki of the Day is on the article Stephen Hawking.Listen to the new episode here:вЂ¦ https://t.co/fSH3ThbrUW
01:45:41 <symbol> https://t.co/eVnO9p7Zuf
01:56:17 Retweeted @owillis 01:37:47 You couldn’t make up how dumb these guys are https://t.co/0z5FXSTLVm
02:01:20 Wow https://t.co/vM1Qf2u24Y
03:10:47 Good luck with that. https://t.co/EbAdRs72kT
03:20:20 вЂвЂњIt’s the bowling ball test. They take a bowling ball from 20 feet up in the air and drop it on the hood of the caвЂ¦ https://t.co/RZJnhx6snT
06:05:06 Retweeted @AaronBlake 2018-03-14 19:58:25 % of Americans who wants stricter gun laws just hit a quarter-century high: 67% https://t.co/EP32sAh2W2
06:18:52 Retweeted @ShaunKing 2018-03-14 13:32:00 He was a graduate of Texas State University and was an accomplished Senior Project Manager.I kid you not, the poвЂ¦ https://t.co/QMp4h5MsQ1
07:24:06 Very cool https://t.co/3uCYanozEB
07:28:46 Thread https://t.co/6lRWwfW55l
07:31:52 This is a good direction. https://t.co/hP3a3KJg7S
15:38:53 Thread https://t.co/YWMs1nvHG6
20:37:45 It was unclear why they didn’t just ask. Ha. -> Mueller Subpoenas Trump Organization, Demanding Documents About RusвЂ¦ https://t.co/WglOnWVR7D
20:50:49 It seems like it is always tomorrow. https://t.co/AibD3guOVi
20:58:02 Retweeted @dandrezner 2018-03-14 15:03:23 This piece got buried during yesterday’s Tillerson news, but please to read. https://t.co/0jNe0gwePg
21:50:34 Retweeted @natsecHeather 21:46:21 Once i got it into my head to tell President @BillClinton that a number he loved, about formerly unemployed peopleвЂ¦ https://t.co/AQRW08turU
21:50:37 Retweeted @natsecHeather 21:48:26 Know what happened? Nothing! He was perfectly able to tell the story with a corrected number, and I didn’t get fireвЂ¦ https://t.co/MbS2dAMVAl in reply to natsecHeather
23:54:04 Wut https://t.co/4NIfaVdhHl

@abulsme tweets from 2018-03-14 (UTC)

00:24:05 Retweeted @micahcohen 00:14:37 People have pre-written their #PA18 takes, right? I assume you have at least three?Saccone win >+5: GOP slightlyвЂ¦ https://t.co/Aaep25AbpK
00:32:14 Retweeted @markberman 00:15:14 I keep reading this over and over and over and it just remains a perfect paragraph about the Trump presidencyвЂ¦ https://t.co/WSR4s2M9cE
00:32:34 Retweeted @Redistrict 00:29:41 Breaking: first precinct IN! Pleasant Hills (Allegheny Co.) district 6.2016: Trump (R) +14.9%
2018: Lamb (D) +5.5%
00:41:04 Retweeted @Redistrict 00:37:11 More good news for Lamb. Bridgeville precinct 2 (Allegheny Co.):2016: Clinton (D) +0.5%
2018: Lamb (D) +25.3%

LaвЂ¦ https://t.co/d4HOEROYl9
00:47:12 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 00:43:45 GOP drop-off in vote share already pretty damning. Will see if it holds. If soвЂ¦ Lamb will win https://t.co/cZCQZRlqNR in reply to gelliottmorris
00:47:18 Retweeted @chrisgeidner 00:43:47 “If this continues like this … it’s going to be a very early night.” – @B_M_Finnigan in reply to chrisgeidner
00:51:18 Retweeted @FailedProtostar 2018-03-13 22:23:12 I think about this @erinscafe thread from 2016 at least one a month. https://t.co/IslTikILZk
00:53:20 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 00:48:00 Over all, turnout is right in line with our expectations, currently running at 99% of our forecast (which projected to 229k districtwide) in reply to Nate_Cohn
00:53:58 Retweeted @Taniel 00:48:15 Note we’re not seeing such swings of more than 20% (what Lamb needs districtwide) in all precincts; in the only 2 AвЂ¦ https://t.co/bnnQAD1iMc in reply to Taniel
00:55:18 Retweeted @Redistrict 00:49:01 The most GOP-heavy Allegheny precinct that’s reported so far (Jefferson Hills) is only at 54.7% of its 2016 turnoutвЂ¦ https://t.co/T4ZuMSIdIc
01:00:48 Retweeted @CahnEmily 00:52:59 PA Republican operative —> https://t.co/igCglPK2W5
01:03:42 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 00:54:19 Overall, things are looking a lot like we thought a tied race would look, if a hair better for Lamb. It’s going toвЂ¦ https://t.co/TdZdb99heT in reply to Nate_Cohn
01:09:53 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 01:08:57 27% in now. Unclear if Lamb can pull this off. He’s running out of votes in Allegheny https://t.co/8g2axf3QP6
01:10:44 Retweeted @benchmarkpol 01:09:32 The race is very early right now. If you had to ask me, Lamb is successfully getting the +20 point improvements heвЂ¦ https://t.co/DmmLfDHsIq
01:13:39 Retweeted @FrankLuntz 01:11:19 Conor Lamb’s lead now in the single digits (+9) with 38% of precincts in. #PA18Will the remaining в…” of precinctsвЂ¦ https://t.co/zZbzjKLa3K
01:18:02 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 01:13:07 Sure looks blueвЂ¦ https://t.co/gv65g35TGF in reply to gelliottmorris
01:18:31 Retweeted @kkondik 01:13:37 A reminder here that if Lamb wins by 1-2 or Saccone wins by 1-2 it shouldn’t change the takeaway all that much
01:19:54 Retweeted @ryanstruyk 01:14:17 The latest from #PA18:Allegheny County
2016: R+4%
2018 (so far): D+15%

Greene County
2016: R+43%
2018 (so far):вЂ¦ https://t.co/vI4JdbVJZ0
01:22:19 Retweeted @Redistrict 01:16:02 I’d still maybe rather be Lamb (D) but this is a *very* close special. #PA18
01:32:08 Ouch https://t.co/fvURDodsh5
01:32:36 Retweeted @Redistrict 01:30:41 Right now, all the counties are breaking as they would in a tied #PA18 outcome. The reason I might but a thumb on tвЂ¦ https://t.co/YKtdBC4ehz
01:33:45 Oh no. The needle is broken! https://t.co/ChmDQTtE7B
01:35:16 Retweeted @Taniel 01:31:42 We may not yet know who will win #PA18, but in a +20% Trump district there’s no question which party should feel grвЂ¦ https://t.co/jpwkqbptQ0
01:36:40 Retweeted @LarrySabato 01:32:46 The loved and hated @nytimes “needle” has broken down (at least temporarily). The only thing that can fix a bad (guвЂ¦ https://t.co/gcyD5SNKxR
01:39:38 Retweeted @benchmarkpol 01:33:54 Looking at the overperformance right now, the Benchmark model is showing Lamb +1. Running up in Alleghenny and flipвЂ¦ https://t.co/WiUfTgzB1j
01:45:14 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 01:34:50 Alright folks, we’ve shut the needle down. As mentioned earlier, Westmoreland County isn’t going to produce precincвЂ¦ https://t.co/2dXvntoq7M in reply to Nate_Cohn
01:45:17 Retweeted @JMilesColeman 01:36:06 Come over to my feed, guys – we at least have maps of it! ;) https://t.co/kotlVQjjdE
01:47:16 Yup. Good job @DecisionDeskHQ! https://t.co/LAKr4Tavhc
01:47:57 Retweeted @benchmarkpol 01:46:21 With the big batch that just came in from Washington, the race is nearly tied, with Lamb ahead by 2500 votes. It wiвЂ¦ https://t.co/qrHEUUCTjv
01:53:55 Retweeted @chrisgeidner 01:46:20 “Now it’s really, really tight.” вЂ” @B_M_Finnigan, #PA18 https://t.co/uvk4cLPiUz in reply to chrisgeidner
01:57:07 Retweeted @aseitzwald 01:36:08 Perspective: There are 114 GOP-held seats more competitive than #pa18 based on Cook PVI, per Dem strategist.
01:57:31 Retweeted @SteveKornacki 01:45:47 Greene County, which is by far the smallest portion of district, 100% in:Saccone (R) 58%
Lamb (D) 41%

2016:
Trump (R) 70%
Clinton (d) 27%
01:57:41 Retweeted @Redistrict 01:46:35 Lamb (D) lead down to 2,493 votes (1.4%) w/ 87% of precincts reporting. The remaining precincts lean *slightly* SacвЂ¦ https://t.co/NJzU0GOlfa
02:01:13 Retweeted @aseitzwald 01:59:25 Meanwhile –> https://t.co/tLAfCIOd8c
02:09:41 Yes please. :-) https://t.co/gYPDkNbk0N
02:11:41 Odds of this are increasing… https://t.co/pWOuTt3euV
02:13:00 Retweeted @PollsAndVotes 02:05:51 If you need the Needle right now, visualize it rapidly vibrating between +.5 Lamb and +.5 Saccone. Narrow range. GrвЂ¦ https://t.co/cbPD37d02e
02:13:55 Thread on how a recount and such would work… https://t.co/QEcbYHPGVm
02:16:25 Retweeted @monkeycageblog 02:09:23 Assuming essentially 50-50 split in #PA18, here’s how much Democrats have beaten the 2016 presidential vote marginвЂ¦ https://t.co/gInJtkq4oH
02:23:16 Yup https://t.co/3j9YllzTWC
02:24:56 Retweeted @Redistrict 01:49:47 Needless to say, the fact #PA18 is headed for a photo finish is pretty bad news for Republicans nationally.
02:27:30 Absentee votes will matter. Possible recount. Nice. https://t.co/kZXlDCta59
02:28:16 Retweeted @Redistrict 02:23:39 It’s been reported that there were about 6-7k absentees cast in #PA18. In the past, absentees have run slightly morвЂ¦ https://t.co/GMN8oB18Oc
02:30:47 Retweeted @varadmehta 02:25:10 The PA-18 election is another one where the margin of the swing towards the Democrats is greater than their lead onвЂ¦ https://t.co/xQAzaz87a1
02:32:31 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 02:25:46 We’re waiting on 16 (SIXTEEN!) precincts now.Reporting Lamb Margin: +0.5
Projected Lamb Margin: +0.1
Worst LambвЂ¦ https://t.co/vRSstBdNMO in reply to gelliottmorris
02:34:12 Retweeted @DecisionDeskHQ 02:24:35 According to our reporter covering Washington County in PA-18, they will not be counting absentee ballots until the morning.
02:39:26 Retweeted @varadmehta 02:37:13 The only way to settle #PA18 is to have the folks from Virginia who decided the tiebreaker in the VA Assembly raceвЂ¦ https://t.co/WZjE2J2aVF
02:45:54 Retweeted @steveschale 02:28:26 If 2018 holds to form, this thing will end in a tie, then when they flip the coin, the quarter will roll down some heating duct.
02:56:19 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 02:41:08 1200 absentee ballots won’t be counted until tomorrow. If you want to stay up until a call, you’ll be awake a longвЂ¦ https://t.co/REkvSf7XoZ in reply to gelliottmorris
02:57:00 Retweeted @Redistrict 02:29:31 Lamb (D) should expect a pretty healthy boost from uncounted absentees. Why? 1) They’ve historically skewed Dem 2)вЂ¦ https://t.co/533BN1MCxP
02:58:21 Yup. There is suspense in the close race, but in the end no matter who wins, R’s are hurting. https://t.co/Ee7TklmfZt
03:06:05 Retweeted @FrankLuntz 03:04:44 With 99% of the vote counted, Conor Lamb leads by 95 votes.Absentee votes will finish being counted tomorrow.вЂ¦ https://t.co/anazRpY60K
03:10:25 Retweeted @amandacarpenter 03:06:40 Hah. This is the Libertarian (spoiler) candidate. https://t.co/QIuC6oQd4j
03:17:46 Retweeted @NateSilver538 03:09:43 This is just not credible spin. This result is really awful for the GOP. It’s *also* just one data point, so … wвЂ¦ https://t.co/eTtY135RLO in reply to NateSilver538
03:26:50 Nope https://t.co/FzKvxxkrLB
03:29:43 Retweeted @williamjordann 03:25:17 Approx. ad $ spent per vote won in #PA18:Team Saccone (R): $74
Team Lamb (D): $41

https://t.co/xZOylzEaFk)
03:37:08 Retweeted @jaketapper 03:28:54 Westmoreland County elections director tells CNN her county is counting its 1,808 absentee ballots right now; shoulвЂ¦ https://t.co/JlXE2lURRi
03:37:18 Retweeted @MrDanZak 03:28:59 Here’s a map that means something. https://t.co/KCJZctYbh7 #pa18 https://t.co/qeIPBsFvEe
03:39:59 There are advantages to being on the West Coast. https://t.co/NHxL84s9Vc
03:46:24 Oh. :-( https://t.co/EDveY2334i
04:20:11 Retweeted @benchmarkpol 04:16:04 If you are a Republican incumbent in a Trump +10-15 district tonight seeing these results and realizing Nunes, RyanвЂ¦ https://t.co/D1TL86M44F
06:38:52 Retweeted @ShaunKing 2018-03-13 23:02:12 #DraylenMason.This is the brilliant 17 year old brother who was murdered yesterday by the package bomb brought toвЂ¦ https://t.co/cvDB7FkV4r
14:55:28 The kids are alright. https://t.co/r2AybDECxf
17:29:11 Retweeted @sydbrownstone 17:07:21 Rice: вЂњWe as teenagers will not fall for the lie that politicians have spoon fed us in order to protect their moneyвЂ¦ https://t.co/XQW8N68TyY in reply to sydbrownstone
17:40:16 Retweeted @EverettHerald 17:32:07 Classes at high schools all over Snohomish County were disrupted for 17 minutes in remembrance #WalkoutSnoCoвЂ¦ https://t.co/Ju5SfbscHe
17:47:24 Maybe the only one at your school. But not the only one. https://t.co/fQ69H7Af6V
17:59:08 And this is BEFORE whatever other things Trump and the rest of the R’s manage to screw up before November. https://t.co/dcIr8zYtAZ
18:02:21 Most of the school walkout reports I’ve seen have been from blue leaning areas. I’d be very interested in reports fвЂ¦ https://t.co/rKy6PrqJxa
18:05:16 Lovely. https://t.co/GgwUSTV3gF
18:47:41 Retweeted @pdanahar 18:43:29 In a distracted moment I misread the TV strap as saying Trump had appointed Lisa Kudrow as his new economic advisorвЂ¦ https://t.co/VNOl9axCP2
19:06:15 Tick tock. Tick tock. Lets get as much of this done before we record this week’s https://t.co/oGKzQgIAlj podcast toвЂ¦ https://t.co/TADcNNJvHG
20:38:37 WTF. No. https://t.co/0cZLY9WJPC
20:56:20 Following up on an earlier tweet storm. Awful story. So sad. https://t.co/E9xzsTVNzG
21:02:23 Retweeted @loisbeckett 14:02:58 Elementary school walkout in Alexandria, Virginia. More than 65 kids, and they are totally silent. Look at those faвЂ¦ https://t.co/JG9X38iSoE
21:02:30 Retweeted @loisbeckett 16:34:04 “In the class, there’s been some parents that felt that we’re not old enough to know about it,” Carter, 11, a co-orвЂ¦ https://t.co/NIYNhltDFW in reply to loisbeckett
21:04:01 Retweeted @loisbeckett 18:19:49 The full Q&A with the 11-year-old organizers: https://t.co/JIMsNdi5mj in reply to loisbeckett
21:39:45 Who in their right mind would voluntarily jump in there at this point? But people are going to join. So watch out. https://t.co/4l52LMMnVg

@abulsme tweets from 2018-03-13 (UTC)

02:14:24 Sounds like Trump. https://t.co/7d5ru52JFB
02:56:44 Until you can read the book, this is a good start… https://t.co/moQa9LzcMQ
14:43:19 Yawn, just waking up here on the West Coast. Probably a quiet morning with nothing happening in the news, right?
15:01:08 So who is Acting SoS until Pompeo’s confirmation? Oh, who are we kidding? It doesn’t actually matter.
15:16:38 This is lovely. https://t.co/hBJOTFDtC8
15:26:23 Anybody remember the reports of the Tillerson/Mattis/Mnuchin вЂњsuicide pactвЂќ? I guess we will see if there was anythвЂ¦ https://t.co/6NHnXeCFq8
15:41:24 Oops https://t.co/JBIkOaw4fY
16:35:43 Ouch https://t.co/x7cvxxPqLg
16:39:24 Slow morning. https://t.co/WALOOorZg7
16:42:37 Of course. https://t.co/BzXueMkw4P
16:44:40 Oh yeah, and another dead RussianвЂ¦ https://t.co/bn2s7HFtp9
16:44:59 Fun week this week. https://t.co/nAmVAaQalD
16:58:07 Aw, so sadвЂ¦ https://t.co/1G4TAcyQ1c
17:10:01 Fasten your seatbeltsвЂ¦ https://t.co/XfjBBN7kjc
17:41:19 Retweeted @RobbieGramer 17:15:15 Here’s a stark statistic for you:
After the dust settles today, and before Pompeo is confirmed, 8 of the 9 top jobsвЂ¦ https://t.co/SMnNJHxZOy in reply to RobbieGramer
18:13:35 Tillerson sounds like he is going to cry.
19:17:11 Good job. https://t.co/QwfzBNNhSC
19:38:13 Trump is asking about вЂњthe importance of see-thruвЂќ for the wall. Sigh.
19:51:15 Retweeted @btitus 19:51:03 @abulsme someone should clue him in to transparent aluminum. in reply to abulsme
19:59:54 Woo? https://t.co/lCFOY6xhJm
20:26:41 Retweeted @natsecHeather 20:11:27 Likely to get lost in the day’s turmoil, but the White House firing an Under Secretary of State, not even pretendinвЂ¦ https://t.co/ITMur2fRU8
20:39:30 Of course this is being followed up onвЂ¦ HmmвЂ¦ https://t.co/nT10xwa4Qe
21:17:56 This is inevitable, isn’t itвЂ¦ https://t.co/Yw1Ur5W8ZT

@abulsme tweets from 2018-03-12 (UTC)

04:44:34 But capitalization and punctuation are for losers. https://t.co/be0xOB3pLF
23:17:01 But who believes Tillerson? https://t.co/3ebsdNxIi9
23:18:14 Retweeted @ByronTau 23:03:13 In a lengthy statement, Adam Schiff says: “On a whole host of investigative threads, our work is fundamentally incoвЂ¦ https://t.co/0N5K7Gqqux
23:39:10 Retweeted @krmaher 14:15:05 A striking difference in tone as two journalistic institutions examine their history. The @nytimes‘s recent excludeвЂ¦ https://t.co/RzZskqMJnL

@abulsme tweets from 2018-03-11 (UTC)

00:44:55 Retweeted @fcain 00:05:09 Ask Ethan: Could Dark Matter Not Be A Particle, At All? https://t.co/ZhrGomVT9c by @StartsWithABang https://t.co/Hm1pg75ZYq
01:46:34 OMG https://t.co/9PaJWvJacO
02:18:02 Amen. Some of the criticisms of Obama during his presidency may have merit. But he isn’t obligated to be doing anytвЂ¦ https://t.co/NwKRZcb4cT
15:12:45 Retweeted @gerrycanavan 15:01:18 Don’t Fall Behind, Spring Ahead with These Sunday Morning Links https://t.co/dk9hLNDJOS https://t.co/QjvFM7yIPY
15:19:08 Retweeted @TimothyNoah1 15:01:06 I’m grateful to our commander in chief for letting me know which story I should read first this morning.вЂ¦ https://t.co/qDaHLp0yUp
20:04:27 Thread. https://t.co/Nuf1DkjDht

@abulsme tweets from 2018-03-10 (UTC)

00:52:51 This does seem like a problem for a coffee shop. https://t.co/PaqOsMAbV0
01:59:43 Of course he did. https://t.co/mtqzbJdReY
02:01:37 Retweeted @ArmsControlWonk 2018-03-09 20:41:18 If Rex Tillerson isn’t quoted as saying “It’s like Nixon going to China, but if Nixon was a fucking moron” then I wвЂ¦ https://t.co/NKUEkGCxZb
18:22:29 @iyad_elbaghdadi Tweetbot has this. Pick the amount of time you want to mute. 1 day, 1 week, 1 month, or forever. WвЂ¦ https://t.co/85j7xr8VbI in reply to iyad_elbaghdadi
21:07:20 Retweeted @InternetHippo 20:56:31 what the hell https://t.co/X6FwNkiOvO
21:43:48 Curmudgeon’s Corner: Into Knots https://t.co/ZDz7VHMaeO https://t.co/QMBPId9VrD

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