- 00:16:49 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 00:16:38 Watching #ALSen results tonight?If yes, these are the counties you need to keep an eye on:… https://t.co/AiQFtgGEfy in reply to gelliottmorris
- 00:25:34 Retweeted @MendezReport 00:25:00 Since R primary runoff, our personal polling average has shown Moore’s lead collapse as the campaign has gone along… https://t.co/2WolKOPY3s
- 00:42:52 Retweeted @jshkatz 2017-12-12 21:50:12 NYT Alabama results are live. for the jitter/uncertainty purists, in your console just type:USE_JITTER = true… https://t.co/dooM6xFBx9
- 02:19:19 Just finished my commute home. Holy shit. People are going to start calling this soon… Jones wins? In Alabama? Of… https://t.co/owvfQQpisw
- 02:24:21 Retweeted @SeanTrende 02:24:07 I dunno what the NYT meter is seeing right now, but it’s not really what I’m seeing at the county level. Maybe som… https://t.co/BHyfqKgji5
- 02:25:41 Retweeted @molly_knight 02:23:41 It’s pretty neat @UpshotNYT uses a needle because I feel like I’m being stabbed by one every time it moves. https://t.co/elsbESfquR
- 02:30:20 Retweeted @BCAppelbaum 02:30:06 Half the votes are counted. Moore leads by four. But the needle is not impressed. https://t.co/GxuBjP4AAo
- 02:30:27 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 02:30:11 I’m not confident enough to predict a Jones victory just yet, but…. #ALSen https://t.co/gh0iVsIxrn in reply to gelliottmorris
- 02:31:26 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 02:20:01 Folks, our model thinks that the GOP may have a big turnout problem.
The three, white, GOP counties have fallen far… https://t.co/umdN1DbdUc in reply to Nate_Cohn - 02:33:02 Retweeted @benchmarkpol 02:32:50 Word of caution before getting too excited. We have no idea which early returns came through in the cities. At thes… https://t.co/JzXFYpGfrb
- 02:33:17 Retweeted @kurtbardella 02:32:58 right now @nytimes political data unit thinks about 623,000 votes remain to be counted saying “We think Mr. Jones l… https://t.co/dXosEcBzMq
- 02:33:31 Retweeted @bobcesca_go 02:33:05 NYT
Raw vote = Moore +4.8%
Forecast = Jones +3.7%
Sumter, Dallas counties (went Hillary ’16) haven’t reported votes yet. - 02:35:29 Retweeted @MarisaKabas 02:35:21 needle, needle, needle,
they made it out of votes,
and when it’s finished moving,
we’re bound to yell like goats. - 02:36:21 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 02:36:13 Here you can see the differential turnout issue for the GOP in completed counties.
In completed counties, turnout w… https://t.co/A6Vcpd0r7a in reply to Nate_Cohn - 02:36:53 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 02:30:38 All these anecdotal reports of low black turnout from reporters turned out to be trash based on these returns. Black voters are turning out.
- 02:39:51 Retweeted @dmartosko 02:39:17 NY Times predict-o-meter starting to creep back toward center https://t.co/YdZTN2qO4L
- 02:43:48 This chart on the NYT needle page ( https://t.co/2AqphaHFl5 ) is less fun than the needle, but gives lots more info. https://t.co/xgJ12nDaos
- 02:51:10 Good to read this whole thread by Nate Cohn on uncertainties in the NYT model, why it might be right, and why it mi… https://t.co/jB0xJ28Nbp
- 02:54:06 Retweeted @EsotericCD 02:53:55 We are heading to a ridiculously close photo-finish here, as Dem-area precincts overperform and GOP-area precincts… https://t.co/ss75v7oqmr
- 02:55:39 Just watch, this thing will end up in a recount that lasts weeks and ends up in court over irregularities or some such… Woo!
- 02:58:04 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 02:57:40 @PatrickRuffini weird how mine goes the other way https://t.co/nIZwAlFPfk in reply to PatrickRuffini
- 02:59:51 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 02:59:37 And my guess is that once a big metro county wraps up, that the CI will tighten up *and* the needle will move. But… https://t.co/OQl7BwYJVG in reply to Nate_Cohn
- 03:05:21 Confidence interval still Jones +8 to Moore +4 at NYT. @Nate_Cohn talking about how the model is VERY uncertain at… https://t.co/0RYaAnvlUh
- 03:07:50 @Nate_Cohn Having said that, looks like the actual count may flip to Jones soon… https://t.co/EPxOPjNvbT in reply to abulsme
- 03:08:30 Retweeted @pbump 03:08:17 John King’s relationship with Wolf is like that of a museum guide dealing with a class of third-graders.
- 03:08:48 Retweeted @chrisgeidner 03:08:36 Jones has the lead, per @DecisionDeskHQ, but it’s very close and @B_M_Finnigan says the numbers left leave things v… https://t.co/mY6AI1P4wZ in reply to chrisgeidner
- 03:10:45 Retweeted @JordanUhl 03:10:32 With 84.6% of the vote in, there’s only 4,000ish votes separating Roy Moore and Doug Jones.Now imagine where we’… https://t.co/yCVO33JgKy
- 03:11:19 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 03:11:06 Preemptive poll defense if(when?) Jones pulls this off: polls said this had a 40% chance of happening.… https://t.co/pwQi1aiXkh in reply to gelliottmorris
- 03:11:47 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 03:11:34 We’re now over a million votes counted. Almost all of the vote left is in Dem metro strongholds. We won’t know how… https://t.co/07tFkwR9nq
- 03:13:23 Retweeted @PollsAndVotes 03:13:10 Here is a caution. Outstanding vote estimates are tricky things. It currently looks like what’s out heavily favors… https://t.co/VCTzHLciIi
- 03:13:52 Retweeted @brithume 03:13:17 Betting odds as of 10:10 pm. Complete turnaround from earlier. https://t.co/5VFNuiKy4U
- 03:14:42 Those odds in the last retweet are from https://t.co/8MB90VbR2B
- 03:16:54 Retweeted @MattOrtega 03:15:47 NYT: 85% in, less than 200 votes separate them. Unreal. #ALSen https://t.co/64zKejKI3m
- 03:17:47 Jones just took the lead… https://t.co/Dx3MC1bgqv
- 03:20:05 NYT range down to Jones +7 to Moore +1.4. Do they call it when there range doesn’t include a Moore win at all? https://t.co/2AqphaHFl5
- 03:20:34 Retweeted @imbou 03:20:23 @abulsme Courts!!! Chads!!! Hanging chads!!!! in reply to abulsme
- 03:21:06 Retweeted @dmartosko 03:20:58 The NYT predict-o-meter has just gone beyond the point of no return for Jones. https://t.co/N6OSYjFpL9
- 03:21:48 NYT range now Jones +4.2 to Jones +1.0. Enough to call it? https://t.co/pbFi7Bctau
- 03:25:09 Retweeted @Redistrict 02:59:25 Amazing: turnout is at 72%-77% of ’16 presidential race in heavily black counties, but just 55%-60% in rural white… https://t.co/Csu15jT0Tj
- 03:25:25 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 03:25:06 Doug Jones is the projected winner in Alabama according to the AP.
- 03:25:58 Retweeted @AP 03:24:40 BREAKING: Democrat Doug Jones wins election as U.S. senator from Alabama. @AP race call at 10:23 p.m. EST. #AlabamaElection #APracecall
- 03:28:58 Alabama. Senate won by a Dem. Given everything surrounding Moore, this isn’t as much of a predictor of anything 201… https://t.co/5WA2xzpCWI
- 03:29:36 Retweeted @fawfulfan 03:25:26 BREAKING: Roy Moore has been banned from the National Mall.
- 03:32:41 Thank you Alabama.
- 03:34:43 The Republicans can now only spare 2 votes in the Senate (instead of 3). How fast does Jones get sworn in? Pretty c… https://t.co/h7Gkw4Ixuq
- 03:34:54 Retweeted @franklinleonard 03:28:41 Roy Moore liked this night when it was much younger.
- 03:38:10 Retweeted @ASlavitt 03:37:39 Steve Bannon, whatever you did in Alabama, keep doing it for the next year. If the Mercer’s stop paying you, will get in touch with Soros.
- 03:40:25 Retweeted @Bencjacobs 03:34:37 Cory Gardner is already recruiting Jones to switch parties https://t.co/rQecr8ozw7
- 03:47:31 Thread. D’s should contest every state and every congressional district in 2018. Local races too. Yes, Moore was sp… https://t.co/7Yd5Z4a7QN
- 03:49:01 Retweeted @databyler 00:54:43 Senate simulations for Trump at 37.6 percent approval IF Moore wins. Underlines why this seat matters for Senate co… https://t.co/yGFAYVw1bz
- 03:51:00 Retweeted @GDouglasJones 03:30:58 Thank you ALABAMA!!
- 03:52:18 Retweeted @matthewamiller 03:33:46 Six months ago, I asked the smartest Dem Senate strategist where the three seats to win the majority back were: “Ne… https://t.co/kaf88fODP4
- 03:52:33 Retweeted @natsecHeather 03:50:58 I love all this “Hanukkah miracle” and “act of God,” but let’s be clear: God is working through black women here. https://t.co/S3M871DsFw
- 04:04:42 Yes, the D’s should contest everywhere, and have chances places they might not have imagined before. But the below… https://t.co/U9RebO2lYi
- 04:41:59 Retweeted @Castantine 04:40:08 Just an FYI, this bullshit Merrill and Moore are pulling has nothing to do with contesting the election or a recoun… https://t.co/6y8YDTYy9E
- 04:43:29 Retweeted @AdamParkhomenko 04:41:35 Reporters went up to the office of the Secretary of State after being told to by the Moore campaign to learn of the… https://t.co/77YKv6hEk5
- 04:44:35 Retweeted @petridishes 04:41:55 huh weird based on everything we’ve seen I would have expected Roy Moore to take “no” immediately and respectfully for an answer
- 04:45:03 Retweeted @JohnKerry 2017-12-12 22:35:29 Too soon, Karen…too soon. https://t.co/SJwkFmYuPY
- 04:46:30 Retweeted @toddzwillich 04:42:24 Ala Sec of State John Merrill says it’s “highly unlikely” Doug Jones won’t be certified as senate election winner
- 04:47:08 Retweeted @natemcdermott 04:42:37 Alabama’s secretary of state seems to be pouring cold water on the idea pushed by Moore’s campaign that outstanding… https://t.co/1WHph6qujf
- 04:51:50 Retweeted @jtuckermartin 04:31:41 At some point we will all realize there isn’t much analysis needed: Americans don’t like Donald Trump. He was an hi… https://t.co/1u9xc6kK7s
- 04:52:19 Retweeted @AuthorLMendez 04:50:19 Tend to agree and folks forget that most major upsets (1948 Pres, 1992 House of Commons) are followed by a correcti… https://t.co/zCleGCSY8w
- 04:53:09 Retweeted @deray 03:46:43 Black folks elected Doug Jones. FYI. #AlabamaSenateElection https://t.co/CErgK6eOeI
- 04:53:56 Retweeted @Acosta 04:02:47 Source close to WH: “It’s devastating for the president… this is an earthquake… Virginia but on steroids… the… https://t.co/VMzEe6bKQo
- 05:01:12 Honestly don’t think this is a problem. Investigators SHOULD think the worst of the people they are investigating.… https://t.co/q6dnwSmwgu
- 05:19:20 Retweeted @guypbenson 05:14:59 100% of precincts reporting. Jones’ victory margin is just shy of 21k votes. Nearly 23k Alabamians voted for write-… https://t.co/lkTOFyaHsZ
- 05:27:54 Retweeted @trekonomics 05:16:50 Per @joshtpm law: Trump will need to hurt somebody soon.
- 05:31:29 Retweeted @jim_newell 00:10:41 Alabama SoS office says their “anticipated date of certification is sometime from December 27 – 29.” deadline is Ja… https://t.co/dd4wPFYnzf
- 05:35:38 So tax votes next week will definitely happen with 52 R’s. R’s can still lose up to three. Don’t see any reason McC… https://t.co/RvtT3bytqj
- 05:47:08 Retweeted @WotDpod 00:35:30 Today’s episode of random Wiki of the Day is on the article Scots Hotel.Listen to the new episode here:… https://t.co/RAWq8t23Wb
- 05:49:02 Retweeted @saletan 05:08:55 Here are the adjusted exits. Moore lost women without kids by 11 points. He lost mothers by 34. You know why.… https://t.co/wZq02cs5Vt
- 05:58:25 Retweeted @sallykohn 03:50:27 Dear Democratic Party,Read this chart. Stop ignoring black voters and acting like working class white voters are… https://t.co/oSPm45EdJf
- 06:06:05 Retweeted @thehill 05:29:03 NY Daily News shreds Moore: “Screw you and horse you rode in on” https://t.co/dIMgfkTp4k https://t.co/XypkIwM6KE
- 06:09:19 Retweeted @SeanMcElwee 05:43:15 The wide age gap in the Senate election highlights the importance of investing in youth turnout for 2018. Young vot… https://t.co/iZvFVhmuBc
- 06:10:12 Retweeted @EsotericCD 03:55:32 I surely hope that it is not lost upon people that Doug Jones AL-SEN 2017 is a deadly perfect analogue to Scott Bro… https://t.co/eUAgqmfstR
- 06:11:24 Yup. This. -> https://t.co/LkqwrnyqAJ
- 06:14:04 Retweeted @joshtpm 05:35:21 Good grief did Ana Navarro go off on this dude https://t.co/wwq5tbGmLC
- 06:16:11 Retweeted @kerpen 04:57:38 Jones finishes at 93.5% of Hillary Clinton’s raw vote total.
Moore at 49.8% of Trump’s. - 06:18:46 Retweeted @curiousmagpies 05:44:30 @mattdpearce Serendipitous Twitter. https://t.co/tYJKGYnTe5 in reply to mattdpearce
- 06:19:03 Retweeted @KSoltisAnderson 05:38:17 Tuscaloosa County went +20 for Trump in 2016.Doug Jones just won it by +16.
<symbol> in reply to KSoltisAnderson
- 06:25:43 Retweeted @MeghanMcCain 03:40:18 Suck it, Bannon
- 06:35:00 Retweeted @owillis 04:20:59 Hey reporters how about you go talk to the black Alabamians who just elected Doug Jones and ask THEM about Trump?
- 12:38:03 Oops https://t.co/mvsPJ8c7c0
- 14:26:56 Retweeted @AprilDRyan 14:14:49 I am hearing from several sources there was a lot of drama at the White House last night and it wasn’t about the Al… https://t.co/eBjz6YYfyB
- 15:45:16 Ah. It was Omarosa. https://t.co/6vTlF8JNtq
- 16:13:13 Retweeted @ReaganBattalion 15:30:52 Don’t let anyone in on the secret, but every single FBI agent, has a political opinion, so does every soldier and p… https://t.co/WETyP7yyKl
- 16:15:48 Thread https://t.co/oaAVTTdVqz
- 16:20:15 Retweeted @epicciuto 16:12:40 “Because Mueller’s team has partisan affiliations, they cannot be trusted to state the truth!” claim a group of pol… https://t.co/KOgfNrW3IJ
- 16:28:47 Fun thread https://t.co/ehc7k3UPYf
- 17:46:52 Joe was always one of the good ones. https://t.co/gI9qegM5EL
- 18:21:19 Retweeted @Recode 18:00:29 Patreon has changed its mind about a new payments plan that everyone hated https://t.co/PnGnbfFh2e https://t.co/IFxylcVpJJ
- 19:46:36 Reading – Republicans Say They Have a Deal on Tax Bill (Jim Tankersley) https://t.co/LiWzTRzTqm
- 22:28:37 Uh, ok. https://t.co/YpWn9qZekB
- 22:39:53 Retweeted @xkcdComic 20:33:08 Seven Years https://t.co/O1N5MGUOAr https://t.co/kmjiZX7hWg https://t.co/cU0LeK7ifI
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