00:19:07 Retweeted @DecisionDeskHQ2017-04-18 22:59:59 Crew on the ground in GA-6 say at least 30 ppl turned away in a short time bc they don’t live in the district. Many very angry.
00:19:24 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn00:16:48 Turnout is near midterm levels in these DeKalb precincts, which is going to raise the burden even higher on the GOP in Cobb
00:32:05 Retweeted @Redistrict00:30:31 Breaking: Ossoff (D) wins 61% of Fulton’s in-person absentees. Again, it’s almost *precisely* what he needs to be on track for 50%. #GA06
01:45:44 Retweeted @Redistrict01:41:50 BREAKING: Ossoff (D) down to 50.8% of the vote w/ 119k votes counted. He’s not even close to where he needs to be for 50% overall. #GA06
01:58:24 Retweeted @Bencjacobs01:57:54 Looks like Ossoff’s percentages are starting to line up almost precisely with Clinton in 2016. This is good for Handel but bad for Trump.
01:58:56 Retweeted @geoffreyvs01:57:17 A bit more of Cobb came in, Ossoff down to 50.1% #GA06At this point, 88% of Cobb is in, 95% of DeKalb, just 16% of Fulton.
02:09:14 Retweeted @thegarance02:05:17 If Ossoff vote settles at 47-48%, he will have improved over previous D congressional candidate in 6th by same margin Thompson did in Kansas
02:09:53 Retweeted @Redistrict02:07:35 DeKalb has completely reported, and Ossoff (D) won 58.5% there. That’s just not good enough to avoid runoff. #GA06
02:10:27 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn01:45:55 Ossoff’s attrition should probably slow down a bit now that so much of Cobb County is in, but still tracking toward a 48/48.5 type finish
02:12:12 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten02:10:24 To sum up, this result is reasonably in-line w/ expectations. Sets up what shud be tight runoff. Handel/Ossoff will end up w/ terrible favs.
02:12:24 Retweeted @SeanTrende02:10:30 So, Ossoff ran 1.6% ahead of Clinton in DeKalb. Running 1.5% ahead of her in Cobb with 96% in. Would work out to 48% overall.
02:25:37 Retweeted @pmiller169302:25:23 Runoff spin from politicos is silly lipstick on a pig. GA6 & KS4 have deep R roots. Never should have been in play. Rs should be concerned.
02:26:34 Retweeted @EWErickson02:07:03 Significant to note that among the GOP tonight in GA06, the more closely aligned a candidate was with Trump, the worse said candidate did.
02:35:14 Retweeted @AP02:34:57 BREAKING: Trump administration certifies Iran complying with nuclear deal, extends sanctions relief but says review underway.
02:51:01 Retweeted @jbarro02:50:32 Trump’s surprisingly coherent argument about the Iran Deal was that it was a bad deal, but once made it was a deal & you had to work with it in reply to jbarro
03:42:36 Retweeted @wsbtv03:37:48 JUST IN: Rare data error from one of the cards means Fulton Co. will have to manually go through hundreds of cards to find the culprit.
03:43:57 Retweeted @Redistrict03:39:33 These things could be simultaneously true:1) Dems could strike out in all 3 of #KS04#MTAL#GA06
2) All 3 results could be bad for GOP
04:21:30 Retweeted @RyanMaue04:18:36 Harmonious result in GA-06 as both sides won, gave victory speeches, and stand ready to saturate Atlanta airwaves with more attack ads.
11:39:05 Retweeted @Taniel04:15:47 The polls that showed a Ossoff-Handel runoff tied (if not with a tiny Ossoff lead) also had Ossoff at 41-45% in the 1st round. #GA06
12:53:33 Retweeted @HawkinsUSA12:50:47 Per @DecisionDeskHQ tally, Ossoff finished ~ 92,390 votes. The top 4 GOP contenders ~ 92,590. All candidates combined: GOP 51% Dems 49%.
13:02:52 Retweeted @tripgabriel12:43:47 As Trump claims his tweets/robocall kept @Ossoff below 50 bear in mind:
1. His 48% was +5 over poll average
2. All 4 Trump allies did poorly
13:25:07 Retweeted @chrislhayes12:55:21 Outside the box idea; just have the president host the 8pm hour on Fox. I think he’d enjoy it more than presidenting.
19:59:08 Retweeted @PeterGleick19:49:05 O’Reilly isn’t out because he’s a sexual predator. Fox was willing to pay & pay for that. He’s out because of public & advertising pressure.
20:21:35 Reading – The new Mac Pro: The audacity to say “Yes” in a design culture of “No” (Marco Arment) https://t.co/sxVcTrOV35
20:42:24 Angry -> вЂI don’t like to be touched’: Video shows 10-year-old autistic boy getting arrested at school (Bever) https://t.co/hGO2Y4BVRP
23:20:34 Retweeted @Redistrict04:36:33 Story of #GA06: Ossoff (D) won 77% of mail ballots & 62% of in-person absentees.But 3/4 of votes were cast on EDay & GOP won 58% of them.
01:27:15 Retweeted @Sargent01:05:47 me: Time to write!
brain: If you wish to make an apple pie from scratch
me: Hang on
brain: you must first punch a tree for wood
me: what in reply to Sargent
02:35:44 Retweeted @ProfHansNoel2017-04-17 11:57:15 Teaching my son about #taxday by buying him ice cream, eating 38% of it, then providing public goods unavailable from the private sector.
13:02:08 Retweeted @joe_hill12:27:54 Say what you want about Trump but he was always open about being a venal manipulative con man who adores the brutal application of force.
18:28:36 Reading – Could that Peter Capaldi cameo in The Day of the Doctor be more significant than we realised? (Fullerton) https://t.co/iawK8yZyIU
18:30:36 Reading – The first Time Lord will be joining Peter Capaldi for Doctor Who Christmas special (Nicola Methven) https://t.co/7rIc40EeXb
19:43:11 From December but still interesting -> Listening to Keepin’ it 1600 Ep. 62: The Road Ahead in 2017
via iCatcher! https://t.co/O5Lt7B6W9V
23:07:32 Retweeted @Redistrict23:04:01 Rule of thumb: to be on track to hit 50% and *avoid* a runoff, Ossoff probably needs around 62% in DeKalb, 51% in Fulton, 45% in Cobb. #GA06
17:54:35 Retweeted @davidfrum17:32:44 And seriously: the people who f—ed up the White House Easter Egg roll are asking America to follow them into war without allies in NE Asia
00:33:06 Listening to 053 w/ Michael Weiss – “The MOAB Doctrine: Technically, Bombing Stuff is A Strategy” – The Fifth Column https://t.co/HYJANSFotP
07:49:18 Reading – North Korean Missile Launch Fails, and a Show of Strength Fizzles (Sang-Hun/Sanger/Broad) https://t.co/xcnGGBXDET
This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner: WAR! PIVOT! LIGHTNING! More specifically, Sam and Ivan talk about the situations in Syria, Afghanistan, and North Korea… then they move on to Donald Trump’s changing positions on a number of issues, and what that means for both his supporters and opponents. Rounding out the show, bits about the guy pulled off the United plane, Wikileaks, planespotting, a movie Sam watched, the congressional special elections, and even more!
Click below to listen and subscribe!
1-Click Subscribe in iTunes View Podcast in iTunes View Raw Podcast Feed Download MP3 File Follow the podcast on Facebook Support us on Patreon
Show Details:
Recorded 2017-04-15
Length this week – 2:06:12
(0:00:15-0:22:02) But First
Show Edits
Agenda
Ignored Topics
Reorgs and Layoffs
Movie: The Terminal (2004)
Planespotting
(0:22:40-0:59:46) WAR!
Legal Authority
Pictures of War Victims
Trump ignorance
Missing Volta?
North Korea Escalation
Spicer on Nazi Germany
What is a chemical weapon?
MOAB in Afghanistan
More on North Korea
(1:00:21-1:24:20) PIVOT!
List of Flip Flops
He is still Trump
Healthcare
Trump learning?
Difficulty Legislating
No agenda
Title origins
(1:26:02-2:05:53) LIGHTNING!
United troubles
Congressional special elections
Blackmailing Trump
CIA on Wikileaks
More ignored topics
Contact us
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
00:17:32 Retweeted @Gus_8022017-04-13 23:43:41 If they were targeting caves and tunnels why use a MOAB which isn’t a penetrator bomb? Asking for a friend.
00:20:20 Seeing conflicting reports on if we are going to attack North Korea this weekend. I guess that is kinda fun for a Thursday evening. :-/
02:10:59 Retweeted @MBCnotNBC2017-04-13 22:52:11 if we die in the nuclear winter it was nice knowing you guys. if we survive i hope you all get the best mutations
04:53:03 Retweeted @MileHighBrendan04:29:35 I wonder if the people in my mentions who are like “chill out, everything will be fine” re: North Korea are aware that Donald Trump is POTUS
05:02:07 Retweeted @HeerJeet2017-04-13 23:37:13 Trump loves to be praised by cable news pundits. Cable news pundits love to praise presidents who drop bombs. You see where this is going?
05:16:29 Retweeted @molly_knight2017-04-13 17:56:26 If the people investigating Trump’s collusion with Russia could hurry the fuck up before he starts World War III that would be GREAT.
22:17:43 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten22:17:08 Two Opinion Savvy polls in a row where Ossoff falls well short of 50% but lead Handel in a runoff. Suggests round 2 may be quite exciting.
22:29:50 Reading – ‘Star Wars: The Last Jedi’ — 8 Questions Raised By the New Trailer (Graeme McMillan) https://t.co/aN3sNNVSIF
22:36:45 Reading – NSA-leaking Shadow Brokers just dumped its most damaging release yet (Dan Goodin) https://t.co/u2DkJyxSL8
01:29:42 Retweeted @WestWingReport01:25:33 Palm Beach Post: President has golfed 14x so far. Over 8 yrs that would be 496x.
Context:
Wilson: 1,200
Eisenhower: 800
Obama: 333
03:05:58 Retweeted @HeerJeet02:34:14 With Bannon half way out the door & the generals in charge, Trump is now standard right wing Republican. Wars & tax cuts. Whoop dee do
04:50:39 Reading – Prosecutor: Jeff Sessions’s New Immigration Plan Is вЂF*cking Horrifying’ (Betsy Woodruff) https://t.co/8RrRGWlnVo
05:55:09 Retweeted @chrislhayes2017-04-12 23:14:43 Trump has two distinct advantages in politics he has 1) no shame and 2) no principles. It allows him endless latitude.
14:52:18 He could morph into a liberal Democrat or even a fucking Power Ranger. He would still be corrupt, dangerous, incomp… https://t.co/FY8MOESc1t
15:19:26 Reading – British spies were first to spot Trump team’s links with Russia (Harding/Kirchgaessner/Hopkins) https://t.co/mU7chPwf0C
18:03:58 Retweeted @ddale817:33:15 Sean Spicer: It’s not so much that Trump has shifted on issues so much as that the issues have shifted toward him.
18:49:18 Retweeted @BNONews18:38:48 At least 477 civilians are believed to have died in U.S.-led airstrikes in Syria and Iraq in March, monitoring group Airwars says
21:09:54 Reading – Seattle’s long wait for 65В° getting among its longest waits on record (Scott Sistek) https://t.co/rmLhFvGRQZ
01:38:40 Retweeted @MrWalterShapiro01:35:03 Importance of KS-4 and GA-6 lies is their effect on the mood of House Republicans and 2018 recruitment efforts in both parties.
01:39:35 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn01:34:42 Estes running clearly ahead of what he needs in rural areas. Sedgwick County election day vote—so far, and it’s early–looks good enough in reply to Nate_Cohn
01:44:10 The R may end up winning in KS-4, but clear it is closer than one would have expected months ago. Good result for D’s, even if they lose.
01:48:04 Retweeted @kenrudin01:47:30 With 1/2 the vote counted in #KS04 (seat given up by CIA’s Pompeo), James Thompson (D) & Ron Estes (R) running neck&neck. Last Dem win: 1992
01:48:49 Retweeted @stephenatap01:47:23 And it’s flipped. With half of the precincts reporting, Estes has the lead over Thompson in #KS04
01:50:21 Retweeted @kkondik01:50:07 Elk 83-13 Trump. 78-19 Estes. Underperforming Trump but more than good enough to win (just about 500 votes)
01:55:20 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten01:50:56 Unless there’s a shocking vote coming out of Sedgwick (who knows), Estes has got this.
02:32:12 Retweeted @DavidLJarman02:26:41 Imagine the freakout if the Dems won one of these ~D+15 CDs by only 4 pts: CA-41 (Takano), MA-08 (Lynch), MN-04 (McCollum), TX-20 (Castro)
02:44:36 Retweeted @BNONews02:44:08 BREAKING: Republican Ron Estes wins special U.S. House election in Kansas’ 4th congressional district – AP
02:57:34 Reading – FBI obtained FISA warrant to monitor Trump adviser Carter Page (Nakashima/Barrett/Entous) https://t.co/IP2px05w7b
03:02:26 Retweeted @cmclymer01:16:58 These numbers are staggering. If a pro-choice, pro-LGBT Democrat can be this competitive in Kansas, we should contest EVERY DISTRICT.#KS04
04:02:14 Retweeted @tbonier02:17:37 There are over 100 Republicans sitting in districts that wouldn’t have been heavily GOP enough to overcome the D swing we saw in KS tonight.
04:08:38 Retweeted @daveweigel04:01:02 I don’t think DC Dem groups appreciate how people who heard them say MI/WI were in the bag last year distrust their command of the map.
16:37:13 Retweeted @emilybell13:29:22 podcast genres : 1. Men going on about things. 2. Whispery crime 3.Millennials talking over each other 4. Should be 20 minutes shorter
20:36:17 Retweeted @prchovanec20:33:08 If you haven’t figured it out by now, Trump says everything once so whatever happens he can claim he was right.
20:36:25 Retweeted @ryanbeckwith20:12:45 In a single day, Trump reverses on:• Janet Yellen
• Ex-Im Bank
• China currency manipulation
• NATO being obsolete
20:49:57 Reading – Trump Undercuts Top Adviser Stephen K. Bannon, Whose Job May Be in Danger (Peters/Haberman) https://t.co/WF2rMz5jUP
20:50:33 Retweeted @juliaioffe20:31:08 “Who knew healthcare/Syria/China/NATO/the universe could be so complicated!”