2016 Electoral College
Clinton vs Paul - New Hampshire [4 EV]
Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-08-23 00:00 UTC
Last Poll Update: 2015-08-27 15:15 UTC
Post Mortem Analysis here
Nominees: Clinton vs Trump Best Polled: Clinton vs Trump Clinton vs Bush Clinton vs Cruz Clinton vs Rubio Clinton vs Huckabee || Comparison
Switch to Clinton vs Paul National Summary
Poll Average
Polls Used in Average
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Paul Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2015-08-23 00:00
PPP
47.0%
37.0%
Clinton
2015-08-21
2015-08-26
2015-07-26 12:00
WMUR
43.0%
45.0%
Paul
2015-07-22
2015-08-05
2015-05-04 12:00
Purple
46.0%
43.0%
Clinton
2015-05-02
2015-05-08
2015-04-29 00:00
WMUR
43.0%
47.0%
Paul
2015-04-24
2015-05-07
2015-04-29 00:00
Dartmouth
36.1%
33.3%
Clinton
2015-04-27
2015-05-06
Older Polls
Middate/Time Pollster Clinton Paul Margin Start/End Released/Entered 2015-04-22 00:00
Gravis
44.0%
45.0%
Paul
2015-04-21
2015-04-27
2015-04-11 12:00
PPP
49.0%
40.0%
Clinton
2015-04-09
2015-04-21
2015-03-19 00:00
Gravis
45.0%
42.0%
Clinton
2015-03-18
2015-03-21
2015-02-03 00:00
Purple
48.0%
41.0%
Clinton
2015-01-31
2015-02-11
2015-01-28 12:00
WMUR
50.0%
40.0%
Clinton
2015-01-22
2015-02-09
2014-11-15 12:00
Purple
48.0%
41.0%
Clinton
2014-11-12
2014-11-24
2014-07-10 12:00
Marist
46.0%
43.0%
Clinton
2014-07-07
2014-07-17
2014-04-23 12:00
Dartmouth
35.8%
38.4%
Paul
2014-04-21
2014-05-08
2014-01-11 00:00
PPP
50.0%
37.0%
Clinton
2014-01-09
2014-01-16
2013-09-15 00:00
PPP
51.0%
41.0%
Clinton
2013-09-13
2013-09-18
2013-04-20 12:00
PPP
52.0%
41.0%
Clinton
2013-04-19
2013-04-25
2012-11-06 12:00
Election2012
52.0%
46.4%
DEM
2012-11-06
2012-11-06
2008-11-04 12:00
Election2008
54.1%
44.5%
DEM
2008-11-04
2008-11-04
2004-11-02 12:00
Election2004
50.2%
48.9%
DEM
2004-11-02
2004-11-02
2000-11-07 12:00
Election2000
46.8%
48.1%
REP
2000-11-07
2000-11-07
1996-11-06 12:00
Election1996
49.3%
39.4%
DEM
1996-11-06
1996-11-06
1992-11-03 12:00
Election1992
38.9%
37.7%
DEM
1992-11-03
1992-11-03
1988-11-08 12:00
Election1988
36.3%
62.5%
REP
1988-11-08
1988-11-08
1984-11-06 12:00
Election1984
31.0%
68.7%
REP
1984-11-06
1984-11-06
1980-11-04 12:00
Election1980
28.4%
57.7%
REP
1980-11-04
1980-11-04
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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).
If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.
If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.
When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.
If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".
On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.
Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text
Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here .
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