Abulsme.com: November 2016

@abulsme tweets from 2016-11-01 (UTC)

01:43:26 Retweeted @AlGiordano 01:37:52 CNN the past 72 hours:
Pundits: "OMG EMAILS SOMETHING."

John King: "Electoral College map has no path for Trump."

Pundits: "BUT EMAILS."
04:58:04 Reading – Debunking Trump's "secret server" (@ErrataRob) https://t.co/vaqg0ioRNq
05:10:48 Reading – A Veteran Spy Has Given the FBI Information Alleging a Russian Operation to Cultivate Trump (David Corn) https://t.co/PAib5bjA50
15:03:04 I probably could have come up with 10-20 things for the Clinton side, but stillвЂ¦ -> Making the Choice (Gabriel Roth) https://t.co/tqpS6p1y0F
15:20:39 [Blog Post] Fred Bear and Medusa https://t.co/REwt8kvN1B
17:08:48 Reading the article that other article was debunking – Server registered to Trump communicating with Russia? (Foer) https://t.co/DFzMS975Cl
17:10:33 Retweeted @jbview 17:08:48 Good thread on differences between RCP and HuffPollster, and why they can't be resolved. https://t.co/20pmW5d8LS
17:33:09 Less technical debunk -> That story about Trump's secret server for talking to Russia doesn't add up (@binarybits) https://t.co/KosGlM9Hrn
17:41:51 Retweeted @Scout_Finch 16:52:17 In other words, he threw away his vote. Ohio doesn't tally write-in votes for candidates who are not registered. https://t.co/SyJW1xmnKY
17:45:32 Retweeted @ryanbeckwith 16:40:27 Don’t mix those two up https://t.co/yXQioSPLCG
18:10:17 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 18:09:51 Election Graph’s proprietor @abulsme has taken off from the day job from now until Election Day, so time to dive into the deluge of pollsвЂ¦
18:15:43 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 18:15:31 Uh, of course that should be Election Graphs’ proprietor. Oh well. Now on to looking for new polls. See updates over at @ElecCollPolls. in reply to ElectionGraphs
18:20:19 Retweeted @MileHighBrendan 17:59:53 @RadioFreeTom @smsaideman @YoungGreedo One wouldn’t expect Trump to gain 4% nationally but 0% in, say, NC. It’s possible but unlikely. in reply to MileHighBrendan
18:23:02 .@MileHighBrendan @RadioFreeTom @smsaideman @YoungGreedo Happens though. See NC & OH moving opposite directions.вЂ¦ https://t.co/x1YmnG0Wyj in reply to MileHighBrendan
21:42:53 Retweeted @DaveMc99TA 21:42:27 538 lags all the other forecasts RT @jshkatz: Clinton win chances over the past three months, forecast by forecast https://t.co/oxFAKJUNyK
22:32:51 Listening to The Axe Files with David Axelrod Ep. 92 – Carl Hulse
via iCatcher! https://t.co/NIQHxVeGKd
23:57:57 Retweeted @jameslsutter 21:13:05 Imagine if Frodo was all "Sauron's bad, but Gandalf's done some morally gray stuff, too, so I'll stay home."
Don't get eaten by orcs. Vote.

Fred Bear and Medusa

Alex was one of the Freddy variants from the Five Nights at Freddy’s series last night. Brandy made him a full costume, but he would only wear the head, and that was after much stress about it before he finally decided to head out with the head on.

He would wear the head in between houses, but always take it off when he got to a house, holding it in front of him upside down while Amy did the knocking on the door and saying “Trick or Treat”. People would put the candy in the head.

In between houses we got lots of people calling out “FREDDY!!” as we walked past.

It was a very rainy Halloween here, so we didn’t stay out too long, but it was a success overall. :-)

And Amy was Medusa.

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-10-31 (UTC)

12:00:22 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 11:59:52 Round of poll entry complete. New polls in 50 states, DC, and the ME CDs. Plenty of notable changes. @ElectionGraphs blog post later.
22:20:22 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Tighter and Wider at the Same Time https://t.co/tQVwyG1exA

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-31 (UTC)

00:00:37 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in MA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 56.2% to Trump 34.0% https://t.co/04Ykw6yXHV
00:00:42 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in MA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 56.2% to Trump 34.0% to Johnson 5.6% to Stein 2.8%
00:02:33 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in MI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.1% to Trump 43.0% https://t.co/4byDRahJP4
00:02:38 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in MI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.1% to Trump 43.0% to Johnson 4.4% to Stein 2.3%
00:05:14 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in MN from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 48.8% to Trump 42.4% https://t.co/ZOydebaEpj
00:05:19 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in MN from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 48.8% to Trump 42.4% to Johnson 4.9% to Stein 2.1%
00:08:18 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in MS from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 44.2% to Trump 49.3% https://t.co/XHqZzZbPdg
00:08:23 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in MS from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 44.2% to Trump 49.3% to Johnson 3.3% to Stein 1.6%
00:16:31 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in MO from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 39.8% to Trump 51.2% https://t.co/ITZf1VHE5P
00:16:36 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in MO from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 39.8% to Trump 51.2% to Johnson 4.9% to Stein 2.3%
00:26:37 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in MT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 36.9% to Trump 52.2% https://t.co/4xMpcvW0OY
00:26:42 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in MT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 36.9% to Trump 52.2% to Johnson 7.0% to Stein 2.1%
00:28:59 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in NE-All from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 34.8% to Trump 55.7% https://t.co/yuHXq7cspT
00:29:04 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in NE-All from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 34.8% to Trump 55.7% to Johnson 6.4% to Stein 1.6%
00:39:26 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in NV from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 46.1% to Trump 45.9% https://t.co/U5qb23BcwU
00:39:31 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in NV from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 46.1% to Trump 45.9% to Johnson 4.8% to Stein 1.6%
00:42:40 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in NH from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.9% to Trump 41.4% https://t.co/Ehc5cnpToe
00:42:45 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in NH from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.9% to Trump 41.4% to Johnson 4.9% to Stein 2.2%
01:11:09 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5% in NH -> Clinton by 5.5% in PA https://t.co/t9VFGXVMmR
01:14:29 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in NJ from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 53.1% to Trump 39.6% https://t.co/XZh02iuB8Q
01:14:34 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in NJ from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 53.1% to Trump 39.6% to Johnson 3.5% to Stein 2.1%
01:17:26 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in NM from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.4% to Trump 38.6% https://t.co/HJtw5c8vPa
01:17:31 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in NM from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.4% to Trump 38.6% to Johnson 9.0% to Stein 3.1%
01:19:45 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in NY from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 56.3% to Trump 35.9% https://t.co/whgvVhgifY
01:19:50 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in NY from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 56.3% to Trump 35.9% to Johnson 3.6% to Stein 2.8%
01:25:57 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in NC from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.5% to Trump 45.9% https://t.co/AlcaRlXESj
01:26:02 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in NC from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.5% to Trump 45.9% to Johnson 3.5% to Stein 1.0%
01:27:52 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in ND from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 36.5% to Trump 53.4% https://t.co/tMK6GoZ0SO
01:27:57 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in ND from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 36.5% to Trump 53.4% to Johnson 6.2% to Stein 2.0%
01:31:27 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in OH from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 45.9% to Trump 47.3% https://t.co/vUa9tBGeN0
01:31:32 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in OH from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 45.9% to Trump 47.3% to Johnson 3.6% to Stein 1.8%
01:34:13 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in OK from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 31.9% to Trump 59.7% https://t.co/E8uZanxnj4
01:34:18 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in OK from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 31.9% to Trump 59.7% to Johnson 5.6% to Stein 1.3%
01:36:43 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in OR from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.1% to Trump 40.3% https://t.co/dS2xvjrDrQ
01:36:48 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in OR from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.1% to Trump 40.3% to Johnson 4.7% to Stein 3.8%
01:40:00 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in PA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 46.5% to Trump 46.6% https://t.co/1f5PkopB4i
01:40:05 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in PA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 46.5% to Trump 46.6% to Johnson 3.7% to Stein 1.8%
02:10:37 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.5% in PA -> Clinton by 5.5% in PA https://t.co/r9bGJGx1Vv
02:11:46 That looks weird, but the tipping point did change slightly, it just still rounds to Clinton by 5.5%. in reply to ElecCollPolls
02:14:01 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in RI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 54.5% to Trump 36.7% https://t.co/uWHBXnA2XH
02:14:06 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in RI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 54.5% to Trump 36.7% to Johnson 4.5% to Stein 2.8%
02:17:18 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in SC from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 42.7% to Trump 49.1% https://t.co/3O6kHEbv4p
02:17:23 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in SC from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 42.7% to Trump 49.1% to Johnson 4.0% to Stein 1.9%
02:19:43 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in SD from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 34.1% to Trump 56.2% https://t.co/IQKWbnsjg0
02:19:48 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in SD from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 34.1% to Trump 56.2% to Johnson 5.9% to Stein 1.8%
02:22:31 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in TN from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 37.5% to Trump 55.5% https://t.co/pVSEqJaJ4I
02:22:36 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in TN from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 37.5% to Trump 55.5% to Johnson 4.1% to Stein 1.5%
02:25:24 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in TX from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 42.2% to Trump 51.0% https://t.co/bsNG2mEus1
02:25:29 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in TX from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 42.2% to Trump 51.0% to Johnson 3.8% to Stein 1.4%
02:28:28 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in UT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 27.9% to Trump 48.1% https://t.co/F5xulCLv5g
02:28:33 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in UT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 27.9% to Trump 48.1% to Johnson 8.6% to Stein 2.0%
02:31:17 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in VT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 56.3% to Trump 34.6% https://t.co/c7pmr2CuzK
02:31:22 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in VT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 56.3% to Trump 34.6% to Johnson 3.9% to Stein 3.8%
02:33:47 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in VA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.4% to Trump 43.2% https://t.co/q5KNew9CNW
02:33:52 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in VA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.4% to Trump 43.2% to Johnson 4.3% to Stein 1.4%
02:36:51 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in WA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 50.6% to Trump 38.5% https://t.co/MBYPcKtFUa
02:36:57 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in WA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 50.6% to Trump 38.5% to Johnson 5.5% to Stein 2.9%
02:39:59 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in WV from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 30.8% to Trump 61.6% https://t.co/7uPpWtKVeA
02:40:04 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in WV from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 30.8% to Trump 61.6% to Johnson 4.1% to Stein 1.7%
02:44:02 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in WI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.3% to Trump 44.8% https://t.co/ftirlr7xTk
02:44:07 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in WI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.3% to Trump 44.8% to Johnson 4.0% to Stein 2.4%
02:46:58 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in WY from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 28.6% to Trump 61.6% https://t.co/DXJo6bZxNe
02:47:03 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in WY from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 28.6% to Trump 61.6% to Johnson 5.7% to Stein 1.9%
02:56:40 Poll Added: Gravis w/4P in NC from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 49% to Trump 47% https://t.co/OVKFMW83G2
02:56:45 Full 4P results: Gravis w/4P in NC from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 49% to Trump 47% to Johnson 1% to Stein 1%
03:02:20 Poll Added: UNO w/4P in LA from 2016-10-15 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 35% to Trump 49% https://t.co/fFztxmhoGq
03:02:25 Full 4P results: UNO w/4P in LA from 2016-10-15 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 35% to Trump 49% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
03:08:24 Poll Added: Ipsos in AL from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 38.932% to Trump 51.279% https://t.co/2T41sa1sWr
03:10:32 Poll Added: Ipsos in AZ from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 43.319% to Trump 42.102% https://t.co/7NXssEwuqr
03:12:30 Poll Added: Ipsos in AR from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 34.033% to Trump 53.174% https://t.co/IUeKMhnBmg
03:13:53 Poll Added: Ipsos in CA from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 65.142% to Trump 26.160% https://t.co/KLkOqxAYGz
03:16:08 Poll Added: Ipsos in CO from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 45.509% to Trump 43.352% https://t.co/ya9HyyVwzC
03:17:50 Poll Added: Ipsos in CT from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 51.050% to Trump 36.245% https://t.co/igvNo9Et7K
03:20:44 Poll Added: Ipsos in DE from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 47.869% to Trump 36.166% https://t.co/EAi3PHbCea
03:21:05 Clinton vs Trump state category change: DE has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/EAi3PHbCea
03:23:00 Poll Added: Ipsos in FL from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 48.511% to Trump 44.614% https://t.co/ha0C83rxF8
03:23:16 Clinton vs Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/ha0C83rxF8
03:50:53 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 300 to Trump 238 -> Clinton 329 to Trump 209 https://t.co/vtDIqwO0pS
03:54:22 Poll Added: Ipsos in GA from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 43.105% to Trump 47.838% https://t.co/uo34TH78hv
03:57:47 Poll Added: Ipsos in ID from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 30.104% to Trump 53.866% https://t.co/cqumovJuYb
03:59:36 Poll Added: Ipsos in IL from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 55.551% to Trump 34.571% https://t.co/xSLpbDgBgg
04:02:34 Poll Added: Ipsos in IN from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 38.896% to Trump 53.537% https://t.co/AM3AgTXMtH
04:02:52 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IN has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/AM3AgTXMtH
04:05:43 Poll Added: Ipsos in IA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 44.393% to Trump 41.779% https://t.co/ac2tbmF58F
04:07:23 Poll Added: Ipsos in KS from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 38.438% to Trump 51.935% https://t.co/TYBXT8y59H
04:10:14 Poll Added: Ipsos in KY from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 37.648% to Trump 56.135% https://t.co/QHcZqTqECq
04:13:26 Poll Added: Ipsos in LA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 33.996% to Trump 52.556% https://t.co/LqHfhiSIRv
04:15:15 Poll Added: Ipsos in ME-All from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 45.503% to Trump 39.174% https://t.co/Zthq3WlREz
04:16:48 Poll Added: Ipsos in MD from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 53.641% to Trump 33.556% https://t.co/725e1oTdSS
04:19:52 Poll Added: Ipsos in MA from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 56.143% to Trump 26.806% https://t.co/kXNA8YDTJW
04:22:08 Poll Added: Ipsos in MI from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 41.335% to Trump 37.105% https://t.co/EorljGHtdZ
04:24:37 Poll Added: Ipsos in MN from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 40.558% to Trump 37.434% https://t.co/wKicH7QjgZ
04:27:29 Poll Added: Ipsos in MS from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 33.213% to Trump 51.838% https://t.co/2gl2IdVn7u
04:30:32 Poll Added: Ipsos in MO from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 41.672% to Trump 47.611% https://t.co/jrCrtTbABa
04:31:55 Poll Added: Ipsos in MT from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 31.590% to Trump 47.816% https://t.co/OEwSHJ3csW
04:34:41 Poll Added: Ipsos in NE-All from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 35.451% to Trump 49.984% https://t.co/MDcb84tWv6
04:37:55 Poll Added: Ipsos in NV from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 40.203% to Trump 40.110% https://t.co/VgY9hooDqQ
04:39:39 Poll Added: Ipsos in NH from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 44.406% to Trump 40.214% https://t.co/8hAIBVlC7f
04:41:06 Poll Added: Ipsos in NJ from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 50.949% to Trump 34.245% https://t.co/ELWG8i9FWT
04:43:58 Poll Added: Ipsos in NM from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 48.540% to Trump 39.407% https://t.co/CrLne5RUYL
04:45:26 Poll Added: Ipsos in NY from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 51.966% to Trump 30.276% https://t.co/WCBaIrB1wB
04:47:03 Poll Added: Ipsos in NC from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 47.994% to Trump 43.770% https://t.co/0A4cSlrv40
04:48:38 Poll Added: Ipsos in OH from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 44.848% to Trump 45.166% https://t.co/V5RbwfF2E9
04:51:07 Poll Added: Ipsos in OK from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 35.680% to Trump 52.334% https://t.co/XPiz7lohat
04:53:18 Poll Added: Ipsos in OR from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 46.256% to Trump 37.692% https://t.co/UCUa29yle5
04:55:50 Poll Added: Ipsos in PA from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 48.026% to Trump 45.865% https://t.co/XveuGh7iIA
05:31:07 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.5% in PA -> Clinton by 5.6% in WI https://t.co/NP8Fo9DzVI
05:39:30 Poll Added: Ipsos in SC from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 43.529% to Trump 48.619% https://t.co/6a7SPfblhA
05:42:23 Poll Added: Ipsos in TN from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 35.407% to Trump 42.949% https://t.co/iPUqsqOZI6
05:45:34 Poll Added: Ipsos in TX from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 33.952% to Trump 48.362% https://t.co/JzgEKnfcst
05:45:55 Clinton vs Trump state category change: TX has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/JzgEKnfcst
05:48:09 Poll Added: Ipsos in UT from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 30.537% to Trump 44.167% https://t.co/6vyCQNPRbY
05:50:44 Poll Added: Ipsos in VA from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 48.108% to Trump 39.304% https://t.co/u6EoMf1ihA
05:52:36 Poll Added: Ipsos in WA from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 46.579% to Trump 37.443% https://t.co/SDK4hdMezn
05:58:40 Poll Added: Ipsos in WV from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 36.534% to Trump 55.791% https://t.co/QN3A8QlSxQ
06:02:23 Poll Added: Ipsos in WI from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 46.754% to Trump 41.619% https://t.co/qQ9ITqv2Ua
06:12:58 Poll Added: Power (GCS) w/3P in AK from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 38% to Trump 39% https://t.co/RYDToPf0dN
06:13:03 Full 3P results: Power (GCS) w/3P in AK from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 38% to Trump 39% to Johnson 11%
06:13:24 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AK has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/RYDToPf0dN
06:36:12 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.6% in WI -> Clinton by 5.6% in NH https://t.co/L1I4n01U7L
06:36:13 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 374 to Trump 164 -> Clinton 377 to Trump 161 https://t.co/L1I4n01U7L
07:11:41 Note the Power AK result also included McMullin at 3%. in reply to ElecCollPolls
07:13:51 Poll Added: Power (GCS) w/3P in ID from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 29% to Trump 41% https://t.co/0qIY8wHz1j
07:13:56 Full 3P results: Power (GCS) w/3P in ID from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 29% to Trump 41% to Johnson 9%
07:19:07 Poll Added: SurveyUSA w/4P in MN from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 49% to Trump 39% https://t.co/078lyyigC5
07:19:12 Full 4P results: SurveyUSA w/4P in MN from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 49% to Trump 39% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
07:24:38 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in NH from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 46.3% to Trump 43.1% https://t.co/yutdNqdOB5
07:24:43 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in NH from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 46.3% to Trump 43.1% to Johnson 5.9% to Stein 1.9%
07:51:33 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.6% in NH -> Clinton by 5.7% in WI https://t.co/VU0PWuSuVJ
08:06:12 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in MI from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 49.7% to Trump 42.6% https://t.co/WZL9eS3uoM
08:06:17 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in MI from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 49.7% to Trump 42.6% to Johnson 3.0% to Stein 2.5%
08:08:28 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in PA from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 47.6% to Trump 43.1% https://t.co/t6lVMFEgg3
08:08:33 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in PA from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 47.6% to Trump 43.1% to Johnson 6.1% to Stein 0.3%
08:42:11 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.7% in WI -> Clinton by 5.3% in PA https://t.co/JcgZANVFrJ
08:49:58 Poll Added: Muhlenberg [3] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/0zuSu8Y25C
08:51:29 Poll Added: Muhlenberg w/Lean [3] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/2OTb65iquw
08:52:47 Poll Added: Muhlenberg w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% https://t.co/u0B5XAEcUh
08:52:52 Full 4P results: Muhlenberg w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% to Johnson 8% to Stein 2%
08:57:19 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in FL from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 45.5% to Trump 44.7% https://t.co/6PxZzlK8yD
08:57:24 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in FL from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 45.5% to Trump 44.7% to Johnson 3.9% to Stein 0.3%
08:57:42 Clinton vs Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/6PxZzlK8yD
09:27:07 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 329 to Trump 209 -> Clinton 300 to Trump 238 https://t.co/G5gz2MtZRZ
09:30:51 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in OH from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 45.3% to Trump 44.5% https://t.co/9bM7XQJiiG
09:30:56 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in OH from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 45.3% to Trump 44.5% to Johnson 5.8% to Stein 1.0%
09:33:33 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in WI from 2016-10-27 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 47.8% to Trump 41.9% https://t.co/RoynZXtGCj
09:33:38 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in WI from 2016-10-27 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 47.8% to Trump 41.9% to Johnson 8.7% to Stein 0.5%
09:36:04 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in NV from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 44.0% to Trump 42.4% https://t.co/37wVDaLcOo
09:36:09 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in NV from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 44.0% to Trump 42.4% to Johnson 3.4% to Stein 0.1%
09:39:23 Poll Added: Emerson w/3P in NC from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 48.4% to Trump 45.2% https://t.co/9h7RizjTaG
09:39:28 Full 3P results: Emerson w/3P in NC from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 48.4% to Trump 45.2% to Johnson 4.2%
09:48:02 Poll Added: Gravis w/3P in NV from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 46% to Trump 46% https://t.co/wGC2OwXhx2
09:48:07 Full 3P results: Gravis w/3P in NV from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 46% to Trump 46% to Johnson 3%
09:58:20 Poll Added: Data Orbital w/3P in AZ from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 40% to Trump 42% https://t.co/Ei43MR9cyI
09:58:25 Full 3P results: Data Orbital w/3P in AZ from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 40% to Trump 42% to Johnson 5%
10:10:58 Poll Added: CalSpeaks w/3P in CA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 61% to Trump 25% https://t.co/1uM1X31Nuv
10:11:03 Full 3P results: CalSpeaks w/3P in CA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 61% to Trump 25% to Johnson 4%
10:15:08 Poll Added: St Leo w/3P [2] in FL from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 49.7% to Trump 36.7% https://t.co/7KIaZklAT5
10:15:13 Full 3P results: St Leo w/3P [2] in FL from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 49.7% to Trump 36.7% to Johnson 4.9%
10:16:35 Poll Added: St Leo w/Lean w/3P [2] in FL from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 52.0% to Trump 39.4% https://t.co/jcQraZPoCJ
10:16:40 Full 3P results: St Leo w/Lean w/3P [2] in FL from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 52.0% to Trump 39.4% to Johnson 6.3%
10:21:08 Poll Added: RRH w/3P in VT from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 52% to Trump 26% https://t.co/zzzW9XD4jj
10:21:13 Full 3P results: RRH w/3P in VT from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 52% to Trump 26% to Johnson 5%
10:27:31 Adding a 3rd result from the St Leo FL poll next, reweighing the 2 I added earlier.
10:30:30 Poll Added: St Leo w/McM w/4P [3] in FL from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48.8% to Trump 34.5% https://t.co/w0qvShwHRu
10:30:35 Full 4P results: St Leo w/McM w/4P [3] in FL from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48.8% to Trump 34.5% to Johnson 3.6% to Stein 1.5%
10:32:31 That last St Leo FL poll included McMullin who came in at 3.8%. in reply to ElecCollPolls
10:35:47 Several of the polls I added in the last 40 minutes also had Stein but she wasn’t listed in the auto tweets. Her highest percentage was 3%.
10:40:25 Poll Added: PPP in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 44% https://t.co/nl8FCzwK1Z
10:50:05 Corrected a typo in a Quinnipiac 4P NC poll from 10/20-10/26. Trump got 43%, not 44% as I originally had. The current avg does not change.
10:55:01 Added tenths place to Suffolk poll in MA from 10/24 to 10/26. No significant change to current average.
10:58:40 Poll Added: CNU w/4P in VA from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 39% https://t.co/O9k581WrWH
10:58:45 Full 4P results: CNU w/4P in VA from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 39% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
11:39:46 Poll Added: Reuters [4] in AZ from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 35% to Trump 37% https://t.co/7gbIbK8YjW
11:41:18 Poll Added: Reuters LV [4] in AZ from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 38% to Trump 45% https://t.co/EfJp8On7rd
11:42:58 Poll Added: Reuters AA w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 36% to Trump 36% https://t.co/tpQMd7sKSf
11:43:03 Full 4P results: Reuters AA w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 36% to Trump 36% to Johnson 7% to Stein 3%
11:44:32 Poll Added: Reuters LV w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 39% to Trump 44% https://t.co/Zc3AxTU9ZZ
11:44:37 Full 4P results: Reuters LV w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 39% to Trump 44% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
11:47:36 Poll Added: Reuters AA [4] in FL from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 37% to Trump 36% https://t.co/SJrOU3Ij9C
11:49:03 Poll Added: Reuters LV [4] in FL from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 42% to Trump 40% https://t.co/HS8gypsFvR
11:50:37 Poll Added: Reuters AA w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 39% to Trump 32% https://t.co/imVGHRgeCz
11:50:42 Full 4P results: Reuters AA w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 39% to Trump 32% to Johnson 6% to Stein 3%
11:51:55 Poll Added: Reuters LV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 42% to Trump 38% https://t.co/wT9Ha26fRh
11:52:00 Full 4P results: Reuters LV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 42% to Trump 38% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
11:59:52 Round of poll entry complete. New polls in 50 states, DC, and the ME CDs. Plenty of notable changes. @ElectionGraphs blog post later.
22:20:37 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 22:20:22 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Tighter and Wider at the Same Time https://t.co/tQVwyG1exA

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-31 (UTC)

00:02:56 Retweeted @SalmanRushdie 2016-10-30 23:30:33 #ImWithHer https://t.co/ZTNx007hTn
02:14:16 Retweeted @Bencjacobs 01:48:17 Trump says Hillary Clinton will let 650 million people pour into the United States and "triple the size of our country in one week"
03:51:42 Reading – вЂWe Are in for a Pretty Long Civil War’ (Julia Ioffe) https://t.co/WENvrbw7Lq
07:43:26 Listening to Podcast вЂ“ Seattle Transit Blog Podcast #27: Centrifugal Forces
via iCatcher! https://t.co/7eQX42aJm5
09:06:57 Listening to KCRW's Left, Right & Center October surprise
via iCatcher! https://t.co/dqqGXRzlJb
10:59:47 Listening to No One Knows Anything A Baggie Full Of Jimmy Carter's Hair
via iCatcher! https://t.co/2wqaO3SmJY
11:49:15 Listening to Henry & Heidi – Henry & Hubert Selby Jr.
via iCatcher! https://t.co/778cX9YxHW
12:00:14 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 11:59:52 Round of poll entry complete. New polls in 50 states, DC, and the ME CDs. Plenty of notable changes. @ElectionGraphs blog post later.
15:13:11 Reading – Huma Abedin "surprised" about emails on Anthony Weiner's computer (Reena Flores) https://t.co/9pzJnpNUmg
15:23:34 Reading – Harry Reid’s incendiary claim about вЂcoordination’ between Donald Trump and Russia (Aaron Blake) https://t.co/jsMOyS9ZAH
17:18:46 Listening to The Run-Up A Party in Revolt
via iCatcher! https://t.co/3OsBcD6X9V
22:19:49 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Tighter and Wider at the Same Time https://t.co/dsAQoKty6b
23:01:59 Listening to The Scott Horton Show 10/26/16 Daniel Lazare
via iCatcher! https://t.co/2fd9kynI9i
23:22:15 Listening to Radiolab Alpha Gal
via iCatcher! https://t.co/Riueiqlo3W