Abulsme.com: October 2016

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-08 (UTC)

02:05:08 Retweeted @mattyglesias 02:04:58 Still too early for the Clinton campaign to put out their best oppo.
02:05:20 Retweeted @TheFix 02:05:07 Put a pin in this moment. We will never, ever see a presidential race like this again.
02:05:36 .@TheFix We hope. in reply to TheFix
02:06:15 Retweeted @TheFix 01:50:07 Republicans I talk to tonight are sort of stunned. They knew Trump was dangerous for the party. They didn't know he was this dangerous.
02:10:31 Retweeted @dansinker 02:06:52 HEY "STUNNED" REPUBLICANS: HOW THE FUCK DID YOU *THINK* THIS WAS GONNA PLAY OUT?
02:17:18 Retweeted @JYSexton 02:17:04 Also, you know Trump is sitting there completely self-assured he didn't do anything wrong, wondering what the big deal is.
02:18:38 I can’t stop laughing at the Trump surrogates trying to figure out how to react to Trump today.
02:27:56 Retweeted @Green_Footballs 02:27:40 Republican politicians are calling Trump’s gross remarks вЂњinexcusable.вЂќ
But none of them are withdrawing their endorsements.
02:28:06 Retweeted @imbou 02:27:46 @abulsme yep he isn't talking about seducing this Cosby style sexual assault talk https://t.co/XGMZZGy5Hh
02:42:26 Retweeted @JTSantucci 02:41:45 A senior level Trump source with direct knowledge, says the RNC is standing with Trump, for now. RNC has not mentioned a drop out scenario
03:24:23 Retweeted @B_M_Finnigan 03:22:27 *stares at giant map of Pennsylvania made from my own blood*
*punches through it and wall beyond*

*screams into the void*
03:24:37 Retweeted @henryolsenEPPC 03:03:49 Hurricane Donald made landfall tonight. Category 5 storm.
03:32:54 Retweeted @passantino 03:29:08 Rep. @jasoninthehouse Chaffetz on CNN вЂњI've got a 15 yr old daughter, do you think I can look her in the eyeвЂќ and support Trump after this?
03:44:48 Retweeted @reidepstein 03:13:54 Full list of Republicans who have renounced Trump tonight: Utah Gov Gary Herbert, Utah Rep Jason Chaffetz, former Utah Gov Jon Huntsman.
03:45:07 Retweeted @CBS4Shaun 03:39:00 BREAKING:@RepMikeCoffman calls for @realDonaldTrump to step aside "for the good of the country & to give GOP a chance to defeat Clinton."
03:46:55 Retweeted @willrahn 2016-10-07 21:10:31 BUSH COMPOUND, DECEMBER 2015 вЂ”
JEB: We must stop Trump. Any ideas?

GWB: Nope

GHWB: Sorry no

BILLY: Nope, no idea, nothing, zilch, zero
03:55:17 Retweeted @aedwardslevy 2016-10-07 21:23:29 I'm calling for a total and complete shutdown of Donald Trump interacting with women until we can figure out what is going on
03:55:38 Retweeted @_Drew_McCoy_ 03:07:44 If you're apologizing for something you did 15 years ago, you're not making amends. You're trying to weasel out after being caught.
03:55:49 Retweeted @jpodhoretz 03:52:59 Fox in panic mode–just doing the hurricane
03:56:08 Retweeted @henryolsenEPPC 03:56:02 The SNL cold open is being rewritten furiously as we tweet.
03:57:32 Retweeted @studentactivism 03:57:23 Trump can drop out, but he can't get off the ballot. So if he quits, GOP blows up the party and STILL has to ask voters to tick his name.
03:59:25 .@imbou and I recorded most of Curmudgeon’s Corner, but had to do an extra bit tonight. We’ll see if the Trump statement blows that out too.
03:59:49 Retweeted @studentactivism 03:58:10 If Trump is forced off the ticket, a bunch of his supporters stay home, and a bunch of the people disgusted by him don't come back. in reply to studentactivism
03:59:52 Retweeted @studentactivism 03:59:30 So if Trump does get pushed off the cliff, it's not so Pence can win the White House. It's not to save the Senate. It's an exorcism. in reply to studentactivism
04:00:11 Retweeted @red3blog 03:59:16 You don't regret backing an abusive racist and misogynist. You regret backing an abusive racist and misogynist who you think might lose. in reply to red3blog
04:01:53 Retweeted @jpodhoretz 02:20:31 14 million Republican voters did this. They are to blame. They had every reason to know but he pushed their buttons and they Pavloved.
04:03:03 Retweeted @DLeonhardt 04:02:44 Polls move slowly. Markets move quickly.
Clinton up to 85% to win presidency tonight. Now favored in Iowa, Ohio,вЂ¦ https://t.co/GdS5R2Yvtz
04:04:45 Retweeted @jbarro 04:04:22 The reason this is a disaster for GOP: This is the sort of thing that gets Republican voters to stay home, not just switch at top of ballot.
04:06:18 The statement is вЂњcoming soonвЂќ. Right now Trump’s staff is probably trying desperately to get Trump to record something he doesn’t want to.
04:06:40 Retweeted @chrislhayes 04:06:28 Trump's razor suggests there's no apology because he won't apologize.
04:07:08 Retweeted @smoothkobra 03:53:08 GOP will try to pretend Trump was an anomaly. Wrong. He's the natural conclusion of the southern strategy. Just the country's less white now in reply to smoothkobra
04:07:27 Retweeted @_ 02:19:18 It's now been more than 60 hours since @realDonaldTrump's Android phone has tweeted.
04:08:37 Statement on now. Clearly reading. Not sincere. Doesn’t want to say this.
04:09:02 I missed the first few seconds. :-/
04:09:43 Brings up Bill? Really?
04:09:52 Retweeted @migold 04:09:29 Here's Donald Trump's video statement, on Facebook: https://t.co/oHIudRrubQ
04:13:29 Retweeted @KristiCCoulter 04:13:12 @abulsme I'm watching this through you! in reply to abulsme
04:14:02 .@KristiCCoulter He tried. But it was so obviously insincere. If he has any regret at all, it is only for getting caught. in reply to KristiCCoulter
04:14:31 Retweeted @mviser 04:13:56 вЂњBill Clinton has actually abused women, and Hillary has bulliedвЂ¦his victims. We will discuss this more in the coming days.вЂќ вЂ” Donald Trump
04:14:40 Retweeted @BenjySarlin 04:09:54 It sounds like a statement Trump would never normally make followed by the Trumpiest statement possible that he demanded be added
04:14:53 Retweeted @PhilipRucker 04:14:34 "That took 10 hours? You could've done that on an iPhone…That was very insincere," @KevinMaddenDC says of Trump apology video.
04:16:36 Retweeted @ywxwy 04:14:50 His statement. Take a moment and read some of the comments by his fans https://t.co/wxnfA03uku
04:16:48 Retweeted @speechboy71 04:15:06 Why do the Trump people think that focusing on Bill Clinton's affairs is some kind of magic bullet? It literally makes his situation worse.
04:17:47 I watched the video after the initial live view, I only missed the first half second or so the first time.
04:17:47 Retweeted @rumpfshaker 04:16:40 Trump video from campaign comms perspective: awful production value, he's clearly reading (not his own words), sounds petulant, insincere.
04:18:02 Retweeted @BNONews 02:24:11 Washington State Republican Party Chair Susan Hutchison defends Trump comments, says they "were made when he was a Democrat"
04:22:07 Lets assume for a second that Bill Clinton is guilty of absolutely everything Trump says he is. It still hurts Trump to bring it up. Idiot.
04:25:32 Retweeted @Olivianuzzi 04:25:15 Trump apologizes for his words, but not for their meaning: Did he actually "grab" any women by the "pussy" and if so, where's the apology?
04:25:41 Retweeted @joshuatopolsky 04:25:21 Fascinating live shot of GOP leadership meeting https://t.co/SISPXNEqzN
04:26:24 Retweeted @jennaportnoy 04:10:43 Republican Rep. Barbara Comstock of Virginia urges Trump to drop out of race https://t.co/poUhEibD4i
04:27:00 Retweeted @sarahrstevenson 2016-10-07 23:01:02 My 7th grader gets extra credit if she watches 30min of the next debate. Not sure I can allow that. Not worth it.
04:32:04 Retweeted @goddamnedfrank 04:30:01 Trump’s apology video was like watching someone try to put out their house fire by driving a truck full of BEES into it.
04:35:03 .@ananavarro on CNN live right now. Always look forward to her Trump rants these daysвЂ¦ excellent stuff. From a GOP perspective.
04:35:24 Retweeted @elainaplott 04:27:15 Text from top House GOP staffer: "You've facilitated this if you haven't spoken up before now."
04:37:28 Retweeted @KristiCCoulter 04:37:20 That video was a little hostage-y.
04:37:43 Retweeted @LDBogart 02:35:22 Hey GOP, how does it feel to be forced to carry the Trump candidacy to term?
04:38:18 Retweeted @ChadPergram 04:30:10 Sr GOP source on Trump's comments impacting Hse/Senate races: "This is bad. We're going to have to re-evaluate everything"
04:41:07 Retweeted @ChadPergram 04:40:56 If GOP got Trump to step aside, RNC would essentially have to hold a convention. Rule 9 gives 3 cmte mbrs from each state pwr to nominate
04:41:42 Retweeted @SethAbramovitch 04:38:50 This @ananavarro speech could be the best single moment in the campaign https://t.co/6zVBwbquXH
04:44:27 Wow @ananavarro, Wow. Go.
04:44:43 Retweeted @DavidOAtkins 04:44:35 Donald Trump's surrogate just got offended when Ana Navarro said "pussy" on CNN. We are truly through the looking glass.
04:44:53 Retweeted @fordm 03:23:56 Fox News is covering the bejeezus out of Hurricane Matthew right now.
04:45:01 Retweeted @JoeMuto 04:44:39 Whoa @ananavarro is spitting hot <symbol><symbol><symbol>on CNN right now
04:45:15 Retweeted @oliverdarcy 04:40:49 Bob Beckel on CNN: "This race, effectively as of tonight….is over"
04:45:21 Retweeted @owillis 04:45:10 democrats right now https://t.co/eMD0AdSZmq
04:45:43 Retweeted @digby56 04:44:33 CNN has gone nuts. Ana Navarro screaming at Scottie Hughes,"Don't tell me you're offended when I say pussy but not when Trump says pussy!"
04:46:36 Retweeted @aravosis 04:46:04 Must see. @ananavarro explodes at Trump surrogate who admonishes her for saying the word "pussy," but is OK when TrвЂ¦ https://t.co/XAti21rbmz
04:47:29 Retweeted @reidepstein 04:47:17 Another one from Utah – Mike Lee says Trump should get out https://t.co/smAo4uNsmo
04:48:04 Retweeted @elliosch 04:47:13 Mike Lee just posted video speaking from home in Utah calling on fellow Republicans to abandon Trump.вЂ¦ https://t.co/1XSQ8x67q8
04:49:44 Retweeted @JoyAnnReid 04:46:39 "In the end, have you left no sense of decency?" is still the most profound question ever asked in politics. It certainly applies in 2016. in reply to JoyAnnReid
04:50:41 Retweeted @AlexParkerDC 04:49:04 "Viewer discretion is advised."
"And now for the second 2016 presidential debate…."
04:51:33 Watching that Mike Lee video. He is pissed.
04:51:48 Retweeted @guypbenson 04:51:38 Two GOP Senators, so far, call on Trump to step down.
04:51:57 Retweeted @chrisgeidner 04:51:43 Trump campaign had the text of the video since 1:30p, @Fahrenthold said on MSNBC just now.
04:53:18 Looks like they gave @ananavarro a time out. They should give her a raise.
04:53:40 Retweeted @DavidOAtkins 04:53:17 .@ananavarro just had one of the most amazing moments in recent cable news history, so of course @CNN pulls her from the panel.
04:53:58 Retweeted @SymoneDSanders 03:21:25 It took a year of Donald trump's racist and sexist campaign for a tape to surface of him talking about p***y for the GOP to be "sickened?" in reply to SymoneDSanders
04:56:00 Retweeted @Shaya_in_LA 04:18:58 Runtime 1:30:
Apology: 15 sec
Self-aggrandizement: 20 sec
Stump speech: 20 sec
Attack on Clinton: 20 sec
Tease debate: 8 sec
<symbol><symbol>+/- sniffs<symbol><symbol>
04:57:17 Retweeted @kairyssdal 04:57:05 What the hell, America? What the damn hell? We're better than this.
04:58:04 Retweeted @NumbersMuncher 04:57:50 I have some bad news for Trump backers- there's a month left and it's only going to get worse from here. The worstвЂ¦ https://t.co/uvu9BG55bJ
05:05:09 Retweeted @AshleyJudd 05:04:40 While everyone is rifling a thesaurus for synonyms, how about a dictionary to name it properly: sexual assault remвЂ¦ https://t.co/56vwhUtuhL
05:12:52 Retweeted @ColinHanks 05:10:42 Well, you can't say that this Friday night turned out boring.
05:15:39 Retweeted @pattymo 04:51:32 Live look-in at Fox News, which seems to have become Fox Weather https://t.co/1L6Puc6LxU
05:15:53 Retweeted @pkcapitol 05:15:32 It's stunning – @CNN @MSNBC have live coverage of Trump meltdown and @FoxNews is airing re-run hurricane coverage.
05:16:02 Retweeted @NumbersMuncher 05:15:51 Right now Trump is working the phones trying to figure out what support is left and letting them all know they can't do a thing to dump him.
05:16:17 Retweeted @alexburnsNYT 05:16:03 Trump was questioned about demeaning women in the *very 1st debate*
Primary voters let him get away w/a Rosie joke & attacking Megyn Kelly
05:20:14 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 05:19:42 Big round of poll updates finally done. Polls added for all 50 states and DC. Lots of notable changes. @ElectionGraphs blog post later.
05:20:46 Retweeted @asmamk 03:22:31 You can theoretically win an election without black/brown/Asian voters. You can't win an election without white women. #demographics
05:27:18 Retweeted @goldengateblond 05:27:07 Welp, this was one way to get us to stop talking about Trump's taxes. in reply to goldengateblond
05:28:12 Retweeted @JoyAnnReid 04:45:16 Every American will have to answer, even if only to their own conscience, what they did when Trump ran for president of the United States. in reply to JoyAnnReid
05:29:12 Retweeted @SeattleOnside 05:28:12 @alexburnsNYT @brianbeutler @TheFix
"You knew damn well I was a snake before you took me in." in reply to alexburnsNYT
05:30:08 Retweeted @MattGertz 05:10:31 That Trump video is what happens when Steve Bannon and Roger Ailes craft a speech with the intended audience of Sean Hannity.
05:31:58 Retweeted @davidfolkenflik 04:10:14 Also a major US party appears to have been engaged in controlled experiment to see if candidate can win WH while offending 85% of population in reply to davidfolkenflik
05:34:53 Retweeted @drmistercody 05:17:33 Literally the first sentence of @realDonaldTrump's apology was a lie. https://t.co/DT4jvf0Ln0
05:35:06 Retweeted @EricBoehlert 2016-10-07 22:06:59 CNN's GOP source: "it's over"
05:35:57 Retweeted @kylegriffin1 05:35:30 Please give all the Pulitzers to @Fahrenthold. All of them.
05:45:43 Retweeted @JohnWDean 05:45:35 Watching Trump implode is much more interesting that watching Nixon do so b/c Trump is so much more dangerous– and I'm no Nixon apologist.
05:45:56 Retweeted @jccronin 2016-10-07 23:20:22 Funny thing, I was in a locker room today, and the only thing anybody said was, "Does anyone have any ibuprofen?"
05:46:02 Retweeted @MarkSalter55 05:18:02 Anyone hoping Trump does the right thing is hoping for a Trump who doesn't exist. He, Bannon and Bossie have just ordered Paris burned.
05:47:54 Retweeted @mattcanham 05:44:55 Update: @RepChrisStewart joins list of Utah Republicans revolting because of Trump's explicit video. https://t.co/PlLlSN0YAQ #utpol
05:48:20 Looks like Utah may be in play again after allвЂ¦
05:57:55 Retweeted @FreddieCampion 05:56:01 The first sentence of Trump’s statement has no less than two lies in it. https://t.co/vubHjxVHXa
06:40:48 Retweeted @ddiamond 06:39:34 This was a week ago.
Something tells me: It isn't the worst week anymore. https://t.co/aqq9QojPKg
06:48:08 Retweeted @jonfavs 06:45:03 Wonder how debate prep is going
07:14:55 Retweeted @monteiro 07:01:58 Christ allfuckingmighty. Cut it with the wives and daughters shit. Women are people. They don’t need to be relatives for you to give a shit.
07:22:32 Retweeted @DLin71 07:19:05 TRUMP: I never pretended to be someone I’m not
*Exits, returns as John Miller
MILLER: True
*Exits, returns as John Barron
BARRON: He’s right
07:39:12 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Trump's Polling Meltdown https://t.co/pyCHyNgA4n
08:17:40 Retweeted @mattyglesias 01:31:25 It’s too bad for GOP elected officials that there was literally no way they could have known before today that Trump was a gross misogynist.
08:19:42 Retweeted @PieroCastellano 08:11:35 Seriously, the only way we can figure this out is to admit that something is badly rotten in western education andвЂ¦ https://t.co/477I5sbror
08:21:48 Retweeted @bbcdoctorwho 2016-10-07 16:28:11 And here it is!
Your FIRST LOOK at the #DoctorWho 2016 Christmas Special, The Return of Doctor Mysterio!
<symbol>вќ„пёЏв›„пёЏ https://t.co/A0EmpvfSD6
08:22:03 Retweeted @RealRonHoward 04:26:52 Trumps says "Anyone who knows me knows these words don’t reflect who I am,вЂќ Sorry but i know people who do know him -it is exactly who he is
08:24:03 Retweeted @ActuallyEmerson 03:13:36 I'm fascinated by anyone for whom "this" was the straw. What kind of Herculean mutant camel was carrying all of the others?
08:26:15 Retweeted @HillaryClinton 2016-10-07 23:54:35 Women have the power to stop Trump.
https://t.co/tTgeqy51PU
https://t.co/VH3woeAf9Q https://t.co/NjvbkPsjPR
08:29:28 Retweeted @danpfeiffer 05:08:02 NBC must be sitting on hundreds of hours of Trump on a hot mic from his Apprentice days. Does NBC News have access and are they reviewing?
08:38:01 Retweeted @samsteinhp 02:30:39 вЂњNobody was raped. Nobody has diedвЂќ
– a defense of Trump now on Fox News
13:17:09 Retweeted @jcchurch 12:52:55 My wife says that David @Fahrenthold is a time traveler from the future trying to carefully fix the darkest time line. I believe her.
17:27:20 Retweeted @KellyAyotte 15:37:57 I will not vote for Donald Trump. Read my statement here: https://t.co/F8zajgDZpg
17:27:39 Retweeted @PhilipRucker 17:14:18 A source close to Trump camp told me Pence and his team are вЂњabsolutely apoplectic,вЂќ "melting downвЂќ and "inconsolable.вЂќ
17:30:16 Like rats frm a sinking ship. But it’s too late. If you didn’t know Trump was trash before now, your judgement can’t be trusted on anything.
17:30:53 Retweeted @EsotericCD 17:25:56 Reminder: transcripts of paid speeches w/HRC claiming her dream is open borders leaked last night & nobody cares
Because we nominated Trump
17:31:12 Retweeted @DLeonhardt 03:02:41 Calling Mexicans rapists
Mocking a POW
Mocking the disabled
Banning Muslims
Cozying up to Putin
Calling women dogвЂ¦ https://t.co/2lCIcYExbZ
17:33:22 Reading – Amid growing calls to drop out, Trump vows to вЂnever withdraw’ (Robert Costa) https://t.co/qOwZIRi2I9
17:34:23 Retweeted @mike_pence 16:56:32 My statement below: https://t.co/92VYEAxIcl
17:36:03 Retweeted @EsotericCD 16:57:16 Sen. John Thune and Gov. Dennis Daugaard (both R-SD) have added their voices to the Trump Repudiation List, and we're at 10 now.
17:36:38 Retweeted @latimes 17:25:06 Influential conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt urges Trump to step aside https://t.co/FdYrAMUB5w
17:36:50 Retweeted @MarisaKabas 16:32:44 serious q for republicans denouncing trump but saying never hillary: what the fuck do you want voters to do?
17:36:56 Retweeted @petersuderman 17:24:58 The GOP's long history of permitting (and sometimes endorsing) Trump and Trump-like behavior, is a primary reason why Trump happened. in reply to petersuderman
17:37:33 Retweeted @HeerJeet 17:24:48 Who could've predicated that having Trump as a major party presidential nominee would be a complete fucking disaster?
17:43:37 Retweeted @morningmoneyben 17:24:07 If Trump is a disaster in the debate, and he will be, the bottom will fall out entirely by Monday morning.
17:46:06 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 16:21:10 Just want to give a shout out to Ted Cruz who has to feel like dumbest man in America.
17:46:36 Retweeted @AG_Conservative 17:21:30 I invite in everyone who was conned by Trump if they admit it. The people who did the conning for him? Nope, must fвЂ¦ https://t.co/qSimEvBXdL
17:47:08 Retweeted @rorycooper 17:14:35 Tomorrow night's debate. https://t.co/h2VgzAfvuc
17:54:12 Retweeted @chrisfholm 16:46:53 Gosh, if only we could hold some sort of nationwide referendum on the fate of this Trump jackass. Then maybe he'd go away.
17:54:53 Retweeted @chrisfholm 02:22:55 C'mon, guys: this isn't offensive because you have wives, daughters. It's offensive because fellow humans aren't objects for your amusement.
17:55:11 Retweeted @chrisfholm 2016-10-07 21:13:10 Meanwhile, at Tic Tac HQ:
"Guys! It's finally happened! We're trending!"

"Really? Why?"

"Hang on; I'll click through. OH, SON OF A…"
17:56:31 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 17:34:24 Prediction: Polls will underestimate actual D performance https://t.co/3IXysSv8IY
17:57:25 .@THELuisAMendez I would not be surprised at all. Turnout modeling is going to be really hard. in reply to THELuisAMendez
18:00:45 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 17:58:43 @abulsme His weak org was always a prob for that but now that R turnout may be depressed too? in reply to abulsme
18:02:08 Retweeted @pbondi 04:12:12 Trump video: https://t.co/o4FpUPduCM
18:02:27 Retweeted @nicoleperlroth 18:01:22 Anddd Fox is still focused on the hurricane. https://t.co/CI5GDScphO
18:02:58 Retweeted @kailanikm 17:55:44 John Kasich definitively saying he won't vote for Trump tdy is the end of a very long road of continually condemninвЂ¦ https://t.co/kcjuQbyn7N
18:29:25 Rats. Rats from the ship. Too late. Way too late. -> The GOP’s brutal responses to the new Trump video (Aaron Blake) https://t.co/cvmDP8ETq0
18:29:38 Retweeted @JVLast 18:29:28 When you're debating if the nominee stays on the ticket 30 days out, you're not arguing about winning, but chances of the party's survival.
19:47:12 Retweeted @TicTacUSA 19:03:32 Tic Tac respects all women. We find the recent statements and behavior completely inappropriate and unacceptable.
20:04:26 Retweeted @Statistikhengst 19:55:27 I concur. It may very well be his Waterloo. https://t.co/6gYQBIrnVX
20:09:11 Reading – Trump's Unstoppable Drift to Election Day (@joshtpm) https://t.co/q0PFmKU0T2
20:20:38 Retweeted @Olivianuzzi 20:20:24 Hey look, it's a metaphor! https://t.co/lxTfIDVBM9
20:51:10 Reading – Here's what happens if Trump drops out (Jeff Stein) https://t.co/Jm5KzCuXip
21:02:01 As usual, pay attention to @SamWangPhD -> The Whitest Swan https://t.co/CqLJC9YXmf
21:50:12 Retweeted @HollettLA 04:46:22 My friend Emily: Make no mistake, ladies: Trump may be the face of your rapist, but Pence is every judge who made sure he got away with it.
21:56:23 Retweeted @7im 21:55:37 This is fine. https://t.co/8UfNnUq9SJ
21:56:32 Retweeted @HMittelmark 21:43:50 Nope. Sorry. Still undecided. Do you have anything involving cannibalism or necrophilia?
21:57:44 Retweeted @Taniel 21:57:31 By my count, 52 GOP governors, senators and representatives have now stated that they do not support Trump. (That's 16% of total.)
21:58:16 Retweeted @kylegriffin1 21:56:41 "Enough! Donald Trump should not be President." вЂ”Condoleezza Rice: https://t.co/imFQS04UNu https://t.co/oRp5Mm04Qm
21:58:34 Retweeted @GoldyHA 21:58:24 To be clear, Trump is not an anomaly. Sociopaths came in first and second (Cruz) in the Republican primary.
21:59:13 Retweeted @Mdarbyreid 20:09:00 Oh my, all Mike Pence events removed from Trump website. https://t.co/dCPy0W5BxI #ItsOver
21:59:50 Retweeted @SenJohnMcCain 21:38:48 There are no excuses for Donald Trump’s offensive behavior. Cindy & I will not vote for him. My full stmt: https://t.co/MOw0rx4LSI
22:18:33 Retweeted @DeseretNews 18:55:02 In our opinion: Donald Trump should resign his candidacy
https://t.co/UulorFpZrD https://t.co/9wtF0u75xj
22:19:58 Retweeted @matthewjdowd 09:22:50 Do me a favor you all: watch the trump "apology" and the billy bush/trump tape. You tell me which one does Trump sound more authentic in.
22:31:16 Retweeted @longwall26 22:10:38 Republicans: NO MORE POLITICAL CORRECTNESS
Trump: Grab 'em by the pussy!

Republicans: OKAY *SOME* POLITICAL CORRECTNESS
22:31:51 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 22:31:41 We're seeing right now what almost happened after the conventions. The shakeup and bad Sept for Hillary fooled GOP leaders, then reality hit
22:34:54 Retweeted @spooknine 22:34:45 Today, all day https://t.co/emSnlvJl7o
22:37:58 Retweeted @JoeNBC 22:34:41 The events of the last 24 hours guarantee that the last month of this campaign will be more populist, more vicious, and more destructive.
22:37:58 Retweeted @JoeNBC 22:37:30 Trump is going nowhere. He will now likely target the Clinton machine, the GOP establishment, and the mainstream media.
It will be ugly.
22:38:23 Retweeted @Taniel 22:38:13 I've listed the 55 GOP officials who've stated they don't support Trump (& I've isolated those who already didn't):вЂ¦ https://t.co/tHg8Fsv7nJ
22:38:34 Retweeted @VCUPav 22:33:17 Serious question. If somehow the GOP were to force Trump out (no, I don't know how), what would his base do?
22:40:26 Given Pence events being removed from schedule, expecting another statement from Pence soon. Will he leave? Or just be quiet for a bit?
22:41:51 Retweeted @KnoxvilleKC 22:41:41 @abulsme It appears they both are shutting it down for the day. Smart. Don't feed the monster in reply to abulsme
22:42:07 .@KnoxvilleKC It would be crazy not to. in reply to KnoxvilleKC
22:44:59 Retweeted @nxthompson 22:30:55 With McCain out, Bob Dole is the only living GOP presidential nominee who supports Trump. https://t.co/bmgOKOCidr
22:45:44 Retweeted @Reuters 21:18:35 LIVE: Donald Trump outside Trump Tower in Manhattan tells reporters he is "100 percent" staying in raceвЂ¦ https://t.co/746okZSSBo
22:46:20 Retweeted @mattyglesias 22:46:09 As of this weekend all that hyperbolic stuff people have been saying about this being the weirdest campaign ever is now true.
22:46:45 Retweeted @frankthorp 22:46:16 The last two tweets from @realDonaldTrump are retweets of @atensnut (Juanita Broaddrick): https://t.co/pUEDCIPCDi
22:48:31 Retweeted @MichaelCBender 22:44:24 Bob Dole stands by Trump: "Oh yeah," he told me. "It was 11 years ago…He can overcome a lot of this in the debate" https://t.co/hFPYbBO9Fy
22:48:42 Retweeted @harry_horton 22:45:39 Donald Trump's retweets suggest he's prepared to let things get ugly during the debate tomorrow. https://t.co/jiO2LOFcQM
23:11:39 Retweeted @maggieNYT 23:11:31 Priebus is canceling on Sunday shows – Giuliani going to be main/possibly loan Trump point person.
23:12:18 Retweeted @Panger2016 23:06:45 @HeerJeet If he quits, I'm confident he will wait until it's absolutely impossible to replace him. His last FU to the party. in reply to HeerJeet
23:13:45 [Blog Post] Curmudgeon's Corner: Topping the First One https://t.co/st2ZVEaQk6
23:15:04 Retweeted @nxthompson 23:10:07 Bushes who tried to take down Trump but didn't: Jeb, GW, GHW, Barbara, Millie
Bushes who succeeded: Billy
23:29:50 Retweeted @PhilipRucker 23:16:27 RNC has been totally dark today. Reince Priebus, Sean Spicer & others have not come to Trump's defense and are not responding to reporters.
23:29:59 Retweeted @theharryshearer 22:00:34 Per CNN, Camp HRC is strategizing how she should greet DJT at top of debate. I suggest walking over and grabbing him by the balls.
23:30:12 Retweeted @costareports 23:29:44 The people at Trump Tower today, per mulitiple sources…
Christie
Giuliani
Priebus
Bannon
Conway
Don Trump Jr.
Bossie
Hicks
23:30:21 Retweeted @bethanyshondark 23:18:46 I'm honestly ashamed and disgusted this cascade didn't happen for the Khan family.
23:47:27 Retweeted @owillis 23:47:17 RNC halts Victory project work for Trump https://t.co/FblyPW6fDZ they have LITERALLY given up on "victory"
23:48:26 Retweeted @scottbix 23:36:13 The party's over: Reince Priebus has told GOP officials to redirect funds away from Trump to down-ballot candidates. https://t.co/dyFGsLiDDF
23:49:26 Retweeted @billpruitt 21:44:47 As a producer on seasons 1 & 2 of #theapprentice I assure you: when it comes to the #trumptapes there are far worse. #justthebegininng
23:51:28 To the people saying Trump’s comments in the 2005 tape is how вЂњnormal people talkвЂќвЂ¦ I never want to be around your kind of normal.
23:53:01 UhвЂ¦. are. in reply to abulsme
23:53:43 Retweeted @mlcalderone 23:45:26 NBC News says network doesn’t own Apprentice footage and is "pursuing it along with every other news organization" https://t.co/edK5F8t9OT
23:54:34 Retweeted @ddale8 23:46:58 The Republican Party decided today to effectively concede the presidential election, WSJ reports: https://t.co/7ES7Phfn7k
23:54:48 Retweeted @chrislhayes 23:47:19 The 2020 Trump Clinton rematch is going to be *epic*
23:58:21 Reading – More Trump tapes surface with crude sex remarks (Marc Fisher) https://t.co/G3Y0sppsnV
23:59:07 Retweeted @VLRAmyCurtis 23:46:16 #TrumpTrain https://t.co/RcXzddS0xs

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Topping the First One

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner… what else? Trump, Trump, Trump, Trump. After a short bit on Hurricane Matthew, we dive into Trump’s taxes, then the Veep debate. We had originally ended the show there, but after the big Trump news Friday, we came back and recorded a bonus segment on the 2005 tape and the beginnings of the aftermath. The situation is still unfolding, but we had to stop and actually get the show out!

Click below to listen or subscribe… then let us know your own thoughts!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2016-10-07
Length this week – 2:06:16

(0:01:26-0:21:11) But First
- Agenda
- Curmudgeon’s Corner Mug
- Hurricane Matthew
(0:22:15-0:54:38) Trump Taxes
- Background
- How did he lose the billion?
- Lying Trump
- Political impact
- Sam’s polling frustrations
- Polling update
- Undecided and 3P votes
(0:55:42-1:24:36) Veep Debate and More
- The debate was boring
- Kaine’s annoying interruptions
- Pence pretends Trump doesn’t exist
- Pence 2020?
- Hidden voters?
- Impact of the VP debate
- The next debate
- Bringing up Bill?
- False Goodbye
(1:24:50-2:06:16) Bonus Segment!
- Trump tape
- Who is surprised?
- Crude comments
- Juana scolds Ivan
- How much does this hurt Trump?
- Clinton speech transcripts
- Trump meltdown coming?
- Republican damage control
- Straight party ticket
- 3rd party voters
- Defections begin
- Too late to dump Trump?
- Long term damage from 2016
- False goodbye 2
- Final update

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Electoral College: Trump’s Polling Meltdown

States with new poll data added since the last update: All of them. Multiple times. There are additional new polls since I had to cut things off for this update as well. Those will be in the next update.

National Summary

The last week of polls has been devastating to Trump’s position. In the last update we were just starting to see the reaction from the first debate. With this batch the post-debate polling continued to roll in, and while there were a couple of minor moves toward Trump, the net change in this update was a dramatic move toward Clinton:

The expected result moved from Clinton by 6 electoral votes to Clinton by 154 electoral votes
The tipping point moved from Clinton by 2.1% in CO to Clinton by 4.5% in MI
Trump’s best case moved from a 60 EV win to a 26 EV win
Clinton’s best case moved from a 208 EV win to a 196 EV win

Looking at the charts:

The previous update mentioned some Trump losses starting a week or two before the debate. With a lot more polls filling in the time period right before the debate as well as right after, it now looks like those losses were reversed before the debate.

In the time after the debate though, all three indicators on the chart have moved in Clinton’s direction. The race is now essentially back to where it was at the beginning of September. We’re not yet back at Clinton’s high point from August, but it is getting close.

The tipping point chart is even more stark. As with the electoral college view, it looks like Trump’s mid-September declines were reversed by debate time, but after the debate everything falls off a cliff. Most of Trump’s gains from August and September are gone. Right before the debate he topped out with Clinton only ahead in the tipping point metric by 0.4%.

Clinton now leads by 4.5%. The tipping point state is Michigan. Clinton only has to increase her lead slightly there to not just take Michigan out of reach for Trump, but the Presidency.

What we are seeing in the polling results right now at this point probably fully factors in the debate itself. But we are just starting to see the impact from Trump’s “worst week in presidential campaign history ” that started with the debate, continued with his attacks on Alicia Machado, and ended with the leak of some of his tax information. The events of that week are not yet fully baked in.

And of course, the polls do not yet reflect the VP debate, or more importantly, the 2005 Trump video that was leaked on Friday. It is hard to imagine the events of the last few days NOT having an impact on the polls.

And the next debate is coming up. It should be interesting. If you were not planning on tuning in before, change your plans.

31.7 days left until the first actual election results start coming in.

State Details

A lot of states moved in order to produce the summary results above. For those interested in looking at the state by state details, they are below:

Weak Trump to Weak Clinton

Moving out of reach for Trump

Moving out of reach for Clinton

Moving into reach for Trump

States that changed categories but then moved right back again

For more informationвЂ¦

This post is an update based on the data on ElectionGraphs.com. Election Graphs tracks both a poll based estimate of the Electoral College and a numbers based look at the Delegate Races. All of the charts and graphs seen in this post are from that site. Additional graphs, charts and raw data can be found there. Follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter or like Election Graphs on Facebook to see announcements of updates or to join the conversation. For those interested in individual general election poll updates, follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter for all the polls as they are added. If you find the information in these posts interesting or useful, please consider visiting the tip jar.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-07 (UTC)

01:12:14 Retweeted @suz_hol 01:11:33 @ElecCollPolls is this a real poll number? in reply to ElecCollPolls
01:13:31 .@suz_hol Yes. But it is Google. Lots of outliers in many states. Look at overall picture rather than the one poll: https://t.co/dE5wFPMoVu in reply to suz_hol
04:32:24 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NE-All from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.87% to Trump 36.58% https://t.co/yh6EQOsDUS
04:32:29 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NE-All from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.87% to Trump 36.58% to Johnson 6.88%
04:36:14 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 46.18% to Trump 21.23% https://t.co/S4hmDFQLu7
04:36:19 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 46.18% to Trump 21.23% to Johnson 8.61%
04:36:32 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NH has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/S4hmDFQLu7
05:01:24 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 219 to Trump 319 -> Clinton 223 to Trump 315 https://t.co/GQZHanehWR
05:33:34 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 41.69% to Trump 32.62% https://t.co/pTAXUpzp0Q
05:33:39 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 41.69% to Trump 32.62% to Johnson 4.98%
05:33:54 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NJ has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/pTAXUpzp0Q
05:36:59 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 43.05% to Trump 22.73% https://t.co/0hK3B4qQZS
05:37:04 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 43.05% to Trump 22.73% to Johnson 11.60%
05:37:20 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NM has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/0hK3B4qQZS
05:40:03 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 35.20% to Trump 33.06% https://t.co/Vv75s4hCNm
05:40:08 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 35.20% to Trump 33.06% to Johnson 12.95%
06:08:27 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 43.02% to Trump 31.27% https://t.co/vlWQzXgXCb
06:08:32 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 43.02% to Trump 31.27% to Johnson 4.69%
06:10:35 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.04% to Trump 33.55% https://t.co/oeOLq5fbcx
06:10:40 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.04% to Trump 33.55% to Johnson 6.43%
06:14:31 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 28.99% to Trump 39.64% https://t.co/LnjoDu2jsn
06:14:36 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 28.99% to Trump 39.64% to Johnson 10.83%
06:17:34 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 48.01% to Trump 26.47% https://t.co/OPYrtIhinN
06:17:39 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 48.01% to Trump 26.47% to Johnson 5.24%
06:20:00 Poll Added: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 37.40% to Trump 37.06% https://t.co/k3QzGGN8Ao
06:20:05 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 37.40% to Trump 37.06% to Johnson 6.39%
06:36:43 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 1.8% in PA -> Clinton by 2% in PA https://t.co/DDj5GRQPBr
15:07:59 Poll Added: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 44.76% to Trump 28.48% https://t.co/GI34aUN0y4
15:08:04 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 44.76% to Trump 28.48% to Johnson 4.40%
15:10:27 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 29.83% to Trump 40.78% https://t.co/w0n9teloKF
15:10:32 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 29.83% to Trump 40.78% to Johnson 7.62%
15:14:50 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.16% to Trump 37.36% https://t.co/zGPw60L6ql
15:14:55 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.16% to Trump 37.36% to Johnson 2.74%
15:18:53 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.62% to Trump 42.73% https://t.co/269VA28cLj
15:18:59 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.62% to Trump 42.73% to Johnson 6.66%
15:24:57 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 33.42% to Trump 40.37% https://t.co/VCNJenXkg4
15:25:02 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 33.42% to Trump 40.37% to Johnson 8.06%
15:27:08 Poll Added: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 28.64% to Trump 34.24% https://t.co/MhwiWPHXOs
15:27:12 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 28.64% to Trump 34.24% to Johnson 14.51%
15:29:15 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 40.86% to Trump 27.00% https://t.co/Shl5LOFZum
15:29:20 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 40.86% to Trump 27.00% to Johnson 7.23%
15:29:34 Clinton vs Trump state category change: VA has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/Shl5LOFZum
15:52:14 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 223 to Trump 315 -> Clinton 236 to Trump 302 https://t.co/xwsXkUsOYI
16:01:27 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 44.43% to Trump 27.34% https://t.co/8TSACwm1ZI
16:01:32 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 44.43% to Trump 27.34% to Johnson 6.65%
16:04:30 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 45.41% to Trump 24.67% https://t.co/XnrW1Px1fr
16:04:35 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 45.41% to Trump 24.67% to Johnson 8.26%
16:40:17 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 43.01% to Trump 27.71% https://t.co/EPZHKBuMdd
16:40:22 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 43.01% to Trump 27.71% to Johnson 8.40%
16:43:04 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 24.42% to Trump 48.57% https://t.co/LxBa9a26RW
16:43:09 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 24.42% to Trump 48.57% to Johnson 6.88%
16:46:29 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 18.80% to Trump 35.07% https://t.co/AvaZG1BoWw
16:46:34 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 18.80% to Trump 35.07% to Johnson 9.70%
16:57:16 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in FL from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-04 – Clinton 44.2% to Trump 45.4% https://t.co/nv28wuXNMT
16:57:21 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in FL from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-04 – Clinton 44.2% to Trump 45.4% to Johnson 4.0% to Stein 2.6%
17:00:04 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in NV from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-04 – Clinton 42.5% to Trump 42.8% https://t.co/20P5LD3eRK
17:00:09 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in NV from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-04 – Clinton 42.5% to Trump 42.8% to Johnson 8.5% to Stein 4.3%
17:02:32 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-04 – Clinton 43.8% to Trump 41.9% https://t.co/SjbowIqxEV
17:02:37 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-04 – Clinton 43.8% to Trump 41.9% to Johnson 9.3% to Stein 0.9%
17:05:33 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in RI from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-04 – Clinton 51.8% to Trump 32.3% https://t.co/biEwQgPljx
17:05:38 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in RI from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-04 – Clinton 51.8% to Trump 32.3% to Johnson 5.3% to Stein 4.9%
17:10:25 Poll Added: ALG w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 43% to Trump 41% https://t.co/0WtEUxAXnz
17:10:30 Full 4P results: ALG w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 43% to Trump 41% to Johnson 7% to Stein 1%
17:11:56 Poll Added: ALG w/Lean w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 44% to Trump 42% https://t.co/Rew55Z8yfU
17:12:02 Full 4P results: ALG w/Lean w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 44% to Trump 42% to Johnson 8% to Stein 1%
17:14:00 Poll Added: ALG [4] in OH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 45% to Trump 42% https://t.co/RK73ChWiS7
17:15:21 Poll Added: ALG w/Lean [4] in OH from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% https://t.co/ywNyAzNi62
17:15:35 Clinton vs Trump state category change: OH has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/ywNyAzNi62
17:41:42 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 313 to Trump 225 -> Clinton 331 to Trump 207 https://t.co/zb7zwqQU6q
17:48:09 Poll Added: Dixie w/4P in TX from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-01 – Clinton 37.95% to Trump 44.87% https://t.co/ExGbBJHEjR
17:48:14 Full 4P results: Dixie w/4P in TX from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-01 – Clinton 37.95% to Trump 44.87% to Johnson 4.23% to Stein 0.90%
17:53:40 Poll Added: Normington Petts in ME-CD2 from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% https://t.co/dClkIhczfK
17:56:27 Poll Added: SurveyUSA w/4P in NM from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 46% to Trump 33% https://t.co/iKApjc6yet
17:56:32 Full 4P results: SurveyUSA w/4P in NM from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 46% to Trump 33% to Johnson 14% to Stein 2%
18:01:04 Poll Added: Monmouth w/4P in OH from 2016-10-01 to 2016-10-04 – Clinton 44% to Trump 42% https://t.co/utR9AdUtuV
18:01:09 Full 4P results: Monmouth w/4P in OH from 2016-10-01 to 2016-10-04 – Clinton 44% to Trump 42% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
18:07:02 Poll Added: Normington Petts in ME-CD2 from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-22 – Clinton 40% to Trump 44% https://t.co/7Dm67D8pWr
18:20:21 Poll Added: SurveyUSA w/3P in NC from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% https://t.co/FUPHhauK2Q
18:20:26 Full 3P results: SurveyUSA w/3P in NC from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% to Johnson 5%
18:27:47 Poll Added: Hart w/3P [2] in NV from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 44% to Trump 41% https://t.co/hO8izXNlmE
18:27:52 Full 3P results: Hart w/3P [2] in NV from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 44% to Trump 41% to Johnson 8%
18:29:15 Poll Added: Hart [2] in NV from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% https://t.co/mTzynooYdQ
18:41:18 Poll Added: SIU w/4P [2] in IL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 50.5% to Trump 27.1% https://t.co/Vb3gUf3Er3
18:41:23 Full 4P results: SIU w/4P [2] in IL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 50.5% to Trump 27.1% to Johnson 3.6% to Stein 1.2%
18:42:41 Poll Added: SIU w/Lean w/4P [2] in IL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 53.2% to Trump 28.4% https://t.co/csmDotE6b7
18:42:46 Full 4P results: SIU w/Lean w/4P [2] in IL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 53.2% to Trump 28.4% to Johnson 4.7% to Stein 1.5%
18:46:54 Poll Added: MTSU w/4P [3] in TN from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 36% to Trump 48% https://t.co/OStmBLp4vz
18:46:59 Full 4P results: MTSU w/4P [3] in TN from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 36% to Trump 48% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
18:48:28 Poll Added: MTSU w/Lean w/4P [3] in TN from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 38% to Trump 50% https://t.co/66zwCJkpLx
18:48:33 Full 4P results: MTSU w/Lean w/4P [3] in TN from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 38% to Trump 50% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
18:49:29 Poll Added: MTSU [3] in TN from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 40% to Trump 50% https://t.co/L48HnSPOvU
19:00:29 Poll Added: F&M LV w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 47% to Trump 38% https://t.co/WHvECa0yxC
19:00:34 Full 4P results: F&M LV w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 47% to Trump 38% to Johnson 5% to Stein 0%
19:02:25 Poll Added: F&M RV [3] in PA from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 48% to Trump 36% https://t.co/feADr7h4Od
19:03:42 Poll Added: F&M RV w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 47% to Trump 35% https://t.co/PDHuYvD5dE
19:03:47 Full 4P results: F&M RV w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 47% to Trump 35% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
19:17:04 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2% in PA -> Clinton by 4.5% in MI https://t.co/TjGlRzXtl5
19:27:21 Poll Added: Elon w/3P in NC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-30 – Clinton 44.5% to Trump 39% https://t.co/7mQgackoPE
19:27:26 Full 3P results: Elon w/3P in NC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-30 – Clinton 44.5% to Trump 39% to Johnson 9%
19:27:39 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NC has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/7mQgacC0ee
19:47:35 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 331 to Trump 207 -> Clinton 346 to Trump 192 https://t.co/j0JOjmv6mK

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-07 (UTC)

03:56:42 Retweeted @NHC_Atlantic 03:21:31 For those having trouble accessing the NHC website, here's the 5-day cone graphic for Hurricane #Matthew Advisory 3вЂ¦ https://t.co/PFlpXUh5z1
04:15:22 Reading and watching -> Blue Origin Crew Capsule Escape Test Goes Flawlessly (Steve Spaleta) https://t.co/prYlZWv9q7
04:48:19 Retweeted @steelers 00:01:01 Tuitt: "What are we going to do?"
Cam: "Don't worry, bro. I got the @Uber_PIT." https://t.co/08KhpV02GR
04:52:55 Retweeted @SamuelAAdams 03:27:32 Twitter: A Play in Three Acts https://t.co/lAiCvpAXz6
06:10:40 Retweeted @AnthonyFarnell 03:15:19 This new 30 mile shift in track to the right may have just saved Florida from a complete disaster. #HurricaneMatthew https://t.co/Tyy7di78AO
20:14:07 Listening to Trump the Tactician vs Clinton the Strategist: Who Wins?
via iCatcher! https://t.co/mjKy7suGQr
21:25:22 Is anyone surprised? -> Trump recorded having extremely lewd conversation about women in 2005 (@Fahrenthold) https://t.co/knOBrAOV8v

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-06 (UTC)

03:03:37 Poll Added: Ipsos in OR from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 48.418% to Trump 37.646% https://t.co/XuRNjE66Jy
03:06:11 Poll Added: Ipsos in PA from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 45.228% to Trump 42.348% https://t.co/ud5UgeJMb2
03:18:44 Poll Added: Ipsos in SC from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 44.407% to Trump 49.004% https://t.co/rPCKWRyfif
03:21:26 Poll Added: Ipsos in SD from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 31.674% to Trump 46.796% https://t.co/SvkZVms92D
03:21:42 Clinton vs Trump state category change: SD has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/SvkZVmayb5
03:24:36 Poll Added: Ipsos in TN from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 35.104% to Trump 47.071% https://t.co/K5gzm7X8zp
03:27:19 Poll Added: Ipsos in TX from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 32.900% to Trump 48.314% https://t.co/Z9SUgyS5Cp
03:30:26 Poll Added: Ipsos in UT from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 34.260% to Trump 49.547% https://t.co/l50rF5owTu
03:34:05 Poll Added: Ipsos in VA from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 48.256% to Trump 40.350% https://t.co/aSBRJgbKWH
03:37:24 Poll Added: Ipsos in WA from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 48.940% to Trump 35.275% https://t.co/VNVaQfLiMG
03:40:57 Poll Added: Ipsos in WV from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 33.119% to Trump 52.738% https://t.co/uMjoS6zany
05:36:07 Poll Added: Ipsos in WI from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 42.481% to Trump 41.998% https://t.co/js5ws575jN
05:47:29 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AK from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 47.46% to Trump 36.70% https://t.co/bfCoBMupnK
05:47:35 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AK from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 47.46% to Trump 36.70% to Johnson 5.49%
05:47:52 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AK has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/bfCoBMupnK
05:50:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 19.45% to Trump 56.59% https://t.co/C101QnYvog
05:50:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 19.45% to Trump 56.59% to Johnson 4.93%
05:52:51 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AR from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 29.66% to Trump 45.44% https://t.co/2WSqxH4qqE
05:52:56 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AR from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 29.66% to Trump 45.44% to Johnson 3.96%
06:03:46 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AZ from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.76% to Trump 32.92% https://t.co/DHCJrL5A8x
06:03:51 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AZ from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.76% to Trump 32.92% to Johnson 6.48%
06:07:17 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 46.59% to Trump 28.33% https://t.co/70ueZFzhBF
06:07:22 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 46.59% to Trump 28.33% to Johnson 6.95%
06:09:48 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CO from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.58% to Trump 28.19% https://t.co/gsbWpAtPMx
06:09:53 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CO from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.58% to Trump 28.19% to Johnson 9.21%
06:13:02 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 44.46% to Trump 26.58% https://t.co/gvFSmz7RVw
06:13:07 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 44.46% to Trump 26.58% to Johnson 3.91%
06:16:33 Poll Added: Google w/3P in DC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 62.21% to Trump 9.80% https://t.co/a5zrGy8oIT
06:16:38 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in DC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 62.21% to Trump 9.80% to Johnson 5.14%
06:20:05 Poll Added: Google w/3P in DE from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 47.37% to Trump 18.20% https://t.co/0pvtaF3GV1
06:20:10 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in DE from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 47.37% to Trump 18.20% to Johnson 9.39%
06:24:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in FL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 34.54% to Trump 42.36% https://t.co/NggPCzn6YT
06:24:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in FL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 34.54% to Trump 42.36% to Johnson 5.93%
06:37:03 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.6% in FL -> Clinton by 1.8% in PA https://t.co/VF64y1UrTF
07:03:58 Poll Added: Google w/3P in GA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 28.89% to Trump 43.74% https://t.co/AvxP8arhBe
07:04:02 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in GA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 28.89% to Trump 43.74% to Johnson 7.39%
07:05:25 Poll Added: Google w/3P in HI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 62.08% to Trump 16.96% https://t.co/m19iBAUgKn
07:05:30 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in HI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 62.08% to Trump 16.96% to Johnson 5.27%
07:07:59 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.14% to Trump 29.27% https://t.co/fiUGwBMEr2
07:08:04 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.14% to Trump 29.27% to Johnson 6.48%
07:08:18 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IA has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/fiUGwBMEr2
07:32:01 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 307 to Trump 231 -> Clinton 313 to Trump 225 https://t.co/JL9URpfcsx
16:47:01 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ID from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 27.19% to Trump 42.68% https://t.co/X28GYPUmwx
16:47:06 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ID from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 27.19% to Trump 42.68% to Johnson 8.17%
16:49:09 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 42.41% to Trump 25.35% https://t.co/lbEc7mZhKD
16:49:14 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 42.41% to Trump 25.35% to Johnson 6.80%
16:52:21 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IN from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 35.10% to Trump 32.52% https://t.co/3SExYyQo7o
16:52:26 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IN from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 35.10% to Trump 32.52% to Johnson 9.37%
16:54:26 Poll Added: Google w/3P in KS from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.39% to Trump 28.62% https://t.co/2fdpshGc07
16:54:31 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in KS from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.39% to Trump 28.62% to Johnson 8.80%
16:57:13 Poll Added: Google w/3P in KY from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.44% to Trump 36.64% https://t.co/FruQ6uUtJH
16:57:18 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in KY from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.44% to Trump 36.64% to Johnson 4.92%
16:59:57 Poll Added: Google w/3P in LA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.23% to Trump 45.71% https://t.co/o29E9Xpcl3
17:00:02 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in LA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.23% to Trump 45.71% to Johnson 5.78%
17:42:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 50.20% to Trump 22.82% https://t.co/aVwepWU2Pz
17:42:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 50.20% to Trump 22.82% to Johnson 7.02%
17:44:18 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MD from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 48.83% to Trump 23.09% https://t.co/ssUWRxQl3R
17:44:23 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MD from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 48.83% to Trump 23.09% to Johnson 6.86%
17:49:23 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ME-All from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 49.93% to Trump 22.54% https://t.co/I4oP7MRTGm
17:49:28 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ME-All from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 49.93% to Trump 22.54% to Johnson 2.51%
17:49:43 Clinton vs Trump state category change: ME-All has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/I4oP7MRTGm
17:58:23 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 37.61% to Trump 30.85% https://t.co/R0ZcCnGXc2
17:58:28 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 37.61% to Trump 30.85% to Johnson 7.76%
18:01:14 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MN from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 37.89% to Trump 28.42% https://t.co/hxHUhlVLZi
18:01:20 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MN from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 37.89% to Trump 28.42% to Johnson 8.46%
18:01:34 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MN has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/hxHUhlVLZi
18:26:54 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 209 to Trump 329 -> Clinton 219 to Trump 319 https://t.co/N7suFPPHFD
22:30:56 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MO from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.49% to Trump 29.66% https://t.co/NxeGleLMkg
22:31:01 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MO from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.49% to Trump 29.66% to Johnson 8.14%
22:31:15 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/NxeGleLMkg
22:32:59 Retweeted @NHLaVa 22:32:30 @ElecCollPolls Google is out of their ever loving minds. I can't even take them seriously anymore. in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:34:37 .@NHLaVa I don’t disagreeвЂ¦. their results are major outliers in many states. Gritting my teeth and sticking with including everythingвЂ¦ in reply to NHLaVa
22:37:55 Retweeted @NHLaVa 22:37:34 @ElecCollPolls probably best move for you. Once you start tracking election season data consistency is good in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:40:15 .@NHLaVa Yup. I may make changes for 2020, but retroactively excluding polls cause I personally doubt the results is just asking 4 troubleвЂ¦ in reply to NHLaVa
22:42:45 .@NHLaVa At least the outliers don’t seem to all be in one direction. Google improves Clinton’s average in some states, Trump’s in others. in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:46:20 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 357 to Trump 181 -> Clinton 367 to Trump 171 https://t.co/hduCk9U8OE
22:49:27 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MS from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 24.30% to Trump 45.98% https://t.co/WTASwwgryG
22:49:32 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MS from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 24.30% to Trump 45.98% to Johnson 4.84%
22:51:29 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.06% to Trump 37.96% https://t.co/EzWHIccQ0L
22:51:34 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.06% to Trump 37.96% to Johnson 10.98%
22:53:33 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.28% to Trump 41.89% https://t.co/BJRe86OB65
22:53:38 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.28% to Trump 41.89% to Johnson 7.83%
22:55:37 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ND from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 22.78% to Trump 45.48% https://t.co/IojO76qsoV
22:55:42 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ND from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 22.78% to Trump 45.48% to Johnson 12.00%
23:17:35 Retweeted @wgjames 23:17:13 I can believe Google Consumer Surveys on a national poll but I'm not too sure on their state level results. Can somвЂ¦ https://t.co/WupaFB7r4M
23:18:28 .@wgjames See discussion I had a little bit ago. Google has lots of big outliers in a variety of states. Take with big grain of salt. in reply to wgjames
23:21:25 .@wgjames Look at the average, not individual polls. Even then, look at distribution of individual polls and how outliers are impacting avg! in reply to ElecCollPolls

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-06 (UTC)

00:23:28 The Atlantic's only endorsements: 1860 for Lincoln. 1964 for Johnson. 2016 for Clinton -> Against Donald Trump https://t.co/nFrARG76Vd
00:34:42 Retweeted @Weather_West 2016-10-05 04:50:29 Well, someone had to post this to Weather Twitter. #Matthew #LoopTheLoop @EricBlake12 @EricHolthaus @wxdam @ZLabeвЂ¦ https://t.co/Bb04iUAclH
00:36:24 And yes, I know that is one particular highly unlike model run, not a forecast, but stillвЂ¦
01:30:56 Listening to The Jason and Burns Show October 4, 2016 – Hour 3
via iCatcher! https://t.co/NhEdTjKlEn
05:24:37 Watching – Ana Navarro rips fellow Republican a new one over Trump's blatant racism https://t.co/FUS6d0BvG4
06:45:20 Retweeted @RyanMaue 06:16:56 Gets worse: ECMWF 00z deepens Matthew to 930 mb in next 18-hours prior to landfall *south* of previous solutions bвЂ¦ https://t.co/LL8sCeUGHf
06:46:37 Retweeted @nycsouthpaw 06:19:07 In depo for Trump Plaza bankruptcy case, Trump's own lawyer testifies they often met with him in pairs because TrumвЂ¦ https://t.co/tg8Jm9QTmQ
06:55:02 Retweeted @theWeatherboy 01:44:47 Horrifying yet realistic. #HurricaneMatthew https://t.co/3zQAE4gnjz
13:18:07 Retweeted @FeministaJones 11:04:59 Hillary punched a boy for not protecting bunnies when she was in grade school?
#ImWithHerNow https://t.co/wN8SunofKO
14:16:27 Listening to The Axe Files with David Axelrod Ep. 85 – Fareed Zakaria
via iCatcher! https://t.co/NIQHxVeGKd
14:48:46 Listening to The Pollsters #85: The Taxman Cometh
via iCatcher! https://t.co/4G29mmPxaL
22:06:49 Retweeted @brian_henderson 21:14:48 .@WeatherChannel just aired this URGENT message, #Mathew EVACUATIONs.
вЂњThis is not hyperbole, and I am not kiddingвЂќ
https://t.co/meZAU5kSZm
22:25:40 Retweeted @MikeBeauvais 16:41:59 "Yes, that same Ted Cruz. Yup, he called my wife ugly. Yes, he did say my dad killed Kennedy. Why am I doing this?вЂ¦ https://t.co/dJCm29vpRK
23:34:33 Retweeted @FLGovScott 23:34:00 Volusia & Brevard will have the highest wind strengths. Inland counties like Seminole & Orange Counties will also have hurricane force winds

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-05 (UTC)

00:01:20 Poll Added: CVoter in TN from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 38.1% to Trump 57.1% https://t.co/jYZbObDCG6
00:04:14 Poll Added: CVoter in TX from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 39.2% to Trump 56.3% https://t.co/zjnDY0eZe9
00:08:18 Poll Added: CVoter in UT from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 28.2% to Trump 66.6% https://t.co/fMqxkSE8f8
00:10:52 Poll Added: CVoter in VT from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 61.0% to Trump 35.4% https://t.co/9LGhUzZVOU
00:17:26 Poll Added: CVoter in VA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 45.3% to Trump 50.4% https://t.co/NWqk2W9kQz
00:17:37 Clinton vs Trump state category change: VA has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/NWqk2W9kQz
00:41:15 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 238 to Trump 300 -> Clinton 225 to Trump 313 https://t.co/mQXEyt0U0s
00:45:21 Poll Added: CVoter in WA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 52.0% to Trump 43.5% https://t.co/gRVMqkEh8F
00:47:53 Poll Added: CVoter in DC from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 78.9% to Trump 14.4% https://t.co/kZJKw0Ruu7
00:50:45 Poll Added: CVoter in WV from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 34.4% to Trump 60.5% https://t.co/k4bM7U8nOJ
00:54:15 Poll Added: CVoter in WI from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 49.6% to Trump 47.1% https://t.co/ry3Fkcfjwb
00:56:11 Poll Added: CVoter in WY from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 29.4% to Trump 65.2% https://t.co/ZZpbk0NnCd
04:02:19 Poll Added: Ipsos in AL from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 37.021% to Trump 55.523% https://t.co/ZGxrW7vWU7
04:35:10 Poll Added: Ipsos in AZ from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 44.130% to Trump 45.740% https://t.co/2oGkpjDNVc
04:38:28 Poll Added: Ipsos in AR from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 41.296% to Trump 49.916% https://t.co/xgP2WAsPQz
04:45:28 Poll Added: Ipsos in CA from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 63.670% to Trump 23.741% https://t.co/YVOpnZs5K2
04:49:49 Poll Added: Ipsos in CO from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 43.250% to Trump 45.222% https://t.co/A1dGxcAeaq
04:52:05 Poll Added: Ipsos in CT from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 52.011% to Trump 34.087% https://t.co/fhEJKIFaWw
04:52:19 Clinton vs Trump state category change: CT has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/fhEJKIFaWw
04:54:11 Retweeted @Juliec5271 04:53:41 @ElecCollPolls I'm so confused. When you click on the link it still says Clinton has a 7 pt lead there. Please explain in reply to ElecCollPolls
04:56:11 .@Juliec5271 The tweet lists the new poll that was just added to the data. On the page you see all the polls and the current average. in reply to Juliec5271
04:57:38 .@Juliec5271 In this case the poll that was added covered 9/16 to 9/29, midpoint 9/23, which was too old to change the current avg in CT. in reply to ElecCollPolls
04:58:31 Retweeted @Juliec5271 04:57:11 @ElecCollPolls gotcha. Thanks for responding!! Really appreciate it!! in reply to ElecCollPolls
04:58:34 Retweeted @Juliec5271 04:58:12 @ElecCollPolls I was looking at the CO poll in reply to ElecCollPolls
04:59:36 .@Juliec5271 Sorry, I meant CO. The Ipsos poll ended up being the 6th oldest and only changed historical averages, not the current avg. in reply to Juliec5271
05:05:21 Poll Added: Ipsos in DE from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 43.163% to Trump 35.279% https://t.co/TNc2b5pPOr
05:09:11 Poll Added: Ipsos in FL from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 47.545% to Trump 46.399% https://t.co/8UXolzhtVl
05:21:10 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 1.9% in PA -> Clinton by 2.6% in FL https://t.co/qZkDUed0da
05:26:19 Poll Added: Ipsos in GA from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 38.110% to Trump 50.977% https://t.co/Vz6vJdhxWj
05:32:13 Poll Added: Ipsos in ID from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 27.389% to Trump 59.615% https://t.co/7b071hMm4k
05:35:09 Poll Added: Ipsos in IL from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 52.705% to Trump 33.370% https://t.co/S8EKhdox2c
15:50:48 Poll Added: Ipsos in IN from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 35.883% to Trump 53.159% https://t.co/qSQ1e5U5Gg
15:53:39 Poll Added: Ipsos in IA from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 42.152% to Trump 48.824% https://t.co/5CNxfamuvK
15:56:05 Poll Added: Ipsos in KS from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 34.403% to Trump 53.556% https://t.co/egPGK5eOi5
15:59:06 Poll Added: Ipsos in KY from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 37.759% to Trump 56.380% https://t.co/ZdzX7DWYYL
16:02:41 Poll Added: Ipsos in LA from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 37.529% to Trump 49.556% https://t.co/y3vKHcGTnH
16:05:29 Poll Added: Ipsos in ME-All from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 45.008% to Trump 33.560% https://t.co/ysTFZvMMKv
16:07:50 Poll Added: Ipsos in MD from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 51.839% to Trump 32.731% https://t.co/zEzON3dtwK
16:10:16 Poll Added: Ipsos in MA from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 50.116% to Trump 28.383% https://t.co/TemUiUha3x
16:13:03 Poll Added: Ipsos in MI from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 39.353% to Trump 39.049% https://t.co/jKolaWN89h
16:13:18 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MI has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/jKolaWN89h
16:37:15 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 225 to Trump 313 -> Clinton 209 to Trump 329 https://t.co/9Qb3g6W0sf
19:24:58 Poll Added: Ipsos in MN from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 42.800% to Trump 34.627% https://t.co/1qyIVXfnlE
19:29:25 Poll Added: Ipsos in MS from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 38.201% to Trump 49.219% https://t.co/UE6c2tdyVk
19:35:45 Poll Added: Ipsos in MO from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 36.060% to Trump 47.693% https://t.co/ubQsq4NLBT
19:37:30 Poll Added: Ipsos in MT from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 39.758% to Trump 53.472% https://t.co/f4bJtF19hR
19:40:06 Poll Added: Ipsos in NE-All from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 32.712% to Trump 51.188% https://t.co/N1OOaX3h9J
19:43:03 Poll Added: Ipsos in NV from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 42.380% to Trump 43.729% https://t.co/zJx8FtrhvP
19:45:23 Poll Added: Ipsos in NH from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 47.205% to Trump 41.254% https://t.co/zm4Y7JbtVF
19:47:02 Poll Added: Ipsos in NJ from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 46.682% to Trump 34.175% https://t.co/J1fOnwbp18
19:47:16 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NJ has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/J1fOnwbp18
19:49:53 Poll Added: Ipsos in NM from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 48.943% to Trump 39.686% https://t.co/dHKcUoniLP
21:53:13 Poll Added: Ipsos in NY from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 49.343% to Trump 29.053% https://t.co/LewZ6jnr24
21:55:24 Poll Added: Ipsos in NC from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 48.069% to Trump 43.581% https://t.co/0xCTpfErfx
22:01:18 Poll Added: Ipsos in OH from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 44.361% to Trump 42.807% https://t.co/PJTLnF5Xod

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-05 (UTC)

00:36:37 I have turned on CNN for the VP debate. I think I may keep entering data for @ElecCollPolls though. This won’t need 100% attention will it?
01:05:12 Here come the veepsвЂ¦ #debate
01:06:41 Oh FFS, right out of the gate with Kaine not answering the question at all. Bleh. #VPDebate
01:09:00 Pence of course not answering the question either. I hate this part of debates. #VPDebate
01:09:39 Always wanted to see a debate edited to ONLy include the parts that are DIRECTLY responsive to the questions. #VPDebate
01:10:16 They both eventually did mention things sorta kinda related to the question, just took a bit. #VPDebate
01:11:47 Kaine talking about Trump even though the question was about Clinton. This is so annoying. #VPDebate
01:13:05 Retweeted @rmoraille 01:12:54 @abulsme not annoying, effective in reply to abulsme
01:13:13 .@rmoraille It can be both. in reply to rmoraille
01:15:18 Honestly, both of these people are annoying me. #VPDebate
01:16:42 Retweeted @hominidviews 01:16:16 Somebody is going to be fired. The idiot who mixed up their ties.
01:19:00 Retweeted @BresPolitico 01:18:18 Pence is looking more reasonable here. He's hitting his talking points much better than Trump did.
01:19:18 Retweeted @kwcollins 01:19:03 Pence, former talk radio host, is showcasing his ability to fill time without any ready place to interject. #VPDebate
01:21:44 Mostly I am hearing вЂњblah blah blah blahвЂќ from both veep candidates. Hard to focus on either of them. #VPDebate
01:22:07 Retweeted @hominidviews 01:21:46 Now that we have gotten past the early interupty start, both candidates are effectively filibustering.
01:23:06 You can bring out the numbers, but people ignore the numbers, so who cares. – Pence #VPDebate
01:23:42 Retweeted @jamisonfoser 01:22:59 вЂњyou can roll out the numbers but people know betterвЂќ is Mike Pence explicitly saying facts don’t matter.
01:27:35 вЂњThere they go againвЂќ, then Pence waited for applause that didn’t come. #VPDebate
01:28:22 They should have gone with Warren and Gingrich. This debate would have been much more entertaining. #VPDebate
01:29:49 I am finding myself yawning a lot during this so far. Is it Sunday yet? #VPDebate
01:35:02 Retweeted @JustinWolfers 01:34:53 If you've read anything about implicit bias, you know we're probably all biased, and cops aren't excluded. Hoping otherwise isn't an answer.
01:38:42 Retweeted @GraceParra360 01:36:27 Let's please have more forums for wealthy white men to argue about whether or not racial bias against black men exists. #VPDebate
01:40:48 Overwhelmingly my twitter feed is saying Pence is coming off calm and competent while Kaine is annoying with his interruptions. #VPDebate
01:40:57 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 01:40:47 Holy sh*t Pence just dared to claim Trump's insults aren't a big deal compared to a Hillary "gaffe"
01:41:25 Retweeted @NickKristof 01:41:11 I disagree with Pence on everything. But he has an impressive ability to sound reasonable as he advocates the unreasonable.
01:41:55 Retweeted @AdamSerwer 01:41:44 Pence's remarks are a very good example of the very popular sentiment that accusing people of racism is worse than being racist
01:43:22 Retweeted @CindyCoops 01:43:00 They're not allowed to applaud and he knows that. It was effective. @abulsme @TxsleuthUSA in reply to abulsme
01:44:24 Retweeted @MarcDuvoisin 01:43:53 Kaine is trying to win the argument, Pence is trying to win the audience.
01:44:39 Retweeted @peterb 01:44:16 I'm running out of tables to flip.
01:45:26 Retweeted @dbernstein 01:44:54 Kaine is better when he A) gives a slow, calm response; and B) wipes the smug grin off his face. (That grin works in speeches, not here.)
01:46:12 Time for terrorism! #VPDebate
01:46:42 Retweeted @MileHighBrendan 01:46:28 These guys are so generic & dull, I keep having to double-check that I'm not mixing up their names in tweets.
01:47:48 Pence keeps shaking his head at everything Kaine says. #VPDebate
01:48:34 Although some truth in it, Kaine a bit over the top with the dictator Mount Rushmore. Won’t play well. #VPDebate
01:49:23 Kaine coming off so smug. Not like I like Pence, but I dislike Kaine more the longer he talks. #VPDebate
01:49:42 Retweeted @KatyTurNBC 01:49:28 Pence came with canned attacks at what he calls Kaine's canned lines. "you must've worked on that along time."
01:49:52 Retweeted @kenvogel 01:49:31 Mike Pence's inner monologue right now, probably: I'd be kicking your ass so bad right now if I didn't have to defend Donald Trump.
01:51:03 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 01:50:54 Based on my opinion and my feed, I have no clue whos winning. All I know is these rarely matter and both are annoying me
01:51:41 .@THELuisAMendez My feed mostly says Pence is doing better. But plus a million to them both being very annoying. in reply to THELuisAMendez
01:52:26 Retweeted @chrislhayes 01:52:18 Pence is actually not talking about Trump that much, which is definitely his best bet.
01:53:14 Retweeted @resnikoff 01:51:34 This debate could be half as long if both VP candidates just got their canned lines officially entered into the record ahead of time
01:53:28 Retweeted @KenJennings 01:52:56 My Twitter timeline is beaming in from an alternate America where everyone watches vice presidential debates.
01:58:55 Missed the last five minutes due to 7 year old chaos at home. Did I miss anything not horribly boring? #VPDebate
01:59:48 Retweeted @JoshuaGreen 01:51:47 I think Pence is doing more for Pence 2020 in this debate than Trump 2016
02:00:47 Retweeted @hominidviews 02:00:35 Does Donald know that Pence is saying all these anti-Russia things?!?
02:01:19 Retweeted @ezraklein 02:00:57 I understand why this debate would make Republicans wish they had nominated Pence. I don't understand why it would make anyone vote Trump.
02:03:06 Retweeted @heissenstat 02:02:40 Wait, has Trump signed on to any Pence's statements on Syria just listed??? Trump has more or less said the opposite so far #VPDebate
02:03:34 Retweeted @Max_Fisher 02:02:39 Always disconcerting to hear how casually American politicians call for acts of war with no specifics, much less a strategy or end goal
02:04:58 Retweeted @natsecHeather 02:04:43 Oh, Pence thinks that Russian move into Crimea is problematic and non-consensual? Can we get @realDonaldTrump on that?
02:05:04 Retweeted @philipaklein 02:04:13 Pence and Trump are literally running on two different Russia policies.
02:06:14 Basically continued to miss most of the last 15 minutes. 7 year old desperate for us to stop watching TV and pay attention to him. :-(
02:06:57 Just realized problem was his iPad ran out of batteries. He has my phone now. Almost instantly better.
02:08:30 Retweeted @mckaycoppins 02:08:21 Kaine is not wrong that Pence has consistently avoided defending Trump tonight.
02:08:42 Retweeted @JeffreyGoldberg 02:08:26 Elaine Quijano should occasionally go where the debate is going, and not stop these interesting arguments.
02:08:54 Retweeted @KevinMKruse 02:08:28 "I'm very happy to defend Donald Trump," says the man who has just spent 67 minutes finding every way possible to avoid doing that.
02:09:23 Retweeted @ezraklein 02:09:12 It sort of works in the debate, but Pence shaking head, saying "no he hasn't" is going to look bad in ads next to Trump saying those things
02:09:51 Retweeted @imbou 02:09:38 @abulsme I literally thought they were joking about where the debate was! <symbol><symbol> https://t.co/xl5RO71Mde
02:12:28 Retweeted @nickconfessore 02:12:14 Striking that the VEEP candidates are getting so many more foreign policy questions than the people actually running for president got.
02:13:26 FFS Kaine, stop interrupting. #VPDebate
02:13:50 Retweeted @BarbaraAResEsq 02:13:37 I am hating this so much I want to slap both of them.
02:14:04 Retweeted @lrozen 02:13:41 most striking thing from this debate. Pence and Trump national security views on different planets
02:14:09 Retweeted @speechboy71 02:13:42 Mike Pence's answer to every foreign policy question is "strength." This is literally a fifth grader view of how foreign policy works
02:14:36 Retweeted @markos 02:14:15 Man, if Kaine wasn't being such an asshole interrupting, he'd be winning on substance. Pence literally hasn't defended Trump once.
02:15:12 Retweeted @notjessewalker 02:15:01 Pence doesn't always agree with everything Trump has said. But then Trump doesn't always agree with everything Trump has said, so we're good
02:15:30 Retweeted @MileHighBrendan 02:15:02 Pence’s reply to Kaine’s factual statements about what Trump has said is to call them вЂњnonsenseвЂќ and вЂњinsultsвЂќ and then change the subject.
02:16:37 Retweeted @daveweigel 02:16:25 We're seriously going to get through a debate between Kaine and Pence w/o mentioning social issues/religious liberty? This is a joke.
02:17:37 Retweeted @dangillmor 02:17:25 Watch: press will declare Pence the winner despite his constant lying, because Kaine was (stupidly) abrasive.
02:17:52 Retweeted @dandrezner 02:17:30 MODERATOR: Governor, how Trump balance the budg–
PENCE: Strength!
KAINE: Strength won't balance the budget!
PENCE: I never said 'strength.' in reply to dandrezner
02:18:24 Pence really wants to bring up a foundation? Hope Kaine parries in a decent way. #VPDebate
02:18:38 Retweeted @natsecHeather 02:18:27 Pence thinks strong partnerships w/allies in Asia are essential; yet his runningmate said we should ditch them unless they pay more $$. Odd.
02:19:15 No Kaine, noвЂ¦ don’t respond to the Clinton foundation stuff by defending it, go after the Trump foundation. Sigh. #VPDebate
02:19:50 OK, thought he was going to pivot to the Trump foundation. Nope, Trump Organization and taxes again. #VPDebate
02:20:19 Now the foundation. But really weak here. Not a good response. #VPDebate
02:21:18 Even when Kaine makes a point I agree with, he does it in a way that makes me cringe. #VPDebate
02:21:56 Retweeted @RNephewCGEP 02:06:30 Pence has no idea how to answer for his running mate. I wonder if Trump will defend Pence's reinterpretations.
02:22:25 Retweeted @dandrezner 02:21:42 Are you fucking kidding me with this crap? https://t.co/UUQT9ENh9s
02:23:46 Question about their faiths. Both of them are going to annoy me. Again. #VPDebate
02:23:56 Retweeted @EliLake 02:23:47 It’s 2016 and both major parties don’t care about Atheist voters. #VPdebate2016
02:24:22 Retweeted @MattWelch 02:23:57 Thing Kaine didn't do tonight — make Pence squirm about stuff (trade, Curiel, etc.) he disagrees with Trump on. Botched opportunity.
02:25:32 Retweeted @SamSeder 02:25:13 Moderator: We spent 30 minutes on Russia, now can we avoid issues about women's rights, LGBT rights & climate change by talking about God?
02:30:31 Retweeted @chrislhayes 02:30:17 "You whipped out that Mexican thing again."
Whoa there.
02:30:39 Retweeted @JYSexton 02:30:19 Pence HAS zero desire to support Trump.
02:30:50 Retweeted @sarahkendzior 02:30:19 Pence finally admitted Trump said something terrible instead of lying. Now Pence is freaking out. #VPDebate
02:31:43 Retweeted @mviser 02:31:30 Mike Pence held his temper in for 89 minutes.
02:32:29 The abortion thing is also something where Trump has no actual opinions or feelings. Just says what is convenient at the moment. #VPDebate
02:33:19 We’re over time, aren’t we? Please let it be done. #VPDebate
02:34:14 Retweeted @PeteDominick 02:34:03 Trump doesn't care about the rights of the unborn any more than he cares about the rights of the CURRENTLY LIVING. Trump cares about Trump
02:34:32 Retweeted @heyalexei 02:28:56 "I live my life first of all by a book of translated ancient middle eastern stories"
"Me too"
#VPDebate
02:34:57 Retweeted @anildash 02:30:03 Put me in the debate! "Having been raised with a whole bunch of awesome gods, including the one with an elephant head, let me sayвЂ¦" in reply to anildash
02:36:00 вЂњThis concludesвЂќ YAY!!!! #VPDebate
02:37:22 Hey, unlike the presidential candidates, the veep candidates are talking to each other after the debate. #VPDebate
02:39:30 Thoughts: They were both very annoying. Pence didn’t defend Trump, but sounded calm. Kaine came off as intemperate. Will have zero impact.
02:40:23 I ended up not doing any @ElecCollPolls data entry during the debate. Will get back to that soon.
02:40:44 Retweeted @politicoroger 02:40:25 Chris Matthews: "Pence tonight made himself the frontrunner for the 2020 Republican nomination." #VPDebate
02:41:10 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 02:41:02 Like seriously can I meet this Trump Pence was telling me about? Does he exist?
02:42:19 Retweeted @soniasaraiya 02:42:09 Luntz's room of undecided voters mostly say that they didn't like Kaine for repeating what Trump said because it seemed "off topic"
02:43:45 Retweeted @soniasaraiya 02:43:21 LOL Luntz's entire room says that even though they mostly think Pence won, none of them will change their vote for Trump. I'M FINE WITH THAT
02:46:08 Retweeted @DLoesch 02:45:56 Pence had smart strategy for answers. He didn’t let Kaine throw him or get under his skin. He met provocation w grace. LESSON HERE #VPdebate
02:47:31 CNN focus group has opposite conclusion from Luntz focus group. Just shows N=20 is a ridiculously inadequate sample size. #VPDebate
02:50:05 Retweeted @ananavarro 02:49:52 Pence helped Trump in that he showed America that at least half the ticket isn't erratic, crazy and scary as hell…well, unless you're gay.
02:50:53 Retweeted @genebsperling 02:50:42 Much commentary so far: Pence did pretty well BECAUSE he did NOT defend Trump's positions & denied Trump said things he clearly said.
02:51:57 Retweeted @DataDhrumil 02:50:43 Cool chart by @RitchieSKing showing #attacks in the #VPDebate https://t.co/iBZrXWIwvk https://t.co/f0GIu0FZbs
02:57:43 Retweeted @ZekeJMiller 02:57:35 Trump surrogates on CNN are claiming Pence really defended Trump. What debate were they watching?
03:03:01 Retweeted @jbouie 02:48:27 KAINE, MOUTH OPEN: "Gov. Pence, why won't you defend Trump?"
PENCE, SMILING AT THE AUDIENCE: "Donald Trump isn't real. You made him up." in reply to jbouie
03:03:35 Retweeted @paulconstant 02:59:06 Gaslighting all the way down. Come Election Day, they're going to try to convince people that blue states really voвЂ¦ https://t.co/6vy5g98h5K
03:03:44 Retweeted @JYSexton 02:58:20 It's not about reality. It's not about policy. It's not about who's ideas work or even who's being honest. It's a farce, kabuki theater. in reply to JYSexton
03:41:36 Retweeted @samsteinhp 03:38:04 CNN poll debate watchers
48 Pence
42 Kaine
04:13:04 Reading – Mike Pence can’t believe Tim Kaine would insult Donald Trump by quoting him (@pbump) https://t.co/K9XPLctTbX
15:47:49 Reading – MailChimp and the Un-Silicon Valley Way to Make It as a Start-Up (@fmanjoo) https://t.co/WqVg03BsL5
16:58:41 Listening to Keepin' it 1600 Ep. 38: VP Debate React and State of the Race
via iCatcher! https://t.co/fPARlf3S8U
19:18:26 Reading – Why did Trump pay so little tax? One possible explanation (Josh Barro) cc @imbou https://t.co/VUkdw2nx7d
21:41:25 Retweeted @imbou 20:25:34 @abulsme that's one of doing it without much creativity in reply to abulsme

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-04 (UTC)

00:00:44 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 322 to Trump 216 -> Clinton 307 to Trump 231 https://t.co/hseG4tCaGO
02:30:33 Poll Added: Monmouth w/4P in CO from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 49% to Trump 38% https://t.co/Ywzduh9Cke
02:30:38 Full 4P results: Monmouth w/4P in CO from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 49% to Trump 38% to Johnson 7% to Stein 3%
02:45:51 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.1% in CO -> Clinton by 3% in PA https://t.co/zOyd1WFQtm
03:36:28 Poll Added: Keating w/4P in CO from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 44% to Trump 33% https://t.co/x6u7zdyqSc
03:36:33 Full 4P results: Keating w/4P in CO from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 44% to Trump 33% to Johnson 10% to Stein 3%
03:36:47 Clinton vs Trump state category change: CO has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/x6u7zdyqSc
03:50:51 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 239 to Trump 299 -> Clinton 248 to Trump 290 https://t.co/4x4nzoXfjr
04:01:18 Poll Added: UDel w/4P in DE from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-28 – Clinton 51% to Trump 30% https://t.co/HVJjra9ZmO
04:01:23 Full 4P results: UDel w/4P in DE from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-28 – Clinton 51% to Trump 30% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
04:01:38 Clinton vs Trump state category change: DE has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/HVJjra9ZmO
04:31:48 Poll Added: Hoffman w/4P in OR from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-01 – Clinton 45% to Trump 33% https://t.co/pPHRMr7cMq
04:31:53 Full 4P results: Hoffman w/4P in OR from 2016-09-29 to 2016-10-01 – Clinton 45% to Trump 33% to Johnson 8% to Stein 3%
04:39:04 Poll Added: CVoter in AL from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 36.0% to Trump 59.4% https://t.co/7YkKZtfrsP
04:53:08 Poll Added: CVoter in AK from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 40.3% to Trump 55.2% https://t.co/7MslX2G26h
04:56:17 Poll Added: CVoter in AZ from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 42.0% to Trump 52.3% https://t.co/jcpJL2lynu
04:58:52 Poll Added: CVoter in AR from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 35.8% to Trump 58.6% https://t.co/Ss2cRivJy6
05:00:49 Poll Added: CVoter in CA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 56.8% to Trump 39.0% https://t.co/DKuTYeHq79
05:03:44 Poll Added: CVoter in CO from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 48.3% to Trump 46.6% https://t.co/o3lrmtLslD
05:06:36 Poll Added: CVoter in CT from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 53.6% to Trump 42.8% https://t.co/K1sGgWmx4x
05:06:50 Clinton vs Trump state category change: CT has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/K1sGgWmx4x
05:09:55 Poll Added: CVoter in DE from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 54.2% to Trump 42.9% https://t.co/TQV8ruDEX3
05:13:41 Poll Added: CVoter in FL from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 46.3% to Trump 48.9% https://t.co/qLOoS1piD6
05:17:34 Poll Added: CVoter in GA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 42.5% to Trump 51.7% https://t.co/2EUyY22d2F
05:20:08 Poll Added: CVoter in HI from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 63.6% to Trump 33.5% https://t.co/5BLiMW6GtE
05:22:36 Poll Added: CVoter in ID from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 31.9% to Trump 62.3% https://t.co/CIzbpj69SL
05:26:09 Poll Added: CVoter in IL from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 53.5% to Trump 42.1% https://t.co/wkOaSUzSaE
05:28:49 Poll Added: CVoter in IN from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 40.6% to Trump 55.4% https://t.co/tgr5H0Ppm9
05:32:19 Poll Added: CVoter in IA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 47.5% to Trump 49.0% https://t.co/idfJU6nmGe
05:35:01 Poll Added: CVoter in KS from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 38.3% to Trump 57.8% https://t.co/e19yNGBpIG
05:35:16 Clinton vs Trump state category change: KS has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/e19yNGBpIG
05:51:21 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 373 to Trump 165 -> Clinton 367 to Trump 171 https://t.co/KPrroKv6wU
16:37:20 Poll Added: CVoter in KY from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 36.6% to Trump 59.3% https://t.co/4EOTLTBGak
16:39:43 Poll Added: CVoter in LA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 38.6% to Trump 57.2% https://t.co/UVC48HXvjJ
16:41:39 Poll Added: CVoter in ME-All from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 53.7% to Trump 43.0% https://t.co/brLda6V8IS
16:43:25 Poll Added: CVoter in MD from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 57.6% to Trump 38.7% https://t.co/uoNbrbuLit
16:45:02 Poll Added: CVoter in MA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 55.9% to Trump 40.8% https://t.co/ZcQ5MDdOHV
16:47:34 Poll Added: CVoter in MI from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 49.8% to Trump 46.3% https://t.co/EeNRl293BF
16:50:07 Poll Added: CVoter in MN from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 49.4% to Trump 47.0% https://t.co/Xj2Ig9Lphn
16:50:23 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MN has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/Xj2Ig9tNSN
17:07:24 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 248 to Trump 290 -> Clinton 238 to Trump 300 https://t.co/lXWVse8PQr
18:53:57 Poll Added: CVoter in MS from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 39.7% to Trump 56.5% https://t.co/VHibF4cikn
18:56:47 Poll Added: CVoter in MO from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 43.5% to Trump 52.6% https://t.co/1Mst5rmhW5
18:57:02 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/1Mst5rmhW5
19:22:22 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 367 to Trump 171 -> Clinton 357 to Trump 181 https://t.co/wEj62CqgPP
19:26:18 Poll Added: CVoter in MT from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 38.8% to Trump 57.2% https://t.co/j3Xl029LcU
19:26:35 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MT has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/j3Xl029LcU
19:28:49 Poll Added: CVoter in NE-All from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 36.9% to Trump 59.3% https://t.co/sk5VYotX0J
19:31:42 Poll Added: CVoter in NV from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 47.1% to Trump 46.8% https://t.co/wiNg2sEqGC
19:34:10 Poll Added: CVoter in NH from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 48.4% to Trump 47.5% https://t.co/t3AqojFPmK
19:36:47 Poll Added: CVoter in NJ from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 55.4% to Trump 40.9% https://t.co/OMS8iVOlBD
19:39:26 Poll Added: CVoter in NM from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 49.9% to Trump 44.9% https://t.co/Zjd0ZIzOVJ
19:41:42 Poll Added: CVoter in NY from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 57.0% to Trump 39.5% https://t.co/8XgvZJmiDG
19:44:25 Poll Added: CVoter in NC from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 45.5% to Trump 50.0% https://t.co/mAbHiBjdff
19:46:45 Poll Added: CVoter in ND from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 35.9% to Trump 56.6% https://t.co/5019S8BdNo
19:50:11 Poll Added: CVoter in OH from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 47.6% to Trump 48.9% https://t.co/ZwRU3fZZsJ
19:52:11 Poll Added: CVoter in OK from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 32.0% to Trump 64.5% https://t.co/qlYN36KxM6
19:54:23 Poll Added: CVoter in OR from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 50.2% to Trump 44.6% https://t.co/Phlf3iE7X0
19:54:40 Clinton vs Trump state category change: OR has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/Phlf3iE7X0
19:57:34 Poll Added: CVoter in PA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 46.4% to Trump 49.5% https://t.co/FxaE1fSYyi
20:12:04 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 3% in PA -> Clinton by 1.9% in PA https://t.co/MgETCfoCWn
23:42:21 Poll Added: CVoter in RI from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 56.7% to Trump 40.2% https://t.co/i6PqWHwDbD
23:53:42 Poll Added: CVoter in SC from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 40.8% to Trump 54.6% https://t.co/PDe7PCARf7
23:53:57 Clinton vs Trump state category change: SC has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/PDe7PCSs6F
23:58:37 Poll Added: CVoter in SD from 2016-09-19 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 40.0% to Trump 56.2% https://t.co/2YbTiIGuvL

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@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-08 (UTC)

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Topping the First One