Abulsme.com: October 2016

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Go Suck It!

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner: Of course Sam and Ivan talk about the first Clinton vs Trump debate and its aftermath as it played out during the week. That’s most of the show this week, but they also touch on Ivan’s recent trip, altitude sickness, and some questions and comments from listeners.

Click below to listen or subscribe… then let us know your own thoughts!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2016-10-01
Length this week – 1:39:51

(0:00:10-0:09:34) But First
- Ivan at altitude
- Agenda
- Computer voices
- Sickness
(0:10:18-0:40:53) Debate!
- Debate expectations
- Trump deterioration
- Trump preparation
- Clinton letting Trump talk
- Trump sniffles
- Trump on Iraq
- The post-truth world
(0:41:32-1:19:56) The Aftermath
- Hillary’s Trap
- Trump attacks Machado
- Trump on sexual morality
- Trump must dominate!
- So Trump won, right?
- Trump the bullshitter
- Post-debate polling
(1:20:44-1:39:31) Mailbag
- Question from Marc on police violence
- Comment from Marc on Trump
- Christine on why she supports Trump
- Topics we missed

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-09-30 (UTC)

02:42:03 Retweeted @entpnerd 02:33:21 @ElectionGraphs Been seeing large ups and downs in graph for Trump vs. Clinton in 2 days, starting well before the debates. What's going on?
02:43:51 .@entpnerd Florida, Ohio, North Carolina all very close. Single polls can move them across center line & cause big electoral college moves. in reply to entpnerd
02:45:45 .@entpnerd There were good polls for C that moved them toward her with midpoints around the 18th-20th. Good ones for T right before debate. in reply to ElectionGraphs
02:47:43 .@entpnerd Actual % moves not that large, but since those 3 states crossed zero, big EC moves. Look at Tipping pt chart 4 more stable trend. in reply to ElectionGraphs
02:51:37 .@entpnerd As long as there are states with large num of EV right near center line, small moves in state avg will cause big EC moves. in reply to ElectionGraphs
02:55:38 .@entpnerd As of right now (I’m still in midst of a round of poll updating) there are states w/ 153 EV under 5% margin. 95 EV under 2% marg. in reply to ElectionGraphs
03:01:39 Retweeted @cody_k 03:01:07 @ElectionGraphs Same thing at RCP with volatility. Big EV states back and forth… crossing sides.
https://t.co/ISpHnYIPgA

@entpnerd in reply to ElectionGraphs
06:44:50 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 06:44:33 Done with another round of poll updates. 50 states + DC. Notable changes in KS/NM/MO/ME-All and tipping pt. @ElectionGraphs blog post later.
16:39:19 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Poll Churn (mostly pre-debate) https://t.co/ry1Rgk5s2v
22:00:13 Retweeted @entpnerd 05:33:56 @ElectionGraphs & @cody_k Thanks for the great explanations. Much appreciated. :-)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-09-30 (UTC)

00:00:33 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.1% in CO -> Clinton by 1.3% in NH https://t.co/vCXlGsW9Hm
00:08:24 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 37.55% to Trump 35.87% https://t.co/0wiBvKLGYc
00:08:29 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 37.55% to Trump 35.87% to Johnson 7.41%
00:08:42 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NJ has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/0wiBvKLGYc
00:20:42 Retweeted @democrat2theend 00:19:35 @ElecCollPolls How can that be? Good NC poll for Clinton came out today. in reply to ElecCollPolls
00:24:00 .@democrat2theend Just added the weekly Google poll. T+8.8% in NC. It is outlier but pulls avg fr weak C 2 weak T. https://t.co/7rkZKjUvLI in reply to democrat2theend
01:24:35 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 37.92% to Trump 26.02% https://t.co/TPq6RUkA21
01:24:40 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 37.92% to Trump 26.02% to Johnson 17.40%
01:24:54 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NM has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/TPq6RUCbqB
01:35:08 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 205 to Trump 333 -> Clinton 210 to Trump 328 https://t.co/TGKgUNfP7j
01:37:45 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 33.96% to Trump 34.44% https://t.co/S1IuUth90x
01:37:50 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 33.96% to Trump 34.44% to Johnson 9.94%
01:41:53 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.53% to Trump 29.40% https://t.co/fYI6zK5efd
01:41:58 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.53% to Trump 29.40% to Johnson 5.10%
02:17:38 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 31.94% to Trump 35.09% https://t.co/4ZxlokWQed
02:17:43 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 31.94% to Trump 35.09% to Johnson 8.69%
02:17:54 Clinton vs Trump state category change: OH has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/4ZxlokWQed
02:30:36 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 290 to Trump 248 -> Clinton 272 to Trump 266 https://t.co/Qr7V83qCob
03:04:54 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 22.59% to Trump 35.91% https://t.co/INoXxG0NHV
03:04:59 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 22.59% to Trump 35.91% to Johnson 14.24%
03:23:47 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 44.09% to Trump 28.75% https://t.co/gwxVEwwi26
03:23:52 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 44.09% to Trump 28.75% to Johnson 6.08%
03:27:34 Poll Added: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 35.11% to Trump 35.75% https://t.co/rTQDv9JEtz
03:27:39 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 35.11% to Trump 35.75% to Johnson 8.86%
03:32:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.37% to Trump 22.99% https://t.co/BzqLl3OG81
03:32:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.37% to Trump 22.99% to Johnson 6.31%
03:35:21 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 28.30% to Trump 45.73% https://t.co/EntAk0NsBG
03:35:26 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 28.30% to Trump 45.73% to Johnson 5.09%
03:43:09 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 29.11% to Trump 31.07% https://t.co/xuDE4PJANp
03:43:14 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 29.11% to Trump 31.07% to Johnson 11.86%
03:46:13 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 25.38% to Trump 47.70% https://t.co/O6DbmvPzEP
03:46:18 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 25.38% to Trump 47.70% to Johnson 7.02%
03:49:34 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 29.93% to Trump 42.10% https://t.co/h1Gga62ohC
03:49:39 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 29.93% to Trump 42.10% to Johnson 7.62%
03:56:02 Poll Added: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 21.91% to Trump 32.40% https://t.co/oSgfYm9rLv
03:56:07 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 21.91% to Trump 32.40% to Johnson 16.75%
03:59:31 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 40.36% to Trump 32.04% https://t.co/zHRXpBRoNh
03:59:36 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 40.36% to Trump 32.04% to Johnson 7.92%
03:59:48 Clinton vs Trump state category change: VA has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/zHRXpBRoNh
04:10:13 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 210 to Trump 328 -> Clinton 223 to Trump 315 https://t.co/ndOaOAouvj
04:19:06 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 48.29% to Trump 28.19% https://t.co/mWfQPLPRns
04:19:11 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 48.29% to Trump 28.19% to Johnson 0.00%
04:21:44 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.92% to Trump 25.27% https://t.co/F7q74gcnrQ
04:21:49 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.92% to Trump 25.27% to Johnson 9.78%
04:22:04 Clinton vs Trump state category change: WA has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/F7q74gcnrQ
04:25:30 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 40.71% to Trump 27.62% https://t.co/36kVDc9aCZ
04:25:35 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 40.71% to Trump 27.62% to Johnson 6.85%
04:28:26 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 30.64% to Trump 40.30% https://t.co/D98HYcggJm
04:28:31 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 30.64% to Trump 40.30% to Johnson 6.76%
04:32:44 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 17.78% to Trump 45.91% https://t.co/5CufnXxFWQ
04:32:49 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 17.78% to Trump 45.91% to Johnson 11.77%
04:47:53 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in MO from 2016-09-26 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 39% to Trump 49% https://t.co/er6MtrNRg8
04:47:58 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in MO from 2016-09-26 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 39% to Trump 49% to Johnson 5%
04:48:10 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/er6MtrNRg8
04:58:12 Poll Added: Mitchell [2] in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 49% to Trump 44% https://t.co/NZn2grfJgi
04:59:41 Poll Added: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/CGqKwRekp0
04:59:46 Full 4P results: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% to Johnson 8% to Stein 1%
05:10:19 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 363 to Trump 175 -> Clinton 373 to Trump 165 https://t.co/Atp0dvVHrl
06:44:33 Done with another round of poll updates. 50 states + DC. Notable changes in KS/NM/MO/ME-All and tipping pt. @ElectionGraphs blog post later.
16:39:27 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 16:39:19 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Poll Churn (mostly pre-debate) https://t.co/ry1Rgk5s2v

@abulsme tweets from 2016-09-30 (UTC)

00:00:31 Reading – The incredibly stable 2016 campaign (@SamWangPhD) https://t.co/ZpPhtGi1In
04:15:40 Reading – The first debate was a defeat for Trump. Here’s why the second could be an outright massacre. (Waldman) https://t.co/Hbg7QteQAP
06:44:43 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 06:44:33 Done with another round of poll updates. 50 states + DC. Notable changes in KS/NM/MO/ME-All and tipping pt. @ElectionGraphs blog post later.
06:59:54 Retweeted @ESA_Rosetta 06:36:59 WOW! Check out this amazing play of shadows on #67P, seen from ~11.7km at 05:25UT during #CometLandingвЂ¦ https://t.co/3cBwPEEaOg
07:00:15 Retweeted @ESA_Rosetta 05:05:40 #CometLanding site just coming in to view in lower left! Image taken 02:17UT with wide-angle camera:вЂ¦ https://t.co/KY6rFqdNec
07:00:56 Retweeted @ESA_Rosetta 04:32:34 #CometLanding time updated to 10:38UT +/- 2mins at #67P, = 11:18 UT on Earth that you'll get my confirmation https://t.co/cHt3V44tRH
07:08:35 Retweeted @chrislintott 06:44:22 The yellow line on the centre screen is the signal from @ESA_Rosetta. When that goes flat, it's all over. https://t.co/nrQf3fe7tF
07:08:42 Retweeted @elakdawalla 06:52:47 Good morning from Germany. Today at 10:38 UT spacecraft event time (11:18 UT Earth received time), Rosetta will die. https://t.co/ACXViqIXzH
11:23:59 Retweeted @esaoperations 11:20:04 LOSS OF SIGNAL #LOS European Space Agency confirms end of contact w/ @ESA_Rosetta. Operations complete at 720mn kmвЂ¦ https://t.co/imqDvwUIIU
11:24:05 Retweeted @AstroKatie 11:23:01 Quiet gasps at moment of signal loss. Poignant moment. #CometLanding #GoodbyeRosetta https://t.co/Y6DZDKKzyP
11:24:11 Retweeted @esaoperations 11:23:01 Screenshot of the last packet received from @ESA_Rosetta #CometLanding https://t.co/ebpzlSPTQO
11:24:37 Retweeted @doug_ellison 11:24:28 Farewell Rosetta, and we thank you. It sure was a good ship. #CometLanding
11:25:29 Retweeted @NickAstronomer 11:25:17 Live update from the surface of #comet67p #rosetta #cometlanding https://t.co/CI3FLKYzhQ
11:30:32 I see someone forgot to take away Trump’s phone last night. Oops.
11:33:38 Retweeted @pbump 11:31:02 An assistant knocks on Kellyanne's door.
"Ms. Conway? Sorry to wake you. I think you should see this." in reply to pbump
11:35:43 Retweeted @davidshukmanbbc 11:25:06 The moment the spacecraft died #Rosetta #CometLanding – somber, sad, but years of data to explore https://t.co/nAewSHCnbq
11:37:04 Retweeted @szorowitz 11:33:08 @kkondik In 2012, Obama said "my bad" and went back to prepare. In 2016, Trump said "she's fat" and went back to tweeting. in reply to kkondik
11:52:33 Reading – The Ultimate Guide to Solving iPhone Battery Drain (Scotty Loveless) https://t.co/rq6p5qJSdK
12:08:08 Retweeted @Philae2014 11:47:12 #Rosetta, is that you? #CometLanding
12:09:19 Retweeted @ESA_Rosetta 10:01:27 "What’s this thing coming towards meвЂ¦I wonder if it will be friends with me?!" #HHGTTG ;) #CometLanding images here: https://t.co/DGGZm3XvJh
12:10:46 Retweeted @ESA_Rosetta 11:56:44 #MissionComplete #CometLanding https://t.co/dEXrDUCHML
16:36:38 Retweeted @Alyssa_Milano 16:36:03 Reunited and it feels so good! "Who's The Boss?" 20 years later for @EW magazine. <symbol> https://t.co/VeFHPoR86e
16:39:06 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Poll Churn (mostly pre-debate) https://t.co/qKnQb1vkKA
17:02:55 Retweeted @NumbersMuncher 16:24:21 If you're a Republican who isn't embarrassed by Donald Trump right now, you deserve to lose. We are supposed to be better than this.
17:06:03 Reading – Before 6 a.m., Donald Trump proved Hillary Clinton’s point about his temperament (Aaron Blake) https://t.co/FZZcKKJyGI
17:20:09 Retweeted @ShaunKing 15:38:06 Dear @realDonaldTrump,
I see you are now trying to enter the morality business, but that’s not OK….
17:20:13 Retweeted @ShaunKing 15:39:26 Donald,
Your first wife, Ivana, swore under oath that you brutally raped and assaulted her. in reply to ShaunKing
17:20:16 Retweeted @ShaunKing 15:39:50 Donald,
You had sex with your 2nd wife, Marla, while you were still married to your first wife, Ivana. in reply to ShaunKing
17:20:19 Retweeted @ShaunKing 15:40:10 Donald,
You admitted to having sex with multiple other women while you were married to your second wife, Marla. in reply to ShaunKing
17:20:23 Retweeted @ShaunKing 15:41:01 Donald,
A 13 year old girl said under oath that you raped her at the house of convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein in 1994. in reply to ShaunKing
17:20:26 Retweeted @ShaunKing 15:41:25 Donald,
You said Paris Hilton was hot when she was just 12 years old. in reply to ShaunKing
17:20:29 Retweeted @ShaunKing 15:42:26 Donald,
You said you watched the Paris Hilton sex tape w/ Melania. Paris was a teenager and you said her parents were your good friends. in reply to ShaunKing
17:20:33 Retweeted @ShaunKing 15:43:07 Donald,
You are running for President and literally asked us at 4am this morning to watch another sex tape that you've watched. in reply to ShaunKing
17:20:36 Retweeted @ShaunKing 15:43:58 Donald,
You have repeatedly alluded to being sexually attracted to your daughter.

PLEASE STOP PRETENDING YOU ARE REMOTELY MORAL.

STOP. in reply to ShaunKing
17:20:48 Retweeted @ShaunKing 15:53:15 Dear @realDonaldTrump,
Please pause your public shaming and harassment of a young Latina woman and address these sвЂ¦ https://t.co/qzcLZoZIE9 in reply to ShaunKing
17:43:07 Retweeted @samsteinhp 17:40:09 San Diego Union-Tribune joins the club: "This paper has not endorsed a Dem for president in its 148-year history. But we endorse Clinton"
17:49:51 Reading – A vote 103 years in the making (Moorhead/Lee/Lee) https://t.co/941uRdRzEI
17:54:07 Retweeted @varadmehta 17:52:20 Read this tweet storm. The Trump enablers and Trumple prostitutes were warned not to sow the Trump. Now they're reaвЂ¦ https://t.co/3wo0EHwhpQ
20:16:22 Reading – Inside Trump's Machado Rage Spiral (@joshtpm) https://t.co/USgdr41hi0
22:19:12 Reading – Voter registration drive targets south Everett (Chris Winters) https://t.co/h2tYEBbZ5s

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