Abulsme.com: Saturday, October 29th, 2016

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Just Use Bleach

With less than two weeks until the election, Curmudgeon’s Corner this week is of course fully election themed. We discuss the campaign developments of the last week, but also look at larger themes of the divisions in today’s America, what may happen after the elections, how Trump took over the Republican party, and… oh… Ivan got polled!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2016-10-28
Length this week – 1:27:44

(0:01:37-0:49:36) Election 2016 Part 1
- Ivan’s cold
- Divisions in America
- Trump’s Republican takeover
- After the election?
- Polls and odds
- Does Trump know he is going to lose?
- Ivan got polled by Gravis!
- Polling methods
- Voting logistics
- Yard signs
- Trump black support
(0:50:45-1:27:24) Election 2016 Part 2
- Cooking curry
- Things we aren’t talking about
- Quiet campaign week
- Clinton Foundation
- Pence’s plane
- Biden for Secretary of State
- Filibusters
- Scott Adams analysis
- Trump in the primaries
- Newt and Kelly
- Flat race
- Bill Weld for Clinton?

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-28 (UTC)

04:50:53 Poll Added: Mason-Dixon w/4P in MO from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 47% https://t.co/h6hksUnB6G
04:50:58 Full 4P results: Mason-Dixon w/4P in MO from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 47% to Johnson 3% to Stein 1%
04:54:41 Poll Added: Saguaro w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 48% to Trump 46% https://t.co/k8jKO2kFI6
04:54:46 Full 4P results: Saguaro w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 48% to Trump 46% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
05:02:24 Poll Added: YouGov [2] in WA from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 48% to Trump 34% https://t.co/v3joWuqVcR
05:03:58 Poll Added: YouGov w/ Lean [2] in WA from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 53% to Trump 39% https://t.co/S9YcESIt17
05:18:38 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 48% https://t.co/hRtgVFRSZ8
05:18:43 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 48% to Johnson 2% to Stein 3%
05:20:16 Poll Added: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 43% to Trump 46% https://t.co/7YPExfn4Sy
05:20:21 Full 4P results: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 43% to Trump 46% to Johnson 3% to Stein 3%
05:27:07 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P in NV from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 44% to Trump 43% https://t.co/kvHTVEmmbb
05:27:12 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P in NV from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 44% to Trump 43% to Johnson 8% to Stein 1%
05:31:57 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P in NH from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 39% https://t.co/QvOxOvyjGb
05:32:02 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P in NH from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
05:44:59 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% https://t.co/vwHbOIpnAS
05:45:04 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
05:46:29 Poll Added: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% https://t.co/HT6B2ciSO0
05:46:34 Full 4P results: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% to Johnson 6% to Stein 1%
05:51:57 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 44% https://t.co/Wzaewd8PMw
05:52:02 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 44% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
05:53:50 Poll Added: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 41% to Trump 44% https://t.co/sMXNo74kiR
05:53:55 Full 4P results: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 41% to Trump 44% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
05:56:58 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% https://t.co/jdOXDugcOu
05:57:03 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
05:58:33 Poll Added: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 47% to Trump 40% https://t.co/40dXwSb346
05:58:38 Full 4P results: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 47% to Trump 40% to Johnson 5% to Stein 3%
06:30:23 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.2% in PA -> Clinton by 5.6% in PA https://t.co/2d0qoS5e3s
16:29:36 Poll Added: Dixie w/4P in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42.4% to Trump 45.7% https://t.co/iq3fyghAUI
16:29:41 Full 4P results: Dixie w/4P in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42.4% to Trump 45.7% to Johnson 2.0% to Stein 1.4%
16:29:57 Clinton vs Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/iq3fyghAUI
16:46:17 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 334 to Trump 204 -> Clinton 305 to Trump 233 https://t.co/BTrKvCQbFV

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-28 (UTC)

00:38:55 Retweeted @thatjohn 00:38:34 Mike Pence's campaign jet skidding off the runway at La Guardia just used up 2016's only remaining reserve of metaphor.
02:03:46 Retweeted @politico 02:00:54 Exclusive: Clinton eyes Biden for secretary of state https://t.co/zzm82iJ8kP | Getty https://t.co/NPC6TTxpSA
03:54:31 Retweeted @Deadspin 03:14:56 Senator Mark Kirk mocks disabled Iraq war vet Tammy Duckworth in debate for her mixed-race heritage:вЂ¦ https://t.co/woAcdORnyp
03:54:35 Retweeted @KellyannePolls 03:33:49 The same Mark Kirk that unendorsed his party's presidential nominee and called him out in paid ads? Gotcha. Good luвЂ¦ https://t.co/GqMYfNMnkM
04:01:42 Retweeted @BenjySarlin 03:27:23 That should just about do it for Mark Kirk https://t.co/d5C2TbfA0Y
04:02:19 Retweeted @allahpundit 03:26:22 It’s beyond amazing that the GOP still has a shot at holding the Senate
15:47:57 Retweeted @davidfrum 14:59:23 Interesting poli-sci question: which is better to have, a well-funded get-out-the-vote operation or anti-semitic Twitter trolls? Jury’s out!
16:37:30 Retweeted @LACaldwellDC 15:58:45 CONFIRMED: Trump did wire his campaign $10 million this morning. Will be used for enhanced television, digital and ground game
16:54:28 Retweeted @MMonides 2016-10-27 14:14:39 Somewhere, right now, an undecided voter is very late to work, struggling with the choice between raisin bran and rat poison for breakfast.
17:29:47 Reading – FBI reopening Clinton email investigation (Katie Williams) https://t.co/u70zBcr6Ju
17:30:53 Retweeted @mviser 17:19:50 A huge unanswered question: What is the вЂњunrelated caseвЂќ that the FBI is referring to, by which they have come across more Clinton emails?
17:31:59 We will still be talking about Clinton’s email for years. Countdown until the still-Republican house impeaches President Clinton?
18:25:00 Retweeted @willrahn 18:21:23 If Andrew Sullivan still had his blog we’d be witnessing the best freakout right now
18:26:13 Retweeted @samsteinhp 18:14:51 Pete Williams sources say in course of a separate investigation, FBI came across "a device." found emails there. but emails NOT from HRC
18:27:08 Retweeted @Tom_Winter 18:11:16 NEW: NBC's Pete Williams reports that the e-mails Comey announced today were NOT originally withheld by Clinton or campaign.
18:35:51 Retweeted @joshtpm 18:35:18 Read this. Almost the entirety of the original breaking news looks wrong. https://t.co/HdkugyCLpC
19:02:22 Reading – What the FBI Director’s letter about the Clinton emails really says (Ian Milhisner) https://t.co/BtCH7lPUHp
19:05:14 Retweeted @JYSexton 18:46:44 Everybody read "emails" and "investigation" and lost their minds. Meanwhile, reports are already being ignored that this isn't about HRC.
19:16:03 Retweeted @TPCarney 18:45:47 Maybe someone emailed Hillary a description or account of a playoff game without the express, written permission of Major League Baseball?
19:20:46 Retweeted @goldengateblond 19:19:45 wut https://t.co/pcVXQMS7Cs
19:21:32 Retweeted @adamgoldmanNYT 19:17:14 New emails discovered after the FBI seized electronic devices belonging to Huma Abedin and husband, Anthony Weiner. https://t.co/RXSyWQ9xGe
19:21:38 Retweeted @adamgoldmanNYT 19:20:02 SCOOP: New emails uncovered discovered after FBI seized electronic devices belonging to Huma Abedin and husband. https://t.co/RXSyWQ9xGe
19:23:17 Damn it, I almost made an вЂњI bet it is related to WeinerвЂќ joke on here an hour ago, but didn’t. I have failed.
19:23:28 Retweeted @csmcdaniel 19:18:55 This is one of the extremely rare instances in which a journalist's "Stay tuned for big news" tweet delivers on theвЂ¦ https://t.co/YImqHPDFGi
19:23:35 Retweeted @hunterschwarz 19:19:42 Meanwhile, Clinton just wrapped up her Iowa rally and didn’t mention the FBI investigation once
20:22:32 Retweeted @ThePlumLineGS 20:02:31 Here is the crux of the matter, via @benjaminwittes. There is simply no basis for hyping this at this point:вЂ¦ https://t.co/EMyjsR55rj
20:27:25 Retweeted @Walldo 20:23:17 Video from @Kryptonlogic shows passengers evacuating at Chicago's O'Hare airport https://t.co/m4QAvFy2fB
20:39:30 Retweeted @thehill 20:35:59 JUST IN: Biden says he has no interest in serving in Clinton's cabinet https://t.co/pYu84qDb1n https://t.co/JmbWzZs9eB
20:43:49 Retweeted @woke8yearold 19:53:35 Everyone thought the Anthony Weiner subplot was irrelevant, but the writers found a clever way to tie it to the main story's season finale
20:48:34 Hey @mysterypollster, is there a way to get a tabular version of the electoral map data with 3Ps & how numbers looked on previous days too?
20:54:56 Retweeted @GrahamDavidA 19:29:02 Anthony Weiner's continued existence seems like proof that the Clintons don't actually go around killing people who pose a risk to them
21:00:37 Retweeted @JenGriffinFNC 20:52:43 Campaign source says law enforcement source tells them no classified information found yet on the 4 devices seized from Weiner and Abedin.
21:04:14 Given additional info coming out all day about FBI/Clinton, more sure than ever this will make close to zero difference in polling.
21:13:40 Retweeted @GlennKesslerWP 20:41:49 So just saw one tweet that said there are three emails relevant to the Clinton case. Another said thousands. So that's the range.
21:24:01 Wolf Blitzer and Rudy Giuliani fighting on CNN. We truly have hit bottom on the clue scale.
21:26:49 Retweeted @jaketapper 19:27:33 So Chekhov's proverbial gun in the first act that goes off in the third is Anthony Weiner.
21:44:54 Retweeted @pzf 21:13:40 BREAKING VIDEO: Insane footage from inside the burning plane at Ohare airport in Chicago. https://t.co/mqsvTrDLJq
21:49:58 Retweeted @dutchindian 20:40:55 So much wishcasting going on in certain GOP quarters today. Hillary's still going to win, and Coyote is never going to catch the Roadrunner.
21:54:38 Retweeted @RBReich 21:22:57 Yesterday I spoke with a former Republican member of Congress whom I’ve known for years.
Me: What do you think… https://t.co/HtvoUdJI7h
22:03:09 Reading – Why FBI Director Made Clinton Email Announcement Now (Gorman Cooper) https://t.co/kQn7o8g2Qt
22:04:58 Retweeted @jonathanchait 21:33:24 Sad story of black guy who worships Trump, goes to Trump rally, gets called "thug" by Trump, ejected https://t.co/iH6VqjT3Ye
22:17:37 Retweeted @kevansf 22:07:04 FedEx plane exploded next to my departure gate at Ft Lauderdale. #Fedexexplosion https://t.co/H3QtFbzg9i
23:08:50 Hillary sounds pissed in this news conference. :-)
23:19:06 Reading – Emailgate Just Gets Stupider and Stupider (Kevin Drum) https://t.co/1hldUyl7AV
23:36:41 Retweeted @leahmcelrath 23:35:50 Thread <symbol><symbol>
#HillaryEmail https://t.co/qzl6UqC03f

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