- 15:52:05 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 15:51:56 The Mason-Dixon poll in Missouri is the only new poll added in today’s sweep. No changes that trigger an @ElectionGraphs post.
- 17:28:48 Most of the show on election topics this time -> [Blog Post] Curmudgeon's Corner: The Big DNC Show https://t.co/xXBCvHQgQU
This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan of course spend most of the show on the Democratic National Convention, with commentary on all the major speeches, and the inevitable comparisons to the RNC the week before. In addition to the DNC itself, they do cover this week’s terrorist attacks in Europe, the DNC email hack, where polling stands today, and Trump’s invitation to Russian hackers. Oh, and for some reason pineapples make an appearance. Click below to listen or subscribe… then let us know your own thoughts!
Length this week – 2:01:56
Show Details:
Note: Timestamps are accurate, but many audio players are not very precise on the timestamps they show, especially when scanning forwards and backwards, so depending on your player, if you scan to a specific time, you may not get exactly what is shown above and may have to scan back or forward a bit to get what is expected.
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch. Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link) Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link) Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link) Please buy his music!
States with new poll data since the last update: Pennsylvania, California, Oregon, Delaware, Vermont, Indiana Results from a Suffolk poll in Pennsylvania taken during the first three days of the Democratic National Convention move that state’s average toward Clinton.
The average moves from a 2.0% lead to a 4.4% lead. This is not an insubstantial jump toward Clinton, but either way we classify the state as “Weak Clinton”. Pennsylvania was the tipping point state though, so the tipping point moves too…
The tipping point moves from Clinton in Pennsylvania by 2.0% to Clinton in North Carolina by 2.3%. This is a pretty small change in the grand scheme of things. Compare to the huge move of the tipping point in Trump’s direction from mid-June to mid-July. Is the new jag downward the start of a new larger move back toward Clinton? Too soon to say. Stay tuned. 102.6 days until polls start to close… Note: This post is an update based on the data on ElectionGraphs.com. Election Graphs tracks both a poll based estimate of the Electoral College and a numbers based look at the Delegate Races. All of the charts and graphs seen in this post are from that site. Additional graphs, charts and raw data can be found there. Follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter or like Election Graphs on Facebook to see announcements of updates or to join the conversation. For those interested in individual general election poll updates, follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter for all the polls as they are added. If you find the information in these posts interesting or useful, please consider visiting the tip jar.
|
||
