- 19:21:40 Jill Stein now has over 50% of the delegates for the Green party convention so is now the presumptive nominee of the Green party.
- 19:22:07 As such, I will now include the 2 party results from 4 way polls incl Stein in our main analysis. Those polls will be indicated by “/4P”. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 19:24:05 I will log the full 4 way results offline to have them handy in case one of the 3P candidates ends up strong enough they might win EC votes. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 19:25:23 There are 15 4-way poll results including Stein I have already logged. I will be retroactively including them in the main analysis shortly. in reply to ElecCollPolls
- 19:34:04 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in AZ from 2016-05-13 to 2016-05-15 – Clinton 38% to Trump 40% https://t.co/TJPZBZ3VZ5
- 19:38:07 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in AZ from 2016-05-13 to 2016-05-15 – Sanders 42% to Trump 39% https://t.co/ks5eF5vvRM
- 19:42:57 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in NC from 2016-05-20 to 2016-05-22 – Clinton 41% to Trump 43% https://t.co/20UmdiB5MT
- 19:46:44 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in NC from 2016-05-20 to 2016-05-22 – Sanders 43% to Trump 40% https://t.co/r8dCg78kkw
- 19:50:56 Poll Added: Zogby w/4P in OH from 2016-05-18 to 2016-05-22 – Clinton 38% to Trump 33% https://t.co/GCBK43em9g
- 19:54:42 Poll Added: Zogby w/4P in OH from 2016-05-18 to 2016-05-22 – Sanders 43% to Trump 32% https://t.co/7eytebZdQj
- 19:58:10 Poll Added: Monmouth w/4P in NJ from 2016-05-23 to 2016-05-27 – Clinton 37% to Trump 31% https://t.co/4y9TThKNQn
- 19:58:17 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NJ has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/4y9TThKNQn
- 20:01:34 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in GA from 2016-05-27 to 2016-05-30 – Clinton 38% to Trump 45% https://t.co/cK76gnoN4Y
- 20:04:57 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in GA from 2016-05-27 to 2016-05-30 – Sanders 36% to Trump 46% https://t.co/kttJQZRnAS
- 20:05:06 Sanders vs Trump state category change: GA has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/kttJQZRnAS
- 20:09:51 Sanders best case vs Trump has changed: Sanders 374 to Trump 164 -> Sanders 358 to Trump 180 https://t.co/7rn3GTkaly
- 20:11:21 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in PA from 2016-06-03 to 2016-06-05 – Clinton 41% to Trump 40% https://t.co/kAa9c13fLl
- 20:16:34 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in PA from 2016-06-03 to 2016-06-05 – Sanders 45% to Trump 36% https://t.co/H1XDrp6EDU
- 20:17:50 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 3.8 in PA -> Clinton by 3.4 in PA https://t.co/e75uXHlF9A
- 20:32:12 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in FL from 2016-06-02 to 2016-06-05 – Clinton 40% to Trump 41% https://t.co/dUfdQCwmf9
- 20:39:51 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in FL from 2016-06-02 to 2016-06-05 – Sanders 40% to Trump 40% https://t.co/6j3tehnldH
- 20:42:17 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/4P in CT from 2016-06-01 to 2016-06-05 – Clinton 41% to Trump 36% https://t.co/ZtedHhb4ri
- 20:42:23 Clinton vs Trump state category change: CT has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/ZtedHhsFPS
- 20:48:19 That is all the historical 4P polls. There were 14, not 15, I miscounted earlier. Now new polls.
- 20:49:30 Poll Added: PPP w/4P in VA from 2016-06-13 to 2016-06-15 – Clinton 42% to Trump 39% https://t.co/sOaWG8kJBt
- 20:49:36 Clinton vs Trump state category change: VA has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/sOaWG8kJBt
- 20:52:09 Full 4P result also logged: PPP in VA from 2016-06-13 to 2016-06-15 – Clinton 42% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
- 20:52:54 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 244 to Trump 294 -> Clinton 231 to Trump 307 https://t.co/BZEgl5kOwP
- 20:53:00 Poll Added: PPP in VA from 2016-06-13 to 2016-06-15 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% https://t.co/GWP88fHHJP
- 21:02:27 Poll Added: Marquette w/3P in WI from 2016-06-09 to 2016-06-12 – Clinton 45.8% to Trump 36.9% https://t.co/VaiDGrdn8O
- 21:04:56 Also logged full 3P result: Marquette in WI from 2016-06-09 to 2016-06-12 – Clinton 45.8% to Trump 36.9% to Johnson 0.3%
- 21:06:46 Poll Added: Marquette w/3P in WI from 2016-06-09 to 2016-06-12 – Sanders 56.9% to Trump 33.3% https://t.co/BIMCDPGCQy
- 21:10:01 Also logged full 3P result: Marquette in WI from 2016-06-09 to 2016-06-12 – Sanders 56.9% to Trump 33.3% to Johnson 0.2%
- 21:36:29 Poll Added: Marquette Reg w/3P in WI from 2016-06-09 to 2016-06-12 – Clinton 42.0% to Trump 35.0% https://t.co/PmIzxFbj3J
- 21:36:34 Clinton vs Trump state category change: WI has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/PmIzxFbj3J
- 21:40:33 Also logged full 3P result: Marquette Reg in WI from 2016-06-09 to 2016-06-12 – Clinton 42.0% to Trump 35.0% to Johnson 0.4%
- 21:43:02 Poll Added: Marquette Reg w/3P in WI from 2016-06-09 to 2016-06-12 – Sanders 56.3% to Trump 31.2% https://t.co/XOWq3f06M5
- 22:05:31 Also logged full 3P result: Marquette Reg in WI from 2016-06-09 to 2016-06-12 – Sanders 56.3% to Trump 31.2% to Johnson 0.4%
- 22:49:16 Poll Added: USC w/4P in CA from 2016-06-07 to 2016-06-10 – Clinton 51% to Trump 27% https://t.co/BeGGH7bbB6
- 22:51:17 Also noted full 4P results: Poll Added: USC w/4P in CA from 2016-06-07 to 2016-06-10 – Clinton 51% to Trump 27% to Johnson 7% to Stein 6%
- 22:52:16 Poll Added: USC in CA from 2016-06-07 to 2016-06-10 – Clinton 59% to Trump 32% https://t.co/B5eZWF65Be
- 23:06:17 Thats it for today. Older polls with Stein added 4 AZ/NC/OH/NJ/GA/PA/FL/CT. New polls added 4 VA/WI/CA. @ElectionGraphs blog post later.
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