Abulsme.com: Thursday, April 28th, 2016

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-04-27 (UTC)

00:42:07 No delegate estimates yet this hour on the Democratic side despite states being called. 384 delegates TBD tonight. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
00:42:19 On the Republican side, updates this hour from MD/PA. Delta so far: Trump +31, 141 TBD. (Inc PA uncommitted.) https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
01:13:27 Democratic updates from CT/DE/PA/RI this hour. New deltas for the night: Sanders +88, Clinton +80, TBD 216. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
01:22:59 Republican updates for CT/DE/MD/RI this hour. New delta for the night: Trump +87, Kasich +8, Cruz +4, TBD 72. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
01:24:20 With this hour’s Republican update Trump goes over 50% of delegates so far, and Cruz is mathematically eliminated. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
02:11:43 Democratic updates from CT/DE/MD/PA this hour. New delta for the night: Clinton +158, Sanders +133, TBD 93. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
02:25:50 Republican updates from MD/RI this hour. New delta for the night: Trump +107, Kasich +5, Cruz +3, TBD 57. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
03:12:30 Democratic updates from CT/MD/PA this hour. New delta for the night: Clinton +175, Sanders +141, TBD 68. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
03:18:39 Republican update from MD this hour. New delta 4 the night: Trump +107, Kasich +8, Cruz +3, TBD 54 (PA uncommitted) https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
04:11:19 Democratic updates in MD/PA this hour. New delta for the night: Clinton +178, Sanders +144, TBD 62. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
04:17:28 Republican update in MD this hour. New delta for the night: Trump +110, Kasich +5, Cruz +3. PA uncommitted: 54 TBD. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
05:11:16 Democratic update in PA this hour. New delta for the night: Clinton +179, Sanders +143, TBD 62. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
05:14:55 No change to the Republican estimates this hour: Trump +110, Kasich +5, Cruz +3. TBD 54 uncommitted PA dels. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
05:55:27 Using info from @TheGreenPapers, @Taniel and @kerpen now updating PA uncommitted dels on https://t.co/TervXoxrc3 & https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
05:57:27 .@TheGreenPapers @Taniel @kerpen My interpretation (there is much room for interpretation) is Trump +42, Kasich +4, Cruz +3, Unknown 5. in reply to ElectionGraphs
05:58:55 Adding the PA uncommitted estimates bring Republican totals for the night to Trump +152, Kasich +9, Cruz +6, TBD 5. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
06:00:22 Retweeted @kerpen 05:58:46 @ElectionGraphs @TheGreenPapers @Taniel My analysis differs. https://t.co/xc9iKEeJc0 in reply to ElectionGraphs
06:01:55 .@kerpen @TheGreenPapers @Taniel Mine was a first take based mainly on your spreadsheet at https://t.co/Fs4OfBXNxE – Will look at this nowвЂ¦ in reply to kerpen
06:05:52 No updates to the Democratic estimates this hour. Changes for the night still Clinton +179, Sanders +143, TBD 62. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
06:35:30 .@kerpen Deltas are that I interpreted Vogler, Kaufer, Shuster as Trump; Dendinger as Uncommitted; Dumeyer as Trump. in reply to ElectionGraphs
06:38:27 .@kerpen I can see your arguments for all 5 though. I was generally more accepting of вЂњwill considerвЂќ as enough to go for district winner. in reply to ElectionGraphs
06:41:41 Keeping Rep uncom ests same for now. So no changes this hour. Trump +152, Kasich +9, Cruz +6, TBD 5 for the night. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
06:43:56 Unfortunately @ElectionGraphs has to call it a night. There will be a check for estimate updates in the morning, as well as blog posts.
14:49:10 Morning Democratic update in PA. New delta for all of yesterday’s contests: Clinton +218, Sanders +166. No more TBD. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
15:07:08 Some Republican PA uncommitted updates this morning. New delta for yesterday: Trump +155, Kasich +8, Cruz +6, TBD 3. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
16:54:40 Democratic superdelegate update. Net change: Clinton +4. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
17:28:16 Republican ND uncommitted numbers updated, Cruz +2. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
17:56:18 [Blog Post] Democrats: Clinton wins PA/MD/CT/RI/DE by 218 to 166 https://t.co/oYxC0GzHhd
19:41:18 [Blog Post] Republicans: Everything falls into place for Trump https://t.co/Uiki0KxCk8

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-04-27 (UTC)

00:43:45 As usual, I’ll be doing hourly delegate estimate updates on https://t.co/XU2w1Pstlc – Follow @ElectionGraphs for details each hour.
19:41:49 Blog posts on yesterday’s results in both parties now up at @ElectionGraphs.

@abulsme tweets from 2016-04-27 (UTC)

00:43:37 As usual, I’ll be doing hourly delegate estimate updates on https://t.co/MZrA9dFRue – Follow @ElectionGraphs for details each hour.
00:44:07 Retweeted @TimFleischer7 2016-04-26 20:54:29 Voters in #Connecticut @ polls #SuperTuesday Latest on their choices EWN @ 5 #abc7ny https://t.co/EBYqORhG1i
00:44:12 Retweeted @ScottNY71 2016-04-26 21:10:22 @TimFleischer7 @ABC7NY Ironic that Democrats are sent to the right and Republicans are sent to the left. in reply to TimFleischer7
00:44:17 Retweeted @ScottNY71 00:06:08 @abulsme Thought you'd appreciate this: https://t.co/qrA0jloi9z
00:44:19 Retweeted @ScottNY71 00:07:03 @abulsme Obviously you have to read the original post before my reply. Local news guy. in reply to ScottNY71
00:45:13 .@ScottNY71 I originally had Dems on the Right & Reps on the Left on https://t.co/51XLs2CICt until @BYUfan pointed out my obvious error. :-) in reply to ScottNY71
01:29:15 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 01:24:20 With this hour’s Republican update Trump goes over 50% of delegates so far, and Cruz is mathematically eliminated. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
01:31:36 Retweeted @Taniel 01:28:52 Wow, didn't expect this: In PA's CD17, in an 11-candidate field, 3 candidates on Trump's slate all have twice as many votes as anyone else.
01:32:42 Retweeted @davidplouffe 01:27:07 First Trump-Clinton debate will be global phenomenon.
01:33:10 Retweeted @FHQ 01:27:21 The Republican race has been on this track since March 15. Despite all the "momentum" that hasn't changed. in reply to FHQ
01:36:33 Main thing to watch since Clinton/Trump wins all expectedвЂ¦ The 54 uncommitted Rep dels. How many can be identified for a cand, and which?
03:21:53 Retweeted @Taniel 03:12:35 Trump's sweeps in CT & MD and the wins his slate is getting in Pennsylvania are enough for Indiana to no longer be absolute must-win for him
03:21:55 Retweeted @Taniel 03:18:14 So tonight does change math: Trump had to win IN & CA to get to 1237. Now, he cld afford to lose IN as long as he gets a convincing CA win. in reply to Taniel
03:22:17 Retweeted @Taniel 02:55:31 Many delegates being elected in PA have committed to vote for district winner. What the Pennsylvania map looks like: https://t.co/YBqXy8BMlS
03:25:56 Retweeted @mmurraypolitics 03:25:12 PA Unbound update: Early, but based on those leading in each CD, it *appears* 2/3 are either Trump backers or those will go w the CD winner
03:27:16 Still waiting 4 more solid info b4 including preferences for the 54 unbound PA dels over at @ElectionGraphs, but looking like most Trump.
03:28:46 Trump was expected to win tonight, but he exceeded expectations in del count, even w/o unbound. With them, #NeverTrump in deep deep trouble.
03:32:45 Retweeted @MileHighBrendan 03:32:02 If Trump wins Indiana, is there still time for #NeverTrump to mount credible 3rd party bid, or is it down to #ImWithHer or #FeelTheJohnson?
03:33:31 .@MileHighBrendan It is very close to too late for credible 3rd party bid. Texas deadlines coming up in less than two weeks, right? in reply to MileHighBrendan
03:34:25 .@MileHighBrendan Without getting on the ballot in Texas, you can cause disruption, but not have a real shot at winning. So #FeelTheJohnson? in reply to abulsme
04:00:18 Retweeted @frednewspost 03:59:52 Frederick County Board of Education w/ 82 of 85 precincts currently reporting:
https://t.co/xFIetz8IOi https://t.co/wZrz44e3n6
04:01:09 That last tweet was Board of Ed where I went to High School. One of my high school teachers won a seat. :-)
04:23:45 Retweeted @Taniel 04:20:17 Pennsylvania's 54 district delegates, based on 95% in:
Trump slate: 31 (21 are clear backers)
District winner: 11
mystery: 9
Cruz: 3
04:23:49 Retweeted @Taniel 04:22:42 If every delegate who said they'd support their district's winner keeps their word, that would give Trump 42 of PA's 54 famous unbound dels. in reply to Taniel
04:58:03 Retweeted @EverettReporter 04:51:06 School district measures passing in Everett, failing in Marysville https://t.co/xbTNBmZqLY
06:46:30 Trump’s night much better than expected. With both pledged and uncommitted dels. Details at @ElectionGraphs. #NeverTrump in deep trouble.
06:48:54 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 06:43:56 Unfortunately @ElectionGraphs has to call it a night. There will be a check for estimate updates in the morning, as well as blog posts.
06:49:30 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 06:41:41 Keeping Rep uncom ests same for now. So no changes this hour. Trump +152, Kasich +9, Cruz +6, TBD 5 for the night. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
06:50:08 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 06:05:52 No updates to the Democratic estimates this hour. Changes for the night still Clinton +179, Sanders +143, TBD 62. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
14:30:51 Retweeted @NMSportster 12:37:26 @abulsme @MileHighBrendan It's even worse then that in TX 76k votes of voters that did not vote in Primary. Primary voter sigs are thown out in reply to abulsme
17:35:42 .@SamWangPhD‘s odds of straight up Trump win now up to 94% -> Trump on a glide path (since mid-March) https://t.co/EWEY9Au6ge
17:56:03 [Blog Post] Democrats: Clinton wins PA/MD/CT/RI/DE by 218 to 166 https://t.co/mXkS7nXSw8
17:59:25 Retweeted @CNBCnow 17:58:24 BREAKING: Ted Cruz to name Carly Fiorina as VP pick – Politico, citing sources https://t.co/fyPtd9hZMW https://t.co/42jGnYg7pe
17:59:57 I can only imagine the joy @imbou must feel right now about the Cruz/Fiorina 2016 ticket. :-)
18:21:42 Retweeted @imbou 18:14:12 @abulsme woohoo in reply to abulsme
18:40:22 Retweeted @imbou 18:40:12 Since everyone is naming hypothetical running mates, I nominate @abulsme as my running mate!!!!
18:40:46 .@imbou I am honored by this choice, and will serve our ticket well! in reply to imbou
18:41:50 Retweeted @imbou 18:41:22 @abulsme Yesss!!!!! Bou/Minter 2016!!!!! in reply to abulsme
19:41:01 [Blog Post] Republicans: Everything falls into place for Trump https://t.co/OkO8ADb0Ov
21:19:20 Retweeted @politico 20:52:09 .@CarlyFiorina sings https://t.co/pjRvZrNmYt