- 00:01:25 Getting in the car for my commute just as polls close, so no tweets about New Hampshire early results for at least a little bit. :-)
- 01:29:19 Winners as expected. Now the questions are margins on the D side, who gets 2nd on the R side, and who gets over 10% on the R side. :-)
- 01:31:21 Retweeted @jimwaterson 01:25:52 Vermin Supreme has more votes than Jim Gilmore
*Man with boot on his head – 43 votes
*Former governor of Virginia – 14 votes - 01:35:27 Retweeted @Taniel 01:26:39 oh, to see Rubio in single-digits, below the delegate threshold, even if only momentarily (this is with 13% in): https://t.co/x45V14moJy
- 01:36:10 Retweeted @FHQ 01:28:29 IF Rubio finishes just under 10%, that's roughly two delegates that will head over to Trump's column. https://t.co/zOfsJBp6o1
- 01:38:17 Retweeted @jbarro 01:28:53 Remember Marco, don't call it fifth place, call it a three-way tie for third.
- 01:41:36 Retweeted @megynkelly 01:30:07 On the GOP side, there’s a tight battle for second between @JohnKasich, @JebBush, @tedcruz and @marcorubio. #NHPrimary
- 01:42:50 Retweeted @brendanloy 01:31:18 Odds of a contested convention way up tonight. Looking forward to the Romney-Trump ticket (to deny Cruz despite his 45% of the delegates)
- 01:44:11 Retweeted @TPCarney 01:28:44 Kasich in solid 2nd which would put him in the SC debate. Cruz, Rubio, and Trump will be in, too. Jeb needs to finish top 5 to make it.
- 01:45:33 Retweeted @chucktodd 01:32:53 Among the biggest red flags in the Dem exits for a Clinton: Sanders clobbered her among "honest/trust" voters and "cares about me" folks
- 01:46:34 Retweeted @DomenicoNPR 01:33:22 BREAKING: Jim Gilmore has now surpassed his vote total from Iowa with 15 votes. (He had 12 in Iowa)
- 01:49:07 Retweeted @PredictWise 01:35:27 Markets at 95% for Kasich to take second place in NH. Still, just 3% to win nomination with Trump & Cruz way up in SC & NV
- 01:51:21 Retweeted @ASDem 01:36:15 This is the best possible result for Donald Trump. It literally could not be better if he scripted it. https://t.co/aMANVJSHkb
- 02:00:21 Back in the car. No tweets again for a bit. :-)
- 02:31:54 Heard some of Hillary in car, but Alex was talking, then got home and had other folks talking through start of Bernie. Did I miss anything?
- 02:42:22 Current GP Dem del estimates for NH: Sanders 15, Clinton 9 https://t.co/D8zrWZK6h8
- 02:43:21 Current GP Rep NH del estimates: Trump 11, Kasich 3, Bush 2, Cruz 2, Rubio 2 https://t.co/tR6pAv8Eo2
- 02:44:11 Both parties del estimates may still change. Only 34% Dems reporting, 37% Reps.
- 02:47:03 Retweeted @skoczela 02:45:50 The partial results are astonishingly close to the final poll averages. https://t.co/uWlbtCXjDT
- 02:52:58 Retweeted @fakedansavage 02:52:40 So Bernie Sanders has Secret Service protection, right?
- 02:53:11 .@fakedansavage Yes. Got it a couple weeks ago. in reply to fakedansavage
- 03:06:25 Del totals not final yet but Trump will have delegate lead after today. Unless something big changes in 11 days, delegate majority after SC.
- 03:09:47 On D side, Sanders looks like he will get dels he needs to improve position against Clinton but needs C 2 collapse in SC 2 really be threat.
- 03:16:35 Back to R’s, the “establishment” folks have to pick a champion & the rest have to hurry and drop out or they are just handing this to Trump.
- 03:19:53 Trying to figure who drops. Carson/Fiorina/Christie seem somewhat likely. Maybe Rubio? 3rd then 5th not compelling story.
- 03:20:19 I think Kasich/Bush/Rubio may all convince themselves they need to at least go through South Carolina though.
- 03:23:13 Not sure that Kasich translates his #2 into anything past tonight though.
- 03:41:57 I’ve gone ahead & added tentative NH delegate results at https://t.co/MZrA9dFRue – Will update if needed & do blog update once looks stable.
- 03:49:11 Retweeted @chucktodd 03:48:33 The three biggest spenders in NH will likely finish 4th (Bush), 5th (Rubio) and 6th (Christie) #moneykills but #moneydoesntbuylove
- 03:54:14 Retweeted @nickconfessore 03:53:37 In 2012, Huntsman got 17% in NH, considered disappointing enough that he dropped out.
Kasich got roughly the same 17% and is surging, baby! - 04:14:59 Retweeted @JillFilipovic 04:00:05 With the NH primary done, can we now look at states where everyone isn't white?
- 04:16:40 Retweeted @SamWangPhD 04:01:00 This result is important for the closed-primary states, in which independents cannot vote. https://t.co/Ws9V3b9pia
- 04:25:43 Retweeted @WakeUp2Politics 04:06:49 Taking a much-needed win tonight: polling.
Minus Rubio (who dropped post-debate), RCP averages are nearly identical to results #NHprimary - 04:34:59 I mentioned Sanders needs C collapse in SC. Of course NV is 1st for Dems. Will be first place to see if NH win causes C decline elsewhere. in reply to abulsme
- 04:36:33 Everybody always forgets Nevada. :-)
- 04:46:09 Retweeted @mlow29 04:45:38 @abulsme @DaveMc99TA Could happen in Nevada, Probably good for Bernie that NV comes before SC. in reply to abulsme
- 04:47:01 .@mlow29 @DaveMc99TA Looks like the Clinton camp is already working to lower expectations for Nevada. in reply to mlow29
- 04:50:40 Retweeted @politicoalex 04:18:43 INTERNAL JEB memo on RUBIO: "Rubio has demonstrated no respect for the nomination process and expects this to be a coronation."
- 04:50:46 Retweeted @mckaycoppins 04:41:14 Team Jeb, last seen running a "shock and awe" mission to clear the GOP field, says *Rubio* expects a coronation. https://t.co/fPNIWPzrNT
- 04:50:51 Retweeted @KatzOnEarth 04:42:38 These guys still don't get that they're actually running against Donald Trump. https://t.co/VGmTNaAqcb
- 04:56:20 Reading – Defeated In New Hampshire, Clinton Camp Already Forecasting Closer Race In Nevada (Ruby Cramer) https://t.co/NWuyWKyrfr
- 04:57:30 Retweeted @woodruffbets 04:34:40 Rubio camp's press release tonight: https://t.co/YpOBbEgAGJ
- 05:11:48 Reading – As Trump Wins, the Mainstream G.O.P. Is Left to Muddle On (Alexander Burns) https://t.co/6lNXo6dbCM
- 05:13:09 Retweeted @Marty2634 05:12:54 @abulsme How are you? Describe your thoughts on tonight's Dem & GOP 2016 NH Primary Results? Will NJ Gov Christie drop out of the race? in reply to abulsme
- 05:15:56 .@Marty2634 Hi Marty. Waiting for a couple more hours for a little more counting, then I’ll do a blog post with my thoughts. :-) in reply to Marty2634
- 05:16:37 .@Marty2634 I tweeted a bunch of preliminary thoughts earlier though. in reply to Marty2634
- 05:19:01 Retweeted @Marty2634 05:17:09 @abulsme You don't want to chat about it now. in reply to abulsme
- 05:20:10 .@Marty2634 Just don’t like repeating myself. Bottom line, Sanders needed 14 delegates for a winning pace, looks like he is getting 15. in reply to Marty2634
- 05:21:46 .@Marty2634 On R side, about as I expected. Trump takes del lead, will prob have del majority after SC unless big changes in next 11 days. in reply to Marty2634
- 05:21:51 Retweeted @Marty2634 05:20:38 @abulsme Ok then in reply to abulsme
- 05:23:47 .@Marty2634 Sanders still has big uphill fight. Would be one of biggest collapses ever if Clinton doesn’t still end up winning. in reply to Marty2634
- 05:25:10 .@Marty2634 On R side, unless a bunch of the establishment folks decide not to go to SC after all, division just paves way for Trump. in reply to Marty2634
- 05:26:16 Retweeted @Marty2634 05:26:03 @abulsme So you think Donald Trump will Probably be the 2016 GOP Presidential Nominee in your Opinion? in reply to abulsme
- 05:27:08 .@Marty2634 I made that prediction in my podcasts year end prediction episode. Gave him 40% shot but everybody else less. in reply to Marty2634
- 05:28:17 .@Marty2634 After tonight, I’d bump that to 50%. Maybe even 60%. Not cause of his win, but because doesn’t look like enuf others will drop. in reply to Marty2634
- 05:29:07 Retweeted @Marty2634 05:27:34 @abulsme Ok thanks in reply to abulsme
- 05:36:12 Retweeted @Marty2634 05:30:09 @abulsme Do you think Hillary Clinton assuming she's the 2016 Dem Presidential Nominee would have Sen. Sanders in her Pres Administration? in reply to abulsme
- 05:39:14 .@Marty2634 Hmm. No. I don’t think so. Don’t think Sanders would go for it either even if asked. Would want to stay in the Senate. in reply to Marty2634
- 05:46:59 Retweeted @Marty2634 05:46:24 @abulsme Any thoughts on the PBS Dem 2016 Pres TV Debate on Thurs Night & Sat Night's SC 2016 GOP Presidential TV Debate on CBS? in reply to abulsme
- 05:47:29 .@Marty2634 Only: Oh wow, MORE of these? :-) in reply to Marty2634
- 05:49:45 Retweeted @Marty2634 05:48:12 @abulsme Yes! in reply to abulsme
- 13:47:24 [Abulpost] Democrats: Sanders does what he needs to do in New Hampshire https://t.co/pFUcEzyoy8
- 14:19:32 Reading – Face the facts: Trump is winning (@mattyglesias) https://t.co/IdzPgtxGD4
- 16:14:47 [Abulpost] Republicans: Trump takes a clear delegate lead, Cruz and Rubio still the second tier https://t.co/xPKLcvf6L7
- 18:06:59 Reading – The New Hampshire Delegate Count and Beyond — Automatic Delegates (@fhq) https://t.co/tlw3sp9H6l
- 20:13:37 Retweeted @ABC 20:11:12 JUST IN: Carly Fiorina suspends presidential campaign – @ABCPolitics https://t.co/YrmVUnqGzP
- 20:14:42 My condolences @imbou. I know you were rooting for Carly.
- 20:25:48 Reading – Sanders Wins Big in New Hampshire! Now He’s Only 352 Delegates Behind Clinton! (@ed_kilgore) https://t.co/JJ5rAJGBLM
- 20:26:18 Thanks for the link @ed_kilgore! Appreciate it. :-)
- 21:44:03 Retweeted @washingtonpost 21:36:22 Chris Christie suspends his presidential campaign, https://t.co/dRGVvdaOcK
Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.