Abulsme.com: Saturday, August 22nd, 2015

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2015-08-21 (UTC)

05:18:53 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 38% to Bush 49% http://t.co/QBrFqYV3ou
05:19:02 Clinton vs Bush state category change: FL has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Bush http://t.co/QBrFqYV3ou
05:25:58 Clinton vs Bush expected case changed: Clinton 343 to Bush 195 -> Clinton 314 to Bush 224 http://t.co/VWk17x7YQt
05:27:00 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in OH from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 41% to Bush 39% http://t.co/coM68r138m
05:27:14 Clinton vs Bush state category change: OH has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton http://t.co/coM68riDZU
05:33:19 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in PA from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 40% to Bush 43% http://t.co/8SmXCNVani
05:36:30 Clinton vs Bush tipping point change: Clinton by 5.6 in OH -> Clinton by 3.8 in OH http://t.co/7DKN9x1vRe
05:36:31 Bush best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 271 to Bush 267 -> Clinton 253 to Bush 285 http://t.co/jP3UFIzuEy
05:38:15 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 39% to Rubio 51% http://t.co/qQBKMZrMUu
05:38:26 Clinton vs Rubio state category change: FL has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Rubio http://t.co/qQBKMZrMUu
05:42:13 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in OH from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 40% to Rubio 42. http://t.co/8IeqwKLIaK % http://t.co/mhWoaEVMVm
05:42:26 Clinton vs Rubio state category change: OH has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton http://t.co/mhWoaEVMVm
05:49:37 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in PA from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 40% to Rubio 47% http://t.co/LSDwqvC1gc
05:49:56 Clinton vs Rubio state category change: PA has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton http://t.co/LSDwqvC1gc
05:51:07 Clinton vs Rubio expected case changed: Clinton 328 to Rubio 210 -> Clinton 299 to Rubio 239 http://t.co/uMLIaJdQLF
05:59:02 Clinton vs Rubio tipping point change: Clinton by 4.6 in VA -> Clinton by 2.4 in PA http://t.co/YrYVrmZgux
05:59:03 Rubio best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 265 to Rubio 273 -> Clinton 227 to Rubio 311 http://t.co/eEoZYIlsjI
06:01:21 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 41% to Trump 43% http://t.co/oCPHRPsWQy
06:01:35 Clinton vs Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump http://t.co/oCPHRPKxI6
06:04:07 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in OH from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 43% to Trump 38% http://t.co/hOXKtgyIjr
06:05:49 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 1.7 in OH -> Clinton by 1.4 in OH http://t.co/y0QghAPBXs
06:05:51 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 323 to Trump 215 -> Clinton 294 to Trump 244 http://t.co/n1KbiZwwIg
06:07:49 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in PA from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 45% to Trump 40% http://t.co/uvtUiii2h7
06:10:36 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Biden 38% to Bush 51% http://t.co/i97QgHE1u7
06:12:52 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in OH from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Biden 42% to Bush 39% http://t.co/VdCwiUGbHi
06:15:38 Biden vs Bush tipping point change: Biden by 1.7 in OH -> Biden by 1 in OH http://t.co/YV5jje9ppH
06:16:10 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in PA from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Biden 42% to Bush 43% http://t.co/jdPyqhoHfX
06:16:26 Biden vs Bush state category change: PA has moved from Strong Biden to Weak Biden http://t.co/jdPyqh75Rn
06:20:14 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Biden 42% to Rubio 48% http://t.co/75x85G2Hbq
06:20:50 Bush best case vs Biden has changed: Biden 251 to Bush 287 -> Biden 231 to Bush 307 http://t.co/0XAW8rFKfl
06:22:52 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in OH from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Biden 42% to Rubio 41% http://t.co/QiLwxIkL9Z
06:25:24 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in PA from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Biden 41% to Rubio 44% http://t.co/T3cglEkwb3
06:25:42 Biden vs Rubio state category change: PA has moved from Strong Biden to Weak Biden http://t.co/T3cglEkwb3
06:25:46 Biden vs Rubio tipping point change: Biden by 1.7 in OH -> Biden by 0.6 in OH http://t.co/EVuk8QEVOf
06:30:36 Rubio best case vs Biden has changed: Biden 251 to Rubio 287 -> Biden 231 to Rubio 307 http://t.co/pY4zliZY6M
06:32:09 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Biden 45% to Trump 42% http://t.co/PzL3jnVMuC
06:34:15 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in OH from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Biden 48% to Trump 38% http://t.co/D5199l8Pvm
06:35:25 Biden vs Trump tipping point change: Biden by 1.7 in OH -> Biden by 2.4 in OH http://t.co/hnkQb6kJ9U
06:36:42 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in PA from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Biden 48% to Trump 40% http://t.co/0zol2wUfOP
06:40:01 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Sanders 35% to Bush 54% http://t.co/gk4d7XJyNp
06:40:18 Sanders vs Bush state category change: FL has moved from Weak Sanders to Weak Bush http://t.co/gk4d7XJyNp
06:41:21 Sanders vs Bush expected case changed: Sanders 310 to Bush 228 -> Sanders 281 to Bush 257 http://t.co/eWknjyAwij
06:42:35 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in OH from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Sanders 36% to Bush 42% http://t.co/ujt5UtjXPI
06:42:55 Sanders vs Bush state category change: OH has moved from Weak Sanders to Weak Bush http://t.co/ujt5UtjXPI
06:45:15 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in PA from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Sanders 36% to Bush 44% http://t.co/qmO3yZtHyF
06:45:30 Sanders vs Bush state category change: PA has moved from Strong Sanders to Weak Sanders http://t.co/qmO3yZc6a5
06:46:19 Sanders vs Bush tipping point change: Sanders by 1.7 in OH -> Bush by 0.8 in OH http://t.co/8YqdvUlaJs
06:46:20 Sanders vs Bush expected case changed: Sanders 281 to Bush 257 -> Sanders 263 to Bush 275 http://t.co/EUzWkL15cg
06:50:46 Bush best case vs Sanders has changed: Sanders 241 to Bush 297 -> Sanders 221 to Bush 317 http://t.co/SXUvcHoNGe
06:53:11 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Sanders 36% to Rubio 52% http://t.co/kOmGi9Azvv
06:53:28 Sanders vs Rubio state category change: FL has moved from Weak Sanders to Weak Rubio http://t.co/kOmGi9Azvv
06:55:45 Sanders vs Rubio expected case changed: Sanders 310 to Rubio 228 -> Sanders 281 to Rubio 257 http://t.co/yuK09BZCmJ
06:56:25 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in OH from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Sanders 34% to Rubio 42% http://t.co/c1jetqSawg
06:56:41 Sanders vs Rubio state category change: OH has moved from Weak Sanders to Weak Rubio http://t.co/c1jetqAzEI
06:58:44 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in PA from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Sanders 33% to Rubio 45% http://t.co/IodSggoInK
06:59:06 Sanders vs Rubio state category change: PA has moved from Strong Sanders to Weak Sanders http://t.co/IodSggGjfi
07:01:16 Sanders vs Rubio tipping point change: Sanders by 1.7 in OH -> Rubio by 1.2 in OH http://t.co/pGGGwEb8k9
07:01:17 Sanders vs Rubio expected case changed: Sanders 281 to Rubio 257 -> Sanders 263 to Rubio 275 http://t.co/IOEmhxtFnZ
07:01:19 Rubio best case vs Sanders has changed: Sanders 251 to Rubio 287 -> Sanders 231 to Rubio 307 http://t.co/IOEmhxtFnZ
07:02:28 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Sanders 41% to Trump 45% http://t.co/jlDfqbRiN5
07:02:58 Sanders vs Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Sanders to Weak Trump http://t.co/jlDfqbRiN5
07:04:46 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in OH from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Sanders 42% to Trump 40% http://t.co/5t0aLywRM3
07:06:22 Sanders vs Trump tipping point change: Sanders by 1.7 in OH -> Sanders by 0.8 in OH http://t.co/4oPiplLs8p
07:06:23 Sanders vs Trump expected case changed: Sanders 310 to Trump 228 -> Sanders 281 to Trump 257 http://t.co/G7b0L5OgPE
07:07:12 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in PA from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Sanders 44% to Trump 41% http://t.co/QyvThu9KTx
07:12:03 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in FL from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 37% to Bush 36% to Trump 19% (Logged but not on site)
07:13:46 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in OH from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 37%, Bush 27%, Trump 23% (Logged but not on site)
07:15:45 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in PA from 2015-08-07 to 2015-08-18 – Clinton 37%, Bush 29%, Trump 24% (Logged but not on site)
07:26:58 Poll Added: Marquette in WI from 2015-08-13 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 47% to Bush 42% http://t.co/ZVSbTqq7JT
07:29:31 Poll Added: Marquette in WI from 2015-08-13 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 52% to Walker 42% http://t.co/zRK8PP2qo6
07:31:43 Poll Added: Marquette in WI from 2015-08-13 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 50% to Cruz 38% http://t.co/sUQGeC8juB
07:34:11 Poll Added: Marquette in WI from 2015-08-13 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 51% to Trump 35% http://t.co/IcoWBGgJiM
07:47:48 That’s finally it for today’s batch of polls. There were several changes worth noting, so there will be a blog post later today.
14:40:14 Retweeted @ConArtCritic 13:39:39 @ElecCollPolls you didn't poll Rubio versus Clinton, did you?
14:41:42 .@ConArtCritic I of course don’t poll anybody myself. :-) In the batch I added today, @QuinnipiacPoll included Rubio, @MULawPoll did not. in reply to ConArtCritic
16:19:03 Retweeted @ConArtCritic 14:48:24 @ElecCollPolls @QuinnipiacPoll @MULawPoll thanks @abulsme ! in reply to ElecCollPolls
19:27:21 [Podcast] Curmudgeon’s Corner: Sickness and Politics http://t.co/FO7oyygbOv
22:02:54 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Bush joins Rubio in the вЂњmight beat ClintonвЂќ club, Clinton margins shrink http://t.co/imTvAbSmYR

@abulsme tweets from 2015-08-21 (UTC)

01:14:43 Reading – Race, love, hate, and me: A distinctly American story (Shaun King) http://t.co/3kSHgWq2Hd
07:51:24 New polls from @QuinnipiacPoll 4 FL/OH/PA & from @MULawPoll 4 WI. Details at http://t.co/DURWAhb7mq & @ElecCollPolls. Blog post later today.
10:31:12 [Abulpost] Curmudgeon's Corner: Sickness and Politics http://t.co/x1J6JJOQqS
16:04:23 Listening to BhTV (audio) Bill Scher & Matt K. Lewis http://t.co/lm2jG9e1Of
16:19:24 Retweeted @ConArtCritic 14:51:21 #ff @ElecCollPolls @abulsme
Great work there.
16:25:15 .@ConArtCritic @ElecCollPolls Thanks! Glad it is useful and/or interesting to you. It takes a lot of work, so good 2 hear it is appreciated! in reply to ConArtCritic
16:28:13 Retweeted @ConArtCritic 14:52:10 @ElecCollPolls @abulsme you probably never expected PA to be the tipping point state for multiple candidates, and yet…here we are!
16:31:07 .@ConArtCritic I thought of you when entering the PA data. :-) Tipping point in Clinton vs Rubio/Paul/Walker! Close race w/ Rubio & Bush! in reply to ConArtCritic
16:36:37 .@ConArtCritic I figured the trend lines on the PA comparison page would make you happy. :-) http://t.co/k0ix1CodXm in reply to ConArtCritic
16:37:36 .@ConArtCritic I'm hoping to write up my blog post on today's changes over lunch today. Pennsylvania will of course be mentioned. :-) in reply to ConArtCritic
16:59:09 Retweeted @ConArtCritic 16:47:31 @abulsme the trend is (usually) your friend. in reply to abulsme
17:01:52 Retweeted @DaveMc99TA 16:59:39 Hillary v Jeb: tipping state is Ohio Clinton +3.8% http://t.co/IawFHPmRAs RT @ConArtCritic: #ff @ElecCollPolls @abulsme
Great work there.
17:09:17 .@ConArtCritic Slight misstatement by me on this one. Only actually close in Clinton v Rubio so far, but Clinton v Bush trending that way. in reply to abulsme
21:49:55 [Abulpost] Electoral College: Bush joins Rubio in the "might beat Clinton" club, Clinton margins shrink http://t.co/Z2k6I9Yike