- 05:07:50 Yay!! RT @AmyNotAmy: Just un-privated my twitter account NSA come find me
- 07:23:43 Reading – GT seeks to close sapphire plant and sever ties with Apple (Shawn King) http://t.co/ymp1HbvtuY
- 14:50:56 Reading – The real problem with Nate Silver's model is the hazy metaphysics of probability (@mattyglesias) http://t.co/uqfQlhaCva
- 15:50:50 Retweeted @DavidShipleySCA 15:42:56 @abulsme @mattyglesias interesting piece, although I'm curious why it ignores the possibility of backtesting the models . in reply to abulsme
- 15:50:57 Retweeted @hangingnoodles 15:45:38 voters & elections в‰ coins MT @abulsme: key issue w Nate Silver's model=hazy metaphysics of probability @mattyglesias http://t.co/eqPLIxFmQ7
- 15:51:02 Retweeted @BenGoldN 15:46:13 @abulsme @mattyglesias Bayesian theory says to update beliefs towards the model that is closer/less wrong, albeit marginally in reply to abulsme
- 15:56:20 For the record, I don’t think probabilistic models are a problem at all. The problem is people misinterpreting them as if 60%=100% and such.
- 16:00:20 For instance @SamWangPhD/@NateSilver538 fight is silly, because both models show toss up. 60/40 and 40/60 essentially agree in this context.
- 16:00:32 Retweeted @hangingnoodles 15:57:13 .@abulsme @mattyglesias it ain't the metaphysics, it's the metaphors: Facts In History Ain't Like Those in Physics http://t.co/JE1TQC7cnY in reply to hangingnoodles
- 17:41:58 Retweeted @Sethineugene 17:40:23 @abulsme @mattyglesias models could be back tested, silver probably has an intern working on it. in reply to abulsme
- 18:10:29 Reading – Who was America's most well spoken President? (Fox/Spies) http://t.co/Qbt7wksJ8w
- 18:12:33 Reading – Please Don't Be Cynical About This New Site's Huge Corporate Sponsors (Hamilton Nolan) http://t.co/0fO1qfYNtU
- 18:33:39 Reading – Startup myths and obsessions (Mariana Mazzucato) http://t.co/0v4zhdrtEd
- 18:36:19 Reading – Edward Snowden's Girlfriend, Lindsay Mills, Moved to Moscow to Live with Him (@ggreenwald) http://t.co/0UmAz9WvC0
- 18:47:57 Retweeted @ReinsuranceM 18:17:59 Simple chart confirms where stock market is heading. http://t.co/fh4j1rlxiF
- 18:48:58 Retweeted @BeschlossDC 18:40:40 Henry Kissinger tells Brent Scowcroft, "When I talked to the President he was loaded"–this day 1973: #NARA http://t.co/jguMHbhXnd
- 18:56:22 Reading –
What It’s Like to Carry Your Nobel Prize through Airport Security (@ClaraMoskowitz) http://t.co/mFiOu3LZBj - 20:15:30 The neighbor’s dog Ginger dug a hole under our fence & came into our yard 4 the second time in a week. Found Roscoe chasing her in the yard.
- 20:16:36 When Roscoe started to look a little TOO excited and snappy, I grabbed his collar and held him. Ginger ran into our house.
- 20:18:04 .@Scatterbrandy caught Ginger upstairs in our bedroom. We took Ginger home. About to head to Lowe’s 4 rocks 2 fill the hole under the fence.
- 20:19:16 Alex doesn’t want to go out though, so he is out front filling one of his toy dumptrucks with rocks and other things for filling the hole.
- 20:36:51 Also, the short adventure with the neighbor dog left me feeling wiped out again. Guess I’m not done with being sick after all. :-(
- 22:31:59 Reading – Inside South Africa’s whites-only town of Orania (Pumza Fihlani) http://t.co/0K4LTLbAXo
- 22:39:47 Retweeted @RouGhInc 22:36:21 @abulsme This is Crap, I don't know why these people like to isolate themselves. in reply to abulsme
- 23:44:24 First state level 2016 poll including Romney from @DMRegister -> http://t.co/aEtWCNEzY4. I will get it entered in my stuff tonight probably.