This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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Curmudgeon’s Corner: Embarrassing Math Error

In the latest Curmudgeon’s Corner Sam and Ivan talk about:

  • Disney / Vacations / Reunions
  • Election 2016, Election 2014
  • Surface 3 / Phablets
  • Bitcoin Pizza Day / Troops to Chad / DirectTV and AT&T

Recorded on 22 May 2014

Length this week – 1:15:11

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@abulsme tweets from 2014-05-22 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2014-05-21 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2014-05-20 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2014-05-19 (UTC)

  • Guess what? Tipping point graph just added: http://t.co/AXk50wnVlQ Map next! (Or 1984 election data.) 01:28:54
  • And with another late night when I should be sleeping, we now have the map! http://t.co/AXk50wnVlQ 09:44:28
  • Functionally the 2016 dashboard is pretty complete at this point. Lots of things to tweak yet though. Then add it to my main website. 09:50:31
  • It is also time to start figuring out a regular routine for finding and adding polls, rather just doing it when I come across them. 09:53:10
  • After that I really can get started on a dashboard for the 2016 primaries. Should be simpler. (For primaries I chart delegates, not polls.) 10:00:55
  • Unlike the polling for 2016, which is well underway, actual delegate counts won’t happen until it is actually 2016. :-) So I have time. :-) 10:02:27
  • I can work on the setup using 2008 & 2012 daily delegate data though, which I have archived of course. http://t.co/fKzjjT06CT 10:03:52
  • Reading – How to Take Light and Make Matter (Megan Garber) http://t.co/VGW3dh9lzf 16:53:01
  • Poll Added: Washington Free Beacon in VA from 2013-11-19 to 2013-11-20 – Clinton 42% to Christie 44% http://t.co/XihT86igiZ 21:53:33
  • Poll Added: Washington Free Beacon in VA from 2013-11-19 to 2013-11-20 – Clinton 51% to Cruz 41% http://t.co/SBpeoUiauN 21:57:13
  • Poll Added: Washington Free Beacon in VA from 2013-11-19 to 2013-11-20 – Clinton 50% to Paul 43% http://t.co/SgYAOBaqLq 21:59:52
  • Poll Added: Washington Free Beacon in VA from 2013-11-19 to 2013-11-20 – Warner 42% to Christie 41% http://t.co/tj4DsfZUvg 22:02:42
  • Poll Added: Washington Free Beacon in VA from 2013-11-19 to 2013-11-20 – Warner 52% to Cruz 37% http://t.co/oatsSTJG16 22:14:00
  • It should have tweeted that Clinton vs Cruz in VA changed from Weak Cruz to Weak Clinton, but it didn’t. Think I found the bug. Maybe. :-) 22:22:36
  • Warner vs Paul state category change: VA has moved from Weak Paul to Weak Warner http://t.co/muG3VTCyra 22:23:34
  • Poll Added: Washington Free Beacon in VA from 2013-11-19 to 2013-11-20 – Warner 53% to Paul 39% http://t.co/muG3VTCyra 22:23:36
  • OK, that sorta worked, but I would prefer those two tweets go in the opposite order… I’ll see what I can do. :-) 22:24:32
  • Should be a couple more automated tweets about “Expected Case” changes coming in a few minutes when those recalculate. We’ll see. :-) 22:29:35
  • Warner vs Cruz tipping point change: Warner by 1.7 in OH -> Warner by 1.8 in VA http://t.co/aOW4Gi1usP 22:38:17
  • Warner vs Cruz expected case changed: Warner 310 to Cruz 228 -> Warner 323 to Cruz 215 – http://t.co/aOW4Gi1usP 22:38:19
  • Warner vs Paul expected case changed: Warner 310 to Paul 228 -> Warner 323 to Paul 215 – http://t.co/l3Qce9Uvax 22:38:37
  • Worked but with a broken link and a couple extra characters. Fixed for next time. :-) 22:43:17
  • Poll Added: Washington Free Beacon in VA from 2013-11-19 to 2013-11-20 – Clinton 42% to Christie 44% http://t.co/0tJNGCQlpW 23:27:56

@abulsme tweets from 2014-05-18 (UTC)

  • Well, well, look what a quiet day at home gets you. Electoral College Trend Chart is live! http://t.co/AXk50wnVlQ Woo! 08:33:13
  • Next up, Tipping point chart. (Easier than the chart I just did I expect.) Then the map. After that, I’ll be close to where I want to be. 08:36:18
  • I’m sure I’ll be tweaking & refining straight through to the election though. Oh, and I’ll have to deal with performance. All too slow now. 08:38:15
  • Poll Added: Bluegrass in KY from 2014-05-14 to 2014-05-16 – Clinton 44% to Paul 48% http://t.co/N1CX89v4CC 09:18:54
  • Added color bands showing the category zones to the state charts just now too. http://t.co/DNb3KU7Xel 09:56:58
  • Uh oh… Now that my 2016 general election dashboard is starting to take form, thoughts are coming into my head about a primary dashboard… 10:36:32
  • Reading – How The New York Times lost the internet, and how it plans to win it back (@mattyglesias) http://t.co/jnpBKAsrA0 19:04:39
  • Shows how much space per topic. RT @MatthewKeysLive: Disclosing page numbers apparently threatens national security – http://t.co/TEkmhcDccM 20:22:26

@abulsme tweets from 2014-05-17 (UTC)

  • Listening – Common Sense with Dan Carlin: Show 274 – The Wages of Fear http://t.co/7yJ9Y8ld4T 01:04:04
  • Another Little Test 07:52:02
  • More Test 08:22:57
  • Poll Added: Election1988 in IA from 1988-11-08 – DEM 54.71% to REP 44.50% http://t.co/waQAbomXUn 08:29:32
  • Cool. That worked. :-) I’ll turn it off for backfilling old elections though and leave it on for actual new polls. More to come. 08:31:12
  • Mo Test 08:44:40
  • Clinton vs Huckabee tipping point change: Clinton by 3.8 in NC -> Clinton by 3.5 in CO http://t.co/IListlzdAV 09:42:39
  • Uh, not true, just testing stuff. RT @abulsme: Clinton vs Huckabee tipping point change: Clinton by 3.8 in NC -> Clinton by 3.5 in CO 09:57:18
  • Clinton vs Huckabee tipping point change: Clinton by 3.5 in CO -> Clinton by 3.8 in NC http://t.co/IListlzdAV 11:53:28
  • Right again, but calc still off. :-( RT @abulsme: Clinton vs Huckabee tipping point change: Clinton by 3.5 in CO -> Clinton by 3.8 in NC 11:59:12
  • Think I finally licked the bug I found on the historical trend calcs that showed up with Huckabee. Maybe I should go to sleep now. :-) 12:31:08
  • I can’t find 1998 Pres election results for Nebraska by congressional district. I’m going to have to estimate it from county data. :-/ 13:00:25
  • Finished putting in 1988 election data into my thing. My goal was back to 1984, but I now think I’ll go back to 1980. http://t.co/7bmWxsD6jH 20:21:21
  • MT @BYUfan: 1790! MT @abulsme: Finished putting in 1988 election data. I now think I’ll go back to 1980. http://t.co/7bmWxsD6jH 21:34:01
  • MT @BYUfan: (Correction) 1788! MT @abulsme: Finished putting in 1988 election data. I think I’ll go back to 1980. http://t.co/GzLr4WFuje 21:34:48
  • .@BYUfan I think I’ll leave everything before 1980 to this guy: http://t.co/XUu9Y5EuJs Amazing resource! in reply to BYUfan 21:36:19
  • .@BYUfan Of course, he started his site before everybody standardized on Rep=Red, Dem=Blue, so he has it the other way! Confusing! :-) in reply to BYUfan 21:37:59
  • Added category label to the mouse over on the poll average line. http://t.co/7bmWxsD6jH 21:39:16
  • Next up I may actually tackle the new graphs I want to make using the trend histories. Unless I procrastinate by typing in 1984 data. :-) 21:40:16

@abulsme tweets from 2014-05-16 (UTC)

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Bouncing Around

In the latest Curmudgeon’s Corner Sam and Ivan talk about:

  • The Present / Garage Stuff
  • Election Site Update / Random Stuff
  • Right to be Forgotten
  • Apple Beats / Google Glass

Recorded on 15 May 2014

Length this week – 55:38

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@abulsme tweets from 2014-05-15 (UTC)