This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

Categories

Calendar

April 2012
S M T W T F S
1234567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930  

@abulsme Updates from 2012-04-07 (UTC)

2012 Republican Delegate Count: Another Wisconsin Update

Charts from the Abulsme.com 2012 Republican Delegate Count Graphs page. When a candidate gets down to 0%, they have cinched the nomination. If they get up past 100%, they have been mathematically eliminated. The first chart is by date, the second is by “% of Delegates Already Allocated”. These numbers include estimates of the eventual results of multi-stage caucus processes which will be refined as the later stages occur.

So… remember yesterday when I removed three delegates from Romney’s column because Green Papers decided the three super delegates in Wisconsin were not bound by the primary results? Well, in today’s update they put them back. They are now officially “uncommitted” in their hard count, but are Romney in the soft count (which we use for these charts). The soft count indicates not just the official status, but other indicators of the ways the delegates are likely to vote.

In any case, this reverts things to how they were a couple days ago on our charts.

I’m sure Romney will breathe a lot easier with these three delegates back in his column. :-)

 

First Playground of the Spring

20120407-020039.jpg