This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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Needing a Bump

Chris Weigant posted his latest Electoral update yesterday, quoting some of my commentary as well.

Electoral Math — Obama Sure Could Use A Bump
(Chris Weigant, Huffington Post, 20 Aug 2008)

It’s time once again to take a look at how the electoral math is shaping up for Barack Obama and John McCain. While the news this time around isn’t all that great for Obama, I wanted to take another of these snapshots of the polls — before the running mates are announced and before the conventions happen — in order to provide a statistical baseline to see how big a “bump” in the polls either candidate will get in the next few weeks. My analysis in short: while the news isn’t dire quite yet, Obama could certainly use such a bump at this point.

Take a look at the whole thing.

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