I am sick today. And late to work. But I”ll drag myself in because of one meeting I want to make sure I’m at. Otherwise I’d consider staying home. Oh well. Off I go.
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Quick since I’m running late. Obama is now leading by more than 10% in New York, McCain is now leading by more than 10% in Texas, putting both states in the respective “Strong” categories which makes those states very unlikely to be in play this election. Since both states were already “weak” and neither were in the could go either way “leaning” categories, this leaves the overall summary the same… which is of course still that there are so many states “too close to call” that either candidate could easily win if the election was held today. Of course, the election is not today, so this just gives us a snapshot of now, which will likely change quite a bit before November. Current Summary: McCain Best Case – McCain 313, Obama 225 And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) – Obama 277, McCain 261
I’m running way late today, so just the basics. Obama gets 3 superdelegates, Clinton gets 2. Updated stats: Delegate count is: Obama 1981, Clinton 1782, Edwards 7 In percent terms that is: Obama 52.5%, Clinton 47.3%, Edwards 0.2% 2026 delegates are needed to win. There are 280 delegates yet to be determined. Obama needs 45 more delegates to win. Clinton needs 242 more delegates to win. In percentage terms, that means: Obama needs 16.1% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 28.3% before KY/OR.) Clinton needs 87.1% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 74.4% before KY/OR.) This is of course as of today’s rules, which are expected to change after Saturday’s RBC meeting.
Well, since I couldn’t sleep, and eventually got tired of Wikipedia and random shows on the Tivo, I ended up retrofitting my Random Spot Tool to get rid of the ancient and unfriendly MapQuest hack and replace it with an integrated Google Maps version using their Maps API. At the same time, since now I could, I added a few things that were not possible the old way. It is much better and much more fun than before. Play with it and enjoy. And maybe go on some trips! Of course, now I haven’t slept at all. I took Amy to school, and am now going to have to rush through the rest of my morning activities to try to get to work at a semi-reasonable hour. Not feeling great tonight. Really tired. Should have been asleep probably 3 or 4 hours ago. But of course can’t sleep because I’m feeling uncomfortable. So I’m up watching an episode of Globe Trekker on the Tivo, while hitting the random article link on Wikipedia over and over and reading about whatever happens to come up. I have to be up in a little over 4 hours to get Amy up and to school. It is getting close to the point where it is better to just stay up. I could just go into the office and try to do stuff that is actually useful or productive in some way, but I don’t really feel quite up to that either, and I keep hoping at some point I’ll actually just nod off. But not yet. Bleh. |
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