Today’s round of polls includes a poll for Minnesota that pushes Obama’s “last five polls” average lead over 10%, moving the state from “Weak Obama” to “Strong Obama”. This is the first state added to Obama’s “Strong” column since way back in March. Thus the streak of good poll results for Obama continues. Since only “Leaning” states moving back and forth affect my “best case scenarios” rather than strong or weak states, the summary does not change.
Current Summary:
McCain Best Case – McCain 313, Obama 225
Obama Best Case – Obama 333, McCain 205
And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) – Obama 277, McCain 261