Things just keep looking better for McCain. We’ll see if this trend reverses once Obama actually finishes wrapping up the Democratic nomination, but in the mean time, McCain just keeps consolidating his leads. Today a new poll in Nebraska moves it (and the corresponding five electoral votes) from just Leaning McCain to Weak McCain. (Meaning McCain’s lead used to be less than 5%, now it is between 5% and 10%.)
This further weakens Obama’s “best case” scenario.
Current Summary:
McCain Best Case – McCain 334, Obama 204
Obama Best Case – Obama 322, McCain 216
And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) – McCain 302, Obama 236