This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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Seven More Supers Fall Off the Wall

Seven more superdelegates today. 4 for Clinton, 3 for Obama. Hey, Clinton got more delegates today! Oh, but wait, she got 57.14% of today’s delegates, which is less than the 61.15% she needed to be on pace to win, so once again, her path to the nomination still just becomes harder, even though she got more delegates today. She now needs 61.19% of the remaining delegates. But remember, the math doesn’t matter, it is all about momentum! Math is hard!

Updated stats:

The new delegate count is: Obama 1730, Clinton 1593, Edwards 19

In percent terms that is: Obama 51.8%, Clinton 47.7%, Edwards 0.6%

2025 delegates are needed to win.

There are 706 delegates yet to be determined.

Obama needs 295 more delegates to win.

Clinton needs 432 more delegates to win.

In percentage terms, that means:

Obama needs 41.8% of the remaining delegates to win.

Clinton needs 61.2% of the remaining delegates to win.

(Still no update on the final 2 Democratic delegates from the Pennsylvania primaries, or on ANY of the delegates from the Republican Pennsylvania primaries.)

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