I’ve been watching the pollster.com PA Page over the last couple of weeks. You can’t just look at the line today, as when they get new polls the “past” of the line changes as well as the present, but what I’ve seen watching it day to day is this trend in Clinton’s lead:
- Right before “bittergate”: 4.4%
- After the worst of bittergate: 6.4%
- Obama’s maximum recovery: 5.1%
- Now: 6.9%
It seems like post-debate and as we run into the stretch the undecideds are breaking for Hillary. She is NOT anywhere close to the 20% margin (in delegates, not popular vote) to really be on pace to catch up on delegates. But she *is* within reach of the 10% or so “big victory” that will undoubtedly have the press falling all over the Hillary momentum story.
Bleh.
[Edit 10 minutes later: Changed now number from 7.1% to 6.9%, I subtracted wrong.]
[Note 30 minutes later: More polls coming in, now number is now 6.1%]
[Note at 16:34: Yet more polls, now 6.0%]
[Note at 23:37: Even more polls, now 6.3%]
