This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

Categories

Calendar

August 2006
S M T W T F S
 12345
6789101112
13141516171819
20212223242526
2728293031  

One More Lieberpost

OK, only one more on this stuff, then I’ll drop back out of talking about politics and such for awhile… Just saw this commentary from Brendan Loy (known last year for his hurricane blogging). It is worth reading the whole thing, including much of the comment thread on the post as well.

Time for a divorce
(Brendan Loy, The Irish Trojan’s Blog)

Democrats in my home state of Connecticut have seen fit to give their incumbent U.S. senator, the honorable Joseph Lieberman, the old heave-ho. Get out of our party, the Democratic voters have told Joe. You aren’t one of us anymore. […] it’s a shot across the bow of moderate Democrats everywhere. […] Well, if there’s no room in the Democratic Party for Joe Lieberman, then there’s no room in it for me.

(via InstaPundit)

War Thoughts and Other Thoughts

The Lieberman thing prompts me to also post some additional comments. Someone who did not want to post emailed me to mention that perhaps this was not about Joe and moderates, but about the war. And yes, that is true. That was the main issue. This particular race was all about that.

But that I think is one of those issues where the moderates are getting pushed out.

The one side: The war was mistake, it is evil and wrong, and we need to get the hell out ASAP (in an orderly fashion), regardless of the consequences.

The other side: The war was the right thing, we replaced Saddam and that is what is important, the critics are unfair, and war is hard and things go wrong, but overall we’re doing what we need to do.

And it seems there are very few who try to stay in the area between those positions. There are a few politicians in that middle spot, but they have trouble making the case, cause it isn’t simple and balck and white. “War Good” or “War Bad” people get, and tend to pick one. Reality is more complex.

Another complex bit… The House and Senate did *NOT* vote for the war back a couple years ago. (They probably should have, a declaration of war would have been appropriate in this situation if the overall policy of invasion and “regime change” was desired.) The congress very explicitly did NOT do that. What they did do was authorize the President to make his own decision on that topic. (Something which I personally believe is an unconstitutional shifting of war powers from congress to the president, but that is another issue…)

This is a subtle difference. But an important difference. But it is completely ignored. I hear about Senators voting “for the war” all the time. That is not what they did. That pisses me off. Cause even if it the effect it had, even if it was the effect the congress wanted, it is NOT what they did.

Anyway… that was a complete tangent… back to the topic… my own thoughts on this war…

I didn’t have this blog at the time, but prior to the start of the Iraq war I remember talking quite a bit to a variety of people about how it was a mistake and we should not do it and such… up until a few weeks before the actual invasion.. at that point I thought we were past the tipping point and it would then cause more damage to shift course than to continue, and then the only choice was to go forward and do the best that could be done with it. I was pissed at W for pushing us there when we didn’t need to be there, but at that point, I could no longer feel good recommending we do something else.

Of course then W and Rummy did just about everything wrong that they could possibly do wrong for several years and to this day. It has been a complete disaster. It did not have to be. Even after having made the mistake of pushing us to war when we didn’t need to in the first place, it COULD have been handled in a way that if not “good” would have been much better than what happened. BUt it wasn’t. It was mismanaged from top to bottom. I used the word hubris a lot back then to describe how the administration was acting. I think the results have been completely in line with that.

But that doesn’t mean I think the best way to go at this point is to get out. I actually think that would be an even worse disaster. It might even be better at this point to INCREASE our involvement rather than decrease it. But it may even be getting to the point where it is too late to fix things that way either. I’m not sure. But a rash and premature evacuation would just be a total mess and leave us with even worse problems in the future.

Any way, public opinion overall seems to be slowly shifting to “just get the hell out” and that likely will have a big effect on elections to come over the next few years.

But I still say the people who are most likely to find a “good” result… well, at least “less bad”… are neither the fervent anti-war people or the neo-con apologists. They are the folks in the middle who resist the ideological arguments and just focus on the practicalities of the situation on the ground and try to figure out how to actually work on various issues and find solutions rather than worrying about what fits the party line the most.

Lieberman is one of those folks. There are a handful in both parties. And certainly each of these in SOME areas is just as ideological as the others, and if you took a bunch of them from both parties I don’t think they could come up with a set of things they could all agree on… it is less an issue of views on specific issues as one of temperment and pragmatism.

You put a bunch of them in a room and they would probably not agree on much of anything. But they WOULD (given some time) be able to hammer out a compromise that was “OK” for all of them, even though none of them would be completely happy with it.

Contrast this to the types of folks who are taking over both parties… who are partisan and ideological to the core. Put a bunch of them in a room and they will take their respective sides and throw things across the room at each other (metaphorically at least) and they will just snipe and snipe and snipe. And if they were of equal power and number nothing would ever get done. (Which of course isn’t always a bad thing. :-) Or if one side had superiority they would just start implementing their agenda without any compromise at all, making the losing side just increasingly spiteful. (A la the Dems today.)

That is what is dangerous. Not the specific views on any one issue, but the move toward increasing polarization rather than reason and compromise.

Lieberlost

No in depth commentary, but I just want to say it is a shame Lieberman lost in the primary. It is just another symptom of both parties moving away from the center, with the nut jobs in both camps being more and more in control.

Here’s hoping Joe does not get talked out of it and makes a successful run as an independent. There has got to be room in this country for the reasonable, pragmatic centrists. If the people in the center from both parties just got together and started a reasonable third party, I think there would be a large number of people who would go for it.

But of course, Joe will probably be talked out of it, and if he does run he will probably lose, and in all likelihood things will get more and more divided and the moderates will continue to be pushed out.

Oh well.

New Frump Book – With Lions

imageMonday I got an email from a major Internet retailer (with whom I have another relationship as well) letting me know:

As someone who has purchased books by Robert Frump, you might like to know that The Man-Eaters of Eden: Life and Death in Kruger National Park is now available . You can order your copy at a savings of 37% by following the link below.

Robert Frump is of course one of my ex-bosses from the place I worked before the place I worked before the place I work now.

You should all buy his book. I know I will.

His last book is also still available.

Price Drop 3

Just sent the agent the paperwork to drop the price on the house in Florida again. We’ve been dropping the price once a month ($10K at a shot) and this is the third drop. We were below the average price per square foot in the area with our FIRST price, but things are just so slow there at the moment. Very few buyers, but lots on the market. (The last “very interested” person ended up going for a house about the same size, but MORE expensive and about 20 years newer.)

We’re really hoping that at this new price it will move. We have more room before we get to the level that we’d have to write a check at closing instead of getting one… that isn’t the pinch point. The pinch point is how long we can run on a month to month cash flow deficit before we have no more cash to flow. I think we’ve got a couple more months, but not much longer than that, I don’t have much left in reserve at this point.

And yes, we could drop the price all the way to our break even point in one fell swoop and hopefully sell right away and at least be done with the mortgage payments and utilities and such, but we do not want to be leaving money on the table either. We’ve still got SOME time left… just not a huge amount.

And yeah, we’re also aware of the problem with dropping the price too much and getting the “there must be something wrong with it if they keep dropping it” effect, but hey, we’re what you call “motivated sellers” and all that. :-)

Thing Above

image

Generation 3

With Olive Sarah Wright I have completed posting another generation back. So time once again to see WHERE Sam’s roots are from.

The break down of Generation 2:

25% North Carolina
25% Kentucky
25% Arkansas
25% Vermont

And now Generation 3:

25% South Carolina
25% Kentucky
25% Ohio
25% Vermont

Kind of interesting that even though we have 8 people now instead of 4, we’re still just in four states (and one country). Both parents of the person born in North Carolina were born in South Carolina. Both parents of the person born in Arkansas were born in Ohio. And the people born in Kentucky and Vermont both had parents born in the same state they were born in.

The center of mass seems to move a little to the southwest. Which one again makes me think I should actually make maps and calculate the real center of mass and stuff.

But once again, I won’t. At least not now.

Olive Sarah Wright

imageThis is my mother’s mother’s mother.

She went by Sarah, not Olive. So much so that when I was putting this together there was a lot of discussion about if she was really Sarah Olive or Olive Sarah. The one online reference I had found said Olive Sarah, but my mom was SURE that is was Sarah Olive. I actually switched it back and forth a couple times.

I finally settled on Olive Sarah when my mom sent me something my Uncle David (the family genealogy expert) that listed her as O. Sarah. But regardless of her given name, she went by Sarah.

She died young. Hit by a car while she was walking as a pedestrian in 1917. She was 37. There were not very many cars then.

And aside from the fact that that she lived in Vermont, married Donald Hurlburt, and was the mother of my grandmother and my Great Uncle Rod, that’s about all I know about her.

Book: A Morbid Taste For Bones

imageAuthor: Ellis Peters
Started: 5 Jul 2006
Finished: 10 Jul 2006
197p / 6d
33 p/d

A little delayed writing this up. I finished this on the first day the movers were packing us up in Florida. (Which reminds me, I should post some time on what a bad job they did and all the stuff that got screwed up.)

In any case, this is the first in the “Chronicles of Brother Cadfael”. A few Christmases and birthdays ago my mom had given me a Cadfael book… the LAST of the series actually. I was bad and read it before reading earlier ones in the series, but decided it was worth reading more. So I ordered the first in the series. Several years later, it made it to the top of my pile and I read it.

Basically your standard murder mystery sort of thing except it is set in the middle ages and the detective is a monk. This one centers around a quest to get the bones of a saint for the monestary and the events that end up surrounding that.

In the end it was OK, but did not super impress me. If I remember correctly (it was years ago) I liked the other one I read better. This one just never fully held my attention. It was still a pretty quick read, but I was never fully drawn in. There was never a time where I felt like I had to keep reading rather than putting it down for awhile.

I’ll still read the next one in the series (eventually). But I’m won’t be in a super rush.

Chris is Coming

image

Only about a 6% chance of tropical storm winds hitting our place in Florida at the moment, but we would still rather it did not.