This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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August 2006
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All Tropics, All the Time

I promise I’ll get back to other things soon enough.

Here is the latest NHC update of the odds graph though:

No significant chance of hurricane force winds. About a 70% shot at tropical storm force winds though. The only thing we are really worried about with those sorts of winds is the pool screen if a wayward branch gets thrown into it. When we got tropical storm force winds out of Wilma a big branch got thrown into our pool. If the screen had been up then, it would have gotten torn.

This looks like it will probably be a non-event though, which is good.

By comparison, Miami is just about at a 90% chance of TS winds. The South Carolina coast is at about 45%. And there is still about a 5% chance of hurricane force winds in SC.

Helpful Voicemail

Got a voicemail this morning on my cell from the insurance company I have home insurance from saying basically “We know you are about to get hit by Ernesto, so here are all the ways to get in touch with us to make a claim as soon as it goes by.”

Thanks!

(Actually of course, if there is an issue, this will be helpful, as I frankly wouldn’t even remember which insurance company we had without digging through papers trying to find it.)

Anyway, as of the updates at 13 UTC this morning (6 hours ago) we are back to a negligible (less than 5%) chance of hurricane force winds, but the chance of tropical storm force winds has gone up slightly to about 65%.

Hopefully we’ll get some rain and wind but no actual damage. Guess we’ll know in about 24 to 30 hours. Well, at least whatever is going to happen will have happened. We aren’t actually there, so who knows how long it will be until we can get someone to go by and tell us what happened.